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CHAPTER 7

INTEREST RATE FUTURES


In this chapter, we explore one of the most successful
innovations in the history of futures markets; that is,
interest rate futures contracts. This chapter is organized
into the following sections:
1. Interest Rate Futures Contracts
2. Pricing Interest Rate Futures Contracts
3. Speculating With Interest Rate Futures Contracts
4. Hedging With Interest Rate Futures Contracts

Chapter 7

Interest Rate Futures Introduction


Interest rate futures contracts are one of the most
successful innovations in futures trading.
Pioneered in the United States, they have expanded
internationally with strong presence in Great Britain and
Singapore.
The CBOT specializes in contracts with long-term maturity
(e.g., 2-year, 5-year and 10-year T-notes, and 5-year
LIBOR-based swaps).
The CME International Monetary Market (IMM) specializes
in contracts with short-term maturity (e.g., 1-month, and 3month Eurodollar deposits).

Chapter 7

Short-Term Interest Rates Contracts


In this section, four short-term interest rate futures
contracts will be examined:
1. Eurodollar Futures
2. Euribor Futures
3. TIEE 28 Futures
4. Treasury Bill Futures

Chapter 7

Eurodollar Futures Product Profile

Chapter 7

Eurodollar Futures
1. Eurodollar futures currently dominate the U.S. market
for short-term futures contracts.
2. Rates on Eurodollar deposits are usually based on
LIBOR (London Interbank Offer Rate).
LIBOR is the rate at which banks are willing to lend funds
to other banks in the interbank market.

3. Eurodollars are U.S. dollar denominated deposits held


in a commercial bank outside the U.S.
4. The Eurodollar contracts is for $1,000,000.
5. A Eurodollar futures contract is based on a time deposit
held in a commercial bank (e.g., 3-month Eurodollar)
6. Eurodollar contracts are non-transferable.

Chapter 7

Eurodollar Futures
7. Eurodollar futures were the first contract to use cash
settlement rather than delivery of an actual good for
contract fulfillment.
8. To establish the settlement rate at the close of trading,
the IMM determines the three-month LIBOR rate.
9. This settlement rate is then used to compute the
amount of the cash payment that must be made.
10. The yield on the Eurodollar contract is quoted on an
add-on basis as follows:

Chapter 7

Eurodollar Add-on Yield

Add onYield

$ Discount
Price

)( )
360
DTM

In order to calculate the add-on yield, the price and


discount must be computed as follows:

$ Discount

DY ( Face Value )( DTM )


360

Price Face Value $ Discount


Or equivalently
Price Face Value

DY ( Face Value )( DTM )


360

Chapter 7

Eurodollar Add-on Yield


Suppose you have a 90-day Eurodollar deposit with a
discount yield of 8.32%.
Step 1: Compute the discount and the price.
Price Face Value
Price 1,000,000

DY ( Face Value )( DTM )


360

0.0832(1,000,000 )(90)
360

Price 1,000,000 20,800


Price $979,200

$Discount $20,800

Chapter 7

Eurodollar Add-on Yield


Step 2: Compute the add-on yield using:
Add onYield

360
($Discount
)(
)
Price
DTM

Add onYield

$20,800 360
(979
)( 90 )
,200

Add onYield 0.085

A one basis point change in the Add-on Yield, on a 3-month


Eurodollar contract implies a $25 change in price. This
amount can be compute using:
Face Value Add on Yield DTM 360
$1,000,000 .0001 90 360 $25

Eurodollar futures contract prices are quoted using the


IMM Index which is a function of the 3-month LIBOR rate:
IMM Index = 100.00 - 3-Month LIBOR

Chapter 7

Euribor Futures
Euribors are Eurodollar time deposits.
Swaps dealers use Euribor futures to hedge the risk
resulting from their activities.
Euribor futures are traded at:
Euronex.liffe
Contracts are based on a 3-month time deposit with a
1,000,000 notional value.
Contracts are cash settled at expiration .

Eurex
Contracts are based on a 3-month time deposit with a
3,000,000 notional value.
Contracts are cash-settled at expiration.

