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5
Exchange Rate Derivatives
Chapter Objectives
To explain how forward contracts are used
for hedging based on anticipated
exchange rate movements; and
5-2
Forward Market
A forward contract is an agreement
between a firm and a commercial bank to
exchange a specified amount of a
currency at a specified exchange rate
(called the forward rate) on a specified
date in the future.
Forward Market
When MNCs anticipate a future need for or
future receipt of a foreign currency, they
can set up forward contracts to lock in the
exchange rate.
Forward Market
Example S = $1.681/, 90-day F = $1.677/
annualized p = F S 360
S
n
= 1.677 1.681 360 = .95%
1.681
90
The forward premium (discount) usually
Forward Market
A swap transaction involves a spot
transaction along with a corresponding
forward contract that will reverse the spot
transaction.
Forward Market
An NDF can effectively hedge future
foreign currency payments or receipts:
April 1
Expect need for 100M
Chilean pesos.
Negotiate an NDF to buy
100M Chilean pesos on
Jul 1. Reference index
(closing rate quoted by
Chiles central bank) =
$.0020/peso.
July 1
Buy 100M Chilean
pesos from market.
Index = $.0023/peso
receive $30,000 from
bank due to NDF.
Index = $.0018/peso
pay $20,000 to bank.
5-7
5-8
Forward Markets
Customized
Delivery date
Customized
Participants
Banks, brokers,
MNCs. Public MNCs. Qualified
speculation notpublic speculation
encouraged.
encouraged.
Security
Compensating
deposit
bank balances or
credit lines needed.
Clearing
Handled by
operation
individual banks
& brokers.
clearinghouse.
Daily settlements
to market prices.
Futures Markets
Standardized
Standardized
Banks, brokers,
Small security
deposit required.
Handled by
exchange
5 - 10
Futures Markets
Worldwide
telephone
network
Central exchange
floor with worldwide
communications.
Regulation
Self-regulating
Commodity
Futures Trading
Commission,
National Futures
Association.
Liquidation
Mostly settled by
actual delivery.
Mostly settled by
offset.
Transaction
Costs
Banks bid/ask
spread.
Negotiated
brokerage fees.
Marketplace
5 - 11
June 17
1. Contract to sell
500,000 pesos
@ $.09/peso
($45,000) on
June 17.
June 17
1. Expect to receive
500,000 pesos.
Contract to sell
500,000 pesos
@ $.09/peso on
June 17.
2. Receive 500,000
pesos as expected.
3. Sell the pesos at
the locked-in rate.
5 - 14
February 15
2. Contract to
sell
A$100,000
@ $.50/A$
($50,000) on
March 19.
March 19
3. Incurs $3000
loss from
offsetting
positions in
futures
contracts.
5 - 15
5 - 16
A call option is
in the money
if exchange rate > strike price,
at the money
if exchange rate = strike price,
out of the money
if exchange rate < strike price.
5 - 17
A put option is
in the money
if exchange rate < strike price,
at the money
if exchange rate = strike price,
out of the money
if exchange rate > strike price.
5 - 20
5 - 21
5 - 22
Efficiency of
Currency Futures and Options
If foreign exchange markets are efficient,
speculation in the currency futures and
options markets should not consistently
generate abnormally large profits.
5 - 24
Net Profit
per Unit
Net Profit
per Unit
+$.04
+$.04
+$.02
+$.02
0
$1.46
$.02
$.04
$1.50
$1.54
Future
Spot
Rate
Future
Spot
Rate
$1.46
$.02
$.04
$1.50
$1.54
5 - 25
Net Profit
per Unit
Net Profit
per Unit
+$.04
+$.04
Future
Spot
Rate
+$.02
0
$1.46
$1.50
+$.02
0
$1.54
$1.46
$.02
$.02
$.04
$.04
$1.50
$1.54
Future
Spot
Rate
5 - 26
Trigger
$1.74
Basic
Put
$1.76
$1.74
$1.72
$1.70
Premium
$0.02
$0.04
Conditional
Put
Conditional
Put
$1.68
$1.66
$1.66
$1.70
$1.74
$1.78
Spot
$1.82 Rate
5 - 28
5 - 29