Date: 26 th Nov 2007 confidential 2 of 57 1. About RCOM 2. What is the real issue? 3. Spectrum Allocation 4. Spectral Efficiency innovations & TEC Report 5. Re-farming, Re-alignment of Spectrum & Capital Efficiency Measures 6. Summary & Recommendations Presentation Flow confidential 3 of 57 Reliance Communications
Largest fully integrated private sector communications company in India 5 th largest company with market cap of over Rs. 1,50,000 Cr Second largest customer base serving 40 Mn customers. Only operator providing both CDMA & GSM services CDMA Pan India GSM 8 circles mainly in Eastern India Received approval for pan India GSM rollout services Paid an additional fee of Rs. 1650 Cr. for GSM services RCOM has paid the highest fee Rs 3100 crore for operating mobile services. Indias largest and only Next Generation & IP based network pan India Fully committed to the Nations telecom growth in the entire value chain confidential 4 of 57 Parameter UoM Last 4 years Current Year March 08 Aggregate Population Covered % / Nos. Crs. 50 % 55 40% 44 90% 99 Towns Covered Nos. 10,000 13,000 23,000 Sites Nos. 14,000 26,000 40,000 Investment Rs.Crs. 32,000 20,000 52,000 RCOM Exponential Growth Plan RCOMs Growth Plans Significant contributor to Indias GDP Growth confidential 5 of 57 Widest Coverage Plan for 07-08 Worlds largest Wireless Network Rollout in a year Will cover all locations with over 1000 population with Voice & Data Coverage UoM Oct - 07 Mar-08 Towns Nos. 10,000 24,000 Villages Nos. 300,000 500,000 Population % 55 90 Key Religious Sites Nos. 333 677 Railway Track Kms % 48,000 65 % 63,000 85 % National Highways Kms % 35,000 60 % 55,000 95 % State Highways Kms % 85,000 45 % 153,000 80 % Rs. 20,000 Crs Capex Largest USO Roll ou 7230 sites What is the real issue? confidential 7 of 57 Adoption of spectrum allocation criteria which: 1. Promotes spectral efficiency 2. Maintains and ensures the quality of service 3. Increases competition leading to achieve government targets. What is the real issue? What GSM Operators got / want 1. Received spectrum above 4.4 MHz almost with out any policy guidelines till 2006. 2. Received spectrum above contracted spectrum of 6.2 MHz 3. Continued to enjoy spectrum free 4. The March 06 WPC criteria was too low, necessitating revision 5. Both TRAI & TEC criteria in 2007, based on scientific inputs, now being contested - for cornering & hoarding spectrum, & restricting competition. 6. Forcing the current framework to maintain oligopolistic interest. What India needs Need of the hour Scientific approach for Spectrum Allocation norms Spectrum Allocation confidential 9 of 57 Evolution of allocation criteria No SUBSCRIBER CRITERIA till Feb.02 Adhoc Approach Spectrum Charges Policy issued for 4.4 MHz and 6.2 MHz. Spectrum allocated up to 6.2 MHz without any policy framework almost free till Feb.02. February 2002 Spectrum Charges Policy issued for 8 MHz and 10 MHz. Spectrum allocated up to 10 MHz without any policy framework almost free till Mar.06. Spectrum allocation linked to Subscriber Criteria based on Metro & Circle Category . Criteria abysmally low - Operators continue to serve 2-5 times more subscribers vis-a-vis the criteria, without difficulties. Over 50 Million subscribers added by the private dominant GSM players within 18 months, without any additional spectrum. April 2002 March 2006 No policy and lenient criteria led to cornering of spectrum confidential 10 of 57 To refund 32 MHz* excess spectrum Evolution of allocation criteria Aug.2007 Oct.2007 Allocation Criteria Case for Refund@ Spectrum Availability Revised & tightened by TRAI Further revised by TEC Report Start-Up Spectrum available for 3-4 new operators. To refund 56 MHz** excess spectrum *Based on TRAI Norms **Based on TEC Report Adoption of TEC Criteria at the minimum Right way forward @ Across all Circles by all operators First time Scientific approach confidential 11 of 57 Spectrum allocation without Policy Operators allotted 10 MHz with out policy framework S.N. Operator Circle Date w.e.f 1 Aircel Tamilnadu Dec-04 2 Bharti Delhi Jul-03 3 BPL Mumbai Sep-04 4 Vodafone Delhi Oct-03 5 Vodafone Mumbai Oct-03 6 Bharti Mumbai Jan-06 7 Bharti Karnataka Jan-04 8 Vodafone Gujrat May-05 9 Idea Maharastra Apr-04 Operators allotted 6.2 MHz with out policy framework S.N. Operator Circle Date w.e.f 1 Aircel Haryana Jan-01 2 Aircel Rajasthan Jan-01 3 Aircel UP(East) Jan-01 4 Bharti AP Apr-00 5 Bharti Chennai Aug-99 6 Bharti Delhi Aug-99 7 Bharti Karnataka Apr-00 8 BPL Mumbai Aug-99 9 Aircel Chennai Mar-00 10 Spice Karnataka Apr-00 11 Spice Punjab Apr-00 Arbitrary & Adhoc approach allowed cornering & hoarding of spectrum beyond eligible & contracted 6.2 MHz confidential 12 of 57 WPC Criteria v/s Actual Subs. Leading Operator - Mumbai 15 20 30 1.5 2 3 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Mar'05 Mar'06 Oct'07 S u b s
