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ECONOMICS-II
TOPIC-1
ECONOMIC SYSTEMS
1.Traditional Economy
Found in rural, underdeveloped countries
Vanuatu islands near Australia Pygmies of Congo Eskimos & Indian tribes Belarus in central Europe
Customs govern the economic decisions that are made Farming, hunting and gathering are done the same way as the generation before
Economic activities are centered around the family or ethnic unit Men and women are given different economic roles and tasks Advantages: people have specific roles; security in the way things are done Disadvantages: Technology is not used; difficult to improve
3.Command Economy
The government (or central Advantages authority) determines what, Guarantees equal standard how, and for whom goods of living for everyone and services are produced. Less crime and poverty Two types: Needs are provided for
Strong Command where government makes all decisions (communism China, Cuba) Moderate Command where some form of private enterprise exists but the state owns major resources (socialism France and Sweden) through the government
Disadvantages
Minimal choices Fewer choices of items No incentive to produce better product or engage in entrepreneurship
4.Mixed Economy
Most nations have a Combination of a mixed economy: India, market and a United States, England, command economy Australia Government takes Advantagebalance of care of peoples needs and wants met by government and in needs marketplace Marketplace takes Disadvantage citizens care of peoples have to pay taxes wants.
SOCIAL DEV.
SUSTAINABLE DEV.
HUMAN DEV.
EQUITY
H.R.D &H.D.
Human Resource Development includes training an individual after he/she is first hired, providing opportunities to learn new skills, distributing resources that are beneficial for the employee's tasks, and any other developmental activities. Human Development: development is focused on expanding the choices human beings have to have the life they value. In this sense, it is essential to work on building capacities for human development that is sustainable over time. These core capacities for human development are: 1.Enjoying a long and healthy life, 2.Being educated 3.Access to resources that enable people to live in dignity 4.Being able to participate in decisions that affect their community
DEVELOPMENT ASPECTS
1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Increase in real income and per capita income. It is a long term process Changes in social and economic institutions Improving Standard of living Welfare of the people should increase through the increase of employment opportunities, reduction in income inequalities and eradication of poverty.
TOPIC-3:Population theories
1. MALTHUSIAN THEORY OF POPULATION
Thomas Malthus
1766-1834. Born near Guildford! Wrote An essay in the First Principle of population first published in 1798 Debatable whether the principles of Malthus two hundred years ago (that were very revolutionary and controversial) have any relevance to the modern world. The world population in 1798 was at nine million people. We have now passed the six billion mark.
2 4 8
16
32
CHECKS
Malthus suggested that once this ceiling (catastrophe) had been reached, further growth in population would be prevented by negative and positive checks. He saw the checks as a natural method of population control. They can be split up into 2 groups.
But..
Technological improvements which he could not have foreseen The increased amount of cropland due to irrigation Reduced population growth as countries move through the DTM
Dalton and Robbins vehemently criticized the Malthusian theory for its pessimism They assumed that population growth is advantageous in the initial period and after achieving optimum population, it will be disadvantageous Optimum population(O) is defined as that population where there is the highest per capita income They gave the formula for calculating surplus or deficit population M= (A-O)/O where M=maladjustment, A=actual population, O= optimum population
AP2
AP1
OP1
OP2
POPULATION SIZE
which changes in population should be controlled. The limitation of the OPT is that it ignores the distributional aspects of increase in national income. Moreover, it takes a very narrow and materialistic view of social objectives; maximizing per capita income is not always the goal.
3.
4.
5.
1950-51
1970-71
1990-91 2000-01 2010-11
44.5
30.9 24.7 16.2
In the developed countries, the share of agriculture is very low. In UK it is 2%, USA 3%, and Canada 5%
In developed countries, the proportion of workers in agriculture is very low. In UK it is 2%, USA 3%, and France 7%
One of the major problems of Indian agriculture is the level of production and productivity are low when compared to other countries.
TOPIC-5:LAND REFORMS
SUCCESS OR FAILURE?
