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ROGER CABOS
AGOSTO 2009
CIP - GEOLOGÌA
POTENCIAL MINERO Y DE HIDROCARBUROS DEL PERU
INDUSTRIA MINERA Y DE
HIDROCARBUROS
PBI por sectores productivos 2008
( en millones de nuevos soles de 1,994)
2008 2008%
- Agrícola 8,995 4.75
- Pecuario 4,471 2.36
- Pesca 933 0.49
- Minería metálica y no metálica 9,157 4.84
- Hidrocarburos 945 0.50
- Procesadores de recursos primarios 5,591 2.95
- Manufactura no primaria 23,922 12.64
- Electricidad y agua 3,865 2.04
- Construcción 11,340 5.99
- Comercio 28,808 15.22
- Otros servicios 72,794 38.46
- Impuestos a los productos y derechos de
importación 18,432 9.74
PRODUCTO BRUTO INTERNO 191,477 100.00
1/ Para el período 1950 - 1989 se ha estimado los niveles utilizando las tasas de variación del PBI con año base 1979.
Fuente: INEI y BCR.
Elaboración: Gerencia de Estudios Económicos.
TRANSFERENCIAS DE CANON MINERO, PETROLERO Y GASÍFERO 2003-2008
En soles
En millones de soles
5,000
Millones de soles
0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
TRANSFERENCIA DE CANON, REGALÍA Y VIGENCIA A LAS REGIONES
2007-2008 ( Millones de soles)
GEOLOGÍA, MINAS,
PROYECTOS, RESERVAS
Cinturón Aurífero
Epitermal Yanacocha Pataz Batholith
Mesothermal Gold Belt
Cinturón de Oxidos
de hierro con Cinturón aurifero
Cu-Au mesotermal
Ananea
Cinturón aurífero
mesotermal Pórfidos de cobre
paleocenos Cinturón epitermal del
batolítico sur del Perú
Sus exportaciones así como los volúmenes producidos se han
incrementado vigorosamente durante los últimos 10 años
Y se encuentra ad-portas de incrementar su producción de
Cu, Ag, Au, y otros metales a partir de una serie de depósitos
con recursos y reservas como se ve en la tabla siguiente:
RESERVAS Y RECURSOS DE Cu – Au – Ag- Pb - Zn - DE NUEVOS PROYECTOS
Inventario actualizado hasta el 2009
Cu Mill. Au Mo Zn Mill. Pb Ag
Mill. Cu Au Mo Zn Pb Ag
Nombre Depósito TM Millón Millón TM TM Millón Titular
TM % g/t % % % g/t
finas OZ LB finas finas OZ
Antapacay Pórf. Cu-Au 520 0.72 0.15 0.006 1.8 3.74 2.51 68.64 0.00 0.00 30.10 Xstrata
Antilla Pórf. Cu-Mo 154.4 0.47 0.009 0.73 0.00 30.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 Panoro
Candente
Cañariaco Pórf. Cu-Au 821 0.42 0.06 1.66 3.45 1.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.82 Resources
Constancia Pórf. Cu-Mo 193.7 0.59 0.013 4.9 1.14 55.40 0.00 0.00 30.52 Norsemont
Corani Cuerpos volc. 72.1 0.59 1.24 76.6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.89 177.58 Bear Creek
Coroccohuayco Skarn Cu-Mo-Au 92 3.07 0.3 0.014 2.82 0.89 28.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 Xstrata
Galeno Pórf. Cu-Au-Mo 765 0.49 0.11 0.014 2.6 3.75 2.71 235.62 0.00 0.00 63.95 Minmetals
Hilarion Cuerpos en calizas 21.87 5.42 0.96 45 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.19 0.21 31.64 Milpo
La Granja Pórf. Cu 2700 0.51 0.04 0.1 13.77 3.47 0.00 2.70 0.00 0.00 Río Tinto
La Tapada Pórf. Cu 445 0.434 1.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southern
La Zanja Pampa
Verde Epitermal HS 15.9 0.73 4 0.00 0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.05 Buenav./Newm.
La Zanja San
Pedro Sur Epitermal HS 20.6 0.72 9.28 0.00 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.15 Buenav./Newm.
Las Bambas Skarn Cu-Mo-Au 900 0.91 0.07 0.018 8.19 2.03 356.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 Xstrata
Los Chancas Pórf. Cu-Au 355 0.62 0.039 0.05 2.20 0.45 390.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southern
Magistral Pórf. Cu-Mo 195.5 0.51 0.052 1.00 0.00 223.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 Inca Pacific
Michiquillay Pórf. Cu-Au-Mo 544 0.69 0.2 2 3.75 3.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.98 Anglo American
Minas Conga Pórf. Cu-Au 680 0.28 0.65 1.90 14.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Min. Yanacocha
Minas Justa IOOG 411 0.67 2.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chariot Resources
Pukaqaqa Pórf-Skarn 65 0.67 0.1 0.44 0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tiomin/Milpo
Quellaveco Pórf. Cu-Mo 938 0.63 0.018 5.91 0.00 371.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 Anglo America
Rio Blanco Pórf. Cu-Mo 1257 0.57 0.0228 7.16 630.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 Zijin
San Gregorio Mesotermal 70 8 0.00 0.00 5.60 0.00 0.00 Brocal
Tambogrande VMS 175 0.95 0.8 1.66 4.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Centromín
Tanta Huatay Óx. Epitermal HS 35.7 0.713 6.9 0.00 0.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 South/Buenav.