( m n ) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 S u b s
( m n )
/
M H z Subs (Lakh) Subs (Lakh)/MHz Leading Operator - Delhi 16 20 36 1.6 2.1 3.6 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Mar'05 Mar'06 Oct'07 S u b s
( m n ) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 S u b s
( m n )
/
M H z Subs (Lakh) Subs (Lakh)/MHz WPC criteria outdated, to be replaced at least by TEC Report norms Subscriber / MHz 2 to 5 times higher than WPC criteria 2.2 1.4 10 38 Idea Maha. 5.0 0.8 8 38 Vodafone UP (E) 2.2 0.6 9.8 16 Vodafone Kolkota 3.0 0.5 8.6 16 Aircell Chennai 2.4 1 10 30 Vodafone Mumbai 2.9 1 10 36 Airtel Delhi Actual vs WPC Criteria VLR Criteria Subs (Lakh) / MHz Spectrum MHZ Customers (Lakh) Leading operator Key Circles VLR:80% of subs 2.2 1.4 10 38 Idea Maha. 5.0 0.8 8 38 Vodafone UP (E) 2.2 0.6 9.8 16 Vodafone Kolkota 3.0 0.5 8.6 16 Aircell Chennai 2.4 1 10 30 Vodafone Mumbai 2.9 1 10 36 Airtel Delhi Actual vs WPC Criteria VLR Criteria Subs (Lakh) / MHz Spectrum MHZ Customers (Lakh) Leading operator Key Circles VLR:80% of subs confidential 13 of 57 Myths Propagated by GSM operators related to Spectrum
1. Poor network QoS due to paucity of Spectrum 2. Low ARPU and operators unable to afford additional capex 3. Indian operators require more spectrum as a) Have lesser spectrum relative to Global Operators b) Higher MOU per sub in India c) already deployed available spectral efficiency enhancing technologies, All the above continue to lead to excess & ineligible allocation of Spectrum to private dominant GSM operators confidential 14 of 57 Myth 1 - Propagated by GSM operators 95% operators meet the benchmark In Metros, 100% of the private operators have met benchmarks QoS parameters needing attention are POI congestion & Help line, which are not related to spectrum On the Contrary, QoS showing improving trend over last 8 quarters Spectrum availability is only one of the many factors for QoS improvement Source: Network QoS report by TRAI Sep 2007 50 60 70 80 90 100 Jul- Sep- 05 Oct- Dec- 05 Jan- Mar- 06 Apr- Jun- 06 Jul- Sep- 06 Oct- Dec- 06 Jan- Mar- 07 Apr- Jun- 07 Accumulated down time (<24 hrs) CSSR (>95%) Service access delay (<15 secs) SDCCH / Paging channel congestion (<1%) TCH congestion (<2%) Call drop rate (<3%) % connections with good voice quality (>95%) QoS has improved over last 8 quarters due to availability of Spectrum Poor network QoS due to paucity of spectrum Reality confidential 15 of 57 Spectrum Availability is a low priority criteria for maintaining QOS. Network Planning to meet Coverage & Capacity Objective Optimal Frequency Plan using Adhoc Technique Availability of spectrum Site Database Audit & correction. Network Performance Requirements P r i o r i t y
Implementation of new features to improve network quality and capacity Availability of Skilled Man power for Planning & Optimization Highest Lowest Spectrum is one of the low priority requirements to determine QoS Myth 1 - Propagated by GSM operators 7 dimensions of QOS confidential 16 of 57 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 2003 2004 2005 2006 E B I T D A ( % ) Australia Hong Kong India UK US Brazil EBIDTA margin in India higher than any of the developed countries in the world e.g. UK, USA, Hong Kong, Brazil, Australia, Spain. Highest EBIDTA expansion in the world during 2003- 2007. 17%-38% Analysts forecast future EBIDTA margin expansion in spite of falling ARPU Indian Telecom Companies highly valued with EV/EBIDTA multiple of ~15 by analysts - UBS, Macquarie, Lehman Bros, Merrill Lynch Over Rs. 50000 crore committed capex spends by Wireless industry this year as Outlooks are healthy Indian TelCos valuations & EBIDTA margin among top 5 in the world Source : ML wireless Matrix, Q 4 2006 Myth 2 - Propagated by GSM operators EBIDTA Margin Comparison EBIDTA Margins (Q2, FY07-08) RCOM : 43% Airtel : 43% Low ARPU and operators unable to afford additional capex Reality confidential 17 of 57 Timing of network rollout & innovation availability & outlook different for developed markets & India India needs to deploy spectrally efficient solutions more aggressively due to low teledensity and its unique demographic profile Indian telecom market is growing when technology is available for increasing spectral efficiency many folds. Operators in USA, Hong Kong with lesser spectrum serve markets with much higher traffic density Higher CAPEX can be easily afforded by operators.