Chapter 7

10

Euribor Futures Product Profile

Chapter 7

11

TIEE 28 Futures
The TIEE 28 futures contract is based on the short-term
(28-day) Mexican interest rate.
The contract is traded on the Mexican Derivatives
Exchange (Mercado Mexicano de Derivados, or MexDer)
A 28-day TIIE futures contract has a face value of 100,000
Mexican pesos.
The contract is cash settled based on the 28-day Interbank
Equilibrium Interest Rate (TIIE), calculated by Banco de
Mxico.

Chapter 7

12

TIEE 28 Futures TIEE 28 Futures

Chapter 7

13

Treasury Bill Futures


1. A T-bill is the U.S. government borrowing money for a
short period of time.
Treasury bills have original maturities of 13 weeks and 26
weeks.

2. The Treasury bill futures contract calls for the delivery


of T-bills having a face value of $1,000,000 and a time
to maturity of 90 days at the expiration of the futures
contract.
91-day and 92 day T-bills may also be delivered with a
price adjustment.
The contracts have delivery dates in March, June,
September, and December.
The delivery dates are chosen to make newly issued 13
week T-bills immediately deliverable against the futures
contract.

Chapter 7

14

Treasury Bill Futures


Price quotations for T-bill futures use the International
Monetary Market Index (IMM).
IMM Index = 100 - DY
Where:
DY = Discount Yield
Example
A discount Yield of 7.1% implies an IMM Index of:
IMM Index = 100 - 7.1
IMM Index = 92.9

Chapter 7

15

Treasury Bill Futures


Recall that a bill with 90 days to maturity and a 8.32%
discount yield, has a price of $979,200 and a $discount of
$20,800. For a futures contract with a discount yield of
8.32%, the price to be paid for the T-bill at delivery would
be $979,200.
A one basis point shift implies a $25 change on a
$1,000,000, 3-month futures contract.
If the futures yield rose to 8.35%, the delivery price would
be $979,125.

Chapter 7

16

Other Short-Term Interest Rate Futures


Insert Figure 7.1 here

Chapter 7

17

Longer-Maturity Interest Rate Futures


Longer-maturity interest rate futures are based on couponbearing debt instruments as the underlying good.
These instruments require the delivery of an actual bond.
In this section, long-term interest rate futures contracts will
be examined, including:
1. Treasury Bond Futures
2. Treasury Note Futures
3. Non-US Longer Maturity Interest Rate Futures

Chapter 7

18

Treasury Bond Futures


Traded at the CBOT, the Treasury bond futures contract is
one of the most successful futures contracts.
Requires the delivery of T-bonds with a $100,000 face
value and with at least 15 years remaining until maturity or
until their first permissible call date.
T-bond contracts trade for delivery in March, June,
September, and December.
Delivery against the T-bond contract is a several day
process that the short trader can trigger to cause delivery
on any business day of the delivery month.
First Position Day
First permissible day for the short to declare his/her intentions to
make delivery, with delivery taking place 2 business days later.

Position Day
Short declares his/her intentions to make delivery. This may
occur on the first position day or some other later day.
Delivery Day
Clearinghouse matches the short and long traders and requires
them to fulfill their responsibilities.

Chapter 7

19

Treasury Bond Futures


Price Quotation for Major Interest Rate Futures
Contracts
Insert Figure 7.1 Here

Chapter 7

20

Treasury Bond Futures Delivery Process


Insert Figure 7.2 here

Chapter 7

21

Treasury Bond Futures Product Profile

Chapter 7

22

Treasury Bond Futures Conversion


Factor
The T-bond contract does not specify exactly which bond
must be delivered to fulfill the futures contract. Rather, a
number of different bonds can be delivered to fulfill the
futures contract.
Because the short trader chooses whether to make delivery,
and which bond to deliver, the short trader will want to
deliver the bond that is least expensive for him/her to obtain.
This bond is called the cheapest-to-deliver bond.
To address this issue, a conversion factor is computed to
equate the bonds.

