Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Financial Markets
and Institutions
Financial Systems/Crises
Financial Markets
n King, R. G., & Levine, R. (1993). Finance and growth: Schumpeter might
be right. The quarterly journal of economics, 108(3), 717-737.
n https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bx_LWm
6_6tA
n http://www.economist.com/news/essays/2160
0451-finance-not-merely-prone-crises-it-
shaped-them-five-historical-crises-show-how-
aspects-today-s-fina
Overview of Financial System
n Financial instrument
l Is the legal obligation of one party to transfer
something of value, usually money, to another
party at some future date, under certain
conditions, e.g. stocks, loans, insurance
n Money n Capital
l Short-Term, < 1 l Long-Term, >1Yr
Year l Range of Issuer
l High Quality Quality
Issuers l Debt and Equity
l Debt Only l Secondary Market
l Primary Market Focus
Focus l Financing
l Liquidity Market- Investment--Higher
-Low Returns Returns
Primary vs. Secondary Markets
n PRIMARY n SECONDARY
l New Issue of l Trading Previously
Securities Issued Securities
n Derivative Securities
l Financial contracts whose value is derived from the
values of underlying assets
l Used for hedging (risk reduction) and speculation
(risk seeking)
Debt vs. Equity Securities
Economic Conditions
Industry
Conditions Impact of Evaluation Investor
Future Cash of Security Decision to
Flows Pricing Trade
Firm Specific
Information
Financial Market Efficiency
n To Promote Efficiency
u High level of competition
u Efficient payments mechanism
u Low cost risk management contracts
n Disclosure Regulation
n Financial Activity Regulation
n Regulation of Financial Institutions
n Regulation of Foreign Participants
n Banking and Monetary Regulation
Reading Assignment – The Role of the
Government in Financial Markets
n Stiglitz, J. E. (1993). The role of the state in
financial markets. The World Bank Economic
Review, 7(suppl 1), 19-52.
Financial Repression –
Reading/Presentation
n What is financial repression?
l McKinnon and Shaw (1973) hypothesis on
financial repression.
l http://www.investopedia.com/terms/f/financial-
repression.asp
Financial Market Globalization
Credit
Savings
Unions
Institutions
Commercial
Banks
Types of Non-depository Financial
Institutions
n Insurance companies
n Mutual funds
n Pension funds
n Securities/Investment companies
n Finance companies
Role of Nondepository Financial
Institutions
n Focused on capital market
n Longer-term, higher risk intermediation
n Less focus on liquidity
n Less regulation
n Greater focus on equity investments
Trends in Financial Institutions
n Nature of Liabilities
l Amount of cash outlay
l Timing of cash outlay
n Liquidity Concerns
l Profitable but illiquid FIs can easily collapse
n Market-broadening instruments
l Increases the liquidity of markets and the availability of funds by
attracting new investors & offering new opportunities for borrowers
n Risk-management instruments
l Makes it possible to reallocate financial risks to those who are less
averse to them, or who have offsetting exposure and thus are
presumably better able to shoulder them
n Price-risk-transferring innovations
l Provide market participants with more efficient ways of dealing with
price or exchange rate risk
n Credit-risk-transferring instruments
l They make it possible to reallocate the risk of default
n Liquidity-generating innovations
l They increase the liquidity of the market, they allow borrowers to draw
upon new sources of funds, and allow market participants to
circumvent capital constraints imposed by regulators
n Credit-generating instruments
l Instruments to increase the amount of debt available to borrowers.