Source : Interconnect associates, Telecordia Indian operators have relatively lesser spectrum, higher MOU per sub & have already deployed available spectral efficiency enhancing technologies, hence require more spectrum In France, Netherlands, Germany, Spain, UK have 100 MHz amongst 3-4 operators China has 60 MHz among 2 operators Reality Myth Myth 3 GSM operators want to enrich themselves at the cost of national objectives by demanding more spectrum confidential 18 of 57 Bharti Case Study 28 Mn subscribers added over a base of 23 Mn subscribers (120% of base) added without additional spectrum in last over 18 months
S No. Circle Current Spectrum held Spectrum issued date Subsribers as on Eligibility date as per WPC criteria for next tranche (Mn) Subscribers added without additional spectrum as per current criteria (Mn) Spectrum in excess beyond 6.2 MHz Additional Spectrum as per WPC criteria 1 AP 7.8 Feb-04 1.8 3.16 1.6 7.2 2 Gujarat 6.2 Apr-02 1.0 1.06 3.8 3 Karnatka 9.8 Jan-04 2.6 3.33 3.6 5.2 4 Maharashtra 6.2 Apr-02 1.0 2.47 8.8 5 Tamil Nadu 6.2 Mar-02 1.0 2.16 6.2 6 Haryana 6.2 Apr-02 0.8 0.08 1.8 7 Kerala 6.2 Mar-02 0.8 0.56 3.8 8 MP 6.2 Apr-02 0.8 1.48 6.2 9 Punjab 7.8 Feb-04 1.3 1.65 1.6 7.2 10 Rajasthan 6.2 Aug-00 0.8 2.11 8.8 11 U.P.(E) 6.2 Mar-05 0.8 1.61 6.2 12 U.P.(W) 6.2 Apr-02 0.8 0.55 3.8 13 WB 4.4 Mar-04 0.4 1.11 5.6 14 Assam 6.2 Mar-05 0.5 0.21 1.8 15 Bihar 8.0 Mar-06 0.9 2.45 1.8 7.0 16 HP 6.2 Sep-03 0.5 0.20 1.8 17 J & K 6.2 Mar-06 0.5 0.24 1.8 18 North East 4.4 Dec-04 0.3 0.10 1.8 19 Orissa 8.0 Mar-06 0.8 0.56 1.8 4.4 20 Delhi 10.0 Jul-03 2.0 1.60 3.8 5.0 21 Mumbai 9.2 Jan-06 2.0 0.15 3.0 3.2 22 Kolkata 8.0 Jan-05 0.8 0.72 1.8 4.4 23 Chennai 8.6 Jan-06 0.8 0.62 2.4 3.8 Average 7 MHZ 23 28 21 110 Bharti Criteria MHz Refund* TEC 21 TRAI 11 Additional Allocation* Demand WPC 110 WPC+25% 78 WPC+50% 58 *Across all Circles Demand for additional Spectrum Invalid Fit case for refund of 21 Mhz confidential 19 of 57 Vodafone Case Study 18 Mn subscribers added over a base of 19 Mn (100% of base) added without additional spectrum in last over 18 months S No. Circle Current Spectrum held Spectrum issued date Date of Eligibility for next tranche as per current criteria Subsribers as on Eligibility date as per current criteria for next tranche (Mn) Subscribers added without additional spectrum as per current criteria (Mn) Spectrum in excess beyond 6.2 MHz Additional Spectrum as per WPC criteria 1 AP 6.2 Mar-02 Jul-06 1.0 1.09 1.8 2 Gujarat 9.8 May-05 May-06 2.6 2.66 3.6 5.2 3 Karnatka 8.0 Jan-05 Apr-07 1.8 0.62 1.8 4 Maharashtra 6.2 Dec-99 Oct-06 1.0 0.87 1.8 5 Tamil Nadu 6.2 Dec-99 Mar-07 1.0 1.19 1.8 6 Haryana 6.2 Jan-01 Mar-07 0.8 0.31 7 Kerala 6.2 Dec-99 Nov-06 0.8 0.80 1.8 8 Punjab 6.2 Jan-04 Jul-06 0.8 0.73 1.8 9 Rajasthan 6.2 Jan-01 Jul-06 0.8 1.55 3.8 10 U.P.(E) 8.0 Jan-06 Feb-06 1.3 2.48 1.8 4.4 11 U.P.(W) 6.2 Mar-05 Jun-06 0.8 1.52 3.8 12 West Bengal 4.4 Mar-04 Jan-06 0.4 1.75 5.6 13 Delhi 10.0 Oct-03 Aug-06 2.0 0.99 3.8 2.4 14 Mumbai 10.0 Oct-03 Mar-06 2.0 0.99 3.8 15 Kolkata 9.8 Jul-06 Mar-07 1.3 0.36 3.6 0.2 16 Chennai 8.0 Jun-06 May-07 0.8 0.21 1.8 Average 7.35 MHZ 19 18 20 34 Vodafone Criteria MHz Refund TEC 20 TRAI 9 Additional Allocation* Demand WPC 73 WPC+25% 50 WPC+50% 34 Demand for additional Spectrum Invalid : Fit case for refund of 20 MHz *Across all Circles confidential 20 of 57 Idea Case Study 7 Mn subscribers added over base of 12 Mn (60% of base) added without additional spectrum in last over 18 months
S No. Circle Current Spectrum held Spectrum issued date Date of Eligibility for next tranche as per current criteria Subsribers as on Eligibility date as per current criteria for next tranche (Mn) Subscribers added without additional spectrum as per current criteria (Mn) Spectrum in excess beyond 6.2 MHz Additional Spectrum as per WPC criteria 1 AP 8.0 Sep-04 Mar-07 1.8 0.83 1.8 4.4 2 Gujarat 6.2 Aug-00 Mar-06 1.0 1.15 3.8 3 Maharashtra 9.8 Apr-05 Dec-06 2.6 1.25 3.6 5.2 4 Haryana 6.2 Dec-99 Jan-07 0.8 0.08 1.8 5 Kerala 8.0 Mar-05 Oct-06 1.3 0.99 1.8 4.4 6 MP 8.0 Nov-06 Nov-06 1.3 1.11 1.8 4.4 7 Rajasthan 6.2 Dec-05 Not Eligible Not Eligible 8 U.P.(E) 6.2 Feb-06 Not Eligible Not Eligible Not Eligible 9 U.P.(W) 8.0 Jan-06 Sep-06 1.3 0.69 1.8 4.4 10 HP 4.4 Mar-02 Not Eligible Not Eligible 11 Delhi 8.0 Dec-05 Nov-06 1.3 0.52 1.8 2.0 Average 7.2 MHZ 11 7 13 30 Idea Criteria MHz Refund TEC 13 TRAI 11 Additional Allocation* Demand
