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Development: an exploratory
application of the "SAS Model" to
the Brazilian Economy
Jorge Britto
Fluminense Federal University (UFF) - Rio de Janeiro - Brazil
VW-Conference
Regional Inequalities — Patterns, Causes, Effects and
Policies in Marburg
14th - 16th of March 2018
at Philipps-Universität Marburg
Subject and Objectives
Subject:
• Structure and evolution of the ideal-types of “knowledge
bases" defined from data about employment according to
the SAS Model at the level of the Brazilian territorial units.
Objectives:
• Identify the absolute and relative relevance of these
knowledge bases in different territorial units as well as the
evolution of these characteristics over a period of twelve
years, in order to identify reinforcing or re-specialization
patterns.
• Analyze the connections between the characteristic of the
educational infrastructure and the distribution of
employment in Knowledge Bases.
Analytical Framework
• Dynamics of "knowledge economy": emphasis on is the creativity
and ability to search and make use of the new technologies and
knowledge, through learning processes. Ability to build new skills
through learning mechanisms is fundamental for achieving
competitive advantage at the organizational, sectorial and territorial
levels.
• Propositions articulate evolutionary economics and evolutionary
geography, connecting the characteristics of the knowledge
generation and the identification of critical dimensions of the
process of regional development.
• Distinction between three ideal-types of territorial knowledge
bases, Synthetic (engineering based), Analytical (science based) and
Symbolic (artistic based), forming the so-called SAS model.
• Connections between the territorial distributions of "knowledge
bases" represented through the SAS Model and the dynamism of
Regional Innovation Systems (RSIs) in the context of peripheral
regions.
Main characteristics of “Knowledge bases”
Analytical Base
• Professionals from natural sciences and medical sciences
• Jobs tend to be linked to specialized services concentrated in urban centers.
• Growth associated with general education at undergraduate and postgraduate
levels
• Influenced by Regional Policies focused on the general expansion of higher
education and policies of regional income redistribution
• Critical Aspect: Regional S,T&I Policy
Synthetic Base
• Engineering professionals and specialized technical professions.
• Jobs tend to be linked to a more diversified production structure at the regional
level, with emphasis on manufacturing activities.
• Growth associated with the training of engineers and specialized technical
professions (in tertiary education and technical secondary education)
• Influenced by Regional Policies focused on the expansion of higher education in
engineering and specialized technical training at secondary education (vocational
technical schools) . Impact of productive restructuring and industrial diversification
of less developed regions.
• Critical Aspect: Regional Industrial Policy
Main characteristics of “Knowledge bases”
Symbolic Base
• Professionals in the field of arts, crafts, design and other creative
grassroots activities.
• Jobs tend to be concentrated in urban centers but may be present also in
regions with more expressive artistic and cultural patrimony (creative
communities)
• Associated with the combination of higher education in arts and design
with informal training based on the local traditional exercise of creative
activities.
• Influenced by Regional Policies focused on the general expansion of higher
education in arts and design, the valorization of local activities of less
developed regions and the valorization of the artistic and cultural
patrimony of these regions.
• Critical Aspect: Local Development Policy
Empirical Elements
Empirical Context:
• Heterogeneity of the Brazilian regional economic and social structure:
persistence of regional inequalities.
• Distinction between regions that historically concentrated more wealth
and have better social indicators (South and Southeast) and other less
dynamic regions with highest levels of poverty (Northeast and North).
• Public policies adopted in the last decades in Brazil redirected to the
reduction of social and regional inequalities.
• S,T&I policies formatted to contribute to the reduction of regional
inequality, expanding the number of scientific and technological
institutions, technical schools and universities and increasing the funding
for research and innovation activities in less favored regions.
Empirical question:
• How effectives has been the public policies in terms of the promotion of
changes in the knowledge base of less structured regional innovation
systems?
Methodology
• Measurement of “knowledge bases" defined according to the SAS
Model at the level of the Brazilian territorial units follow a
methodology based on employment data proposed by Martin
(2012).
• Territorial dimensions: empirical analysis performed at the level
three territorial units: i) the five great geo-economic regions; ii) the
twenty-seven federative states (including the Federal District); iii)
correspondent 137 geographical "mesoregions".
• Empirical data based on the occupational structure of employment,
using data extracted from the Brazilian Annual Social Information
Survey (RAIS), performed by the Ministry of Labor and Employment.
• Analysis of the distribution of the employment according to an
occupation structure defined by the Brazilian Classification of
Occupations (CBO), which is compatible with the International
Standard Classification of Occupation (ISCO).
• Identification of different groups of professional occupations for
each group of knowledge base - Analytical (science based),
Synthetic (engineering based) and Symbolic (artistic based).
Methodology
• Use traditional indicators used in the field of economic geography to
analyze the evolution of knowledge bases in Brazilian regions between
2003 and 2015.
• Calculus of a Location Quotient (QL) defined to those groups of
occupations, in order to verify if the knowledge base of a region is
predominantly analytical, synthetic or symbolic, compared with other
regions.
