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Module 5:
Probability
4 13.25 0.35 0.50
5 14.05 0.45
0.25
6 14.45 0.55
7 15.58 0.65 0.10
0.05
8 16.19 0.75
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
9 17.17 0.85 Data
LSL
C pl lower specification only
3
Illustration
Suppose the low specification limit of yarn strength are given as
14.50 - 4 cN.tex-1. As the process standard deviation is not given,
we need to estimate this
f x cN-1 .tex
R 3.110
1.0104
d2 3.078
We assume that the yarn
strength follows normal
distribution with mean at
14.50 cN.tex-1 and standard
deviation at 1.0104 cN.tex-1.
14.5 10.5
C pl 1.3196
3 1.0104 10.5 14.5 xcN.tex 1
LSL
That is, 75.78% of the specifications width is used by the process.
Process Capability Ratio Versus Process Fallout [1]
Assumptions: Process
Capability
Process Fallout (in defective parts per million)
One sided Two sided specifications
Ratio
specifications
1) The quality characteristic 0.25 226,628 453,255
is normally distributed. 0.50 66,807 133,614
0.60 35,931 71,861
2) The process is in statistical 0.70 17,865 35,729
USL LSL
C pk min C pu , C pl min ,
3 3
Interpretations
1) When Cpk=Cp then the process is centered at the midpoint of the
specifications.
2) When Cpk<Cp then the process is running off center.
3) When Cpk=0, the process mean is exactly equal to one of the
specification limits.
4) When Cpk<0 then the process mean lies outside the specification
limit.
5) When Cpk<-1 then the entire process lies outside the specification
limits.
Illustration
Suppose the specifications of yarn strength are given as 144 cN.tex-1.
Process A B
Mean 50.0 cN 57.5 cN
Standard 5.0 cN 2.5 cN
deviation
Specification 35cN, 65cN 35cN, 65cN
limits
Cp 1 2
Cpk 1 1
USL LSL
C pm
6
6 1 1
Measure of Process Capability: Cpmk
For non-centered process mean, the modified process capability ratio
is
USL LSL
C pmk min ,
3 3
USL LSL
C pmk min ,
2
3 1 T 3 1 T
2
Illustration
Take the example of process A and process B. Here T=50 cN. Then,
Process A B
Mean 50.0 cN 57.5 cN
Standard 5.0 cN 2.5 cN
deviation
Specification 35cN, 65cN 35cN, 65cN
limits
Cp 1 2
Cpk 1 1
Cpm 1 0.63
Cpmk 1 0.1582
Note to Non-normal Process Output
An important assumption underlying the earlier expressions and
interpretations of process capability ratio are based on a normal
distribution of process output. If the underlying distribution is non-
normal then
1) Use suitable transformation to see if the data can be reasonably
regarded as taken from a population following normal distribution.
2) For non-normal data, find out the standard capability index
USL LSL
C pc
6 E x T
2
1
where T USL LSL
2
Note to Non-normal Process Output
3) For non-normal data, use quantile based process capability ratio
USL LSL
Cp q
x0.99865 x0.00135
x0.00135 3
x0.99865 3
12 2,n1 2 2,n1
C p C p C p
n 1 n 1
USL LSL
C pk min ,
3s 3 s
1 1 1 1
C pk 1 u 2 C pk C pk 1 u 2
9nPCRk 2
2 n 1
9nPCRk 2
2 n 1
Example
Suppose the specifications of yarn strength are given as 14.504
cN.tex-1. A random sample of 450 yarn specimens exhibits mean yarn
strength as 14.57 cN.tex-1 and standard deviation of yarn strength as
1.23 cN tex-1. Then, the 95% confidence interval on process capability
ratio is found as follows
18.5 14.57 14.57 10.5
C pk min , 1.07
3 1.23 3 1.23
1 1 1 1
1.07 1 1.96 C pk 1.07 1 1.96
9 450 1.07 2 2 450 1 9 450 1.07 2
2 450 1
0.991190 C pk 1.148810
Test of Hypothesis about Cp
Many a times the suppliers are required to demonstrate the process
capability as a part of contractual agreement. It is then necessary
that Cp exceeds a particular target value say Cp0. Then the statements
of hypotheses are formulated as follows.
H: Cp=Cpo (The process is not capable.)
HA: Cp>Cpo (The process is capable.)
The supplier would like to reject H thereby demonstrating that the
process is capable. The test can be formulated in terms of C p in
such a way that H will be rejected if C p exceeds a critical value C.
A table of sample sizes and critical values of C to assist in testing
process capability is available.
Test of Hypothesis about Cp (Continued)
The Cp(high) is Sample ==0.10 ==0.05
defined as a size Cp(high)/Cp C/Cp(low) Cp(high)/ C/Cp(low)
process (low) Cp(low)
capability that is 10 1.88 1.27 2.26 1.37
accepted with 20 1.53 1.20 1.73 1.26
probability 1- 30 1.41 1.16 1.55 1.21
and Cp(low) is 40 1.34 1.14 1.46 1.18
defined as a 50 1.30 1.13 1.40 1.16
process 60 1.27 1.11 1.36 1.15
capability that is 70 1.25 1.10 1.33 1.14
likely to be
80 1.23 1.10 1.30 1.13
rejected with
90 1.21 1.10 1.28 1.12
probability 1-.
100 1.20 1.09 1.26 1.11
Example
A fabric producer has instructed a yarn supplier that, in order to
qualify for business with his company, the supplier must
demonstrate that his process capability exceeds Cp=1.33. Thus, the
supplier is interested in establishing a procedure to test the
hypothesis
H: Cp=1.33
HA: Cp>1.33
The supplier wants to be sure that if the process capability is below
1.33 there will be a high probability of detecting this (say, 0.90),
whereas if the process capability exceeds 1.66 there will be a high
probability of judging the process capable (again, say 0.90).
Then, Cp(low)=1.33, Cp(high)=1.66, and ==0.10.
Example (Continued)
Let us first find out the sample size n and the critical value C.
C p High 1.66
1.25
C p Low 1.33