Transforming Transportation

Pedestrian Safety and Public Transport for Vulnerable

Populations, Januray 15, 2009

Infrastructure Safety Rating for Pedestrians

Said Dahdah
Road Safety Specialist
 FROM FOCUS ON CRASHES
TO FOCUS ON INJURIES

Problem of crashes

System user System designer

Problem of injury
Swedish Road Administration
Swedish Road Administration
 Vision Zero philosophy
Integration and Separation.
1. Vulnerable road users should not be
exposed to motorised vehicles at speeds
exceeding 30 km/h
2. If 1. cannot be satisfied then separate or
reduce vehicle speed to 30 km/h
Risk of Pedestrian Fatal Injury
Why 30 km/h?
100.0%

80.0% Car
LTV
60.0%

40.0%

20.0%

0.0%
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Impact Speed (km/h)
Risk Concept
Risk Model for Pedestrian Crashes

Likelihood

Along Protection

Area Factor
Pedestrian
Likelihood
Crossing
Protection
Area Factor
 Likelihood of Pedestrian Crashes
Likelihood Factor for walking along
the road crashes =
Speed factor
x Sidewalk provision factor
x Side friction factor
Likelihood of Pedestrian Crashes
 Likelihood of Pedestrian Crashes
Likelihood Factor for crossing the road
crashes =
Speed factor
x Number of lanes for use by through traffic factor
x Median type factor
x Pedestrian crossing facilities factor
x Quality of crossing factor
Likelihood of Pedestrian Crashes
 Likelihood of Pedestrian Crashes

Walking Along Crash Likelihood Factor =0.7

Crossing Crash Likelihood Factor = 3.6
Ideal Road LF (both crash type) = 0.25
Risk Concept
Severity of Pedestrian Crashes
Severity Factor for Pedestrian Crashes =
Speed factor
X Age factor
X Vehicle type factor
Severity of Pedestrian Crashes
 Safety Rating for Pedestrians
Road Prevention and Protection Score
(RPPS) =
Likelihood factor * Protection factor (Risk)
Safety Rating
 Fatality Prediction Model

Fatality/km = RPPS*Country Factor

*Exposure Factor*Traffic Flow

Country Factor = (Fatality/100 million veh-km)/RPPS

Exposure Factor = Pedestrian Flow Effect
(exponent 0.4)
 Country Factor (China)
China Country Factor = 2 (RPPS 1 2
Fatalities per 100 million veh-km)
9
Fatality rate per 100

8 y = 1.9459x
million veh-km

7 2
6
R = 0.4691
5
4
3
2
1
0
0 1 2 3 4 5
RPPS
 Economic Analysis of Transport
Projects
Travel Time Saving
Vehicle Operation Cost
Why not Safety?