Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
1
Time Value Topics
Future value
Present value
Rates of return
Amortization
2
Time Value Basic Concepts
Time lines
Future value / Present value of lump sum
FV / PV of annuity
Perpetuities
Uneven CF stream
Compounding periods
Nominal / Effective / Periodic rates
Amortization
3
Determinants of Intrinsic Value:
The Present Value Equation
Weighted average
cost of capital
(WACC)
0 1 2 3
I%
0 1 2 Year
I%
100
6
Time line for an ordinary
annuity of $100 for 3 years
0 1 2 3
I%
7
Time line for uneven CFs
0 1 2 3
I%
-50 100 75 50
8
Compounding $$
0 1 2 3
10%
100 FV = ?
Finding FVs (moving to the right
on a time line) is called compounding.
10
After 1 year
11
After 2 years
12
After 3 years
In general,
FVN = PV(1 + I)N
13
Four Ways to Find FVs
Step-by-step approach using time line
(as shown in Slides 7-10).
Solve the equation with a regular
calculator (formula approach).
Use a financial calculator.
Use a spreadsheet.
14
Financial calculator: HP10BII
Adjust display brightness: hold down
ON and push + or .
Set number of decimal places to
display: Orange Shift key, then DISP
key (in orange), then desired decimal
places (e.g., 3).
To temporarily show all digits, hit
Orange Shift key, then DISP, then =.
15
HP10BII (Continued)
To permanently show all digits, hit
ORANGE shift, then DISP, then . (period
key).
Set decimal mode: Hit ORANGE shift,
then ./, key. Note: many non-US
countries reverse the US use of
decimals and commas when writing a
number.
16
HP10BII: Set Time Value
Parameters
To set END (for cash flows occurring at
the end of the year), hit ORANGE shift
key, then BEG/END.
To set 1 payment per period, hit 1, then
ORANGE shift key, then P/YR.
17
Financial Calculator Solution
PV (1+I)N = FVN
INPUTS 3 10 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 133.10
19
After 4 years
PV = $100
N=4
i = 10%
FV = ? = $146.41
20
After 4 years, but different
compounding per year
Semi-annual Quarterly
PV = $100 PV = $100
N = 4 yrs x 2 = 8 periods N = 4 yrs x 4 = 16 periods
i = 10% / 2 = 5% per period i = 10% / 4 = 2.5% per period
FV = ? = FV = ? =
21
Spreadsheet Solution
Use FV function: see spreadsheet in
Ch04 Mini Case.xls
22
Discounting $$
0 1 2 3
10%
PV = ? 110
24
Solve FVN = PV(1 + I )N for PV
FVN N
1
PV = = FVN
(1+I)N 1+I
110 1
PV =
1.10
PV= $110
25
Whats the PV of $110 due in 1
year if I/YR = 10%?
Annual Compounding Semi-annually
FV = $110 FV = $110
N = 1 yr N = 1 yr x 2 = 2 periods
i = 10% i = 10% / 2 = 5.0% per period
PV = ? = FV = ? =
26
Whats the PV of $100 due in
3 years if I/YR = 10%?
0 1 2 3
10%
PV = ? 100
27
Solve FVN = PV(1 + I )N for PV
FVN N
1
PV = = FVN
(1+I)N 1+I
1
3
PV = $100
1.10
= $100(0.7513) = $75.13
28
Financial Calculator Solution
INPUTS 3 10 0 100
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -75.13
30
Cash Flow signs
Investing $ today Borrowing $ today
Outlay (invest) $ today in Take in (borrow) $ today
FV = <->
Periods or Interest Rate unknown
0 1 2 ?
20%
-1 2
FV = PV(1 + I)N
34
Time to Double (Continued)
$2 = $1(1 + 0.20)N
(1.2)N = $2/$1 = 2
N LN(1.2) = LN(2)
N = LN(2)/LN(1.2)
N = 0.693/0.182 = 3.8
35
Financial Calculator Solution
INPUTS 20 -1 0 2
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 3.8
36
Spreadsheet Solution
Use NPER function: see spreadsheet in
Ch04 Mini Case.xls
37
Solve for Interest Rate
0 1 2 3
?%
-1 2
FV = PV(1 +I)N
$2 = $1(1 + I)3
(2)(1/3) = (1 + I)
1.2599 = (1 + I)
I= 0.2599 = 25.99%
38
Financial Calculator
INPUTS 3 -1 0 2
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 25.99
39
Spreadsheet Solution
Use RATE function:
40
Ordinary Annuity vs. Annuity Due
Ordinary Annuity
0 1 2 3
I%
0 1 2 3
10%
INPUTS 3 10 0 -100
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 331.00
47
Whats the PV of this ordinary
annuity?