Chapter 7

23

Treasury Bond Futures Conversion


Factor
Invoice Amount DSP ($100,000)(CF ) AI
Where:
DSP = Decimal Settlement Price
(The decimal equivalent of the quoted price)

CF =

Conversion Factor
(the conversion factor as provided by the CBOT)

AI = Accrued Interest
(Interest that has accrued since the last coupon payment on
the bond)

This system is effective as long as the term structure of


interest rates is flat and the bond yield is 6%. However, if
the term structure of interest rates is not flat, or if bond yields
are not 6%, some bonds will still be less expensive to deliver
against the futures contract than others.

Chapter 7

24

T-Bond and T-Notes Delivery Sequence


Table 7.1 shows key dates in the delivery process for Tbond and T-note futures contracts in 1997.

Chapter 7

25

Treasury Bond Futures Conversion


Factor

Chapter 7

26

Treasury Note Futures


Treasury note futures are a shorter maturity version of a
Treasury bond.
T-note Futures are very similar to Treasury bond
futures.
T-note futures contracts are available for 2-year, 5-year,
and 10-year maturities.
Contract Size
2-year contract

$200,000

5-year & 10 year contract $100,000


Deliverable Maturities
2-year contract

21 -24 month

5-year contract

4 yrs 3 mos. to 5 yrs 3 mos.

10-year contract

6 yrs 6 mos. to 10 years

Chapter 7

27

CBOTs 10-Year Treasury Note Futures


Product Profile

Chapter 7

28

Non-US Long Maturity Interest Rate


Futures

Chapter 7

29

Pricing Interest Rate Futures Contracts


Because, interest rate futures trade in a full carry market,
the foundation for pricing interest rate futures is the Costof-Carry-Model that we discussed in Chapter 3.
This section introduces a review of the Cost-of-Carry
Model as discussed in Chapter 3, including:
1. Cost-of-Carry Rule 3
2. Cost-of-Carry Rule 6
3. Features that Promote Full Carry
4. Repo Rates
5. Cost-of-Carry Model in Perfect Market
6. Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage for Interest Rate Futures

Chapter 7

30

Cost-of-Carry Rule 3
Recall: the cost-of-carry rule #3 says:

F 0, t S 0(1 C 0, t )
Where:
S0 =

The current spot price

F0,t =

The current futures price for delivery of the


product at time t

C0,t=

The percentage cost required to store (or carry)


the commodity from today until time t

Chapter 7

31

Cost-of-Carry Rule 6
Recall: the cost-of-carry rule #6 says:

F 0, d F 0, n (1 Cn , d )
F0,d =

the futures price at t=0 for the the distant delivery


contract maturing at t=d

Fo,n=

the futures price at t=0 for the nearby delivery


contract maturing at t=n

Cn,d=

the percentage cost of carrying the good from t=n


to t=d

Chapter 7

32

Full Carry Features


Recall from Chapter 3 that there are five features that
promote full carry:
1. Ease of Short Selling
2. Large Supply
3. Non-Seasonal Production
4. Non-Seasonal Consumption
5. High Storability
Interest rates futures have each of these features and thus
conform well to the Cost-of-Carry Model.

Chapter 7

33

Repo Rate
Recall from Chapter 3 that if we assume that the only
carrying cost is the financing cost, we can compute the
implied repo rate as:

F 0, t
1 C 0, t
S0
or

F 0, t
1 C 0, t
S0

Interest rate futures conform almost perfectly to the Costof-Carry Model. However, we must take into account
some of the peculiar aspects of debt instruments.

Chapter 7

34

Cost-of-Carry Model in Perfect Market


Assumptions
1. Markets are perfect.
2. The financing cost is the only cost of carrying charge.
3. Ignore the options that the seller may possess such as
the option to deliver differing securities.
4. Ignore the differences between forward and futures
prices.

