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Course Outline
I.
II.
III.
IV.
V.
VI.
Overall Process
Defining the Problem
Formulating the Hypothesis
Collecting the Facts
Conducting the Analysis
Developing the Solution
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Course Objectives
OVERALL PROCESS
Problem
Solution
Analysis
Hypothesis
Facts
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Problem
Solution
Analysis
Hypothesis
Facts
Definition:
A problem is a situation that is judged as something that needs to be
corrected implies that a state of "wholeness" does not exist
Importance:
It is our job to make sure were solving the right problem it may not be
the one presented to us by the client. What do we really need to solve?
Basic Concepts:
Most of the problems are initially identified by our clients
Defining the problem clearly improves focus it drives the analytical
process
Getting to a clearly defined problem is often discovery driven Start
with a conceptual definition and through analysis (root cause, impact
analysis, etc.) you shape and redefine the problem in terms of issues
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Problem
Solution
Analysis
Hypothesis
Facts
Definition:
Hypothesis is a tentative explanation for an observation that
can be tested (i.e. proved or disproved) by further
investigation
Importance:
Start at the end - Figuring out the solution to the problem,
i.e. "hypothesizing", before you start will help build a
roadmap for approaching the problem
Basic Concepts:
Hypotheses can be expressed as possible root causes of
the problem
Breaking down the problem into key drivers (root causes)
can help formulate hypotheses
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Problem
Solution
Analysis
Hypothesis
Facts
Definition:
Meaningful information (has merit not false) that is qualitative (expert
opinions) or quantitative (measurable performance) to your decisions
Importance:
Gathering relevant data and information is a critical step in supporting
the analyses required for proving or disproving the hypotheses
Basic Concepts:
Know where to dig
Know how to filter through information
Know how to verify Has happened in the past
Know how to apply Relates to what you are trying to solve
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Problem
Solution
Analysis
Hypothesis
Facts
Definition:
The deliberate process of breaking a problem down through the
application of knowledge and various analytical techniques
Importance:
Analysis of the facts is required to prove or disprove the hypotheses
Analysis provides an understanding of issues and drivers behind the
problem
Basic Concepts:
It is generally better to spend more time analyzing the data and
information as opposed to collecting them. The goal is to find the
golden nuggets that quickly confirm or deny a hypothesis
Root cause analysis, storyboarding, and force field analysis are some
of many analytical techniques that can applied
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Problem
Solution
Analysis
Hypothesis
Facts
Definition:
Solutions are the final recommendations presented to our
clients based on the outcomes of the hypothesis testing
Importance:
Solutions are what our clients pay us for
Basic Concepts:
It is important to ensure the solution fits the client
solutions are useless if they cannot be implemented
Running an actual example through the solution is an
effective way of testing the effectiveness and viability of the
solution
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Problem Identification
Why?
Why?
Why?
Why?
Why?
Employees are
leaving for other
jobs
Employees feel
that they are
underpaid
Other employers
are paying higher
salaries
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Cause
Detail
Detail
Detail
Detail
Result (Problem)
Cause
Cause
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Who
Who is causing the problem?
Who says this is a problem?
Who are impacted by this
problem?
Etc.
What
Where
Why
How
When
When does this problem occur?
When did this problem first start
occurring?
Etc.
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Hypothesis #1C
Key Questions #1C-c
Hypothesis #1D
Problem
Issue #2
Issue #3
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Issues
Hypotheses
Key Questions
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Problem
Issue #1
Issue #2
Issue #3
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Market Interest?
Issue #1
Hypothesis #1A
Hypothesis #1B
Etc.
Divest Widget X
Business?
Cost
Effectiveness?
Hypothesis #2A
Problem
Issue #2
Hypothesis #2B
Etc.
Impacts on
Employees?
Hypothesis #3A
Issue #3
Hypothesis #3B
Etc.
Large percentage of
employees will likely retire
in two years.
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Hypothesis #1A
Issue #1
Hypothesis #1B
Divest Widget X
Business?
Cost Effectiveness?
Problem
Issue #2
Hypothesis #2A
Hypothesis #2B
Impacts on
Employees?
Large percentage of
employees will likely retire
in two years.
Hypothesis #3A
Hypothesis #3B
Issue #3
How many
employees are 50
years old or older
and interested in
retiring?
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Issues
Hypotheses
Key Questions
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Key Messages
Number of
companies in the
industry
Revenues for the
last 5 years
Etc.
Hypothesis #1B
Hypothesis #2A
Problem
Issue #2
Hypothesis #2B
Hypothesis #3A
Issue #3
Hypothesis #3B
How many
employees are 50
years old or older
and interested in
retiring?
Ages of the
employees
Employee interest
level
Etc.
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Technique
Description
Tools
Using Available
Information
Checklist
Data compilation forms
Observing
Interviewing
Interview guide
Data compilation forms
Administering Written
Questionnaires
Conducting Focus
Groups
Survey
Questionnaire
Flip charts
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Qualitative Techniques
(Flexible)
Produce qualitative data that is often
recorded in narrative form
Useful in answering the "why", "what",
and "how" questions
Typically includes:
Loosely structured interviews using
open-ended questions
Focus group discussions
Observations
VS.
Quantitative Techniques
(Less Flexible)
Structured questionnaires designed to
quantify pre- or post-categorized
answers to questions
Useful in answering the "how many",
"how often", "how significant", etc.
questions
Answers to questions can be counted
and expressed numerically
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Pareto Analysis
Benchmarking
SWOT
Make sure you know what you are trying to solve Clearly
defined issues or questions drive the analysis!
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Hypothesis #1B
Issue #1
Issue #2
Hypothesis #2B
Hypothesis #3A
Issue #3
Hypothesis #3B
Benchmarking
Hypothesis #2A
Problem
Age of employees
Analytical Techniques
Benchmarking
Benchmarking Example
SWOT Example
Weaknesses
External Assessment of direct and indirect forces, social, economic, political, etc.
Opportunities
Threats
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Force Field
Negative Forces
Inhibits the Solution
Public Sector mandates lack enforcement
teeth no major urgency to become
strategically focused.
Agency is not resourced to develop
strategic plans and execute on nonstrategic issues
Agency has too many other change
initiatives going on
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Cost Benefit
Consistent Reporting
Reduced Data Entry
Much faster turnarounds when
updating master records
Improved accuracy in reporting
Maintenance Costs
Planned Upgrades
Net Benefit =
$ 250,000
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Impact Analysis
Pareto Analysis
Downtime, Errors,
# of Employees, etc.
Pareto Chart
Categories
Key Messages
Basic Concepts
Key Messages
Summary
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Thanks for
your participation!
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