Land ceiling legislation is not very successful in India because of the defects and exemptions in land ceiling laws. The interference of judiciary, opposition from the land lords, lack of proper land records are some of the reasons for failure. Even those who received land could not do efficient farm management because of lack of irrigation, credit and poor quality of land distributed. Lack of political will
TENANCY REFORMS
THREE ISSUES ARE DISCUSSED 1. Regulation of rent: 30 to 50% of gross produce is being implemented in different states. 2. System of tenure: owner can take back the land only for personal cultivation 3. Ownership rights on tenants: Kerala, Karnataka, and West Bengal have done better to confer right of ownership right to the tenants.
INDUSTRIAL POLICIES
1. Industrial development can provide a secure basis for the rapid growth of income. 2. Generation of Productive employment. 3. Strengthening the Economy: capital goods, farm mechanization, infrastructure development 4. Achievement of self reliance 5. Improvement of foreign trade 6. Broadening the social outlookmodern outlook without superstition and ignorance
1950-51 55.9
1990-91 33.2
2006-07 20.5
1.Primary sector
14.9
25.2
24.7
29.2
41.6
54.8
TOPIC-7:SERVICE SECTOR
10.6
11.5
13.0
9.2
9.7
10.6
9.2
7.8
7.8
Total Services
9.9
10.0
11.0
7.5
8.4
9.4
Growth of Services
An important feature of Indias growth skewed towards services -described as jobless growth Share of agriculture in the Indian economy declined rapidly Share of employment in agriculture has remained the same- increasing share of services in the GDP has not been accompanied by services claiming a larger share of employment in the decade of the 1990s
Growth in Services
growth in output in services in India in recent times has mostly come from the rapid development of skill intensive services in the IT and professional services segments- oriented towards the external market
large proportion of services in India are a part of the informal economy and the official employment figures might understate the actual size of the services workforce there is a lot of cross-over between services and agriculture sector laborers, i.e. many workers spend part of the year as agricultural workers and the rest of the year working in some service job such as informal retail and construction work There has been some debate on the repercussions of this skill biased development of service sector jobs
Industrial Disputes Act of 1947[20] The Industrial Disputes act 1947 regulates how employers may address industrial disputes such as lockouts, layoffs, retrenchment etc. It controls the lawful processes for reconciliation, adjudication of labour disputes. The Act also regulates what rules and conditions employers must comply before the termination or layoff of a workman who has been in continuous service for more than one year with the employer. The employer is required to give notice of termination to the employee with a copy of the notice to appropriate government office seeking government's permission, explain valid reasons for termination, and wait for one month before the employment can be lawfully terminated. The employer may pay full compensation for one month in lieu of the notice. Furthermore, employer must pay an equivalent to 15 days average pay for each completed year of employees continuous service. Thus, an employee who has worked for 4 years in addition to various notices and due process, must be paid a minimum of the employee's wage equivalent to 60 days before retrenchment, if the government grants the employer a permission to layoff. Minimum Wages Act of 1948[21] The Minimum Wages Act prescribes minimum wages in all enterprises, and in some cases those working at home per the schedule of the Act. Central and State Governments can and do revise minimum wages at their discretion. The minimum wage is further classified by nature of work, location and numerous other factors at the discretion of the government. The minimum wage ranges between 143 to 1120 per day for work in the so-called central sphere. State governments have their own minimum wage schedules.[22] Industries (Regulation and Development) Act of 1951[23] This law declared numerous key manufacturing industries under its so-called First Schedule. It placed many industries under common central government regulations in addition to whatever laws state government enact. It also reserved over 600 products that can only be manufactured in small scale enterprises, thereby regulating who can enter in these businesses, and above all placing a limit on the number of employees per company for the listed products. The list included all key technology and industrial products in early 1950s, including products ranging from certain iron and steel products, fuel derivatives, motors, certain machinery, machine tools, to ceramics and scientific equipment.
