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X i
X1 X2 Xn
X i1
n n
Sample size Observed values
(Metals)
Fidelitys Strategic Income Fund (Income)
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Mean = 13 Mean = 14
11 12 13 14 15 65 11 12 13 14 20 70
13 14
5 5 5 5
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Median = 13 Median = 13
Less sensitive than the mean to extreme values
n 1
Median position position in the ordered data
2
If the number of values is odd, the median is the middle number
Note that
n 1 is not the value of the median, only the position of
2
the median in the ranked data
Median = 90,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Mode = 9 No Mode
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 18
Measures of Central Tendency:
Review Example
DCOVA
House Prices: Mean: ($3,000,000/5)
$2,000,000 = $600,000
$ 500,000
$ 300,000
Median: middle value of ranked
$ 100,000 data
$ 100,000 = $300,000
Sum $ 3,000,000 Mode: most frequent value
= $100,000
X G ( X1 X 2 X n ) 1/ n
RG [(1 R1 ) (1 R2 ) (1 Rn )]1/ n 1
Where Ri is the rate of return in time period i. where n is the
number of multiperiod returns.
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 21
The Geometric Mean & The
Mean Rate of Return: Example
DCOVA
An investment of $100,000 declined to $50,000 at the end of
year one and rebounded to $100,000 at end of year two:
Arithmetic
mean rate (.5) (1) Misleading result
X .25 25%
of return: 2
Geometric RG [(1 R1 ) (1 R2 ) (1 Rn )] 1
1/ n
More
mean rate of [(1 ( .5)) (1 (1))]1 / 2 1 representative
return: [(.50) ( 2)]1 / 2 1 11 / 2 1 0% result
X i
XG ( X1 X2 Xn )1/ n
X i 1
n Middle value Most Rate of
in the ordered frequently change of
array observed a variable
value over time
Example:
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Range = 13 - 1 = 12
7 8 9 10 11 12 7 8 9 10 11 12
Range = 12 - 7 = 5 Range = 12 - 7 = 5
Sensitive to outliers
1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,5
Range = 5 - 1 = 4
1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,120
Range = 120 - 1 = 119
3-31
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 31
EXAMPLE Population Variance
x 19 17 ... 34 10 348
29
N 12 12
3-32
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 32
EXAMPLE Population Variance
The number of traffic citations issued during the last five
months in Beaufort County, South Carolina, is reported
below:
2
( X ) 2
1,488
124
N 12
3-34
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 34
Measures of Variation:
The Sample Variance
DCOVA
Average (approximately) of squared deviations
of values from the mean
n
Sample variance:
(X X)
i
2
S 2 i1
n -1
Where X = arithmetic mean
n = sample size
Xi = ith value of the variable X
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 35
EXAMPLE Sample Variance
The hourly wages for
a sample of part-
time employees at
Home Depot are:
$12, $20, $16, $18,
and $19.
Where :
s 2 is the sample variance
X is the value of each observatio n in the sample
X is the mean of the sample
n is the number of observatio ns in the sample
3-37
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 37
Measures of Variation:
The Standard Deviation
DCOVA
Steps for Computing Standard Deviation
N
Population standard deviation:
i
(X ) 2
i1
N
If the values are all the same (no variation), all these
measures will be zero.
X 100%
X 100%
Metals fund: CV
Income fund: CV
Standard deviation = $5
S $5
CVA 100% 100% 10%
X $50 Both stocks
Stock B: have the same
standard
Average price last year = $100 deviation, but
stock B is less
Standard deviation = $5 variable relative
to its price
S $5
CVB 100% 100% 5%
X $100
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 47
Measures of Variation:
Comparing Coefficients of Variation (cont)
Stock A:
DCOVA
Average price last year = $50
Standard deviation = $5
S $5
CVA 100% 100% 10%
X $50 Stock C has a
much smaller
Stock C:
standard
Average price last year = $8 deviation but a
much higher
Standard deviation = $2 coefficient of
variation
S $2
CVC 100% 100% 25%
X $8
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 48
Synopsis of Investment Decision
Mean and median returns for the Metals fund are
24.65% and 33.83%, respectively.
Skewness
Statistic < 0 0 >0
Sharper Peak
Than Bell-Shaped
(Kurtosis > 0)
Bell-Shaped
(Kurtosis = 0)
Flatter Than
Bell-Shaped
(Kurtosis < 0)
Q1 Q2 Q3
The first quartile, Q1, is the value for which 25% of the
observations are smaller and 75% are larger
Q2 is the same as the median (50% of the observations
are smaller and 50% are larger)
Only 25% of the observations are greater than the third
quartile
(n = 9)
Q1 is in the (9+1)/4 = 2.5 position of the ranked data
so use the value half way between the 2nd and 3rd values,
so Q1 = 12.5
(n = 9)
Q1 is in the (9+1)/4 = 2.5 position of the ranked data,
so Q1 = (12+13)/2 = 12.5
Measures like Q1, Q3, and IQR that are not influenced
by outliers are called resistant measures
Example:
Median X
X Q1 Q3 maximum
minimum (Q2)
25% 25% 25% 25%
12 30 45 57 70
Interquartile range
= 57 30 = 27
> <
> <
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q1 Q 2 Q3
00 22 33 55 27
27
68%
1
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 70
The Empirical Rule
Approximately 95% of the data in a bell-shaped
DCOVA
distribution lies within two standard deviations of the
mean, or 2
95% 99.7%
2 3
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 71
Using the Empirical Rule
DCOVA
Suppose that the variable Math SAT scores is bell-
shaped with a mean of 500 and a standard deviation
of 90. Then,
68% of all test takers scored between 410 and 590
(500 90).
At least Within
(1 - 1/22) x 100% = 75% .............. k=2 ( 2)
(1 - 1/32) x 100% = 88.89% .. k=3 ( 3)
The Covariance
The Coefficient of Correlation
( X X)( Y Y)
i i
cov ( X , Y ) i1
n 1
Only concerned with the strength of the relationship
No causal effect is implied
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 76
Covariance and Correlation
The sample covariance sxy is computed as
sxy
x i x y i y
n 1
x x y i y
xy
i
cov (X , Y) i1
SX i1
SY i1
n 1 n 1 n 1
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 79
LO 3.8
3.8 Covariance and Correlation
The sample correlation rxy is computed as
s xy
rxy
sx sy
X X
r = -1 r = -.6
Y
Y Y
X X X
r = +1 r = +.3 r=0
Copyright 2015, 2012, 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Chapter 3, Slide 82
Covariance and Correlation
Let s calculate the covariance and the correlation
coefficient for the Metals (x) and Income (y) funds.
Positive Relationship
Covariance:
Correlation:
r = .733
Scatter Plot of Test Scores
100
There is a relatively 95
Test #2 Score
strong positive linear 90
#2. 75
70
70 75 80 85 90 95 100
Test #1 Score
Students who scored high
on the first test tended to
score high on second test.
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