Você está na página 1de 41

Place Slide Title Text Here

JOHN R. SCHERMERHORN, JR.


MANAGEMENT
12th Edition

Chapter 7

The Decision-Making
Process
2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-1
Planning
Place Ahead
Slide Chapter
Title Text Here 7 Study Questions

1. What is the role of information in the management


process?
2. How do managers use information to make
decisions?
3. What are the steps in the decision-making
process?
4. What are the current issues in managerial decision
making?

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-2
Chapter
Place Slide 7 Learning
Title Text Here Dashboard

1. Information, Technology, and Management


1. What is useful information?
2. Information systems and business intelligence
3. Information needs in organizations
4. How information technology is changing organizations
2. Information and Managerial Decisions
1. Managers as information processors
2. Managers as problem solvers
3. Types of managerial decisions
4. Decision conditions

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-3
Chapter
Place Slide 7 Learning
Title Text Here Dashboard

3. The Decision-Making Process


1. Step 1 Identify and Define the Problem
2. Step 2 Generate and Evaluate Alternative Courses of Action
3. Step 3 Decide on a Preferred Course of Action
4. Step 4 Implement the Decision
5. Step 5 Evaluate Results
6. At All Steps Check Ethical Reasoning
4. Issues in Managerial Decision Making
1. Decision errors and traps
2. Creativity in decision making

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-4
Takeaway
Place Slide1:Title
Information, Technology, & Management
Text Here

Information, Technology, & Management


Managers must have
Technological competency
Ability to understand new technologies and to use them to
their best advantage
Information competency
Ability to locate, gather, organize, and display information for
decision making and problem solving
Analytical competency
Ability to evaluate and analyze information to make actual
decisions and solve real problems

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-5
Takeaway
Place Slide1:Title
Information, Technology, & Management
Text Here

What is useful information?


Data
Raw facts and observations
Information
Data made useful and meaningful for decision
making
Information drives management functions

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-6
Takeaway
Place Slide1:Title
Information, Technology, & Management
Text Here

Characteristics of useful information:


Timely
High quality
Complete
Relevant
Understandable
Analytics: systematic gathering and
processing of data to make it useful as
information

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-7
Takeaway
Place Slide1:Title
Information, Technology, & Management
Text Here

Information systems and business intelligence


Management information systems
Use IT to collect, organize, and distribute data for use
in decision making
Business intelligence
Taps information systems to extract and report data in
organized ways that are helpful to decision makers

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-8
Takeaway
Place Slide1:Title
Information, Technology, & Management
Text Here

Executive dashboards
Visually update and display key
performance indicators and information
on a real-time basis

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-9
Takeaway
Place Slide1:Title
Information, Technology, & Management
Text Here

Information needs in organizations


Information exchanges with the external
environment:
Gather intelligence information
Provide public information
Information exchanges within the organization:
Facilitate decision making
Facilitate problem solving

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-10
Takeaway 1: Information, Technology, & Management
Place Slide Title Text Here

Implications of IT for
Implications of IT within
relationships with external
organizations:
environment:
Helps with customer Facilitation of
relationship management communication and
Helps organizations with information sharing
supply chain management Operating with fewer
Helps in monitoring middle managers
outsourcing and other Flattening of organizational
business contracts structures
Faster decision making
Increased coordination and
control

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-11
Place Slide Title Text Here
Figure 7.1 Internal and external information
needs in organizations

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-12
Place Slide Title Text Here
Figure 7.2 Information technology is breaking
barriers and changing organizations

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-13
Takeaway
Place Slide 2: Information
Title and Managerial Decisions
Text Here

Information and Managerial Decisions


Managers as Information Processors
Continually gather, give, and receive
information
Now as much electronic as it is face to face
Always on, always connected

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-14
Place Slide Title Text Here
Figure 7.3 The manager as an information-
processing nerve center

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-15
Takeaway
Place Slide 2: Information
Title and Managerial Decisions
Text Here

Problem solving
The process of identifying a discrepancy between actual
and desired performance and taking action to resolve it

Performance Performance
Decision
threat opportunity
A choice among Situation offers
Something is
possible the chance for a
wrong or has
alternative better future if
the potential to
courses of the right steps
go wrong
action are taken

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-16
Takeaway
Place Slide 2: Information
Title and Managerial Decisions
Text Here

Problem-solving approaches or styles:

Problem avoiders Problem solvers Problem seekers


Inactive in information Reactive in gathering Proactive in
gathering and solving information and anticipating problems
problems solving problems and opportunities and
taking appropriate
action to gain an
advantage

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-17
Takeaway
Place Slide 2: Information
Title and Managerial Decisions
Text Here

Systematic versus intuitive thinking

Systematic Intuitive
thinking thinking
approaches approaches
problems in a problems in a
rational, step-by- flexible and
step, and spontaneous
analytical fashion fashion

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-18
Takeaway
Place Slide 2: Information
Title and Managerial Decisions
Text Here

Multidimensional thinking applies both


intuitive and systematic thinking
Effective multidimensional thinking
requires skill at strategic opportunism

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-19
Takeaway
Place Slide 2: Information
Title and Managerial Decisions
Text Here

Managers use different cognitive styles

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-20
Takeaway
Place Slide 2: Information
Title and Managerial Decisions
Text Here

Types of problems
Structured problems are ones that are familiar,
straightforward, and clear with respect to
information needs
Programmed decisions apply solutions that are
readily available from past experiences to solve
structured problems