Chapter 7

35

Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage for Interest


Rate Futures
Recall from Chapter 3 that in order to earn an arbitrage
profit, a trader might want to try a cash-and-carry arbitrage.
Recall further that a cash-and-carry arbitrage involves
selling a futures contract, buying the commodity and
storing it until the futures delivery date. Then you would
deliver the commodity against the futures contract.
Applying the cash-and-carry arbitrage to interest rate
futures requires careful selection of the commoditys
interest rate (T-bill, T-bond etc) that will be purchased.
Each of the interest rate futures contracts specifies the
maturity of the interest rate instrument to be delivered. The
interest rate instrument must have this maturity on the
delivery date.

Chapter 7

36

Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage for Interest


Rate Futures
Example, a T-bill futures contract requires the delivery of a
T-bill with 90 days to maturity on the delivery date.
So, if you sell a T-bill futures contract that calls for delivery
in 77 days, we must purchase a T-bill that will have 90 days
to maturity, 77 days from today, in order to meet your
obligations. That is, you must purchase a T-bill that has
167 days to maturity today.

77

1. Sell futures
Contract.
2. Buy T-bill Futures
contract w/ 167
days to maturity.

167

3. Deliver T-bill (that has


now 90 days to maturity)
against futures contract.

4. T-bill
matures

Table 7.2 and 7.3 further develop this example.

Chapter 7

37

Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage for Interest


Rate Futures
Assume that markets are perfect including the assumption
of borrowing and lending at a risk-less rate represented by
the T-bill yields. Suppose that you have gathered the
information in Table 7.2 and wish to determine if an
arbitrage opportunity is present.

How was the bill price of $987,167 from Table 7.2


calculated?

Chapter 7

38

Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage for Interest


Rate Futures
The bill prices were calculated as follows:
Bill Price Face Value

DY ( Face Value )( DTM )


360

For the March Futures Contract


Bill Price 1,000,000

0.125(1,000,000)(90)
360

Bill Price 968,750

For the March 167-day T-bill


Bill Price 1,000,000

0.10(1,000,000)(167)
360

Bill Price 953,611

For the 77-day T-bill with $1,000,000 face value


Bill Price 1,000,000

0.06(1,000,000)(77)
360

Bill Price 987,166

Chapter 7

39

Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage for Interest


Rate Futures
The transactions necessary to earn an arbitrage profit are
given in Table 7.3.

How was the $966,008 from Table 7.3 calculated?

Chapter 7

40

Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage for Interest


Rate Futures
The $966,008 is the face value of a 77-day T-bill with a
current price of $953,611. To calculate this value,
rearrange the bill price formula:
Bill Price Face Value

DY ( Face Value )( DTM )


360

Rearranging the equation results:


Face Value

360 Bill Price


360 DY ( DTM )

Face Value

360($953,611)
360 0.06(77)

Face Value

343,299,960
355.38

Face Value 966,008.10

Chapter 7

41

Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage to Interest


Rate Futures
When delivery is due on the futures contract on March 22,
you deliver the T-bill (which now has 90 days to maturity)
against the futures contract.

Combined, these transactions appear as follows on a


timeline:
0

1. Borrow money
2. Buy 167-day T-bill
3. Sell a futures contract

4. Deliver the T-bill


against the futures
contract
5. Pay off the loan

Chapter 7

42

Reverse Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage to


Interest Rate Futures
Using the same values as shown in Table 7.2, now assume
that the rate on the 77-day T-bill is 8%.
Given this new information and Table 7.2 prices, a reverse
cash-and-carry arbitrage opportunity is present. Table 7.4
shows the result.
To calculate the values in Table 7.4 follow the steps shown
for the previous cash-and-carry example.

Chapter 7

43

Reverse Cash-and-Carry Arbitrage to


Interest Rate Futures
Combined, these transactions appear as follows on a
timeline:

Jan 5

1. Borrow money
2. Buy 77-day T-bill
3. Buy a futures
contract

Mar 22

4. Collect from maturing T-bill


5. Accept delivery on 90-day
contract

Chapter 7

Jun 20

6. Collect 1 M
from mature
T-bill
7. Pay off loan

44

Interest Rate Futures Rate Relationships


Rate relationship that must exist between interest rates to
avoid arbitrage:
Consider two methods of holding a T-bill for 167 days.
Method 1:
Buy a 167 day T-bill

Method 2:
Buy a 77 day T-bill.
Buy a futures contract for delivery of a 90 day T-bill in 77
days.
Use the futures contract to buy a 90-day T-bill.

