Escolar Documentos
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Kannan
Module - 4
Credit Risk - Financial Statement
Analysis
Prof. R. Kannan
R.Kannan
A. Purpose
- Financial statements are presented in line with the accounting principles. They
need to be restructured for analysis.
- Whether the business is growing or shrinking
- Whether the profitability is increasing or decreasing
- How well the company is capitalised – leverage and over trading.
- Ability to service the debt-Level of strength and sustainability of cash flow.
- How well the assets are utilised
- How good is the working capital management
- Status of defaults
- How good is the liquidity; can current assets cover current liabilities.
- Whether statutory liabilities are being paid regularly.
- Does the company has adequate borrowing power as per bye laws /
Memorandum and Articles of Association.
- Maximum duration of financial year is 18 months.
- Normally April-March is considered the financial year.
Financial Statement Analysis - Contd..
R.Kannan
B. Content
– Profit and loss account - Schedules
– Balance Sheet - Schedules
– Note on accounts on accounting policies and assumptions
– Cash flow statements
– Production, Sales, Stock, exports data.
– Auditors report certifying the financial accounts, changes in accounting
policies and other observations which has an impact on profitability.
– Directors report on operating environment.
– Chairmans’ statement
– Corporate Governance report / investor information
– Cash flow statement.
R.Kannan Auditors comment on
• Correctness of accounts
• Banks convert all the profit and loss account, Balance sheet etc. into CMA format
– Source of profits
– Liquidity
– Extent of leveraging
R.Kannan
1 2 3 4
2 Cost of Sales
i. Raw materials and
other spares and
consumables used in
the process of
manufacture
a. Imported
b. Indigenous
ii. Other Spares
a. Imported
b. Indigenous
iii. Power & Fuel
iv. Direct Labour
(Factory wages &
Salaries)
v. Other Manufacturing
Expenses (Repairs &
Maint.)
vi. Depreciation
vii. Sub Total(i to vi)
R.Kannan Last two years actuals as per Current Year Projections for the following
audited accounts Estimates Year
1 2 3 4
• Sales:
PBILD 12 12
VRS 1 10
------- -------
Profit before tax 11 2
Tax at 40% 4.4 0.8
Deferred tax asset is Rs.3.6 lacs. These are created through unabsorbed
losses, expenditure debited but not allowed by income tax department in
that year, doubtful debt diminition in the value of investments.
CENVAT
Basic cost of raw materials 1000
Excise duty paid at 24% 240
Other expenditure 460
Profit 200
---------
Selling price 1900
Production 1000 units
Quantity of goods sold 700 units (Rs. In lacs)
Excise duty payable at 24% 319.2
(1900 x 700 x 0.24)
Less: Cenvat credit available
(700 x 1000 x 0.24) 168.0
Net excise obligation 151.2
Cost to consumer Rs. 2051.20
R.Kannan Balance sheet of a company shows its assets (what it owns) and Liabilities (what
it owes). Normally, companies present the assets and liabilities in vertical
format, as follows:
1 2 3 4
I Sources of Funds
1 Share Holders Fund
a. Capital
b. Reserves & Surplus
2 Loan Funds
a. Secured Funds
b. Unsecured Funds
Total
R.Kannan Balance Sheet – Vertical Form – Contd..
II Application of Funds
1 Fixed Assets
a) Gross Block
b) Less Depreciation
c) Net Block
d) Capital Work in
Progress
2 Investments
R.Kannan
Schedule Number Figures as Figures as at the end
at the end of the previous
of the Financial Year
current
Financial
Year
1 2 3 4
a) Inventories
b) Sundry Debtors
c) Cash & Bank Balances
d) Other Current Assets
e) Loans and Advances
Less
a) Liabilities
b) Provisions
Details of each item are given in attachments called”Schedules”, and the number of the
Short Term:
Short Term:
Current Liabilities
Short Term borrowings from banks Current Assets
Sundry Creditors Cash
Other Current Liabilities Inventory
Unsecured loans Sundry Debtors
Provisions Loans and advances
Other Current Assets
Miscellaneous expenditure (to the
extent not written off)
Profit & Loss A/c.