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-21
Takeaway
Place Slide 2: Information
Title and Managerial Decisions
Text Here

Types of problems
Unstructured problems are ones that are
full of ambiguities and information
deficiencies
Nonprogrammed decisions apply a specific
solution to meet the demands of a unique
problem
Commonly faced by higher-level
management
2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-22
Takeaway
Place Slide 2: Information
Title and Managerial Decisions
Text Here

Crisis decision making


A crisis involves an unexpected problem
that can lead to disaster if not resolved
quickly and appropriately

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-23
Takeaway
Place Slide 2: Information
Title and Managerial Decisions
Text Here

Rules for crisis management:

Figure out what is going on


Remember that speed matters
Remember that slow counts, too
Respect the danger of the unfamiliar
Value the skeptic
Be ready to fight fire with fire

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-24
Takeaway
Place Slide 2: Information
Title and Managerial Decisions
Text Here

Managers make decisions with various amounts of information

Certain environment

offers complete information on possible action


alternatives and their consequences

Risk environment

lacks complete information but offers probabilities of


the likely outcomes for possible action alternatives

Uncertain environment

lacks so much information that it is difficult to assign


probabilities to the likely outcomes of alternatives

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-25
Place Slide Title Text Here
Figure 7.4 Three environments for managerial
decision making and problem solving

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-26
Place Slide Title Text Here
Figure 7.5 Steps in managerial decision making and
problem solving

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-27
Takeaway
Place 3 : The
Slide Title TextDecision-Making
Here Process

Step 1 Identify and define the problem


Focuses on information gathering, information
processing, and deliberation
Decision objectives should be established
Common mistakes in defining problems:
Defining the problem too broadly or too narrowly
Focusing on symptoms instead of causes
Choosing the wrong problem

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-28
Takeaway
Place 3 : The
Slide Title TextDecision-Making
Here Process

Step 2 Generate and Evaluate Alternative


Courses of Action
Potential solutions are formulated and more
information is gathered, data are analyzed, the
advantages and disadvantages of alternative
solutions are identified
Approaches for evaluating alternatives:
Stakeholder analysis
Cost-benefit analysis

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-29
Takeaway
Place 3 : The
Slide Title TextDecision-Making
Here Process

Step 2 Generate and Evaluate Possible


Courses of Action (cont.)
Criteria for evaluating alternatives:
Benefits
Costs
Timeliness
Acceptability
Ethical soundness

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-30
Takeaway
Place 3 : The
Slide Title TextDecision-Making
Here Process

Step 2 Generate and Evaluate


Possible Courses of Action (cont.)
Common mistakes:
Abandoning the search for alternatives
too quickly

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-31
Takeaway
Place 3 : The
Slide Title TextDecision-Making
Here Process

Step 3 Decide on a Preferred Course


of Action
Two different approaches
Behavioral model leads to satisficing
decisions
Classical model leads to optimizing decisions

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-32
Place Slide Title Text Here
Figure 7.6 Differences in the classical and behavioral
decision-making models

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-33
Takeaway
Place 3 : The
Slide Title TextDecision-Making
Here Process

Step 4 Implement the Decision


Involves taking action to make sure the solution
decided upon becomes a reality
Managers need to have willingness and ability to
implement action plans
Lack-of-participation error should be avoided

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-34
Takeaway
Place 3 : The
Slide Title TextDecision-Making
Here Process

Step 5 Evaluate Results


Involves comparing actual and desired results
Positive and negative consequences of chosen
course of action should be examined
If actual results fall short of desired results, the
manager returns to earlier steps in the decision-
making process

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-35
Takeaway
Place 3 : The
Slide Title TextDecision-Making
Here Process

At all steps, check ethical reasoning!


Ask these spotlight questions

Utility Does the decision satisfy all constituents


or stakeholders?

Rights Does the decision respect the rights and


duties of everyone?

Justice Is the decision consistent with the


canons of justice?

Caring Is the decision consistent with my


responsibilities to care?

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-36
Takeaway
Place 4: Issues
Slide Title Textin Managerial
Here Decision Making

Issues in decision making


How do decision errors happen?
Heuristics are strategies for simplifying
decision making

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-37
Takeaway
Place 4: Issues
Slide Title in Managerial
Text Here Decision Making

Availability Bias
Bases a decision on recent information or events

Representativeness Bias
Bases a decision on similarity to other situations

Anchoring and Adjustment Bias


Bases a decision on incremental adjustment from a prior decision point

Framing Error
Trying to solve a problem in the context in a positive or negative context

Confirmation Error
Focusing on information that confirms a decision already made

Escalating Commitment
Continuing a course of action even though it is not working

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-38
Takeaway
Place 4: Issues
Slide Title in Managerial
Text Here Decision Making

Creative Decision making:


Creativity is the generation of a novel idea or
unique approach that solves a problem or crafts
an opportunity
Big-C creativity occurs when extraordinary things are
done by exceptional people
Little-C creativity occurs when average people come
up with unique ways to deal with daily events and
situations

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-39
Takeaway
Place 4: Issues
Slide Title Textin Managerial
Here Decision Making

Personal creativity drivers

Task
Motivation
Task Creativity
Expertise Skills

Creativity

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-40
Takeaway
Place 4: Issues
Slide Title Textin Managerial
Here Decision Making

Situational creativity drivers

Management
Support

Team Organizational
Creativity
Skills Culture

Creativity

2013 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved. 7-41

Você também pode gostar