n Equity-generating instruments
l Instruments to increase the capital base of financial and non-financial
institutions
Asset Securitization as a Financial Innovation
n Meaning of Securitization
l Involves the collection or pooling of loans
and the sale of securities backed by those
loans
n To Investors
l Greater liquidity
l Reduced credit risk
n To Borrowers
l Lower lending rate spreads
n Social Benefits
Money Markets
Money Market Securities
n Treasury bills
n Commercial paper
n Negotiable certificates of deposits
n Repurchase agreements
n Banker’s acceptances
Money Market Securities
n Treasury bills
l Issued to meet the short-term needs of the
government
l Attractive to investors
u Minimal default risk—backed by Government
u Excellent liquidity for investors
n Short-term maturity
n Very good secondary market
Money Market Securities
Competitive Bidding
Noncompetitive Bidding
n Treasury bill auction—noncompetitive bids
l May be used to make sure bid is accepted
l Price is the weighted average of the accepted bids
l Investors do not know the price in advance so they
submit cheque for full par value
l After the auction, investor receives cheque from
the Treasury covering the difference between par
and the actual price
Money Market Securities
SP – PP 364
YT =
PP n
Par – PP 364
T-bill discount =
Par n
Commercial Paper
Par – PP 364
YCP =
PP n
n NCD placement
l Direct placement
l Use a correspondent institution specializing
in placement
l Sell to securities dealers who resell
l Sell direct to investors at a higher price
n NCD premiums
l Rate above T-bill rate to compensate for
lower liquidity and safety
Money Market Securities
n
Money Market Securities
Repurchase Agreements
n Sell a security with the agreement to repurchase
it at a specified date and price
n Borrower defaults, lender has security
n Reverse repo name for transaction from lender
n Negotiated over telecommunications network
n Dealers and brokers used or direct placement
n No secondary market
Money Market Securities
SP – PP 364
Repo Rate =
PP n
n
Money Market Securities
Bankers Acceptance
n Have been in use since the 12th century
n A bank takes responsibility for a future payment of trade bill of exchange
n BA is like a post-dated cheque.
n Used mostly in international transactions
n Exporters send goods to a foreign destination and want payment assurance
before sending
n Bank stamps a time draft from the importer ACCEPTED and obligates the
bank to make good on the payment at a specific time
n If the exporter needs funds, the bankers acceptance can be sold in the
secondary market
n They are sold on a discounted basis like commercial paper and T Bills.
Major Participants in Money Market
n Participants
l Commercial banks
l Finance, industrial, and service companies
l Governments
l Money market mutual funds
l All other financial institutions (investing)
l Individuals
n Short-term investing for income and liquidity
n Short-term financing for short and permanent needs
n Large transaction size and telecommunication network
Valuation of Money Market Securities
n Euro-commercial paper
l Issued without the backing of a banking
syndicate
l Maturity tailored to investors
l Dealers that place paper create a secondary
market
l Rates range between 50 and 100 basis points
above the LIBOR rate
Globalization of Money Markets
Ye (1 Yf ) (1 %S ) 1
Depository Institutions
Depository Institutions
n Sources of income:
l Income from loans & purchase of securities
l Fee income
Asset/Liability Problem
n Types of Risk
l Credit Risk (Default risk) – risk that a borrower
will default on a loan obligation to the DI or that
the issuer of a security that the DI holds may
default
n Commercial Banks
n Savings and Loan Associations
n Savings Banks
n Credit Unions
Bank Services
n Individual banking involves
l Consumer lending, residential mortgage lending,
Consumer installment loans, credit card loans, brokerage
services, student loans, etc.
n Global Banking
l Corporate finance, institutional banking
l Commercial real estate finance, leasing, factoring
l Capital market and foreign exchange market products and
services
Bank Income – Acting as a Dealer
n Bid-Ask spread
n Capital gains on securities and gains on
foreign currency transactions
n Spread between interest income from
holding a security and cost of funding the
purchase of the security
Sources of Bank Funds
n Deposits
l Demand Deposits
l Savings Deposits
l Time Deposits (Certificates of Deposit)
n Non-deposit Borrowing
l Central Bank Discount Window
n Other Non-deposit Borrowing
l Issuance of Debt Securities (eg. Repos and
bonds)
n Retained Earnings & Sale of Equity Securities
Bank Regulation
n Owned by members
n Principal assets
l Small consumer loans
l Residential mortgages
l Securities
n Principal source of funds
l Member deposits
Central Bank and the Creation of Money
l Total reserves
u Required reserves
u Excess reserves
Open Market Operations
n Unit of Account
l Numeraire
n Medium of Exchange
l Currency and demand deposits
n Store of Value
l Time deposits
Monetary Aggregates
n Velocity of money
l Ratio of money supply to the economy’s income
l Velocity measures the average amount of
transactions carried by a dollar/cedi.
l Ratio not stable thus complicating monetary
policy
l If the economy’s velocity were stable, monetary
policy could achieve any desired level of income
by targeting say M1.