WPC 30 WPC+25 % 14 WPC+50 % 12 *Across all Circles Demand for additional Spectrum Invalid : Fit case for refund of 13 MHz confidential 21 of 57 BPL Case Study Criteria MHz Refund TEC 3.8 TRAI 3.8 Additional Allocation* Demand WPC 0 WPC+25% 0 WPC+50% 0 S No. Circle Current Spectrum held Spectrum issued date Date of Eligibility for next tranche as per current criteria Subsribers as on Eligibility date as per current criteria for next tranche (Mn) Subscribers added without additional spectrum as per current criteria (Mn) Spectrum in excess beyond 6.2 MHz Additional Spectrum as per WPC criteria 1 Mumbai 10.0 Sep-04 Not Eligible Not Eligible 0.00 3.8 0.0 BPL Fit case for Refund of 3.8 MHz confidential 22 of 57 Reliance GSM Case Study 1.3 Mn subscribers added over a base of 4 Mn (32% of base) added without additional spectrum in last over 18 months S No. Circle Current Spectrum held Spectrum issued date Date of Eligibility for next tranche as per current criteria Subsribers as on Eligibility date as per current criteria for next tranche (Mn) Subscribers added without additional spectrum as per current criteria (Mn) Spectrum in excess beyond 6.2 MHz Additional Spectrum as per WPC criteria 1 MP 6.2 Jan-01 Oct-06 0.8 0.44 1.8 2 West Bengal 6.2 Feb-04 Dec-06 NE 3 Assam 6.2 Oct-03 Jun-07 0.5 0.15 1.8 4 Bihar 8.0 Oct-06 Oct-06 0.8 0.56 1.8 4.4 5 HP 6.2 Aug-05 NE NE 6 North East 6.2 Jan-06 NE NE 7 Orissa 6.2 Sep-01 Jul-07 0.5 0.12 1.8 8 Kolkata 6.2 Mar-02 NE NE Average 6.4 MHZ Total 1.3 2 10 RTL Criteria MHz Refund TEC 1.8 TRAI 1.8 Additional Allocation* Demand WPC 9.8 WPC+25 % 7 WPC+50 % 3.8 Willing to return excess spectrum in Bihar in line with policy framework applicable to all *Across all Circles 1.8 confidential 23 of 57 Reliance CDMA Case Study RCOM - CDMA Does not hold beyond 5 MHz contracted spectrum in any of the circles RCOM willing to consider its claim to forego 13.75 MHz of spectrum as per WPC criteria S.N. Service Area Current Spectrum held (MHz) Spectrum in excess beyond 5 MHz Additional Spectrum as per WPC criteria 1 Andhra Pradesh 5.00 1.25 2 Gujarat 3.75 1.25 3 Karnataka 3.75 1.25 4 Maharashtra 5.00 1.25 5 Tamil Nadu 5.00 1.25 6 Haryana 3.75 0.00 7 Kerala 5.00 0.00 8 Madhya Pradesh 5.00 0.00 9 Punjab 3.75 0.00 10 Rajasthan 3.75 1.25 11 U.P.(E) 5.00 1.25 12 U.P.(W) 5.00 0.00 13 West Bengal 3.75 0.00 14 Bihar 5.00 2.50 15 Himachal Pradesh 2.50 0.00 16 Jammu & Kashmir 2.50 0.00 17 Orissa 3.75 0.00 18 Chennai 5.00 0.00 19 Delhi 5.00 1.25 20 Kolkata 5.00 0.00 21 Mumbai 5.00 1.25 Average 4.35 MHz 13.8 RCOM No additional Spectrum granted confidential 24 of 57 Tata CDMA Case Study No additional Spectrum granted S.N. Service Area Current Spectrum held (MHz) Spectrum in excess beyond 5 MHz Additional Spectrum as per WPC criteria 1 Andhra Pradesh 3.75 1.25 2 Gujarat 3.75 0.00 3 Karnataka 3.75 0.00 4 Maharashtra 3.75 1.25 5 Tamil Nadu 2.50 1.25 6 Haryana 3.75 0.00 7 Kerala 3.75 0.00 8 Madhya Pradesh 3.75 0.00 9 Punjab 3.75 0.00 10 Rajasthan 3.75 1.25 11 U.P.(E) 3.75 0.00 12 U.P.(W) 3.75 0.00 13 West Bengal 2.50 1.25 14 Bihar 3.75 1.25 15 Himachal Pradesh 2.50 0.00 17 Orissa 2.50 1.25 18 Chennai 3.75 0.00 19 Delhi 5.00 2.50 20 Kolkata 3.75 1.25 21 Mumbai 5.00 0.00 Average 3.63 MHz 12.5 Tata Tata - CDMA Does not hold beyond 5 MHz contracted spectrum in any of the circles Eligible for 12.5 MHz of spectrum as per WPC criteria confidential 25 of 57 Comparison: TRAI to WPC criteria Circle 6.2 MHz 8 MHz 10 MHz Metro( D/M) 1.6 2.5 2.0 Metro (C/K) 2.5 3.8 3.3 A 2.0 3.8 3.6 B 2.7 5.0 5.0 C 3.0 5.0 6.7 TRAI criteria is 1.6 times to 6.7 times of WPC March 06 Average 4 times of WPC criteria Multiple : TRAI to WPC confidential 26 of 57 Comparison: TEC to TRAI criteria Circle Category 6.2 MHz 8 MHz 10MHz Range Average Range Average Range Average Metro (DL/MU) 1.2 to 1.4
1.3 1.3 to 1.5
1.4 1.7 to 2
1.9 Metro (CH/KOL)
1.0 to 1.2
1.1 1.1 to 1.3 1.2 1.5 to 1.8 1.7 A 1.1 to 1.7 1.5 1.0 to 1.4 1.3 1.0 to 1.5 1.3 B 0.5 to1.6
1.2 0.4 to 1.4 1.0 0.4 to 1.5
1.0 C 0.3 to 2.0 1.2 0.3 to 2.0 1.2 0.3 to 2.8 1.2 TEC criteria lower than TRAI in 6 circles- HR, KL, PJ, HP, J&K, NE TEC criteria is Average 1.2 times of TRAI criteria Multiple : TEC to TRAI confidential 27 of 57 Internationally, Regulators have taken back / reallocated spectrum In October 2007 Ofcom has initiated the re-farming of 15 MHz to 20 MHz of spectrum in 900 MHz band from Vodafone & O2. This spectrum was allocated in 1985 Returned Spectrum will be allocated to new / other eligible operators Value of returned spectrum estimated at Rs. 50000 Cr ( 6 Bn) UK Re-farming of 10 MHz inter-se operators is practiced and implemented In 2004, Regulator directed spectrum re-farming between AT&T & T- Mobile in New York & California states USA Excess Spectrum 20 to 35 MHz held by MovieStar was directed to be returned in 2005. Argentina / Chile / Peru Global practices for excess spectrum confidential 28 of 57 Summary Spectrum Allocation At the minimum, subscriber allocation criteria recommended by TEC be accepted or appropriately revised upwards based on further scientific inputs. Existing dominant GSM operators have