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Bernardo, Chapt. 10
Rationale for recurrent selection
Selfing systems:
Fixation of alleles is so rapid that the impact of selection is limited
Probability of obtaining segregants with all of the favorable alleles
controlling a quantitative trait is small
Example: with 5 loci, all alleles have p=0.5
1/32 chance to get all of the good alleles
Recurrent selection:
systematically increases the frequency of favorable alleles
Progeny
Phenotype
b OP
h2
Expected
selection
response
R = h2S
Mid-parent
Phenotype
Mean of
selected
parents
R=h2S X0
S
Selection differential
S XS X0 Xs Select best
10% of C0
Realized heritability
R
R 113 100
h
2
0.75
S 117 100
60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150
R=h2S
Need estimates of h2 and the selection
differential
p = proportion selected
z = height of curve at z
p
truncation point
i = standard deviations 0 x i
p i p i
0.90 0.20 0.09 1.80
0.80 0.35 0.08 1.86
0.70 0.50 0.07 1.92
0.60 0.64 0.06 1.99
0.50 0.80 0.05 2.06
0.40 0.97 0.04 2.15
0.30 1.16 0.03 2.27
0.25 1.27 0.02 2.42
0.20 1.40 0.01 2.67
0.15 1.55 0.005 2.89
0.10 1.76 0.001 3.37
R=h2S
S = iP
i
2
A 2
R=ih2P h 2
2
R A
P P
Applies to individual plants in a population
Selections made before flowering + controlled matings among
selected individuals
Mass selection + selfing of selected plants
Family selection
(O) (X)
Parental plant Selection Unit
in reference (progeny mean)
population
(W)
(R) Individual in
Recombination improved
unit population
S1/Testcross i (1/2) A
2
Phs 4
S1 family* i A2 PS1
3
i (3/2) A P
2
S2 family* 4
S2
Half-sibs P
HS
1
re + +
2
e
1
e
2
GE
1
4
2
A
Full-sibs P
FS
1
re + + +
2
e
1
e
2
GE
1
2
2
A
1
4
2
D
S1 families P
S1
1
re + + +
2
e
1
e
2
GE
2
A
1
4
2
D
S2 families
P
S2
1
re + + +
2
e
1
e
2
GE
3
2
2
A
3
16 2
D
2
Error variance r = # replications
e e = # environments
2
GE Variance due to genotype x environment interactions
Interpopulation Improvement
FS yield trials
A1 x B1 (improved cross)
B0 S1 recombined B1
Interpopulation Improvement
(i (1/2) 2
A ( P1) P(P1hs ) ) + (i (1/2) 2
A (P 2 ) P( P 2hs ) ) 3
Reciprocal full-sib
3
(i (1/2)( 2
A ( P1) + 2
A (P 2 ) ) P(P1xP2 fs)
Testcross
r = # replications
e = # environments
P(P1hs) 1
re 2e(P1) + 1e GE(P1)
2
+ 12 2A(P1)
P(P1xP2fs) 1
re 2e + 1e 2GE + 12 (2A(P1) + 2A(P2) ) + 14 D(P1P2)
2
Comprehensive breeding program
Increase A2
R A
P
Reduce nongenetic effects
Reduce generations/cycle or increase
generations/year
Choice of selection method
I. Breeding Objectives
Open-pollinated varieties, synthetics or hybrids
Status of commercial seed sector
Strategy for distribution of seed
Elite variety or genetic resource
Target production environments
Low or high inputs?
Narrow or broad adaptation?
Number of traits, relative importance of traits
Choice of selection method
Full-sibs Cross two plants One or two ears With or without reciprocals
S1, S2, etc. Self pollination One ear Seed quantities decrease
with inbreeding
Can increase a line by
selfing or by sib-mating
Testcrosses 1. Cross one male plant 1. ~4 ears
to a female tester and
self
2. Cross an S1 line to a 2. many ears Controlled pollinations or
tester (population or by detasseling (if S1 line is
inbred line) female)