Lecture delivered at National Officers Academy NOA, G-10, Islamabad (12.01.2016) Climate Change Climate Change & Global Warming • Climate Change refers to any significant change in the temperature lasting for an extended period of time. It may include major changes in temperature, precipitation, or wind patterns, among other effects, that occur over several decades or longer. • Global Warming refers to the recent and ongoing rise in global average temperature near Earth's surface. It is caused mostly by increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. Global warming is causing climate patterns to change. However, global warming itself represents only one aspect of climate change. How Climate Change Occur Why Climate Change is a Serious Issue? Some Global Impacts… • Cyclone/Storm Surge: Increased frequency, intensity, increasing salinity. • Flood: Increased frequency, magnitudes. • Droughts: Spreading over time and space, famine. • Erratic rainfall: Intensive rain in short time. • Temperature: Extremes increasing. • Riverbank and coastal erosion: Increasing • Security of Food, Water, Energy etc. UNFCCC • Established in 1992, it enables representatives from different countries to meet and discuss scientific and political actions. • Each year, the nations meet to discuss climate change strategies. These meetings are called COP (Conference of the Parties). • The nations that signed the UNFCCC agreed not to hinder food production or economic interests of other countries as well as to support sustainable development within their own countries. Kyoto Protocol - 1997 • COP 3 held in 1997 in Kyoto, Japan. • Kyoto protocol is a plan within the UN, requiring industrialized nations to reduce their GHG emissions by 5% by the year 2012. It was signed by 161 countries to curb greenhouse gas emissions. • It went into effect in 2005, as of 2008 about 183 countries had ratified it. It outlined a framework in which each country was assigned a target for the greenhouse gas reduction. • USA never ratified the Kyoto protocol. Common, But… Differentiated Responsibilities: • Developed countries (US,UK, Canada) have already polluted the atmosphere with greenhouse gases (GHGs) through industrialization. So they’re the one who created/started global warming and all the mess. • The Developing countries (China, India and Brazil) have started polluting the world only recently. • Therefore, the developing countries may share less of the burden of lowering overall emissions. Common, But Differentiated Responsibilities • Developed countries (US, EU) should bear more responsibility in fixing global warming issues because they’re the one more responsible for it. • As it is the “Common” responsibility of every nation of this world to reduce Green House Gas emission, there is some difference between the responsibility given to developed countries and developing countries. • Kyoto Protocol follows that principle and assigns separate responsibilities to the countries. Differential Requirements • Developed nations (USA,UK), will compulsorily reduce their green house gas (GHG) emission by 2012. • Emission targets were set based on the level of pollution created by each developed nation. • Developing nations like China, Brazil, South Africa, and India, may reduce GHG emission but not compulsory Incentives in Kyoto Protocol As an incentive to follow through with the targets outlined in the Kyoto Protocol, countries were offered emission reduction credits for the following: 1. Helping a developing country reduce its emissions. 2. Helping a developed country reduce its emissions during a temporary economic problem. 3. Engaging in practices that help to remove CO2 from the atmosphere (e.g: planting trees). Carbon Credits & Trading • Each country is given an emission target quota (1Kyoto Unit = 1 carbon credit = 1 metric tonne of CO2 emitted). • Countries are expected not to emit more than their assigned quota (by UNFCCC). • However, if any country need more carbon credits, that can purchase these credits from other countries who haven’t reached their quota. Green Climate Fund • The Green Climate Fund (GCF) is a fund within the framework of the UNFCCC founded as a mechanism to assist developing countries in adaptation and mitigation practices to counter climate change issue. • It supports projects, programs, policies and activities in developing country Parties using thematic funding windows. • Identified the need to assess various options for how nations could access the fund, involving the private sector, plus ways to measure results, and ensure requests for monies being country-driven. • Pakistan may get green funded projects also. Carbon Credits & Trading • Each country is given an emission target quota (1Kyoto Unit = 1 carbon credit = 1 metric tonne of CO2 emitted). • Countries are expected not to emit more than their assigned quota (by UNFCCC). • However, if any country need more carbon credits, that can purchase these credits from other countries who haven’t reached their quota. COP21: Future Hopes COP21: Future Hopes
• COP21, the December 2015 Paris Climate Conference, for
the first time in over 20 years of UN negotiations, aimed to achieve a legally binding and universal agreement on climate, with the aim of keeping global warming below 2°C. • COP21 attended by about 50,000 participants including 25,000 official delegates from government, intergovernmental organizations, UN agencies, NGOs and civil society. • All hoped to reduce GHGs and retard Climate Change havoc. • First draft allowed further discussion but in favour of mutually agreed upon legal bindings for GHGs reductions (including industrial, agricultural and services sectors). Way Forward • Sustainable economic development strategies should be adopted by all states. • Developed nations should transfer renewable technologies to the developing states. • Agricultural practices need sustainable solutions and practices. • Conservation strategies (water, food, energy) to cope with Climate posed threats are essential in 21st century. • Enhanced global cooperation would be helpful for all developed as well as developing states. Thank you