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FOREX MARKET
The market for foreign exchange involves the
Purchase and sale of national currencies.
A foreign exchange market exists because
economies employ national currencies.
Market Quotes:
Direct - Indirect Quotes
The total sum is 200% because each currency trade always involves a currency pair.
$1= 1.62
1 = $0.617
$1 = 69
100= $ 1.449
$1 = .9478
1 = $ 1.09315
$1 = 114
100= $ .877
European terms
Foreign currency
units per dollar
Example $1 = Rs 69
$1 = .9478
An indirect quote in
the United State
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CROSS RATE
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Example 1
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CROSS RATES
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Cross-Rates
Direct Quote of Yen in USA
RULES
Rule 1
A =
X C
B
Ask ( B/A)
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RULES
Rule 1
=
X $
European
Quote
American
Quote
Bid ( /) =
Ask ( /) =
Rule 2
Bid ( /$) =
Ask ( $/ )
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Rule 2
Bid ( /$) =
Ask ( $/ )
This is because when we want to transact in
dollars (say) we use $1= Rs 60/ 64 . It means
when we want to sell $ we would get Rs 60 and
when want to buy $ we need to give Rs 64
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$1
From
trader/customer
/investor point of view
$/
From
trader/customer
/investor point of view
ASK ( bankers $
selling rate
66
67
$ selling rate
$ buying rate
buying rate
selling rate
1/67= $ .01492
1/66 = $.01515
selling rate
buying rate
$ buying rate
$ selling rate
Indian
direct
quote or
European
American
quote
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ASK ( bankers
selling rate
66
66.5
$ selling rate
$ buying rate
buying rate
selling rate
Indian direct
quote/
European
quote
$ 1.1
$ 1.12
American quote
From trader/customer
/investor point of view
selling rate
buying rate
$ buying rate
$ selling rate
66 X $1.1=
72.60
66.5X $1.12 =
74.48
/$
$1
From trader/customer
/investor point of view
$/
Indian direct
quote
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$1
From trader/customer
/investor point of view
$ /
From trader/customer
/investor point of view
BID ( bankers
buy rate
ASK ( bankers
selling rate
66
67
Indian direct
quote/
European
$ selling rate
$ buying rate
buying rate
selling rate
$ 1.52
$ 1.53
selling rate
buying rate
$ buying rate
$ selling rate
66 X $1.52=
100.32
American
quote
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$1
From trader/customer
/investor point of view
$ /
From trader/customer
/investor point of view
BID ( bankers
buy rate
ASK ( bankers
selling rate
66.2550
66.2600
$ selling rate
$ buying rate
buying rate
selling rate
$ 1.5211
$ 1.5279
selling rate
buying rate
$ buying rate
$ selling rate
66.255 X
$1.5211=
100.78
66.26 X
$1.5278 =
101.23
Indian direct
quote/
European
American
quote
Indian direct
quote
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$1
From trader/customer
/investor point of view
$/
From trader/customer
/investor point of view
BID ( bankers
buy rate
ASK ( bankers
selling rate
66
67
$ selling rate
$ buying rate
buying rate
selling rate
$ .0082
$ .0083
selling rate
buying rate
Indian direct
quote/
European
American
quote
$ buying rate
$ selling rate
66 X $.0082=
.5412
30
/$
$1
From trader/customer
/investor point of view
S$ /$
1$
BID ( bankers
buy rate
ASK ( bankers
selling rate
66
67
$ selling rate
$ buying rate
buying rate
selling rate
S$ 1.230
S$ 1.243
Indian direct
quote/
European
European
Quote
1 S$
$ .804
$ .813
American
Quote
66 X $.804=
=53.064
67X $ .813=
54.47
Indian direct
quote
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Exchange Rates
The exchange rate is the price that is
determined in the foreign exchange market.
Of course, there are many concepts of
exchange rate we can consider. These include:
Spot versus forward exchange rates versus
future exchange rates
Fixed versus flexible exchange rates
Nominal versus real exchange rate
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Forward premium
It's the price paid for hedging by buying
foreign currency in the forward market.
forward transactions take place at a premium
or discount to the spot rate.
The outright forward transactions are
over-the-counter transactions undertaken by
dealers. In India, it is generally the banks
that transact in forward markets.