Tía María- Óx. Pórf. Cu 193 0.302 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southern
Toromocho
Recursos. Pórf. Cu-Mo 715 0.37 0.02 6.55 2.65 0.00 314.60 0.00 0.00 150.59 Chinalco
Toromocho
Reservas. Pórf. Cu-Mo 1260 0.53 0.018 7.16 6.68 0.00 498.96 0.00 0.00 290.08 Chinalco
Trapiche Pórf. Cu-Mo 315.7 0.49 0.016 1.55 0.00 0.00 0.00
Elaborado: Róger Cabos 2009 77.8 37.7 3204.6 9.9 1.1 869.4
A precios parecidos a los actuales (Cu-5,000dól/TMF, Au-800 dól/Oz, Pb y Zn a 2,000 dól/TMF, Mo-15dól/lb, Ag-10dól/Oz y Sn a 15 dól/lb ) el
valor de venta de estas reservas es de 494,144 mil millones de dólares
Además de las reservas de los metales preciosos y básicos, el
Perú posee reservas importantes de Hierro y Uranio.
Al precio de40 dól la TM de hierro ( pellets) , 60% recuperación de hierro, el potencial se eleva a (5071*.6*40) = 121,704 millones de DÓLARES
PRODUCCIÓN, PROYECTOS,
RESERVAS
Nuestro país posee una serie de
cuencas sedimentarias , a ambos
lados de las cadena montañosas
andinas , que tienen un gran
potencial para albergar petróleo y
gas . De tal modo que la riqueza
mineral e hidrocarburífera ocurren
una al lado de la otra .
RESERVAS Y SU VALOR
U.S.G.S. Resource and Reserve Definitions
Resource.—A concentration of naturally occurring solid,liquid, or gaseous material in or on the Earth’s crust in such form and
amount that economic extraction of a commodity from the concentration is currently or potentially feasible.
Identified Resources.—Resources whose location,grade, quality, and quantity are known or estimated from specific geologic
evidence. Identified resources include economic, marginally economic, and subeconomic components. To reflect varying degrees of
geologic certainty, these economic divisions can be subdivided into measured, indicated, and inferred.
Measured.—Quantity is computed from dimensions revealed in outcrops, trenches,workings, or drill holes; grade and(or) quality are
computed from the results of detailed sampling. The sites for inspection, sampling, and measurements are spaced so closely and the
geologic character is so well defined that size, shape, depth, and mineral content of the resource are well stablished.
Indicated.—Quantity and grade and(or) quality are computed from information similar to that used for measured resources, but the
sites for inspection, sampling, and easurement are farther apart or are otherwise less adequately spaced. The degree of assurance,
although lower than that for measured resources, is high enough to assume continuity between points of observation.
Inferred.—Estimates are based on an assumed continuity beyond measured and(or) indicated resources, for which there is geologic
evidence.Inferred resources may or may not be supported by samples or measurements.
Demonstrated.—A term for the sum of measured plus indicated.
Reserve Base.—That part of an identified resource that meets specified minimum physical and chemical criteria related to
current mining and production practices, including those for grade, quality, thickness, and depth. The reserve base is the inplace
demonstrated (measured plus indicated) resource from which reserves are estimated. It may encompass those parts of the
resources that have a reasonable potential for becoming economically available within planning horizons beyond those that assume
proven technology and current economics.The reserve base includes those resources that are currently economic (reserves),
marginally economic (marginal reserves), and some of those that are currently subeconomic (subeconomic resources). The term
“geologic reserve” has been applied by others generally to the reserve-base category, but it also may include the inferred-reserve-base
category; it is not a part of this classification system.
Reserves.—That part of the reserve base which could be economically extracted or produced at the time of determination. The
term reserves need not signify that extraction facilities are in place and operative. Reserves include only recoverable materials;
thus,terms such as extractable reserves” and “recoverable reserves” are redundant and are not a part of this classification system
Otros similares:
CIM Standards on Mineral Resources and Reserves – Definitions and Guidelines,”( Canadian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy).
The Australasian Code for Reporting of Exploration Results, Mineral Resources and Ore Reserves (JORC Code, 2004 edition)
RESERVAS DE LOS PRINCIPALES METALES EN PERU
EN MILLONES DE DOLARES
Produc. MEM
USGS 2009 (2) MEM 2009 R. Cabos 2009 (3)
(1)
Metal
Res. probado + Recursos y nuevos
Prod. 2008 Reserva Reserva Base
probable proyectos
Valor a precios
402,308 742,651 606,122 468,724
actuales *
Líquidos gas
Petroleo
natural
Total
Fuente : MEM-DGH
RESERVAS DE METALES, HIDROCARBUROS, HIERRO Y URANIO
EN MILLONES DE DOLARES
Valor
Recursos y Reservas Valor de los
Probado Probable Precio
Prospectivo Probado + recursos
Probable
TOTAL CONJUNTO
1,561,641
ALGUNAS CONCLUSIONES
RESPECTO A LA MINERÍA