Risk analysis:

analysis Risk matrix

Percept Demand
ion
Unprocessed Milk Flavoured Milk
Year % % share
growth
2006 - 2.5%
2007- 79% 7.7%
2009
2010- 23.1% 11.7%
2:UHT 2012 1st: Ice-
Strong competition1st:Juices cream(Wal
ls)

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Risk analysis
Exchange
rate risk
Current
exchange
rate Rs 89.5:
US $1

Expected to
rise to Rs 95:
US $1 by
2013

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purchase
Wht Financial
price:
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y
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 Risk analysis
2nd most Business and
variable
Coe Financial risk 10%
10% Projecti
High
Var dec ons inc
Business Risk via
ROIC 0.09 0.32 0.12
Risk ROE 0.31 0.46 0.25 leverage
EBIT 0.40 0.60 0.65 &
EPS most EPS 0.19 0.58 0.35 Debt
variable Mean 10% Projecti 10% Financin
inancial risk dec ons inc g
Highest ROIC 8.42 16.81% 9.25%
%
ROE 8.48 21.25% 8.68%
%
EPS 0.66 2.67 0.92
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Risk analysis:
analysis Risk matrix
Economic
Indicators
GDP growth
2011: 2.39%
Infaltion: 10.2%
Nov-2011
Interest rate:
12% 2011

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