These investment appear as follows on a timeline.

Chapter 7

45

Interest Rate Futures Rate Relationships


Method 1
Jan 5

Mar 22

1. Buy 167-day T-bill

Jun 20

2. Collect from maturing T-bill

Method 2

Jan 5

1. Buy 77-day T-bill


2. Buy a future
contract for 90-day
T-bill w/ 77 days to
maturity

Mar 22

Jun 20

3. Collect from maturing


T-bill
4. Buy a 90-day T-bill using
the futures contract

5. Collect from
maturing
T-bill

Either of these two methods of investing in T-bills has


exactly the same investment and exactly the same risk.
Since both investment have exactly the same risk and
exactly the same investment, they must have exactly the
same yield to avoid arbitrage.
Chapter 7

46

Financing Cost and Implied Repo Rate


Calculate the rate that must exist on the 77-day T-bill to
avoid the arbitrage as follows:

Use the no arbitrage equation to determine the appropriate


yield on the 77-day T-bill by, using the following equation:

NA Yield

Price of Futures Contract Long Term T Bill Price


DTMFC
Price of Futures Contract X
360

Where:
NA Yield = the no arbitrage Yield
DTMFC = days to maturity of the futures contract

Chapter 7

47

Financing Cost and Implied Repo Rate

NA Yield

NA Yield

$968,750 953,611
77
$968,750 X
360

$15,139
$207,204.86

NA Yield 0.07306

So in order for there to be no arbitrage opportunities


available, the yield on the 77 day T-bill must be 7.3063%.
If the yield on the 77 day T-bill is greater than 7.3063%,
then engage in a reverse cash-and-carry arbitrage. If the
yield on the 77 day T-bill is less than 7.3063%, engage in
a cash-and-carry arbitrage.

Chapter 7

48

Financing Cost and Implied Repo Rate


We can also calculate the implied repo rate as follows:

F 0, t
1 C 0, t
S0
In our case the spot price is the price of the 167-day to
maturity T-bill, so:

$968,750
1 C 0, t
$953,611
1 C 0, t 1.015875

The implied repo rate (C) is 1.5875%


The implied repo rate is the cost of holding the
commodity for 77 days, between today and the time that
the futures contract matures, assuming this is the only
financing cost, it is also the cost of carry.
Chapter 7

49

Financing Cost and Implied Repo Rate


1. If the implied repo rate exceeds the financing cost, then
exploit a cash-and-carry arbitrage opportunity

Borrow funds

Buy cash bond

Sell futures

Realize profit

Deliver against
futures

Hold bond

2. If the implied repo rate is less than the financing


cost, then exploit a reverse cash-and-carry
arbitrage.
Buy futures

Sell bond short

Invest proceeds
until futures exp.

Realize profit

Repay short sale


obligation

Take delivery

Chapter 7

50

Cost-of-Carry Model for T-Bond Futures


The cost of carry concepts for T-bill futures that we have
just examined also apply to T-bond futures. However, the
computation must be adjusted to reflect the coupon
payment and accrued interests.

Chapter 7

51

Cost-of-Carry Model in Imperfect


Markets
In this section, the borrowing and lending assumptions are
relaxed, and the Cost-of-Carry Model is explored under the
following assumption:
1. The borrowing rate exceeds the lending rate.
2. The financing cost is the only carrying charge.
3. Ignore the options that the seller may possess.
4. Ignore the differences between forward and
futures prices.
Recall that allowing the borrowing and lending rates to
differ leads to an arbitrage band around the futures price.
Now assume that the borrowing rate is 25 basis points, or
one-fourth of a percentage point, higher than the lending
rate. Continuing to use our T-bill example.