The unorganized sector has low productivity and offers lower wages. Even though it accounted for over 94 percent of workers, India's unorganized sector created just 57 percent of India's national domestic product in 2006, or about 9 fold less per worker than the organized sector.[33] According to Bhalla, the productivity gap sharply worsens when rural unorganized sector is compared to urban unorganized sector, with gross value added productivity gap spiking an additional 2 to 4 fold depending on occupation. Some of lowest income jobs are in the rural unorganized sectors. Poverty rates are reported to be significantly higher in families where all working age members have only worked the unorganized sector throughout their lives.[34][35] Agriculture, dairy, horticulture and related occupations alone employ 52 percent of labor in India. About 30 million workers are migrant workers, most in agriculture, and local stable employment is unavailable for them. India's National Sample Survey Office in its 67th report found that unorganized manufacturing, unorganized trading/retail and unorganized services employed about 10 percent each of all workers nationwide, as of 2010. It also reported that India had about 58 million unincorporated nonAgriculture enterprises in 2010.
UNORGANISED SECTOR
None
None
100% 90 (INR 5000) 30 minutes per 5 hour 200 hours per year Yes Yes Rarely[42][43] Yes Yes, if approved by government
50% 182.5 None 1 hour per day No No Not applicable Yes Yes, without approval of government
50% 1242.6 None None No No Not applicable No Yes, without approval of government
TRADE UNIONS
About 7 per cent of the 400 million-strong workforce were employed in the formal sector (comprising government and corporates) in 2000[54] contributing a whopping 60 per cent of the nominal GDP of the nation. The Trade Unions Act of 1926 provided recognition and protection for a nascent Indian labour union movement. The number of unions grew considerably after independence, but most unions are small and usually active in only one firm. In 1997, India had about 59,000 trade unions registered with the government of India.[55] Of these only 9,900 unions filed income and expenditure reports and claimed to represent 7.4 million workers. The state of Kerala at 9,800 trade unions had the highest number of registered unions, but only few filed income and expenditure reports with the government of India. The state of Karnataka had the fastest growth in number of unions between 1950s to 1990s. In 1995, India had 10 central federations of trade unions, namely (arranged by number of member unions in 1980): INTUC, CITU, BMS, AITUC, HMS, NLO, UTUC, UTUC-LS, NFITU and TUCC. Each federation had numerous local trade union affiliates, with the smallest TUCC with 65 and INTUC with 1604 affiliated unions. By 1989, BMS had become India's largest federation of unions with 3,117 affiliated unions, while INTUC remained the largest federation by combined number of members at 2.2 million.[55] The largest federation of trade unions, INTUC, represents about 0.5% of India's labour force in organized sector and unorganized sector. In 2010, over 98% of Indian workers did not belong to any trade unions and were not covered by any collective bargaining agreements.
Between 2004 and 2011, India has experienced a decline in unionized labour. The number of labour disputes has dropped to 400 annually over the same period, compared with over 1,000 in the 1990s. The annual number of man-days lost to labour disputes in early 1990s averaged around 27 million; by 2010, while Indian economy has grown significantly and Indian labour force has expanded, the average number of man-days lost has dropped by about 30%. The downward trend continues both in terms of number of disputes and lost man-days per dispute. For example, India experienced 249 disputes in the first 5 months of 2010, and 101 disputes in 2012 over the same period.
According to 2001 Census, India had 12.6 million children, aged 514, who work either part-time or full-time. Of these over 60 percent work in unorganized agriculture sector, and the rest in other unorganized labor markets. Poverty, lack of schools, poor education infrastructure and growth of unorganized economy are considered as the most important causes of child labour in India. Article 24 of India's constitution prohibits child labour. Additionally, various laws and the Indian Penal Code, such as the Juvenile Justice (care and protection) of Children Act-2000, and the Child Labour (Prohibition and Abolition) Act-1986 provide a basis in law to identify, prosecute and stop child labour in India.[Nevertheless, child labour is observed in almost all unorganized, small scale, informal sectors of the Indian economy. Scholars suggest inflexibility and structure of India's labor market, size of informal economy, legal hurdles preventing industries from scaling up and lack of modern manufacturing technologies are major macroeconomic factors encouraging demand for and acceptability of child labor.
2.
3.
4.
5.