R.Kannan
Assets
– Fixed Assets
– Current Assets
Liabilities
– Short term liabilities are amounts payable within a year and include even
term loan instalments
– Long term liabilities are those payable beyond one year.
– Banks use a different form and include lease finance as liability and lease
assets as company’s assets. This is because in case of the industrial assets
lease is like a term loan and the ownership and charges to borrower at the
end of the lease.
– Bills discounted/purchased are included by banks both on the asset side
(receivables/bank borrowings) and the liability side. In case of customers
default, it becomes the liability of the company.
– Banker’s exclude revaluation reserves from the liability side and reduce the
amount from the fixed assets.
– Bankers in their analysis show contingent liabilities (i.e ) those that may
become liabilities in future (Guarantees, disputed tax etc.)
R.Kannan
Analysis of Balance Sheet
Last two years actuals Current Projections for the
as per audited accounts Year following Year
Estimates
1 2 3 4
Sub Total B
13 Total Current Liabilities (Total
1 to 12)
14 Debentures (Not maturing
within one year)
NET WORTH
22 Ordinary Share Capital
23 Share Applications Money
Premium A/c & Capital Reserve
24 General Reserve
25 Investment Allowance
R.Kannan
ASSETS
CURRENT ASSETS
i) a) Imported
b) Indigenous
ii Stock – in- Process
iii Finished Goods
Total Intangibles
47 Total Assets (total Item 38, 41, 45
and 46)
48 Tangible Net Worth (Item 28
minus item 46)
Disputed Tax
Disputed Excise
Disputed Customs
Bills discounted
Contracts remaining to be
executed
• Redeemable preference shares are not part of net worth but treated as debt
unless otherwise, they are redeemed after 12 years.
• Net worth is arrived after providing for intangibles, likely losses not provided
for such as bad debts, illiquid investments and also investment in subsidiaries
and associate companies, unsecured loans to subsidiaries/associate
companies, unsecured loans to subsidiaries/associate companies. This is
called adjusted tangible net worth (Item No.48)
• Net working capital is the portion of working capital financed by long term
loans. (Item No.49).
R.Kannan
Data to be collected for Financial Analysis
– Product wise production (quantity), sales (quantity and value), and average
realization net of duties for the last 3 years – Comment on variation from
year to year.
– Index capacity utilization, sales, price and profit and if these indices are
– Relationship between the dealers and the company and whether dealers
2. Cost
– Compute the ratio of the cost of raw material, consumable
stores, salaries and wages selling expenses, Utilities and
administrate overheads as a percentage of cost of sales over
the years and compare with the industry norm.
– Compute repairs and maintenance as a percentage of the sum
of gross value of the plant and machinery, miscellaneous
fixed assets and civil works.
– Locate the critical cost factor in the profitability
Refinery – Crude Oil cost (80%)
Aluminum – Power (50%)
Textile - Labour, Selling expenses
Petrochemical - Interest and depreciation
FMCG - Selling expenses
How do they compare with the industry standards?
R.Kannan
• Check whether subsidy as computed and taken by the company has been
formally approved by the Government.
• There are several ways of computing export benefits. This needs to be
checked. (eg. Entitlement of benefits due the duty free import of raw
materials for exports.
• Claims from Government bodies: Usually this amount will always remain at
a particular level. If so, this will not be a part of cash flow
• Interest on debtors should not be considered unless it is acknowledged by the
other party. Exchange gain on overdue foreign debtors should be excluded
as we are unsure of its collection.
• Some companies treat the relief given by the lenders by way of waiver of
interest/principal as other income. If the waived interest has been capitalized,
then it should be written off outside profit and loss account. Under no
circumstances principal relief can be taken as other income. It has to be
directly dealt with reserves/fixed assets as the case may be and loan amount.
