(Chapter 2) Ratna K. Shrestha 2 The Market Forces of Supply and Demand Supply and Demand are the forces that make market economies work! This model allows managers to predict changes in market outcomes caused by changes in economic situations such as new taxes, prices of inputs, and income. For example, it can predict what happens to the demand for online music when the price of iPod goes down? 3 2.1 The Demand Curve D The Effect of Price: The demand curve slopes downward demonstrating that consumers are willing to buy more at a lower price, given that other factors such as income doesnt change. Quantity Price ($ per unit) P 2
Q 1
P 1
Q 2
4 The Demand Curve Variables (Other than Price) Affecting Demand Income: Increases in income allow consumers to purchase more at all prices, shifting the demand curve to the right. Consumer Tastes: Advertisement can affect peoples taste. Price of Related Goods Substitutes and Complements 5 The Demand Curve When the fall in price of one good reduces the demand for another good (shift of demand curve to the left), the two goods are substitutes. Examples: Pepsi and Coke, butter and margarine, etc.. When the fall in the price of one good increases (shifts right) the demand for another good, the two goods are complements. e.g., computer and software. 6 The Demand Curve Population Consumer Expectations: If the consumers expect the price of autos to be higher next year, its demand today will increase (shifting the curve to the right). Govt. rules and regulations: If the city bans the use of skateboards on its street, the demand for skateboards falls (shift left). Sales taxes can decrease the demand for goods (shift left). 7 D P Q D Q 1 P 2 Q 0 P 1 Q 2 Change (Shift) in Demand With an increase in income, demand increases from Q 1
to Q 2 at P 1 and as a result demand curve shifts right. This good is a Normal good. Examples Melbourne newspaper reports that local book retailers are faring better this Christmas (2008) than last. So the income elasticity seems to be helping out here. Possibly books are inferior goods. 8 9 The Demand Curve Changes in quantity demanded Movements along the demand curve caused by a change in the price of the good itself. Changes in demand (shift) A shift of the entire demand curve caused by something other than price, such as income, preference, expectation etc... 10 The Demand Function Estimated demand function for pork in Canada Q D = 171-20P+20P b +3P C +2Y, where P b = Price of beef; P C = Price of chicken and Y = income. For given P b = $4, P C = $3.33 and Y = 12.5, Q D = 286 20P. In this case, Q D / P = - 20. A 1$ increase in P decreases Q D by 20 units (Law of demand).
11 The Demand Function We can also analyze the effects of other factors: Q D = 171 - 20P + 20P b + 3P C + 2Y. Q D /P b = 20. A 1$ increase in P b increases pork demand by 20 units, implying that pork and beef are substitute goods. Q D / Y = 2 >0. When incomes increases, pork demand also increases, implying that pork is a normal good.
12 Market Or Industry Demand Market Demand Curve The sum of all the individual demand curves in the market. It is the horizontal summation of all the individual demand curves. For example, at P = $3, if D A = 2 and D B =6, the total demand = 8 as given by the market demand curve in the next slide. 13 Summing to Obtain a Market Demand Curve Quantity 1 2 3 4 Price 0 5 5 10 15 20 25 30 D B Market Demand D A If Q A = 8 - 2P and Q B = 12 2P, then market Q = Q A + Q B = 20 4P. 6 14 2.2 The Supply Curve S Effect of Price The supply curve slopes upward demonstrating that at higher prices firms are willing to supply more.
Mathematically: dQ s /dP > 0. Quantity Price ($ per unit) P 1
Q 1
P 2
Q 2
15 The Supply Curve Other Variables (except Price) Affecting Supply Costs of Production: Labor, Capital, Raw Materials: Lower costs of production allow a firm to produce more at each price level (and vice versa) and shift the supply curve to the right. Thus the decrease in the prices of factors of production shift supply curve to the right. 16 The Supply Curve Weather pattern especially in the case of agricultural products Technology Government regulation (taxes): excise tax on production (tax on per unit production) make it more expensive to produce and shifts supply curve to the left. Expectations about future prices Number of producers 17 Change (or Shift) in Supply Initially, produced Q 1 at P 1
After the cost of raw materials falls, produce Q 2 at P 1 . Supply curve shifts right to S P S Q P 1 Q 1 S Q 2 18 The Supply Curve Change in Quantity Supplied Movement along the curve caused by a change in price of the good itself. Change in Supply (shift) Shift of the curve caused by a change in something other than price of the good itself such as changes in costs of production. 19 Supply Function Pork supply function: Q S = 178 + 40P - 60P h . where P h = Price of hog. For given P h = $1.5, supply Q S = 88 + 40P. In this case, Q S / P = 40. Q S increase as its market P increases (the law of supply). Q S / P h = - 60, implying that when the price of hog goes up, supply decreases (shifts left).
20 2.3 The Market Equilibrium D S The market equilibrium is determined by the interactions of S and D. At the market- clearing price P 0 , Q D = Q S . P 0 Q 0 Quantity Price ($ per unit) 21 The Market Equilibrium D S P 0 Q 0 1. If price is above the market clearing price , Q S > Q D 2. Price falls to the market- clearing price 3. Market adjusts to equilibrium P 1 Surplus Quantity Price ($ per unit) Q S Q D 22 The Market Equilibrium D Q S Q D P 2 Quantity Price ($ per unit) 1. If price is below the market clearing price , Q D > Q S 2. Price rises to the market- clearing price 3. Market adjusts to equilibrium. Q 3 P 3 Shortage 23 Finding Market Equilibrium Pork supply and demand functions: Q S = 88 + 40p Q D = 286 20p At equilibrium, Q D = Q S
286 20p = 88 + 40p Solving for p, p = $ 3.3. Substituting p = 3.3 in either equation, Q = 220.
24 2.4 Shocks to Equilibrium What happens to the price of Pork when the price of hog (input) goes up? Q S = 178+ 40p 60p h
Q D = 286 20p At equilibrium, Q D = Q S
286 20p = 178 + 40p 60p h . Or, p = 1.8 + p h
Differentiating, p/ p h = 1, when p h goes up by $1, p increases by $1 as well.
25 S Shocks to Equilibrium When the price of hog goes up (shifting S curve to the left), the price of pork goes up as well. P Q S D P 1 Q 1 Q 2 P 2 26 D S D Q 3
P 3 Changes In Market Equilibrium When income Increases Demand shifts to D Shortage at P 1 of Q 2
Q 1
Shortage drives P up Equilibrium at P 3 , Q 3
P Q Q 1 P 1 Q 2 27 Application: Market for a College Education Q (millions enrolled) P D 1970 S 1970 S 2010 D 2010 $6,000 13 $2,600 9 28 Application: BC Cranberry After the discovery of beneficial health effect of Cranberry in 1996 (Harvard Study), BC cranberry farmers expected its demand and hence price to go up. But to their dismay, the price fell instead. Analyze what might have caused this unexpected result??