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  • The Passing Rate Simulator

    Enviado por

    Jomar Rabajante
    55 visualizações13 páginas
    MATHTED 2009 Prediction of a Math class’ exam performance using the Passing Rate Simulator Jomar Fajardo Rabajante Mathematics Division, Institute of Mathematical Sciences and Physics, University of the Philippines Los Baños, College, 4031, Laguna, Philippines ABSTRACT Mathematical questions that require multi-level solutions are common in math exams. These questions, such as problem-solving questions, require long processes to get the solution. Most math teachers find it difficult to create such exam questions considering the students’ capability. The questions should not be too discriminating nor require lengthy solutions that may propagate student’s previous errors. Creating a fair and balanced exam is crucial in assessing student’s performance. The Passing Rate Simulator created and programmed by the author using MS Excel can help teachers predict if the exam they created is relatively acceptable. Simulating the students’ test scores will help predict the overall passing rate of the class. This program is based on simple stochastic process. Standardized preliminary exams can be given to approximate each student’s chance of passing the easy, average and difficult exams. The student’s score divided by the perfect score in the preliminary exam are assumed to be the probability that the student will answer correctly each of the easy, average and difficult questions in the future. These probabilities are the initial input for the simulation. The teacher or the exam-maker will then have to input the number of questions and the number of levels of solutions to the problem. From these input data, the Passing Rate Simulator will output the predicted exam scores of each student and the average score of the whole class. From the result of the simulator, the teacher may decide if the class passing rate is acceptable. If it is not acceptable, he or she may decide to increase or reduce the number of easy, average or difficult questions depending on the situation. The teacher may also decide to reduce the levels of the solutions required. By reducing the levels of the solution, the student’s probability of not answering the question correctly, probably due to error propagation, will be minimized. The author has used the simulator in creating exams and it really helped him in predicting the students’ performance. Please e-mail the author if you want a copy of the Excel file templates.

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    MATHTED 2009 Prediction of a Math class’ exam performance using the Passing Rate Simulator Jomar Fajardo Rabajante Mathematics Division, Institute of Mathematical Sciences and Physics, University of the Philippines Los Baños, College, 4031, Laguna, Philippines ABSTRACT Mathematical questions that require multi-level solutions are common in math exams. These questions, such as problem-solving questions, require long processes to get the solution. Most math teachers find it difficult to create such exam questions considering the students’ capability. The questions should not be too discriminating nor require lengthy solutions that may propagate student’s previous errors. Creating a fair and balanced exam is crucial in assessing student’s performance. The Passing Rate Simulator created and programmed by the author using MS Excel can help teachers predict if the exam they created is relatively acceptable. Simulating the students’ test scores will help predict the overall passing rate of the class. This program is based on simple stochastic process. Standardized preliminary exams can be given to approximate each student’s chance of passing the easy, average and difficult exams. The student’s score divided by the perfect score in the preliminary exam are assumed to be the probability that the student will answer correctly each of the easy, average and difficult questions in the future. These probabilities are the initial input for the simulation. The teacher or the exam-maker will then have to input the number of questions and the number of levels of solutions to the problem. From these input data, the Passing Rate Simulator will output the predicted exam scores of each student and the average score of the whole class. From the result of the simulator, the teacher may decide if the class passing rate is acceptable. If it is not acceptable, he or she may decide to increase or reduce the number of easy, average or difficult questions depending on the situation. The teacher may also decide to reduce the levels of the solutions required. By reducing the levels of the solution, the student’s probability of not answering the question correctly, probably due to error propagation, will be minimized. The author has used the simulator in creating exams and it really helped him in predicting the students’ performance. Please e-mail the author if you want a copy of the Excel file templates.