R.Kannan
Expenses
- Capitalisation of expenses particularly if the company is
implementing a project or expansion.
- % of expenses to sales and how they have varied over the years.
Depreciation
- Any change in the method of depreciation
Interest
- Reasonableness of interest cost as a percentage of outstanding
loans
- How the other expenses incurred for raising the loan such as fees
treated?
R.Kannan
Overall Profitability (for 3-5 years)
Working Capital
A) Inventories
i) Finished goods
- Basis of valuation (market value/cost/FIFO/FILO)
- Change in the method of valuation – its impact on profitability
- Comparison of stock holding levels (finished goods/sales) in the
industry
- Variation in holding level over the last 3 years as a percentage of
cost of goods sold.
- Compounded rate of growth of finished goods inventory versus
compounded rate of growth of sales.
- Age of finished goods/stores inventory.
- Whether any fixed assets (say real estate) transferred to stock in
trade. Its impact on profitability.
R.Kannan
- Does that the quantity, specification, product mix of sales and stock
different.
- Does closing stock valuation done at listed prices and ignores
discounts.
- What is the average selling price of products during the year and
show does it compare with the prices at which the stock is valued
(Inter firm comparison)
Raw materials
- Age of inventory
- Comparison with the industry norms/consumption - How has it
varied over the last 3 years.
- Average price for valuation versus the average purchase price
during the year.
- Stock of raw materials as months’ consumption.
R.Kannan
Process Stock
- Composition
- Stock as months’ cost of production
Stores stock
- Age of inventory
- Whether this item has been utilised in the last 3 years.
- Stores stock as months of consumption.
- Whether any part of these have been transferred from capital assets
which are financed through term loans
R.Kannan
Receivables
Loans/Advances
Deferred tax asset is an asset only if the company continues to make taxable
profits and use the tax shield.
Bank Borrowings
• Status of bank borrowing, borrowing limit, limits and
overborrowings/defaults if any / invocation of guarantees
• Does the company deal with the banks outside the consortium
• Details of suits filed by bankers if any.
• Other current liability / provisions
• Details of provisions and adequacy.
• Bills – discounted / purchased
• Current ratio.
R.Kannan
Share capital
- Authorised and paid up share capital
- Shareholding pattern
- Book value, movement of market prices, dividend record
- Dividend rate and redemption period of preference share capital –
Does it carry conversion option on dividend default.
- If it is redeemable within 3 years, it is treated as term liability
- If it is redeemable after 12 years, it is quasi equity.
- How frequently the shares are traded – liquidity.
R.Kannan
Reserves
b) Revenue reserves
Unsecured loans
- Public deposits, commercial paper, unsecured loans from
promotors, intercorporate loans and unsecured loans from banks,
institutions.
- Study the movement of unsecured loans from the promoters/interest
rate
- Deposits – 10% of net worth maximum from shareholders
- 25% of net worth maximum from public.
- Intercorporate loans
60% of share capital and free reserves or 100% of free reserves
whichever is higher
- Deposits from dealers / selling agents may be considered term
liabilities if it is refundable only on termination of leadership.
- Term of deposits – (Interest rate – maturity) the cost of deposits
gives an idea of the company’s public rating.
R.Kannan
Unsecured loans
- If loans have been taken from promoters then interest rates
- Is there been any default in payment
Lease
- Details of assets taken on lease, terms and lease payments within a year.
Notes
Assets to be excluded from current assets
- Receivables overdue for a long time
- Payments shown as advance made in protest towards contingent
liabilities of sales tax/excise
- Investment in subsidiaries
- Unconnected investments
- Deposits in government bodies for telephone, power
- Slow moving inventories (write off)
- Long term deposits
- Stores/spares not used for more than 12 months.
- Deposits with associate companies
- Disputed receivables
R.Kannan