0 1 2 3
10%
INPUTS 3 10 100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -248.69
51
Find the FV and PV if the
annuity were an annuity due.
0 1 2 3
10%
52
PV and FV of Annuity Due
vs. Ordinary Annuity
PV of annuity due:
= (PV of ordinary annuity) (1+I)
= ($248.69) (1+ 0.10) = $273.56
FV of annuity due:
= (FV of ordinary annuity) (1+I)
= ($331.00) (1+ 0.10) = $364.10
53
PV of Annuity Due: Switch
from End to Begin
BEGIN Mode
INPUTS 3 10 100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -273.55
54
FV of Annuity Due: Switch
from End to Begin
BEGIN Mode
INPUTS 3 10 0 100
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -364.10
55
Excel Function for Annuities
Due
Change the formula to:
=PV(0.10,3,-100,0,1)
=FV(0.10,3,-100,0,1)
56
Retirement problem for you
Scenario Solution
Want to retire in 35 years Pmt = $2500
Deposit (invest) $2500 N= 35
year into an S&P 500 i = 12.1%
Index fund (which returns FV = ? = $1,104,853
12.1% annually)
How much will you have
to retire on in 35 years? $2500/yr x 35 yrs =
$87,500 total cash outlay
How much cash did you
have to outlay in total to
accumulate that much?
Retirement problem for your friend
the slacker
Scenario Solution
Want to retire with you in Pmt = $2500
35 years, but is ski bum & N= 20
fails to save his 1st 15 years
i = 12.1%
Deposit (invest) $2500 year
into an S&P 500 Index fund FV = ? = $182,231
(which returns 12.1%
annually)
$2500/yr x 20 yrs =
How much will you have to $50,000 total cash outlay
retire on in 35 years?
How much cash did you
have to outlay in total to $1,104,853 vs. $182,231
accumulate that much?
What is the PV of this
uneven cash flow stream?
0 1 2 3 4
10%
60
Financial calculator: HP10BII
(more)
To see current cash flow in list, hit RCL
CFj CFj
To see previous CF, hit RCL CFj
To see subsequent CF, hit RCL CFj +
To see CF 0-9, hit RCL CFj 1 (to see CF 1).
To see CF 10-14, hit RCL CFj . (period) 1
(to see CF 11).
61
CF & HP
63
Whats PV of this 3-yr, $100 per yr CF
Stream, 10%=I, semi-annual
compounding?
10%
0 1 2 3
= PV
64
Nominal rate (INOM)
Stated in contracts, and quoted by
banks and brokers.
Not used in calculations or shown on
time lines
Periods per year (M) must be given.
Examples:
8%; Quarterly
8%, Daily interest (365 days)
65
Periodic rate (IPER )
IPER = INOM/M, where M is number of compounding
periods per year. M = 4 for quarterly, 12 for monthly,
and 360 or 365 for daily compounding.
Used in calculations, shown on time lines.
Examples:
8% quarterly: IPER = 8%/4 = 2%.
8% daily (365): IPER = 8%/365 = 0.021918%.
66
The Impact of Compounding
Will the FV of a lump sum be larger or
smaller if we compound more often,
holding the stated I% constant?
Why?
67
The Impact of Compounding
(Answer)
LARGER!
68
FV Formula with Different
Compounding Periods
MN
INOM
FVN = PV 1 +
M
69
$100 at a 12% nominal rate with
semiannual compounding for 5 years
MN
INOM
FVN = PV 1 +
M
2x5
0.12
FV5S = $100 1 +
2
= $100(1.06)10 = $179.08
70
FV of $100 at a 12% nominal rate for
5 years with different compounding
71
Nominal vs. Effective Rates
(APR vs. EAR or Eff)
$100 today, 10% nominal rate compounded
annually vs. semi-annually.
Effective Annual Rate (EAR =
EFF%)
The EAR is the annual rate that causes
PV to grow to the same FV as under
multi-period compounding.
73
Effective Annual Rate Example
Example: Invest $1 for one year at 12%,
semiannual:
FV = PV(1 + INOM/M)M
FV = $1 (1.06)2 = $1.1236.
EFF% = 12.36%, because $1 invested for
one year at 12% semiannual compounding
would grow to the same value as $1 invested
for one year at 12.36% annual compounding.