been allocated spectrum without a policy framework and are using excess spectrum which is also beyond contracted amount of 6.2 MHz. Should be directed to refund the spectrum. All new licensees or licensees having paid the prescribed fee for the alternate technology should be allocated start up spectrum of 6.2 MHz. confidential 29 of 57 Summary Spectrum Allocation The available spectrum will allow commencement of services by minimum 4 operators/ licensees. This will yield for the Government of India - Rs 6500 Cr as Entry Fee - Upto Rs 20000 Cr as direct and Indirect taxes on full rollout of network by new operator The increased competition will benefit the country and consumers. - Accelerated growth in telecom penetration - Lower tariffs - Better coverage including rural coverage. - Better quality of services
Spectral Efficiency Innovations & TEC Report confidential 31 of 57 TEC subscriber criteria Let us examine in light of available spectral efficiency technology innovations Justified ? Liberal ? Stringent ? confidential 32 of 57 Continuous increase in teledensity will require deployment of more BTS, leading to increase in network capacity, without additional spectrum Spectral Efficiency Basic Principle
Coopers Principle on Wireless Networks: Capacity enhancement is coming through reduction in Cell size
Shrinking Cell Size provides 2700 times more capacity as compared to additional spectrum which provides only 15 times capacity enhancement confidential 33 of 57 Shannons Principle:
There is a limit to capacity
Spectral Efficiency Basic Principle Capacity increase can be achieved by reducing interference by using spectral efficiency enhancement techniques confidential 34 of 57 Parameters for determining Subscriber based spectrum allocation criteria 1. Morphology - Dense urban / urban / Sub-urban / Rural 2. Subscriber / traffic density distribution in different morphology 3. Spectrum allocated 4. Number of sites to cater specified traffic 5. BTS capacity utilization 6. Inter site distance 7. Spectral efficiency innovations
Quantum of Spectrum allocated is just one of the parameters confidential 35 of 57 TEC work flow chart - Subscriber Based Spectrum Criteria TEC Criteria can be further improved when gains due to spectral efficiency innovations are included Estimated BTS configuration with Capacity Allocated Spectrum 6.2MHz 8MHz 10MHz 12.4MHz 4.4MHz S444 S566 S778 S332 Sync N/W DFCA 6 sector AMR SAIC Femto Cell IBS No. of subs per site Metro / Circle Morphology Distribution as per Satellite Image (Km) U SU RU DU U SU RU DU x % y % z % w % BTS Utilization per Morphology Target Subs as per Recommendations Metro D & M Metro K & C Class A Circle Class B Circle Class C Circle Sub Density Ratio U SU RU DU Traffic Distribution Required No. of sites & Estimated Subs per Morphology Inter-Site distance per morphology. Subs Density No Yes 7 Key Technology Innovations Excluded by TEC while framing Subscriber based Criteria policy Source: TEC Presentation on Spectrum Efficiency. Dtd 20.09.07 confidential 36 of 57 Spectral Efficiency Innovations India cant afford to ignore use of these innovations 1. Synchronized Network 2. DFCA (Dynamic Frequency & Channel Allocation) 3. 6 Sector BTS 4. AMR (Adaptive Multi Rate) 5. SAIC (Single Antenna Interference Cancellation) 6. Femto cell solution 7. In Building Solution confidential 37 of 57 Technology Innovation - 1 Synchronized Network Enhances Radio Network Capacity by 20%. Pre-requisite to use features like DFCA for further capacity gains. BTS are synchronized using GPS or software.
TDMA Bit Offset of BTSs are aligned with each other.
Improvement of C/I by 3~5dB. 25 26 BTS 1 BTS 2 25 26 BTS 1 BTS 2 Asynchronous Network Synchronous Network Source: Huawei ,Ericsson and Nokia-Siemens confidential 38 of 57 Conventional Frequency and Channel Allocation Dynamic Frequency and Channel Allocation Technology Innovation - 2 DFCA (Dynamic Frequency & Channel Allocation)
Improvement due to use of Asymmetric antenna which have more then 30dB front to back ratio for 180 0 azimuth.
Source: Ten XC, Canada Technology Innovation 3 6 Sector BTS TRx (No) Traffic (Erlang) TRx (No) Traffic (Erlang) 4.4 3 45 3 89 100% 6.2 4 66 4 131 100% 8 7 129 6 245 90% 10 8 149 8 298 100% 3 Sector Spectrum (MHz) 6 Sector Capacity incerase (%) Enhances Radio Network Capacity between 90% to 100%. Reliance CDMA has over 200 six sector sites operational & in Reliance GSM network at Guwahati. Vodafone has in Hyderabad. confidential 40 of 57 Technology Innovation 4 Adaptive Modulation Rate (AMR) All handsets manufactured since 2003 are AMR enabled.
AMR penetration level of 60% has resulted in 70% increase in capacity. Soon to increase to 100%
60-75% of current traffic is generated by AMR enabled handsets.