TOPIC-9
STRATEGIES OF PLANNING
1. Jawaharlal Nehru strategy(1951): Agricultural Development and poverty eradication. 2. Mahalanobis Strategy(1956): Long term growth Industrialization and production of Capital goods. 3. Garibi Hatao Strategy(1969) Smt. Indira Gandhi: Reduction of poverty and Inequality, Growth with Social Justice. 4. Agricultural Development Led Growth (1985):Vakil and Bramhananda: Production of wage goods and Creation of jobs. 5. The New Development Strategy(1990-91): (Dr.Manmohan Singh):Export-led Growth 6. Redefining the role of the Government(10th. Plan):(2002-07) Social sector and infrastructure development. 7. Faster and more Inclusive Growth Strategy(11th. Plan,2007-12) Growth with Equality of Opportunity. 8. Faster, Sustainable and more Inclusive Growth(12th. Plan) (2012-17): More Employment and improving livelihoods.
12 TH. PLAN(2012-17)
Targets:The Planning Commission has explored two alternative targets for economic growth in the Twelfth Plan. The first is a restatement of the Eleventh Plan target of 9.0 per cent growth, which has yet to be achieved. The second is an even higher target of 9.5 per cent average growth for the Twelfth Five Year Plan. Growth Vs Inflation: The emergence of inflationary pressure in the closing years of the Eleventh Plan has drawn attention to the possibility of a growth-inflation trade-off, raising concern whether aiming for a higher rate of growth at this stage may further fuel inflation. This issue is best addressed by distinguishing between short term and medium term policy Development of a Dynamic Private Sector. Implementation, Accountability and Governance. Natural Resource Management Water, Land and Forests. The Energy Challenge Infrastructure Development
REDEFINING THE ROLE OF THE GOVT. Govt. as a Facilitator: It should indicate the directions in which an Investor can pump his investments. It should provide safeguards to the investor as well as to the consumer. Govt. as a Regulator: It should act firmly as a controller of trade and business. India passed an Act against Competition irregularities(Competition Act-2007) Govt. as a Promoter and Partner: India has designed policies for PPP and promoting by giving concessions to private Investors.
What is Globalization?
Global industrialism or globalization is a
process of forging international political, economic, religious, and socio-cultural interconnections 7-11 Beijing
KFC Kuwait
2010
2008
GDP USD 1.16 trillion GDP growth rate 9.5% Services contribution 60% Balance of Trade Negative balance should increase with surging imports versus exports Investment goal USD 305 billion 2006 GDP USD 590 billion GDP growth rate 9% Services contribution 54% Balance of Trade USD (-)46.2 billion Investment goal USD 250 billion
*: Projected
Source: Economic Times & India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF)
Growing GDP
1,200 1,000
Contribution of Services increased from 48% to 62% and is estimated to contribute 60% by 2010
USD Billion
682
Growing Exports
210 170 126.3 103.1 83.5 90 50 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08* 130 155
200
USD Billion
2008-09*
Growing Imports
250
210.8 185.7
200
USD Billion
149.1
150
111.5
100
USD Billion
250 200 150 100 50 0 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 54 75 141 112 152
199
2006-07
Steadily increasing Forex reserves offer adequate security against any possible currency crisis or monetary instability
Source: Reserve Bank of India & India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF)
30 22
8.9 4.3 6
2006-07* 2007-08*
Electronic equipment, manufacturing and telecom have witnessed significant FDI inflow
2000
2000 1500 1000 500 0 2000-01 2006-07 2007-08 2016-17 2025 797 460 1021
Source: India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) & Economic Survey 2007-08
POSCO to invest in building steel manufacturing plants and facilities in India by 2016
USD 12 billion
USD 2 billion
Plans to spend on its development operations in India over the next four years
Energy
Financial Services Industrial Goods
Pharmaceuticals
Software
Main Destinations:
China, UAE, UK North America is emerging as a destination.
15.0
USD Billion
Exports to US
Imports from US
Textiles 36%
The Union Commerce Ministry, Government of India announces the integrated Foreign Trade Policy FTP in every five year. This is also called EXIM policy. This policy is updated every year with some modifications and new schemes. New schemes come into effect on the first day of financial year i.e. April 1, every year. The Foreign trade Policy which was announced on August 28, 2009 is an integrated policy for the period 2009-14.
Aim in General
The policy aims at developing export potential, improving export performance, boosting foreign trade and earning valuable foreign exchange. FTP assumes great significance this year as India's exports have been battered by the global recession. A fall in exports has led to the closure of several small- and medium-scale export-oriented units, resulting in large-scale unemployment.