Money Multiplier
n Credit crunch
n Lagged effects of monetary policy
l Recognition lag
l Implementation lag
l Impact lag
n Fiscal policy effects
Non-depository
Institutions
Types of Nondepository Financial
Institutions
n Insurance companies
n Investment companies
n Pension funds
n Securities companies
n Finance companies
Insurance Companies
n Two types:
l Life insurance companies
l Property and casualty insurance companies
Life Insurance Companies
INVESTMENT MIX
PROPORTION OF INVESTMENT PORTOFOLIO
INVESTMENT LIFE Non-Life
Government securities,
cash and deposits At least 35% At least 35%
(excluding Statutory
Deposits)
Statutory Deposit At least 10% of minimum capital At least 10% of minimum capital
Listed Stocks 0 - 30% 0 - 30%
Unlisted stocks 0 - 20% 0 - 10%
Mutual funds 0 - 20% 0 - 20%
Investment Properties 10 - 20% 0 - 20%
Other investments
approved by the NIC 0 - 10% 0 - 10%
n In addition to the investment mix, it is required that at any point in time, the ratio
of investments to total assets should not be less than 55%. That is, at least 55% of
the total assets of the company must be in direct investments. Direct investments
are defined as assets that directly earn cash income or appreciate in value (capital
appreciation) over time.
Investment Companies
n An investment company is a financial
intermediary that sells shares in itself to the
public and uses the funds its raises to invest in a
diversified portfolio of securities.
n Types:
l Defined contribution plans
l Defined benefit plans
l Hybrid pension plan (Designer pensions)
Types of Pension Funds
l Example
u Annual pmt = 2% * average of final 3 years income * years of service.
n The new minimum age at which a person may join the Basic National
Pension Scheme is 15 years and the maximum is 45 years.
n The 12-year annuity guarantee period under the old scheme has been
increased to 15 years.
n The Pension paid will fall between 37.5% and 60% of the average of the
three best years’ salary depending on how long he/she contributed to the
scheme at age 60.
l Every 12 months after the minimum contribution period shall lead to an
increase of 1.125% in the pension payable. Maximum is 60%.
n Those unable to contribute up to the minimum 180 months (15 years),
receive a return of their contributions accumulated at a prescribed interest
rate.
n A member can opt for early retirement between ages 55 and 59 and receive
a reduced pension.
Bond Markets
Background on Bonds
S
n
$Ct $F
P0 = +
(1 + kb)t (1 + kb)n
t=1
YTM = Ct + (F – P0)/n
(F + P0)/2
Background on Bonds
Bonds by Issuers
Inflation-Indexed Bonds
Bonds in Ghana
l Indenture
u Legaldocument specifying rights and
obligations of issuer and bondholder
l Trustee
u Represents
bondholders to ensure
compliance with indenture
Corporate Bonds
n Junk Bonds
l Junk bonds are also called high-yield bonds or
noninvestment rated bonds
l Perceived to have high risk
l Offer high yields that contain risk premium to
compensate investors for high risk
l Popularized in the direct finance boom of the
1980s
l Secondary market supported by dealer market
Globalization of Bond Markets
Eurobond Market
Eurobond Market
n Two types
l Residential
l Non-residential
Mortgage Market
n Adjustable-rate mortgages
l Rates and the size of payments can change
u Maximum allowable fluctuation over year and life of loan
u Upper and lower boundaries for rate changes
l Lenders stabilize profits as yields move with cost of
funds
l Uncertainty for borrowers whose mortgage
payments can change over time
Residential Mortgage Characteristics
Mortgage Maturities
Mortgage Maturities
n Balloon payments
l Principal not paid until maturity
l Lower monthly payments
l Forces refinancing at maturity
n Amortizing mortgages
l Monthly payments consist of interest and principal
l During loan’s early years, most of the payment reflects
interest
Creative Mortgage Financing
Methods:
n Graduated-payment mortgage (GPM)
l Small initial payments
l Payments increase over time then level off