Over 110 Mn AMR enabled handsets are in use AMR Penetration & Capacity Increase Source: GSM,GPRS AND EDGE PERFORMANCE by Halonen,Romero,Melero of Nokia (John Wiley & Sons) 100% AMR penetration will result in nearly 150% Radio Network capacity increase at zero cost expected by 2009 TCH FER Based Capacity Gain 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 0 25 50 75 100 AMR Penetration [%] C a p a c i t y
G a i n
[ % ] confidential 41 of 57 Technology Innovation 5 Single Antenna Interference Cancellation (SAIC) SAIC is a software feature in the handset for increasing downlink spectrum efficiency of GSM networks.
SAIC uses technique to cancel or suppress interference by means of signal processing without using multiple antenna. Provides 50 ~ 60% additional capacity gain with 100% penetration of SAIC mobiles at no cost Source: Nokia-Siemens and 3GPP TR 45.903 V7.0.1 (2007-08) SAIC Penetration & Capacity Increase
SAIC Handsets are available in market from 2004
Majority of Nokia phones are SAIC compatible. Nokia market share is ~ 70%
Ultra Low end handset confidential 42 of 57 Technology Innovation 6 Femto Cells Backhaul: ADSL, Ethernet GSM FEMTO cells improves spectral efficiency by release of BTS capacity for outdoor use.
Small form factor and affordable price point will ensure mass deployment
Size ~ 200 x 140 x 40 mm, 0.2kg
Small Form Factor Source: Ericsson & ABI-Research
Over 100 Million Femto cells are projected by 2011 confidential 43 of 57 Antenna Splitter / Coupler RF Feeder Splitter / Coupler Base Station Technology Innovation 7 In Building Solutions
As per TRAI survey 70% calls in a cellular network are from In Building
Seamless indoor and outdoor coverage
In building coverage generates traffic and revenue
In Building solutions help in offloading the traffic from outdoor base stations confidential 44 of 57 Technology Innovation Summary Capacity increases by 7 times by using 4 of the Technology innovation. Further improvements feasible on use of 6-sector, Femto & IBS. 1. Synchronized Network: Improves capacity by 20% 2. DFCA (Dynamic Frequency and Channel Allocation): Enhances Capacity by 60 ~ 90%. 3. 6 Sector*: Enhances capacity up to 100% 4. AMR: 100% AMR mobile penetration will improve the network capacity by 150%. 5. SAIC (Single Antenna Interference Cancellation): SAIC improves capacity by 50 ~ 60%. 6. Femto Cell*: Unlimited capacity for SOHO segment. 7. In Building Solutions*: Offloads traffic from outdoor BTS Source: Nokia-Siemens and 3GPP TR 45.903 V7.0.1 (2007-08) * 100 % SAIC and AMR considered with Synchronous network Basic GSM AMR* DFCA SAIC/SN* * At Zero cost confidential 45 of 57 Technology Innovation Deployment Status in India Innovative techniques grossly under-deployed in Indian market. Techniques All OPERATORS Synthesized Frequency Hopping (SFH) Tighter Frequency Reuse Plan (TFR) Discontinuous Transmission (DTX) Dynamic Power Control IBS & Micro Cell Dynamic SDCCH Under Trial Stage Conventional Advanced Innovative Used by Synchronized Network Dynamic Frequency and Channel Allocation (DFCA) 6 Sector BTS Single Antenna Interference Cancellation (SAIC) Interference Rejection Combining (IRC) Femto Cell
Intelligent Directed Retry (IDR) AMR-HR Antenna Hopping - One Operator 5 OPERATORS Source: COAI submission to TRAI and from various GSM vendors. confidential 46 of 57 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 4.4 6.2 8 10 12.4 Spectrum Allocation (in MHz) S u b s
C a p a c i t y
( i n
M n ) TEC 30% AMR-HR Technology Innovations 30% AMR-HR Technology innovation 4.4 1,500 538 1.40 3.0 6.2 2,000 466 1.36 3.0 8 2,400 426 1.37 2.8 10 2,509 416 1.36 2.6 12.4 2,560 412 1.34 2.6 Spectrum Allocation (MHz) No. of Times Subscriber Capacity w.r.t TEC No. of Sites Site to Site distance (in Mtr.) Morphology & traffic distribution as outlined by TEC.
Technology innovations like Femto & IBS not considered in mathematical modeling.
TEC Criteria can be enhanced by over 3 times using Technology innovation Increase in TEC Subscriber criteria Due to technology Innovations GSM Case study for Delhi confidential 47 of 57 Technology Innovations - CDMA New Techniques which will improve the spectral efficiency.
1. 6 Sector BTS 2. 4 GV vocoder 3. Pilot interference cancellation 4. Femto cell solution 5. In Building Solution CDMA operators should accelerate deployment confidential 48 of 57 Capacity of CDMA for 2.5MHz spectrum is 6 times than that projected by TRAI
Similar observation is for other allocations.
