soft drink taxes do not appear to have countered the rise in
obesity prevalence because any reduction in soft drink
consumption has been offset by the consumption of other calories.
(Fletcher, J., D. Fisvold and N. Tefft (2010), The effects of soft drink taxes on child and adolescent consumption, J ournal of Public Economics, 94 (11-12): 967-974) Our research does not support the theory that soda taxes have a negative effect on body-mass index. Current soda tax rates range from two percent to 7.25 percent and its possible these may not be high enough to affect BMI. Further research that addresses consumption and includes data on local soda taxes is warranted.
(D. Fitts and A. Vader (2013), The effect of state level soda tax on adult obesity, Evans School Review, 3 (1): 74-91) Together, our results cast serious doubt on the assumptions that proponents of large soda taxes make on its likely impacts on population weight. Together with evidence of important substitution patterns in response to soda taxes that offset any caloric reductions in soda consumption, our results suggest that fundamental changes to policy proposals relying on large soda taxes to be a key component in reducing population weight are required.
(Fletcher, J., D. Frisvold and N. Tefft (2014), Non-linear effects of soda taxes on consumption and weight outcomes, Health Economics, 10 March)
Countries that have in recent years considered but rejected carbonated soft drinks taxes include:
Indonesia Philippines Italy Ireland Slovenia Germany South Korea South Africa Cameroon Kenya Nigeria Paraguay Dominican Republic United Kingdom
No country has imposed an excise tax solely based on carbonation. Vietnam would be the first and only. In the US since the late 1990s, the tendency has been to REPEAL, not enact, soft drink excise taxes at the state level. Over this period, at least 5 states (North Carolina, South Carolina, Louisiana, Maine and Washington) have repealed soft drink taxes. When given the opportunity, voters reject them:
In 2008, 64% of Maine voted to repeal a large soft drinks excise tax
In 2010, 60% of Washington State voters rejected a proposal to levy a soft drinks excise tax
In 2012, 77% of voters in El Monte, California, rejected a proposal to levy a soft drinks excise tax
In 2012, 67% of voters in Richmond, California, rejected a proposal to levy a soft drinks excise tax
In 2013, 68% of voters in Telluride, Colorado, rejected a proposal to levy a soft drinks excise tax
In 2013, soft drink excise tax proposals were introduced in 11 states. None were enacted. R. Sturm and A. Rupeng (2014), Obesity and economic environments CA csnowdon@iea.org.uk