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F= S * e
rh = continuously compounded interest
rates for the home currency
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49
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(rh-rf)*T
F= S * e
From the equation above the two year
forward rate should be
(.9-.3)*2
F = 60 *e
= 60 * 1.1275 = 67.75
Since future rate is not equal to 67.75
Arbitrage opportunity exists
Note : e12 = 1.1275
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60
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Supplier
Rupee Dep
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CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
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CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
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CURRENCY DERIVATIVES
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Lecture objectives
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Forward Market
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Forward Contracts
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Forward Market
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Forward Market
annualized forward premium/discount
= forward rate spot rate 360
spot rate
90-
90
Forward Market
annualized forward premium/discount
= forward rate spot rate 360
spot rate
90
FORWARD MARKET
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80
Forward Markets
Futures Markets
Contract size
Customized
Standardized.
Trading
Traded on Exchange
Participants
Settlement
Risk
Marketplace
Worldwide telephone
network.
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FUTURE EXAMPLES
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90
HEDGING- SHORT
If Dollar appreciates / strengthens in
exchange rate becomes $ 1= INR 63
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HEDGING- LONG
If Dollar appreciates / strengthens and If the Dollar weakens/ depreciates and
the exchange rate becomes 1$= INR
the exchange rate becomes 1$=INR 60
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Spot Market : Importer has to pay INR
Spot Market : importer will pay INR
6,30,00,000 by buying I million USD in the 6,00,00,000 by buying I million USD in
spot market
the spot market
Future Market : Importer will gain INR
( 63-62) *1000= INR 1000 per contract .
The total gain in 1000 contract s will
be INR 10,00,000
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Market rate
Exercise rate
call @ 63.5
Premium paid
Gain / loss
62.50
.50
-.50
63.00
.50
-.50
63.50
.50
-.50
64.00
.5
.50
64.50
.50
.50
65.00
1.5
.50
1.0
65.50
.50
1.50
When the spot exchange rate rises above the strike price , there are gains when
it falls below the strike price there losses which are maximum to the extent of
premium
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Market rate
Exercise rate
Put @ 63.5
Premium paid
Gain / loss
61.50
2.00
.50
1.50
62.00
1.50
.50
1.00
62.50
1.00
.50
.50
63.50
.50
-.50
64.00
.50
-.50
64.50
.50
-.50
When the spot exchange rate fall below the strike price , there are gains when it
rises above the strike price there losses which are maximum to the extent of
premium paid
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A CALL OPTION
A trader buys a call option on US dollar with a strike price of Rs.49.50
and pays a premium of Rs.1.50. The current spot rate, St, is Rs.48.50.
His gain/loss at time T when the option expires depends upon the value
of the spot rate, ST, at that time
USD/INR ST AT EXPIRY
48.2500
48.5000
48.7500
49.0000
49.2500
49.5000
49.7500
50.0000
51.0000
52.0000
54.5000
56.0000
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A PUT OPTION
A trader buys a put option on pound sterling at a strike price of
$1.8500, for a premium of $0.07 per sterling. The spot rate at the
time is $1.9465. At expiry, his gains/losses are as follows
GBP/USD ST AT EXPIRY
1.7000
1.7300
1.7500
1.7600
1.7800
1.7900
1.8300
1.8500
1.8700
1.9000
1.9500
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THANK YOU
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Thank you
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S $/ American Terms
S( /) =
S($/ ) American Terms
Notes:
Both are in American terms.
The first currency () goes into the denominator (bottom)
The second currency () goes into the numerator (top)
NOTE: By first currency, I mean the first currency in the spot formula, i.e., X, in S(X/Y).
Method 1: Example
Find S(/)How many yen for a euro?
If S($/) = 1.4497 and S($/) =0.009228
S $/ American Terms
1.4497
S(/ ) =
157.0980
S($/) American Terms 0.009228
Notes:
Both are in American terms.
The first currency () goes into the denominator (bottom)
The second currency () goes into the numerator (top)
= S(/)
Bid-Ask
Cross-Exchange Rates
Using Method 2
Multiply two bids to get a bid.
Multiply two asks to get an ask.
Example:
Sb (/) = Sb $/ Sb (/$)