Targets
Export Target : $ 200 Billion for 2010-11 Export Growth Target: 15 % for next two year and 25 % thereafter.
Indias exports in 2010-11 are 251B$, and in 2011-12304B$ Indias Imports in 2010-11 are 370B$, and in 2011-12---489B$
IMPORT POLICY
Duty Credit Scrips Earlier the payment of customs duty for Export Obligation (EO) shortfall under Advance Authorisation , DFIA or EPCG Authorisation was allowed in cash only. Now this payment can be done in the way of debit of Duty Credit scrips. Import of Restricted Items Restricted Items can be imported now (as replenishment) against transferred DFIAs (Duty Free Import Authorisations) as the present DFRC (Duty Free Replenishment Card) scheme. Dollar Credits There is a provision for state-run banks to provide dollar credits
INTRODUCTION
Foreign Direct Investment, or FDI, is a type of investment that involves the injection of foreign funds into an enterprise that operates in a different country of origin from the investor. It usually involves participation in management, venture, transfer of technology and expertise. FDI can be classified: Inward FDI and Outward FDI joint
FDI in india
A recent UNCTAD survey projected India as the second most important FDI destination (after China) for transnational corporations during 20102012. The sectors which attracted higher inflows were services, telecommunication, construction activities and computer software and hardware.
Mauritius, Singapore, the US and the UK were among the leading sources of FDI.
Foreign direct investment (FDI) in India may cross $35 billion in 2011-2012 as against $19.4 billion in the last financial year
Fdi benefits
Economic Growth
Trade
SOURCES OF DATA
The required data have been collected from various sources i.e. Asian Development Banks Reports, various Bulletins of Reserve Bank of India, publications from Ministry of Commerce, Govt. of India, Economic and Social Survey of Asia and from websites of World Bank, IMF, WTO, RBI, UNCTAD etc.
25
20 15 10 5
0
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09
2009-10
YEARS
2%
9%
Netherlands Japan
11% 53%
Cyprus
Germany UAE France
conclusions
The increased flow of FDI in a country has given a major boost to the country's economy. FDI has provided better access to technologies for the local economy. FDI has lead to indirect productivity gains through spillovers.
Multinational firms have increased the degree of competition in host-country markets which will force existing inefficient firms to invest more in physical or human capital.
Service sector has been the most sought after sector in India for Foreign Direct Investments.
India, with its skilled labor and manpower has the potential to overtake China as the most preferred destination for Foreign Investments. Hence measures must be taken in order to ensure that the flow of FDI in our country continues to grow.
123
Social Factors
Population Poverty Urbanization
124
Economic Factors
Non-existent or poorly functioning markets for environmental goods and services Market distortions controls and subsidies created by price
The manufacturing technology adopted by most of the industries which generally is based on intensive resource and energy use. Expansion of chemical based industry Growing transport activities Expansion of port and harbour activities.
125
Institutional Factors
Lack of awareness and infrastructure makes implementation of most of the laws relating to environment, ineffective.
126
extremely
difficult
and
environment. The fifth pillar edict of Emperor Ashoka also contains such regulations
127
manner.
It undertakes a diagnosis of the causative factors of land degradation with a view to
demonstrations, adoption of
dissemination, partnerships,
Multi-stakeholder
Constitutional Framework
Article 21 Article 48A - Fundamental Rights - Directive Principles of State Policy
133
Legislative Framework
Water (Prevention and Control of Pollution) Act, 1974 Water (Prevention and Control of Pollution) Cess Act, 1977
driven
implementation
of
environmental
administration in India. It has isolated specific environmental law principles upon interpretation of Indian
Statutes and Constitution. Public Interest Litigations (PILs) which is the result of the relaxation of the locus standi rules by the judiciary, is the characteristic feature of
State of Himachal Pradesh v. Ganesh Wood Products, AIR 1996 SC 149, the Supreme Court invalidated forest based industry, recognizing the principle of inter-generational equity and 145 sustainable development.
environmental concerns.
146
147
Authority within 45 days, under the National Environment Appellate Authority Act, 1997.
148
TOPIC-14
POVERTY ESTIMATION
THANK YOU
By
PROF.G.RAMACHANDRUDU