l Assumes income of borrower grows
n Growing-equity mortgage
l Like GPM low initial payments
l Unlike GPM, payments never level off but
continue to increase throughout the life of the loan
l Mortgage may be paid within a short time
Creative Mortgage Financing
n Mortgage companies
l Originate and quickly sell loans
l Do not maintain large portfolios
n Government agencies
n Brokerage firms
n Investment banks
n Finance companies
Valuation of Mortgages
Where:
PM = Market price of a mortgage
C = Interest payment and PRIN is principal
k = Investor’s required rate of return
t = maturity
Valuation of Mortgages
n Prepayment risk
l Borrowers refinance if rates drop by paying
off higher rate loan and financing at a new,
lower rate
l Investor receives payoff but has to invest at
the new, lower interest rate
l Manage the risk with ARMs or by selling
loans
Risk from Investing in Mortgages
Stock Exchanges
Organized Exchanges
Over-the-Counter Market
l No trading floor or specific location
l Buy and sell orders are completed through a
telecommunications network
l Nasdaq
u Many stocks in the OTC are served by the National Association of
Securities Dealers Automated Quotations, which is an electronic
quotation system
u Firms must meet specific requirement on minimum capital, assets and
number of shareholders
u Thousands of small firms, plus high-tech giants
l Pink sheets
u Tiny firms that do not meet requirements for NASDAQ
Stock Secondary Markets
n Trend: Consolidation of stock exchanges
n Market microstructure
l Specialists – take positions in specific stocks and stand ready
to buy or sell these stocks through TC network
l Floor brokers – execute transactions for their clients
l Market-makers – like specialists, but operate in Nasdaq
l Types of orders
u Market order – to execute transaction at the best possible
price.
u Limit order – a limit is placed on the price at which a stock
can be purchased or sold.
u Stop order – specifies that the order is not executed until
the market moves to a designated price (market order)
Stock Secondary Markets
l Changes in technology
u Online trading
u Real-time quotes
u Company information
u Electronic Communications Networks (ECNs)
l Margin requirements
u Specify amount of borrowed versus amount in
cash
u Intended to ensure that investor’s can cover their
position if the value of their investment declines
over time.
Stock Secondary Markets
n Stock Prices
l http://www.gse.com.gh/index1.php?linkid=5&subl
inkid=12
n Market cap, no. of shares, dividend yield, PE
ratio
l http://www.gse.com.gh/index1.php?linkid=46
n Information on the GSE Indexs
l http://www.gse.com.gh/index1.php?linkid=23&ad
ate=04%2F01%2F2011&archiveid=453&page=1
Stock Quotation
n Stock Quotation
l 52-week price range (high/low and YTD%
change)
l Stock symbol
l Dividend annualized and dividend yield
l Price-earnings ratio
l Volume in round lots
l Previous day’s price close and net daily
change
Stock Indexes
Do Nothing
Flush!
Shareholder Activism
Investor Monitoring of Firms in the Stock
Market
n Types of shareholder activism
l Communication with the firm
u Effort to place pressure on management
u Institutional investors
n e.g. request a seat on BOD
l Proxy contest
u In an attempt to change composition of BOD
u Is a more formal effort than communication
l Shareholder lawsuits
Corporate Monitoring of Firms
in the Stock Market
n Market for corporate control
l Stock price declines due to poor management
l Subject to possible takeover
n Barriers to market for corporate control
l Shark Repellent - Amendments to a company charter made to
forestall takeover attempts.
l Poison Pills – special rights awarded to shareholders or
specific managers upon specified events
l Golden Parachutes – specifies compensation to managers in
the event that they lose their jobs or there is a change in the
control of the firm.
l White Knight - friendly potential acquirer sought by a target
company threatened by an unwelcome suitor.