Chapter 7

52

Cash-and-Carry Strategy

Notice that the entire arbitrage profit disappears


when these differential borrowing and lending
rates are considered.
Chapter 7

53

Reserve Cash-and-Carry Transaction

Again notice that the entire arbitrage profit disappears


when these different borrowing and lending rates are
considered.

Chapter 7

54

A Practical Survey of Interest Rate


Futures Pricing
Recall from Chapter 3 that transaction costs lead to a noarbitrage band of possible futures prices. In essence,
transaction costs increase the no-arbitrage band just as
unequal borrowing and lending rates do.
Impediments to short selling as a market imperfection
would frustrate the reverse cash-and-carry arbitrage
strategy.
From a practical perspective, restrictions on short selling
are unimportant in interest rate futures pricing because:
Supplies of deliverable Treasury securities are plentiful
and government securities have little (or zero)
convenience yield.
Treasury securities are so widely held, many traders can
simulate short selling by selling T-bills, T-notes, or T-bonds
from inventory. Therefore, restrictions on short selling are
unlikely to have any pricing effect.

Chapter 7

55

Speculating with Interest Rate Futures


There are several ways that you can speculate with interest
rate futures:
1. Outright Position.
2. Intra-Commodity T-Bill Spread
3. A T-bill/Eurodollar (TED) Spread
4. Notes over Bonds (NOB)

Chapter 7

56

Speculating with Outright Position


Two ways to speculate with outright positions are:
1. Purchase an interest rate futures contract: a bet that
interest rates will go down.
2. Sell an interest rate futures contract: a bet that interest
rates will go up.
Suppose you think that interest rates will go up.
The transactions necessary to bet on your hunch are
outlined in Table 7.80.

Chapter 7

57

Speculating with Outright Position


Interest rates have gone up as you predicted. Your profit
(based on $25 per basis point contract) is:
Profit = (Sell Rate Buy Rate)($25)
Profit = (90.30 90.12) = 0.18
0.18 is 18 basis points, each of which implies a $25 change
in contract value so:
Profit = (Basis Points)(Value per Basis Point)
Profit = (18)($25) = $450

Chapter 7

58

Intra-Commodity T-Bill Spread


If you dont know if rates will rise or fall, but do think that
the shape of the yield curve will change, (that is the
relationship between short term interest rates and long
term interest rates will change) you might engage in an
Intra-commodity T-bill spread.
If you think that the spread will narrow (the yield curve will
become flatter) you would buy the longer term contract and
sell the shorter term contract.
If you think that the spread will widen (the yield curve will
become steeper), you would buy the shorter term contract
and sell the longer term contract.

Chapter 7

59

Intra-Commodity T-Bill Spread


Suppose you have the following information (Table 7.9)
regarding T-bills and T-bill futures contracts for March 20.
The left 2 columns are T-bills, and the right 3 columns are
futures contracts. You think that the yield curve will flatten
and wish to trade to make a profit.

Chapter 7

60

Intra-Commodity T-Bill Spread


Notice that the T-bills exhibit an upward sloping yield curve.
Notice that the futures contract yields also exhibit and
upward sloping yield curve.
If the yield curve flattens, the yield spread between
subsequent maturing futures contracts must narrow. That
is, the difference between the yield on the December
contract and on the September contract must narrow.
Since you think that the spread will narrow (the yield curve
will become flatter) you would buy the longer term contract
and sell the shorter term contract, as it is demonstrated in
Table 7.10.

Chapter 7

61

Intra-Commodity T-Bill Spread

Gain in Basis Points


Change in December Contract
Change in September Contract

1.64
-1.52

Net Change in Positions

12 basis points

Each Basis Point is worth $25


Profit
Net Change in Positions
Basis Point Value
Profit

12
$25
$300
Chapter 7

62

T-Bill/Eurodollar (TED) Spread


The TED spread is the spread between Treasury bill
contracts and Eurodollar contracts.
In theory, Treasury bills should always have a lower yield
than Eurodollar deposits.
T-bills are backed by the full taxing authority of the U.S.
government.
Eurodollar deposits are generally not backed by the
respective governments.

