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Business
9e
By Charles W.L. Hill
McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Chapter 10
The Foreign
Exchange Market
10-5
10-7
10-9
10-10
10-12
10-13
How Do Prices
Influence Exchange
Rates?
The law of one price states that in
competitive markets free of transportation
costs and barriers to trade, identical
products sold in different countries must
sell for the same price when their price is
expressed in terms of the same currency
otherwise there is an opportunity for arbitrage
until prices equalize between the two markets
10-14
How Do Prices
Influence Exchange
Rates?
Purchasing power parity theory (PPP)
argues that given relatively efficient
markets (a market with no impediments to
the free flow of goods and services) the
price of a basket of goods should be
roughly equivalent in each country
predicts that changes in relative prices will
result in a change in exchange rates
10-15
How Do Prices
Influence Exchange
Rates?
A positive relationship
exists between the
inflation rate and the level of money supply
when the growth in the money supply is greater than
the growth in output, inflation will occur
10-16
How Do Prices
Influence Exchange
Rates?
Question: How well
does PPP work?
Empirical testing of PPP theory suggests that
it is most accurate in the long run, and for countries
with high inflation and underdeveloped capital
markets
it is less useful for predicting short term exchange rate
movements between the currencies of advanced
industrialized nations that have relatively small
differentials in inflation rates
10-17
Psychology
Influence Exchange
The bandwagon effect occurs when expectations
Rates?
on the part of traders turn into self-fulfilling
10-20
10-23
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10-26
10-29
10-30
10-31
10-32