Corporate Monitoring of Their Own
Stock in the Stock Market
n Stock repurchases
l Dividend alternative or undervalued stock
l Excessive cash relative to +NPV investments
n Leveraged buyouts (LBO)
l If managers believe the stock price undervalued,
they may buy the outstanding shares with
borrowed funds
n Stock offerings
l Signals overvalued shares
Pricing Efficiency of the Stock Market
n The issuer shall be a public limited liability company incorporated under the
Companies Act, 1963 (Act 179).
n They must also have a minimum of 20 shareholders, compared with 100 for the
main bourse.
n The reporting requirements are lower. Companies on the main exchange have to
present their financial reports quarterly. This has been reduced to twice a year for
those on the GAX.
n The public float of the company must constitute a minimum of 25% of the total
number of issued shares
The Ghana Alternative Exchange (GAX)
n The company should have operated for at least one year, and have published or
filed accounts for at least one financial year. A start-up may be listed if it submits a
3 year business plan that clearly demonstrates the viability of the applicant. In
terms of profitability, the company need not have recorded historic profits but must
have the potential to make profit at least after its third year of listing.
n On the main exchange, the company should have published accounts for at least
three full years and must have positive pre-tax profits when taken in aggregate over
the three years.
n Though listing and application fees are waived, a GAX listed company must pay
an annual fee of GHS 2000.
Incentives Provided by Stock Exchange for
the GAX
n Companies listed on the GAX will be able to access
the SME Listing Support Fund -- which will be used
to assist companies meet their listing expenses. The
fund has been set up with an initial GHS 1million
contribution from the African Development Bank,
the GSE and the Venture Capital Trust Fund.
n Introduction
l An introduction is suitable where a company does not need to raise
capital and has the minimum number of 20 shareholders.
n Public offer
l An offer to the public may be an offer for subscription or an offer for
sale.
l In an offer for subscription, members of the public are invited to
subscribe for un-issued shares and the proceeds accrue to the company.
l In an offer for sale, existing shareholders invite subscribers to purchase
their shares and therefore the proceeds accrue to the sellers.
l Public offers require the publication of a prospectus, which must be
approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission and registered
with the Registrar of Companies.
Methods of Listing Securities on the GAX
n Private placement
l A private placement is an offer of shares to
selected parties where shares are “placed” or
offered to subscribers by the company as the result
of private negotiations.
Some Companies Listed on the GAX
Number Name of Company Date of Listing Issued Shares (Millions) Amount Raised (Millions)
n Supply of Savings
l Marginal rate of time preference (high time preference –
want to consume more today – higher discount rate)
l Income
l Reward for saving
n Demand for Borrowed Resources
l Marginal productivity of capital
l Rate of interest
n Equilibrium Rate of Interest
Fisher’s Law
n Nominal Rate of Interest (i) – number of
monetary units to be paid per unit borrowed
n Real Rate of Interest (r) –growth in the power to
consume over the life of a loan.
n Premium for Expected Inflation (p)
n No inflation, i = r
n Fisher’s Law
n (1 + i) = (1 + r)(1 + p)
n or
n i=r+p
The Loanable Funds Theory
n Rating Companies
l Moody’s, S&P, Fitch, Duff & Phelps
n Credit Ratings
l Investment grade
l Non-investment grade
n Credit Spread
Term to Maturity
n Special Provisions
l Call Feature: enables borrower to buy back the
bonds before maturity at a specified price
u Call features are exercised when interest rates
have declined
u Investors demand higher yield on callable
bonds, especially when rates are expected to fall
in the future
Embedded Options
n Special provisions
l Convertible bonds
u Convertibility feature allows investors to
convert the bond into a specified number
of common stock shares
u Investors will accept a lower yield for
convertible bonds because investor
returns include expected return on equity
participation
Embedded Options
n Call option
l benefits issuer
l increases required return on Treasuries
n Put Option
l benefits bondholder
n Conversion option
l benefits bondholder
l reduces required return on bonds
Tax Status
Yat = Ybt(1 – T)
Where:
Yat = after-tax yield
Ybt = before-tax yield
T = investor’s marginal tax rate
Tax Status
n Term to maturity
l Interest rates typically vary by maturity.
l The term structure of interest rates defines
the relationship between maturity and yield.
u The Yield Curve is the plot of current
interest yields versus time to maturity.