Thus, T-bills are a safer investment and as such, should


pay a lower interest rate. Eurodollars are riskier and
should pay a higher rate of interest.
How much lower/higher?
The amount of the difference depends upon world events.
To the extent that the world situation is considered safe,
the difference should be low. To the extent that the world
situation is unsafe, the difference should be high.
Table 7.11 shows the transactions necessary to engage in
a TED spread when you wish to bet that the spread will
widen.
Chapter 7

63

T-Bill/Eurodollar (TED) Spread

Notice that the spread widened as the trader


expected, allowing him/her to earn a $675 profit.

Chapter 7

64

Notes over Bonds (NOB)


The NOB is a speculative strategy for trading T-note
futures against T-bond futures.
NOB spreads exploit the fact that T-bonds underlying the Tbond futures contract have a longer duration than the Tnotes underlying the T-note futures contract. A given
change in yields will cause a greater price reaction for the
T-bond futures contract.
Thus, the NOB spread is an attempt to take advantage of
either changing levels of yields or a changing yield curve
by using an inter-market spread.

Chapter 7

65

Hedging with Interest Rate Futures


There are several ways that you can hedge with interest
rate futures, including:
1. Long Hedges
2. Short Hedges
3. Cross-Hedges

Chapter 7

66

Hedging with Interest Rate Futures


Recall that the goal of a hedger is to reduce risk, not to
generate profits.
Using interest rate futures to hedge involves taking a
futures position that will generate a gain to offset a
potential loss in the cash market.
This also implies that a hedger takes a futures position that
will generate a loss to offset a potential gain in the cash
market.

Chapter 7

67

Long Hedges
On December 15, a portfolio manager learns that he will
have $970,000 to invest in 90-day T-bills six months from
now, on June 15. Current yields on T-bills stand at 12%
and the yield curve is flat, so forward rates are all 12% as
well. The manager finds the 12% rate attractive and
decides to lock it in by going long in a T-bill futures contract
maturing on June 15, exactly when the funds come
available for investment as Table 7.12 shows:

Chapter 7

68

Long Hedges
With current and forward yields on T-bills at 12 percent,
the portfolio manager expects to be able to buy
$1,000,000 face -value of T-bills for $970,000 because:
Bill Price Face Value

DY ( Face Value )( DTM )


360

Bill Price $1,000,000

0.12($1,000,000)(90)
360

Bill Price $970,000

On June 15, the 90-day T-bill yield has fallen to 10%.


Thus, the price of a 90 day T-bill is:

Bill Price Face Value

DY ( Face Value )( DTM )


360

Bill Price $1,000,000

0.10($1,000,000)(90)
360

Bill Price $975,000

Thus, if the manager were to purchase the T-bill in


the market, he would be $5,000 short.
Chapter 7

69

Long Hedges
The futures profit exactly offsets the cash market loss for a
zero change in wealth. With the receipt of the $970,000
that was to be invested, plus the $5,000 futures profit, the
original plan may be executed, and the portfolio manager
purchases $1,000,000 face value in 90-day T-bills.

Insert Figure 7.7 here


The idealized yield Curve Shit for the long Hedge.

Chapter 7

70

Short Hedge
Banks may wish to hedge their interest rate positions to
lock in profits. Table 7.13 demonstrates how a bank that
makes a one million dollar fixed rate loan for 9 months,
and can only finance the loan with 6-month CDs, can
hedged its position.

Because the bank hedged, its profits were not affected


by a change in interest rates.

Chapter 7

71

Cross-Hedge
Recall that a cross-hedge occurs when the hedged and
hedging instruments differ with respect to:
1. Risk level
2. Coupon
3. Maturity
4. Or the time span covered by the instrument being
hedged and the instrument deliverable against the
futures contract.
To illustrate how a cross-hedge is conducted, assume that
a large furniture manufacturer has decided to issue one
billion 90-day commercial paper in 3 months. Table 7.14
illustrate the cross-hedge.

Chapter 7

72

Cross-Hedge

Chapter 7

73

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