Producción de Cu

ESTADISTICA
 DATOS EN 21 AÑOS

año 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Ctvs.
US$/lb(Y) 133.18 104.14 103.28 75.02 71.32 82.24 71.60 70.74 80.70 129.99 166.87 304.91 322.93315.51233.52 342.28 400.20 360.55332.31311.16249.23

miles de
COBRE TM(X) 385 402 434 483 536 554 722 845 843 1036 1010 1048 1190 1267 1276 1247 1235 1398 1321 1379 1553
DISTRIBUCION BIDIMENSIONAL

X/Y (70.74;136.63> (136.63;202.52> (202.52;268.42> (268.42;334.31> (334.31;400.02) ni.

(385;618.6> 6 0 0 0 0 6
(618.6;852.2> 3 0 0 0 0 3
(852.2;1085.8 1 1 0 1 0 3
(1085.8;1319.4> 0 0 1 2 2 5
(1319.4;1553) 0 0 1 2 1 4
n.j 10 1 2 5 3 21
DATOS OBTENIDOS DE LA TABLA BIDIMENSIONAL

X (TM9 fi y (US$/lb) fj
501.8 6 103.69 10
735.4 3 169.58 1
969 3 235.47 2 covarianza 31494.3661

1202.6 5 301.37 5 rxy 0.8518

1436.2 4 367.17 3
X= 946.7524 Y= 204.0848
varianza X = 124234.0588 varianza Y= 11003.0416
Sx= 352.46 Sy= 104.898
REGRESION LINEAL
DIAGRAMA DE DISPERSION
450

400

350

300
PRECION (US$/LB

250

200

150

100

50

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800
PROCUCCION (TM)
METODO DE MINIMOS CAUDRADOS
COBRE
miles de TM Ctvs. US$/lb X*Y X^2 Y ESTIMADO (Y') (Y -Y´)^2 (Y¨-YPROMEDIO)^2 (Y-YPROMEDIO)
385 133.18 51274.3 148225 55.24126303 6074.44672 21814.07292 4866.05898
402 104.14 41864.28 161604 59.60647724 1983.23465 20543.67971 9760.875437
434 103.28 44823.52 188356 67.82335105 1257.17395 18255.73674 9931.546122
483 75.02 36234.66 233289 80.40543907 29.002954 15014.01843 16362.79544
536 71.32 38227.52 287296 94.01463632 515.046518 11864.11243 17323.07229
554 82.24 45560.96 306916 98.63662784 268.849404 10878.59743 14567.80029
722 71.60 51695.2 521284 141.7752153 4924.56085 3740.781378 17249.44509
845 70.74 59775.3 714025 173.358824 10530.623 874.8769436 17476.08458
843 80.70 68030.1 710649 172.8452694 8490.75068 905.5208461 14941.91909
1036 129.99 134669.64 1073296 222.4032896 8540.21609 378.9308691 5321.285651
1010 166.87 168538.7 1020100 215.7270796 2387.01423 163.5824827 1300.838794
1048 304.91 319545.68 1098304 225.4846173 6308.39142 508.3886028 10398.46359
1190 322.93 384286.7 1416100 261.9469948 3718.92692 3482.162628 14398.28577
1267 315.51 399751.17 1605289 281.7188474 1141.84199 6206.556973 12672.64817
1276 233.52 297971.52 1628176 284.0298432 2551.24426 6576.026045 935.311151
1247 342.28 426823.16 1555009 276.5833013 4316.05622 5423.756651 19416.43184
1235 400.20 494247 1525225 273.5019736 16052.3899 4979.395339 38912.63481
1398 360.55 504048.9 1954404 315.3566746 2042.43666 12638.15111 24841.81274
1321 332.31 438981.51 1745041 295.584822 1348.7387 8583.592445 16737.33617
1379 311.16 429089.64 1901641 310.4779058 0.46525256 11565.01568 11712.18681
1553 249.23 387054.19 2411809 355.1571571 11220.5626 23170.93273 2143.028622
RECTA ESTIMADA
RECTA ESTIMADA
PROMEDIO 450
X 960.1904762
400
Y 202.9371429
350
SUMATORIAS
y = 0.2568x - 43.618
X*Y 4822493.65 300

PRECIO (US$/lb)
X^2 22206038
Y ESTIMADO (Y') 4261.67961 250
(Y -Y´)^2 93701.97304
(Y¨-YPROMEDIO)^2 187567.8884 200
(Y-YPROMEDIO) 281269.8614
150
REGRESION
100
a 0.2568
b -43.618 50

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800
PRODUCCION (TM)
ANALISIS DE REGRESION

RECTA ESTIMADA
450

400

350
Se = 70.22594101
y = 0.2568x - 43.618
300
r^2 = 0.6669

PRECIO (US$/lb)
r= 0.8167 250

200

150

100

50

0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800
PRODUCCION (TM)