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 2.5 3.75 5 6.25 Spectrum Allocation (in MHz) S u b s
C a p a c i t y
( i n
M n ) RCOM Estimate 4GV Vocoder Innovation Techniques TRAI Criteria can be enhanced by more than 5 ~6 times using Technology innovation Increase in TRAI Subscriber criteria (CDMA) Due to technology Innovations Case study for Delhi 4GV Vocoder Innovation Techniques 4GV Vocoder Innovation Techniques 2.5 0.5 1.6 3.1 3.2 6.2 3.75 2.0 7.1 13.7 3.6 6.9 5 3.0 9.5 18.3 3.2 6.1 6.25 5.0 11.8 29.0 2.4 5.8 Spectrum Allocation (MHz) TRAI Criteria Subscriber Nos. ( in Mn) No. of times w.r.t TRAI Criteria confidential 49 of 57 Summary - TEC subscriber criteria
The TEC criteria is liberal
It can be further increased with gains by use of spectral efficiency technology innovations
TEC subscriber criteria to be revised upward by over 3 times leading to increased availability of spectrum
Re-farming, re-alignment of spectrum and Capital efficiency measures confidential 51 of 57 900 MHz Vs1800 MHz Spectrum Anomaly & imbalances For a new operator, initial National Coverage with 900 MHz spectrum can be achieved with 30,000 BTS sites as against 60,000 BTS sites of 1800 MHz
Initial Capex saving of Rs. 15,000 Cr
Opex saving of Rs.1500 Cr per Year
On ongoing basis a 900 Mhz network provides Capex advantage of Rs. 3,000 Cr & annual Opex savings of Rs. 300 Cr as compared to 1800 MHz network
Spectrum beyond 4.4 MHz in 900 MHz band does not give any additional advantage
Cap of 4.4 MHz to be introduced in 900 MHz band Spectrum in 900 MHz Band should be re-farmed & equally allocated to existing as well as new Operators Airtel Hutch Idea RTL Delhi 8 8 6.2 Mumbai 8 Chennai 6.2 Kolkata 6.2 6.2 AP 7.8 6.2 Gujarat 7.8 6.2 Karnataka 7.8 Maharashtra 6.2 7.8 TN 6.2 Haryana 6.2 6.2 Kerala 6.2 6.2 MP 6.2 6.2 Punjab 6.2 Rajasthan 6.2 6.2 UP (E) 6.2 6.2 UP (W) 6.2 6.2 6.2 WB 4.4 4.4 6.2 Assam 6.2 Bihar 6.2 6.2 HP 6.2 4.4 J&K 4.4 NE 4.4 4.4 Orissa 6.2 6.2 Spectrum in 900 MHz Existing GSM Operators with up to 8 MHz spectrum in 900 MHz bad have an unfair advantage over new entrants confidential 52 of 57 Re-farming spectrum Inter-se 900 MHz 1800 MHz Both existing and new operators as per policy are to be given level playing field in non-discriminatory manner
This necessitates correction of current anomaly and imbalance of allocated spectrum in 900 &1800 MHz
Need to cap allocation of spectrum in 900 MHz to each operator both existing and new entrants
Internationally re-farming has been implemented Policy framework to be implemented to achieve non discriminatory level playing field for all operators confidential 53 of 57 Internationally, Regulators have re-farmed spectrum to ensure non discriminatory level playing field & consumer benefits In October 2007 Ofcom has initiated the re-farming of 15 MHz to 20 MHz of spectrum in 900 MHz band from Vodafone & O2. This spectrum was allocated in 1985 Returned Spectrum will be allocated to new / other eligible operators Value of returned spectrum estimated at Rs. 50000 Cr ( 6 Bn) UK Re-farming inter-se operators is practiced and implemented . In 2004, Regulator directed spectrum re-farming between AT&T & T- Mobile in New York & California states USA Global practices of re-farming of spectrum confidential 870.03 871.26 872.26 873.99 875.22 876.45 877.95 879.18 880.41 881.64 883.67 MHz 890 MHz 869 MHz BSNL TATA RCOM GB 1.4 MHz GB GB 879 MHz 890 MHz 6.33 MHz Realignment of Spectrum 4 Carrier Scenario 871.26 881.21 MHz 890 MHz 869 MHz 879 MHz 870.03 872.26 873.99 875.22 876.72 877.95 879.18 BSNL TATA RCOM GB 1.4 MHz GB GB 890 MHz 8.80 MHz Realignment of Spectrum 3 Carrier Scenario Note: All the frequencies are in MHz RCOM & TATAs to also offer GSM, Realignment will Improve availability of spectrum Realignment of spectrum 880 890 MHz Band confidential 55 of 57 Capital Efficiency Measures recommended Mandate passive infrastructure sharing with price cap TRAI recommendations of Apr 2007 on sharing of active infrastructure to be accepted & implemented DOT to make reference to TRAI for sharing of spectrum - Internationally active infrastructure sharing & spectrum sharing is done to deploy network in rural areas to reduce CAPEX, DOT to make reference to TRAI Mandate Inter & Intra circle roaming in GSM and CDMA
These measures will be in further overall interest of consumers confidential 56 of 57 Summary Re-farming & Capital Efficiency measures Inter-se re-farming of spectrum in 900 & 1800 MHz bands. Realignment within 800 MHz band To improve capital productivity, capital efficiency measure such as - Sharing of passive and active infrastructure and spectrum sharing
Win-Win-Win for all stake holders Customers, Government & Operators Improves availability of spectrum Optimum utilization of spectrum Promotes quality Accelerates with increased competition Achieves capital productivity confidential 57 of 57 Summary - Recommendations Reliance fully supports TEC criteria for spectrum allocation TEC criteria should be the base & further tightened Start up spectrum of 6.2 MHz to be allocated to all new GSM entrants Refund of excess spectrum by the existing operators as determined by TEC and beyond contracted 6.2 MHz Inter-se re-farming of spectrum in 900 & 1800 MHz bands Allocate maximum 4.4 MHz of spectrum in 900 MHz band to all existing operators & new entrants. Realign spectrum within 800 MHz band to increase the availability of spectrum for GSM for RCOM & TATAs Annual spectrum charges should be increased at least to the level recommended by TRAI to ensure efficient use of spectrum scarce resource. Mandate passive infrastructure sharing Accept TRAI recommendation on active infrastructure sharing. DOT to make reference to TRAI for sharing of spectrum and Mandate Inter & Intra circle roaming in GSM and CDMA
Thank You
Back Up Slides confidential 60 of 57 RCOM estimation on TEC Subscriber Criterions Calculation Process - Delhi Case study Various deliverables as outlined in the workflow diagram of TEC recommendation Morphology Area (in Km) Traffic Density (w.r.t. DU) Traffic Ratio (Area * Traffic Density) Sites Distribution (in %) No. of Sites Subs Capacity (in Mn) Resulting cell range (Km) Intersite Distance (Km) Subs density (Per Km) Dense Urban 37.7 100% 12% 10% 235 0.43 0.29 0.430 11517 Urban 188.3 40% 24% 20% 470 0.77 0.45 0.680 4095 Sub Urban 753.2 12% 29% 40% 940 1.35 0.64 0.962 1792 Rural 903.8 12% 35% 30% 705 0.58 0.81 1.216 640 Total 1883 100% 100% 2,350 3.13 0.55 0.823 1664 confidential 61 of 57 Spectral Efficiency in Cellular network Spectral Efficiency Benefits 2. Maintain desirable QoS for the growing Network. 4. Avoid site acquisition related delays for capacity built-up.
