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RECENT TRENDS IN
BIDDING
Presented
by
Rajiv Malhotra
COO
Power Summit
2008 Athena Energy Ventures Private Limit
Kathmandu An initiative of PTC, IDFC and Athena
Outline
Outcomes Achieved
Possible Futures
Features of Infrastructure
Projects
1. Complexity; interfaces with other systems likely
Outcomes Achieved
Possible Futures
India; chronology of Policy /
Regulation impacting Pvt.HEP
Business
1.Pre 2003; early and late 90s: Negotiations for
small and medium size HEPs, Bidding route
initiated in early 2000s.
2.Electricity Act 2003: Gave a framework for
development of new capacity on competitive
basis, puts statutory responsibility on
Regulators for market development, also
includes concept of Statutory policy (mainly
Electricity and Tariff Policies
3.National Electricity Policy 2005: Hydro
power development through private
participation, stresses on the need successful
models for Public Private Partnership.
India; chronology of Policy /
Regulation impacting Pvt.HEP
Business (contd)
5. Competitive Bidding Guidelines 2005 provide
for two situations: Case-1 (where the location,
technology, or fuel is not specified) and Case-
2 (For hydro-power projects, load center
projects or other location specific projects with
specific fuel allocation such as captive mines )
6. National Tariff Policy 2006: Made
competitive bidding mandatory on above
guidelines
7. Scenario since 2006: (modified) Premium
based bidding by State Govts. (most
preferred), Case-1 and Case-2 (no instance of
an HEP initiated yet)
8. New Hydro Policy 2008: stated objective of
A Brief Overview of Hydro Power
Development in India
1. States were entrusted the task of hydro power
development. Initially projects were awarded through
the MOU route.
2. After 1974 CPSUs were established to share the
responsibility.
3. Till 1990 hydro power in the country was in the hand of
Govt. After 1991, private participation invited and has
been increasing.
4. From Feb, 1995, bidding for award of power projects to
private sector was made mandatory. Policy revised in
August 1998, and projects up to 100 MW allowed to
come through the Negotiation Route.
5. TEC is not required for projects, capital cost upto Rs.
500 crores in all cases and Rs. 2500 Cr., if project is
allocated through transparent process of bidding and
included in National Electricity Plan.
6. Hydro Policy, 2008 seeks to dispense with the
Uttaranchal (2002): the first of the
Competitive Bidding Experiences
Outcomes Achieved
Possible Futures
Recent Trends on Bidding: Bidding
Parameters
Parameter Arunachal Himachal Pradesh
Pradesh (AP) (HP)
Year 2007 2008
Capacity* 8020 MW (13 Projects) 1968 MW (17 Projects)
Basis Boot Basis (40 Years) Boot Basis (40 Years)
Free Power# Min. 12% 12%/18%/30%...12/12-
30/30-40 Years
Upfront Min. INR 0.15 MM/MW for INR 2 MM/MW (Fixed)
Premium 500 MW
State Govt. To be Offered by the Govt. Has Rights upto 49%
Equity Developer Equity
Net-Worth INR 750 Cr. Adequate (Figures Not
Mentioned)
*In the bid by AP, min size of the project was 150 MW and max was 3000 MW. PFRs of many projects were provided by the State. In
HP min size was 7 MW and max was 484 MW. PFR for 4 projects cumulative to 117 MW was provided and for 13 projects cumulative to
1851 MW was not available.
#In AP additional free power more than 12% had to be offered by bidder. In HP fixed % of free Power corresponding to slabs of years
was specified.
Few other States including Sikkim, Meghalaya had allotted projects as per their power policies.
Recent Trends on Bidding: Bidding
Parameters
Major Issues
1.The uncertainty about mode and cost of power transmission in hilly areas is high.
(Modified) Premium based bidding effectively burdens on the project cost. The core
objective of providing power at most economic price gets defeated; also makes projects
less financeable.
2.Information available is inadequate: Developers are provided with a PFR (and
sometimes even PFR may not be available. DPR quality Survey and investigation are
completed much later .
3.Construction of large hydro projects gets delayed mainly due to delay in land
acquisition and lack of law and order in remote areas. State Govt., before bidding
assure only site and not land availability.
4.Developers experience Lack of coordination between various government departments
and lack of uniform policy.
Suggestions
1.PPP model is appropriate (but freeze it upfront) in most situations. Governments equity
in the project has advantages:
a.Easy grant of various State clearances.
b.Government earn additional revenue as dividends with part / no investment, as
developer may arrange part-financing of Governments equity.
Outline
Outcomes Achieved
Possible Futures
Benchmarking the Bid Processes; a
Framework
Outcomes Achieved
Possible Futures
Will we get what we set out to
do?
1.Does the process adopted differentiate between
a Winners Pay-Off and a Winners Curse
situation? Should the process attract bids for
project development or encourage speculation
and irrational behavior?
2. Does a financial model and its sensitivities
capture all the uncertainties added by a lack of
execution experience? (should the capability
check not be more comprehensive?)
A Common Anthem;
we are not looking at only this project.
There are several options that we can play
with.
Some Reality Checks
1.The Complexity of hydro power projects takes
more than just mobilisation of resources. The
quality of execution teams has been noted to
be a Key Success Factor.
2. How deep is the merchant power
opportunity?
- Even exchange traded power touches the range
of Rs.10/kWh
- Remember its a miniscule proportion of even
the short term market (which is itself only about
3% of total generation)
- Pricing in the exchange can vary from Rs.8 plus
for an hour today to `no deal during the same
hour tomorrow
.and HEPs produce a fair part of output during
Heard in passing..