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household composition
estimates from administrative
data
Dr Gill Harper
Barts Institute of Population Health Science, QMUL
Mayhew Harper Associates Ltd
Understanding Households in Administrative Data: Definition and Estimation
13th March 2018
Background
• First use of linked PCT and LA administrative data to
profile population and health needs in LB Brent 15
years ago
• First administrative data population estimation for
LB Brent 2004 as an alternative to 2001 Census
• Since then over 60 projects in over 20 local
authorities
• Comparison for 2011 Census for the 6 Olympic
boroughs
• Household typology since 2008
Why households?
• Self contained units of production and consumption
• Transactional units for different services e.g. utilities,
some welfare benefits
• Type and demographics of household strongly influence
demand for services
• Characteristics have powerful influence on health and
well being and social outcomes
• Economic contribution of households unrecognised but
estimated to add 40% to GDP
• Increasingly required in different policy domains
Available household statistics
• ONS census survey of population and households
• Every 10 years, OA lowest geography
• DCLG household projections
• Every 2 years, LA level, based on past
demographic trends, ONS popn projections and
Census household composition
• Surveys e.g. GHS
• Samples, for national research and policy
• Commercial geo-demographic
• At cost, consumer and lifestyle typologies
User needs
Local authorities:
• Timely and granular socio-economic information
at sub-local authority level
• To inform policy and services and understand
local context
• Evidence for Localism Act (2011) and Health and
Social Care Act (2012)
Limitations of available sources
• System is fragmented and statistics that are for
specific purposes (HBAI, household surveys)
• DCLG projections are synthetic estimates based on
population forecasts, prescribed household types
• Information tends to be inflexible and unavailable
below local authority level and heavily dependent
on out of date census information
Local administrative data alternative
• Based on local administrative
data population counts
• Links together multiple
sources to improve the
coverage of outputs and
applies rules and
assumptions to determine
who is a current resident
• The ‘minimum confirmed
population’
Admin data population count
Venn
eleme decisi
nt a b c on comment
0 0 0 0 R not on any data set
1 1 0 0 R on the GP register only
2 0 0 1 R empty property
3 0 1 0 R on other data set only
4 1 0 1 A on GP and address register
5 1 1 0 R on GP register and other data set
6 0 1 1 A on other data set and on address register
on GP register and other data set and address
7 1 1 1 A register
Summary of stages
QA checks
• Child Benefit numbers published by HM Revenue and
Customs for children aged 0-16
• State Pension claimants by males (65+) and females (60+)
• Comparing the vacant UPRN rate with a local authority’s
own figures or Council Tax records
• UPRNs with high occupancy levels, greater than 9 people,
are identified and checked for being multiple-occupancy
• Comparison with other sources from contemporaneous
snapshots e.g. ONS MYEs or GLA figures, if the local
authority is situated for example in the London area
• Number of children aged <16 without an adult at a UPRN is
checked for possible explanations (e.g. parent or guardian is
not on the GP register).
Compare admin data v official
household counts
g.harper@qmul.ac.uk