3. Optimized Capex & Opex due to addition of new sites. 1. Address the capacity demand with available spectrum Spectrum efficiency techniques should be implemented voluntarily by the operators rather then being enforced by Regulatory Authority . confidential 62 of 57 KPI Asynchronous Synchronous DFCA Effective Frequency Load 12% 16% 21% Total max Traffic/sector 68.5 90.9 113 Capacity Gain wrt Asynchronous Network -NA- 33% 65% Source: Nokia-Siemens Technology Innovation 2 (Cont.) DFCA (Dynamic Frequency and Channel Allocation) Commercial Deployment: - Key operators who have implemented DFCA commercial network. T-Mobile (USA), AT&T (USA) Conecell (Ecuador) China Mobile Telefonica (Columbia)
- Typical improvement statistics shown in table. (Huston) In live commercial network capacity enhancement of 65% observed. confidential 63 of 57 Capacity of CDMA for 2.5MHz spectrum is 6 times than that projected by TRAI
Similar observation is for other allocations.
0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 2.5 3.75 5 6.25 Spectrum Allocation (in MHz) S u b s
C a p a c i t y
( i n
M n ) RCOM Estimate 4GV Vocoder Innovation Techniques TRAI Criteria can be enhanced by more than 5 ~6 times using Technology innovation Increase in TRAI Subscriber criteria (CDMA) Due to technology Innovations Case study for Delhi 4GV Vocoder Innovation Techniques 4GV Vocoder Innovation Techniques 2.5 0.5 1.6 3.1 3.2 6.2 3.75 2.0 7.1 13.7 3.6 6.9 5 3.0 9.5 18.3 3.2 6.1 6.25 5.0 11.8 29.0 2.4 5.8 Spectrum Allocation (MHz) TRAI Criteria Subscriber Nos. ( in Mn) No. of times w.r.t TRAI Criteria confidential 64 of 57 Peak Configuration: S2/2/2 25 Erlang /site Peak configuration:S3/3/3
99 Erlang/site Uplink/downlink DTX Uplink frequency scan Uplink interference band measurement Dynamic power control Frequency hopping
Dynamic MAIO Tight BCCH Reuse AMR FR/HR Antenna hopping
SAIC Synchronized Network DFCA AMR 100% Interference Counteract Combining Repeated FACCH /SACCH Advanced Power control Standard 2001 Advanced 2007 Innovative Q2 2008 Peak configuration:S4/4/4
143 Erlang/site Technology Innovation Application on 4.4MHz 6times capacity improvement in 4.4MHz band. confidential 65 of 57 International Case Study- Re-farming spectrum to reduce from 20MHz to 10MHz Re-farming of the Spectrum can be implemented seamlessly Source: T-Mobile, USA 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2/2/2 4/4/4 6/6/6 8/8/8 10/10/10 12/12/12 BTS Configuration N o
o f
S i t e s No of Sites in 20MHz No of Sites in 10MHz BTS configuration not applicable for 10MHz. T-Mobile (NY) was serving 3 million subs using 20 MHz .
10 MHz be surrendered owing to contractual obligations
T-Mobile had no option but to opt for innovative techniques to support the growing subscriber base.
Solutions Implemented : 100% AMR-HR introduction Introduction of Synchronized Network SAIC confidential 66 of 57 900 band spectrum advantages over 1800 band Spectrum
Higher Range : (Better Coverage) - Lower the radio frequency, higher the transmission range - Achievable by GSM 900 cell is double of GSM 900 cell 1
Less no. of Sites: (Substantial reduction in Capex) - For equivalent coverage, site requirement with GSM 1800 is 4 times of GSM 900 2 .
Better Indoor coverage: (Improve QoS) - much better in 900 Mhz than 1800 Mhz , to provide equivalent levels of deep, dense urban coverage, more cells are required at 1800 MHz than at 900 MHz 1
Better Operation at high speed 1 : (Improve QoS) - The specifications for GSM 900 and GSM 1800 include an upper speed limit for the handset, above which the radio connection is not guaranteed. For GSM 900 this is 250km/h, and for GSM 1800, 125km/h. 1. OFTEL 2. Denmark Regulator confidential 67 of 57 Spectrum charges It is almost impossible for regulation to keep pace with technology advancement In addition to appropriate spectrum allocation criteria, there is need for mechanism to ensure efficient spectrum utilization on ongoing basis. Current recurring spectrum charges as well spectrum charges recommended by TRAI have lower per MHz charges beyond 8 MHz Spectrum charges for 900 MHz band spectrum should be 20% higher than charges for 1800 band spectrum Spectrum in MHz 4.4 6.2 8 10 12.4 15 Existing Charges 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% Charge/MHz 0.45% 0.48% 0.50% 0.40% 0.40% 0.40% TRAI Recommended 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% Charge/MHz 0.45% 0.48% 0.50% 0.50% 0.48% 0.47% Proposed 2.0% 3.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.4% 15.0% Charge/MHz 0.45% 0.48% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00% 1.00%