74
Comparing Rates
An investment with monthly payments
is different from one with quarterly
payments. Must put on EFF% basis to
compare rates of return. Use EFF%
only for comparisons.
Banks say interest paid daily. Same
as compounded daily.
75
EFF% for a nominal rate of 12%,
compounded semiannually
M
INOM
EFF% = 1 + 1
M
2
0.12
= 1 + 1
2
= (1.06)2 - 1.0
= 0.1236 = 12.36%.
76
Finding EFF with HP10BII
Type in nominal rate, then Orange Shift
key, then NOM% key (in orange).
Type in number of periods, then Orange
Shift key, then P/YR key (in orange).
To find effective rate, hit Orange Shift
key, then EFF% key (in orange).
77
EAR (or EFF%) for a Nominal
Rate of 12% (APR)
EARAnnual = 12%.
78
Can effective rate ever be
equal to nominal?
Yes, but only if annual compounding is
used, i.e., if p/yr = 1.
If p/yr > 1, EFF% will always be greater
than nominal.
79
When is each rate used?
80
When is each rate used?
(Continued)
81
When is each rate used?
(Continued)
EAR (or EFF%): Used to compare
returns on investments with different
payments per year.
Used for calculations if and only if
dealing with annuities where payments
dont match interest compounding
periods.
82
Fractional Time Periods
On January 1 you deposit $100 in an
account that pays a nominal interest
rate of 11.33463%, with daily
compounding (365 days).
How much will you have on October 1,
or after 9 months (273 days)? (Days
given.)
83
Convert interest to daily rate
IPER = 11.33463%/365
= 0.031054% per day
0 1 2 273
0.031054%
-100 FV=?
84
Find FV
85
Calculator Solution
IPER = INOM/M
= 11.33463/365
= 0.031054 per day.
INPUTS 273 -100 0
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT 108.85
86
Non-matching rates and periods
Whats value at end of Year 3 of
following CF stream if quoted interest
rate is 10%, compounded
semiannually?
87
Time line for non-matching
rates and periods
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 6-mos.
5% periods
88
Non-matching rates and periods
Payments occur annually, but
compounding occurs each 6 months.
So cant use normal annuity valuation
techniques.
89
1st Method: Compound Each
CF
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
5%
91
Use EAR = 10.25% as the
annual rate in calculator.
92
Whats the PV of this stream?
0 1 2 3
5%
90.70
82.27
74.62
247.59 93
Comparing Investments
You are offered a note that pays
$1,000 in 15 months (or 456 days) for
$850. You have $850 in a bank that
pays a 6.76649% nominal rate, with
365 daily compounding. You plan to
leave the money in the bank if you
dont buy the note. The note is
riskless.
Should you buy it?
94
Daily time line
95
Three solution methods
1. Greatest future wealth: FV
2. Greatest wealth today: PV
3. Highest rate of return: EFF%
96
1. Greatest Future Wealth
FVBank = $850(1.00018538)456
= $924.97 in bank.
IPER = INOM/M
= 6.76649/365
= 0.018538 per day.
PV = $1,000/(1.00018538)456
= $918.95
6.76649/365 =
INPUTS 456 .018538 0 1000
N I/YR PV PMT FV
OUTPUT -918.95
101
Calculator Solution
Convert % to decimal:
Decimal = 0.035646/100 = 0.00035646.
EAR = EFF% = (1.00035646)365 - 1
= 13.89%.
102
Using interest conversion
P/YR = 365
NOM% = 0.035646(365) = 13.01
EFF% = 13.89
103
Amortization
Construct an amortization schedule for
a $1,000, 10% annual rate loan with 3
equal payments.
104
Step 1: Find the required
payments.
0 1 2 3
10%
INPUTS 3 10 -1000 0
N I/Y PV PMT FV
OUTPUT R
402.11
105
Step 2: Find interest charge
for Year 1.
106
Step 3: Find repayment of
principal in Year 1.
107
Step 4: Find ending balance
after Year 1.
108
Amortization Table
BEG PRIN END
YEAR BAL PMT INT PMT BAL
1 $1,000 $402 $100 $302 $698
109
Interest declines because
outstanding balance declines.
$450
$400
$350
$300
$250 Interest
$200 Principal
$150
$100
$50
$0
PMT 1 PMT 2 PMT 3
110
Amortization tables are widely
used--for home mortgages, auto
loans, business loans, retirement
plans, and more. They are very
important!
Financial calculators (and
spreadsheets) are great for setting
up amortization tables.
111