Liberalization means to free economy from direct or physical controls imposed by the government.
1980s suggests that the root cause of the crisis was the large and growing fiscal imbalance.
Large fiscal deficits emerged as a result of mounting government expenditures, particularly during the second half of the 80s.
These fiscal deficits led to high levels of borrowing by the government from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), IMF, World Bank.
Over the 1980s, government expenditure in India grew at a phenomenal rate, faster than what government earns as a revenues.
The subsidies grew at a rate faster than government expenditures.
The Indian economy was indeed in deep trouble.
Lack of foreign reserves .
Gold reserve was empty.
Before 1991, India was a closed economy.
Abolition of Industrial Licensing and Registration Concession from Monopolies Act Freedom for Expansion and Production to Industries Increase in Investment Limit of the Small Industries Freedom to Import Technology Free Determination of Interest Rates
Opening up of the Indian Economy Before 1991 there was closed economy and import of certain goods was restricted. After 1991 competition increased tremendously after the liberalisation. Competitors from all over the world enter the Indian market
Competition from Low Income Countries Low range products are floating into the market Low price, low quality
1. Governance o Need for elimination of large number of Rules & Regulations in the books
o 2. Infrastructure: A Challenge and an opportunity Investments required up to 2012 US$ 334 billion Power Generation - US$ 143 billion Power Transmission & Distribution US$ 116 billion Roads US$ 40 billion Ports US$ 20 billion Railways US$ 15 billion BRIC Study of Goldman Sachs (2003) predicts that: INDIA WILL EXCEED Frances GDP in 2020 Germanys in 2025 Japans in 2035
TO BECOME THE 3 RD LARGEST ECONOMY IN THE WORLD BY 2050
GDP growth at constant prices 6.1 8.2 8 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Average for 1993-2003 2003-04 10th Plan Projection (2002-07) i n
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c e n t Indian Foreign Exchange Reserves: a steady rise after liberalization Foreign exchange reserves (US$ billion) 2.2 17.0 54.1 75.4 118.3 0 50 100 150 1990-91 1995-96 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 Foreign Investments after liberalization 103 5,138 5,385 6,789 8,152 5,639 15,872 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 1990-91 1994-95 1997-98 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 Total Foreign Investment (US$ million) US$ million Import duty Reductions after liberalization Reduction in Peak Customs Duties on Manufactured items 150 110 50 38.5 30 25 20 42 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 1991 Mar-92 Mar-95 Mar-97 Mar-00 Mar-02 Mar-03 w.e.f March 2004 i n
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c e n t Rising share of Indias external trade after liberalization Total Exports in 2003-04 - US$ 61.8 Bn; Imports US$ 75.2 Bn. Assume target for exports for 2009 - US$150 Bn Share of external trade in GDP 18.1 23.1 25.5 26.9 30.3 28.9 31.6 32 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 1991- 92 1994- 95 1997- 98 1999- 2000 2000- 01 2001- 02 2002- 03 2003- 04 i n
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c e n t Less importance to agriculture More dependence on Foreign Debt Missing of social motive Problem of employment Dependence on foreign technology Thus in the end it can be concluded that removal of or reduction in the trade practices that was free flow of goods & services from one nation to another can lead to mass production, increases GDP, Import and Export. More steps should be initiated to enhance the performance of economy.