Yield Curve
Yield
%
Time to Maturity
n
The Term Structure of Interest Rates
n In a forward:
l Contract is negotiated directly by the seller and the
buyer.
l Terms of the contract can be “tailored”
l Neither party can walk away unilaterally from the
contract.
l Possible default risk borne by individual parties.
l Default controlled by collateral.
Futures
n In a futures contract:
l Buyers and sellers deal through the organised
exchange, not directly
l Contract terms are standardised
l Either party can reverse its position at anytime by
closing out its contract
l Default risk borne by exchange, not by individual
parties
l “Margin accounts” are used to reduce default risk
Margin Accounts and Marking to Market
n Margin Accounts
l Clearing House requires both parties to futures
contract to place a deposit with it.
l Margin deposits guarantee that when the contract
comes due, the parties will be able to meet their
obligations.
n Marking to Market
l Apart from the initial deposit, the Clearing House also
posts daily gains and losses on the contract to the
margin account of the parties involved.
l
l
Options
n American option
l Can be exercised on any date from the time they are written
until the day they expire
l Holder has three choices prior to the expiration date.
u Hold the option
u Sell the option
u Exercise the option
n European option
l Can be exercised only on the day they expire
l Holder has two choices on a date prior to expiration
u Hold the option
u Sell the option
Options as Financial Insurance
n Option provides financial insurance
l Holder has right, not obligation, to participate in specified
date.
l Right will be exercised only if it is in the holder’s interest to
do so.
l Holder can profit, but lose from exercise decision.
n The writer of the position provides this insurance to
the holder
l The writer is obligated to take part in the trade if the holder
should so decide.
n In exchange, writer receives a fee called the option
price or the option premium.
Pricing Options
n An option has two parts:
l The value of the option if it is exercised
immediately (intrinsic value).
l The fee paid for the option’s potential benefits
(option premium).
Q: if libor = 7%, what swap can be made and what is the profit
(assume $1mil face value loans)
A:
XYZ borrows $1mil @ 10% fixed
ABC borrows $1mil @ 7.5% floating
XYZ pays floating @ 7.25% to ABC
ABC pays fixed @ 10.50% to XYZ
SWAPS
Example - cont
Benefit to XYZ Net position
floating +7.25 -7.25 0
fixed +10.50 -10.00 +.50
Net gain +.50%
Example - cont
Settlement date
ABC pmt 10.50 x 1mil = 105,000
XYZ pmt 7.25 x 1mil = 72,500
net cash pmt by ABC = 32,500
if libor rises to 9%
settlement date
ABC pmt 10.50 x 1mil = 105,000
XYZ pmt 9.25 x 1mil = 92,500
net cash pmt by ABC = 12,500
Interest rate swap example
n Company A can access financial market:
l LIBOR + 3/8%
l Fixed Eurobond 11 ½%
n Company B can access financial market:
l LIBOR + 1 1/8%
l Fixed Eurobond (if at all) 13%
n How can a swap reduce financing cost and
possible risk?
n Assume A and B on a fixed rate of 12 5/8%
Foreign Exchange Market
Foreign Exchange Market
n The Law of One Price fails almost all the time due to:
l Transport cost
l High tariffs
l Differences in technical specifications
l Differences in tastes
Foreign Rates in the Short-Run
n Bid = $1.52
n Ask = $ 1.60
n $1.60 = ₤1
n $1,000 = x
n X = $1000 * ₤1
$1.60
n X = ₤625
Foreign Exchange Transactions
n $1.52 = ₤1
n X = ₤ 625
n X = ₤625 *$1.52
₤1
n X = $950
n You will have lost $50. This is due to the
bank’s bid/ask spread (charge/profit).
Foreign Exchange Transactions