Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Challenges
(Motril, 2005)
J. W. Kamphuis
Queens University
Kingston, ON, Canada
K7L 3N6
kamphuis@civil.queensu.ca
J.W. Kamphuis - Coastal Challenges 1
Challenges for
Coastal Morphology and
Evolution
(I cheat a little)
Bulk
Direct measurements
0.1
0.01
Qcalc
Eq. 7
0.73
1.27
0.001
0.001 0.01 0.1
Measured Transport Rate (kg/sec under water)
Larger
Calculated Transport Rate (kg/sec under water)
100
Uncertainty !
10
0.1 Verification !
Qcalc
Eq. 7
0.01
0.73
1.27
0.001
0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000
Measured Transport Rate (kg/sec under water)
100
10
Model
0.1 Field
Eq. 12
CERC
VHP-Irr
0.01 VHP-Reg
0.001
0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000
Measured Sediment Transport Rate (kg/sec)
100
Same scatter !
10
1
Model
Field
LM
0.1 IR
Miller
Balouin
Eq. 12
0.01
0.001
0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000
Measured Sediment Transport Rate (kg/sec)
Bulk
Direct measurements
Inferred
900 More-or-Less
800
Unidirectional Transport
Sediment Transported (1000 m3)
700
600
500
400
300
V(Eq. 15)
200
V(Cosmos)
Vmin
100
Vmax
0
0 50 100 150 200 250
Time (days)
40000
Low with respect to
30000
y=x
DHI model
Eq 15 Transport Rate (m3/day)
20000
10000
-10000
-20000
-30000
-40000
-50000
-50000 -40000 -30000 -20000 -10000 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000
DHI Transport Rate (m3/day)
3000 y=x
2000
Eq 15 Transport Rate (m3/day)
1000
y = 0.94x
-1000 R2 = 0.62
-2000
-3000
-4000
-2000 -1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 2000
DHI Transport Rate (m3/day)
Interpretation
20
15
10
Qcalc
5
Qmeas
-5
-10
-15
1 2 3 4 5
Region
J.W. Kamphuis - Coastal Challenges 14
Sediment Transport at Richards Bay, South Africa
2000
Qnet = Pavg ?
1500
Sediment Transport (1000 m3/yr)
1000
500
P+D
(P+D)avg
P = Profiling the beaches
P
0 D = Dredged Material
Pavg
Q = Eq. 15
Q(net)
Q (north)
-500
1979 1980 1981 1982 1983
Year
J.W. Kamphuis - Coastal Challenges 15
So?
Simplest Calculation Bulk
Sediment Transport is:
Crude
Not good
Bulk
Direct measurements
Inferred
Detailed
Hs = 1.0 m
0.00001
0 0.5 1 1.5 2
Um (m/s)
No
Credibility
So how can we improve on this
very basic computation (and
other unknowns)?
costs
Making experiments more
transportable
Use new or different technologies
And
Is it economically justified?
Operational (construction,
Data
Model
Cumulative
more uncertainty
Cause projects to be challenged
frequency, duration)
Handling, transcription, etc.
not improving)
Numerical methods (improving)
Recreation
Decrease in
Nearshore Depth Ports
ZooPlankton Benthic
Community
Fish Fishing
Birds
Mammals
J.W. Kamphuis - Coastal Challenges 35
Another Secondary Chain of
Impacts:
New Sea-Land Interface
Feeding
Island Birds Airport
Breeding
Mammals
Near-Field
Far-Field
J.W. Kamphuis - Coastal Challenges 37
Contemporary Decision Making Process
(GAMSI) Decision
J.W. Kamphuis - Coastal Challenges 38
Suggestions
to reduce Process
Uncertainty
Uncertainty
Near-Field
Short Term Far-Field
Long Term
J.W. Kamphuis - Coastal Challenges 42
Suggestion
Uncertainty
Data
Input Cal-Ver Monitoring
Computational
Physical Model Module
Physical Model
Physical Model(s) Numerical Model(s)
Output
J.W. Kamphuis - Coastal Challenges 47
Integration
Composite Model
Processes are modelled
physically and/or numerically
models must be trustworthy representations
Process model results forms the bricks
simple, inexpensive, easy to understand tests
generic tests and results
repeatable results
repeated tests
Data
Input Cal-Ver Monitoring
Computational Output
Module
Model
B.C.
Results
Process Models
Co-operation between:
Coastal scientists and engineers
Coastal managers with scientists and
engineers
Coastal scientists and engineers with
related coastal disciplines
Universities with consultants and
contractors
Sharing of technology (as EU)
Technology Platforms
C of Es set up and manage
Information is sold by shareholders
Information is sold to shareholders
Only contributors benefit