RELIABILITY

EVALUATIO
N OF GRID
CONNECTE
D PV
SYSTEM

INTRODUCTION
PV

systems does not involve

greenhouse gas emissions and no fossil
fuel consumption.

Total

capacity of grid connected PV

system increased from 300mW in 2000
to 21GW in 2010

Annual

growth rate increased from 60%

in 2004 to 80- 90% in 2011

FEATURES OF HIGHLY
RELIABLE PV SYSTEM
Increase

in renewable energy output

Guarantee

Curtail

higher return on investment

carbon emissions

RELIABILITY
measure

of overall product health over

the expected lifetime of the product

Concerned

with probability and

frequency of failures

Duration

or probability of failures under

stated condition

Expressed

as probability over a given

period of time

RELIABILITY EVALUATION
STEPS
Reliability

modelling of PV system
components

Reliability
Discrete

evaluation of PV array

probability distribution of input

power
PV

reliability indices

RELIABILITY EVALUATION
OF PV
INVERTER
Thermal

model of IGBT and diode

Failure

rates of IGBT

Failure

rates of diode

Failure

rates of capacitor

Inverter

reliability

THERMAL MODEL OF IGBT

AND DIODE
Temperature

rise in IGBT and diode

TIGBT-loss =11PIGBT-loss +
12PDiode-loss
TDiode-loss=21PIGBT-loss +
22PDiode-loss
Junction

temperature of IGBT or diode

TJ = TC +T
Ta +a(PIGBT-loss + PDiode-loss + PAdd)
+T

FAILURE RATE OF IGBT

FAILURE RATE OF IGBT

Failure

rate is related to

Power loss

System power input levels

Temperature

depends on

Power loss which in turn depends on

system input power levels

FAILURE RATES OF DIODE

FAILURE RATES OF
CAPACITOR

INVERTER RELIABILITY

INVERTER RELIABILITY
Contd..

RELIABILITY EVALUATION
OF PV ARRAY
Equivalent

reliability parameters of PV

string
State

enumeration for reliability analysis

of PV array

EQUIVALENT RELIABILITY
PARAMETERS OF PV
PV string has two repairable failure
STRING
modes
a. Failure
b. Short
Both
Two

at a junction box

circuit of PV panel

result in outage of whole string

modes are characterised by an

average failure rate and an average
repair rate of PV panel

EQUIVALENT RELIABILITY
PARAMETERS OF PV
STRING

STATE ENUMERATION FOR

RELIABILITY INDICES

DISCRETE PROBABLITY
DISTRIBUTION OF INPUT
Input power is metered every 1-15
POWER
minutes
It

produces a chronological intermittent

curve with large amount of data points

Input

power measurement are

aggregated into discrete probability
distribution

mean clustering method is

introduced

K-MEAN CLUSTERING
METHOD

K-MEAN CLUSTERING
METHOD
Contd..

PV RELIABILITY INDICES
Evaluate
Select

system performance

best design option at planning

stage
To

reduce cost and increase benefit at

operational stage

Two

types: energy oriented and time

oriented indices

ENERGY ORIENTED
INDICES

EXPECTED OUTPUT
ENERGY(EOE)

ENERGY AVAILABILITY

TIME ORIENTED INDICES

AVAILABLE , DERATED
AND OUTAGE HOURS

CONCLUSION
Major

contributions of proposed new

analytical methods include

Input/power

loss/temperature
dependent failure rates for power
electronic components

Evaluation

of PV arrays considering
power output-dependent failure rates

Application

of clustering technique to
the discrete probability distribution

REFERENCES
Peng

Zhang,Yang Wang,IEEE
transactions on sustainable
energy,vol.3,no.3,july 2012

L Sawin and E.Martinot,renewables

2010 global status report renewable
energy policy network for 21st
century,2010

A.Ristow,M.Begovoic,
A.pregelji,Development of a
methodology for improving photovoltaic
inverter reliability,IEEE

REFERENCES
PV

Systems reliability,IEEE
transactions,2008

Roy

Billinton,Ronald.A.Allan,reliability
evaluation engineering systems

William

K Denson,Reliability assessment
of critical electronic components, IT
research institute

K Vrana,A Johanasson,overview of
power system reliability assessment
technique,RECIFE,2011