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    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Baixe no formato PPT, PDF, TXT ou leia online no Scribd
    Sinalizar o conteúdo como inadequado
    55 visualizações13 páginas

    The Passing Rate Simulator

    Enviado por

    Jomar Rabajante
    MATHTED 2009 Prediction of a Math class’ exam performance using the Passing Rate Simulator Jomar Fajardo Rabajante Mathematics Division, Institute of Mathematical Sciences and Physics, University of the Philippines Los Baños, College, 4031, Laguna, Philippines ABSTRACT Mathematical questions that require multi-level solutions are common in math exams. These questions, such as problem-solving questions, require long processes to get the solution. Most math teachers find it difficult to create such exam questions considering the students’ capability. The questions should not be too discriminating nor require lengthy solutions that may propagate student’s previous errors. Creating a fair and balanced exam is crucial in assessing student’s performance. The Passing Rate Simulator created and programmed by the author using MS Excel can help teachers predict if the exam they created is relatively acceptable. Simulating the students’ test scores will help predict the overall passing rate of the class. This program is based on simple stochastic process. Standardized preliminary exams can be given to approximate each student’s chance of passing the easy, average and difficult exams. The student’s score divided by the perfect score in the preliminary exam are assumed to be the probability that the student will answer correctly each of the easy, average and difficult questions in the future. These probabilities are the initial input for the simulation. The teacher or the exam-maker will then have to input the number of questions and the number of levels of solutions to the problem. From these input data, the Passing Rate Simulator will output the predicted exam scores of each student and the average score of the whole class. From the result of the simulator, the teacher may decide if the class passing rate is acceptable. If it is not acceptable, he or she may decide to increase or reduce the number of easy, average or difficult questions depending on the situation. The teacher may also decide to reduce the levels of the solutions required. By reducing the levels of the solution, the student’s probability of not answering the question correctly, probably due to error propagation, will be minimized. The author has used the simulator in creating exams and it really helped him in predicting the students’ performance. Please e-mail the author if you want a copy of the Excel file templates.

    Direitos autorais:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Baixe no formato PPT, PDF, TXT ou leia online no Scribd
    Sinalizar o conteúdo como inadequado
    de 13

    The Passing Rate Simulator

    by Jomar F. Rabajante
    University of the Philippines Los Baños
    College, Laguna, Philippines

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES
    Motivation
    • Mathematical questions usually require
    multi-level solutions.
    • The questions should not be too
    discriminating nor require lengthy solutions
    that may propagate student’s previous
    errors.
    • Creating exams is not easy!

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES
    Motivation

    A fair and balanced exam is crucial in


    assessing student’s performance.

    Can you give some techniques in evaluating


    the questions, and the whole exam?

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES
    Motivation

    For Problem-Solving?

    Passing Rate Simulator would help us


    evaluate the difficulty and appropriateness
    of an exam (especially those with Problem-
    Solving) considering the profile of our
    students.

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES
    The Simulation
    Using the concept of Stochastic Process

    Step A Step B Score


    probability probability

    Step A Step B Step C Score


    probability probability probability

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES
    The Simulation
    Simple Example:

    Expected
    Step A Step B Step C
    probability
    Score
    probability probability

    70%x5 90%x3 65%x7 10.75

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES
    The Simulation
    Simple Example:

    Expected
    Level A Level B Level C
    probability
    Score
    probability probability

    70% x 90% x 65%


    40.95%x15
    =6.1425

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES
    The Simulation
    Simple Example:
    Score:
    65% Perfect

    90%
    Score:
    Q 35% Partial
    w/ 2 levels from
    Level A
    10% Score: 0

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES
    The Simulation
    Multiple Solutions:

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES
    The Simulation

    Simulating the students’ test scores will help


    predict the overall passing rate of the class.

    Standardized preliminary exams/quizzes can


    be given to approximate each student’s
    chance of passing the different levels of
    difficulty or different categories.

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES
    It’s time to decide…

    Is class passing rate acceptable?

    If not, the teacher may decide to increase or


    decrease the number of easy, average or
    difficult questions. The teacher may also
    reduce the levels of the solutions required to
    minimize error propagation.

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES
    Follow-up Q’s

    • Do the scores of my students in quizzes


    positively correlated with their scores in long
    exams?

    • Are my students global or local learners?

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES
    The Passing Rate Simulator
    by Jomar F. Rabajante
    University of the Philippines Los Baños
    College, Laguna, Philippines

    MATHTED 2009: An International Conference in Mathematics Education OCTOBER 23 – 24, 2009


    The 7th Biennial Conference of the Philippine Council of Mathematics Teacher PUERTO PRINCESA , PALAWAN CITY, PHILIPPINES

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