• QL is define by the relation (i/e)/(Ei/ E) where:
– (i) = number of jobs in the knowledge base i in the region selected;
– (e) = total number of jobs in the selected region;
– (Ei) = number of jobs in the knowledge base i in the economy of reference
(Brazil)
– (E) = number of jobs in the reference economy.
• Calculus of a Herfindhal-Hirschman Index (HHI) that captures the general
regional concentration of employment to each one of knowledge bases
along the years surveyed (2003, 2009 and 2015).
• Calculus of a “redistribution coefficient” that captures the change of the
spatial distribution of a knowledge base within the various regions along
the period of time (2003-2015).
Methodology – Second Step
• Evaluation of how the territorial distribution of the employment among
knowledge bases would be connected to the territorial distribution of the
enrollment in tertiary education in the correspondent knowledge areas.
• Analysis based on data about the territorial distribution of the enrollment in
tertiary education provided by the Census of Higher Education for the year 2015
prepared by the Ministry of Education.
• For each one of the different "knowledge bases", a group of "knowledge areas"
related to the enrollment in tertiary education was identified. The analysis also
considers the territorial distribution of the enrollment in secondary professional
education provided
• Comparison of territorial concentration of the employment in "knowledge bases"
with the territorial concentration of the tertiary education in the correspondent
"knowledge areas" and with the secondary professional education.
• Calculus of HHI territorial concentration indexes for the three different territorial
levels: the geo-economic regions, the federative states and the correspondent
geographical "mesoregions".
• Comparison of the Location Quotient (QL) calculated to different high education
areas with the Location Quotient calculated to different knowledge bases.
• Identification of territorial units where tertiary educational infrastructure has a
potential to generate qualified people to be absorbed in the correspondent
knowledge base by the productive sector.
• Comparison between indexes of “territorial association” calculated to the
territorial distribution of groups of enrollment in tertiary education and to the
territorial distribution of employment in different knowledge bases.
Main findings - Territorial distribution of knowledge bases
Analytical Base
• The employment of the Analytical Base reaches 4.095.830 jobs in 2015, corresponding to a growth
of 77,5% between 2003-2015.
• In the year 2015, 49,2% of the employment in this occupational group was concentrated in the
Southeast, 20,6% in the Northeast, 15,6% in the South, 8,3% in the Midwest and 6,3% in the North.
• Between 2003-2015, the growth was more impressive in North (129,3%), followed by the Northeast
(104,6%), Midwest (87,6%), Southeast (66,3%) and South (64,0%).
• Location Quotient (QL) in 2015 presented a value greater than 1.25 for 31 mesoregions, contrasting
with other 17 mesoregions with a value less than 0.75.
• Between 2003 and 2015, the growth of the index was greater than 30% for a group of 24
mesoregions, contrasting to a group of 9 mesoregions with a decrease in index superior to 20%.
Synthetic Base
• The employment of the Synthetic Base reaches 9.140.444 jobs in 2015, corresponding to a growth
of 66,4% between 2003-2015.
• In the year 2015, 51,4% of the employment in this occupational group was concentrated in the
Southeast, 22,3% in the South, 15,0% in the Northeast, 6,7% in the Midwest and 4,6% in the North.
• Between 2003-2015, the growth was more impressive in Midwest (99,4%), followed by the North
(87,0%), Northeast (77,1%), South (63,3%) and the Southeast (60,0%).
• Location Quotient (QL) in 2015 presented a value greater than 1.25 for 31 mesoregions, contrasting
with other 44 mesoregions with a value less than 0.75.
• Between 2003 and 2015, the growth of the index was greater than 30% for a group of 8
mesoregions, contrasting to a group of 15 mesoregions with a decrease in index superior to 20%.
Main findings - Territorial distribution of knowledge bases
Symbolic Base
• The employment of the Symbolic Base reaches 3.476.504 jobs in 2015,
corresponding to a growth of 87,4% between 2003-2015.
• In the year 2015, 51,7% of the employment in this occupational group was
concentrated in the Southeast, 19,8% in the South, 15,3% in the Northeast, 8,9%
in the Midwest and 4,3% in the North.
• Between 2003-2015, the growth was more impressive in Midwest (139,0%),
followed by the Northeast (110,1%), Southeast (94,5%), North (90,4%) and South
(46,6%).
• Location Quotient (QL) in 2015, this index presented a value greater than 1.25 for
12 mesoregions, contrasting with other 31 mesoregions with a value less than
0.75.
• Between 2003 and 2015, the growth of the index was greater than 30% for a group
of 18 mesoregions, contrasting to a group of 48 mesoregions with a decrease in
the index superior to 20%.
Distribution of Employment and Location Quotient (QL) to Occupations
Related to the Knowledge Bases of the SAS Model - 2003, 2009 and 2015
Analytical Base Synthetic Base Symbolic Base Total Employment
Var 2003- Var 2003- Var 2003- Var 2003-
2015 - % 2015 - QL 15 2015 - % 2015 - QL 15 2015 - % 2015 - QL 15 2015 - % 15
Midwest 8,3 0,95 87,6 6,7 0,76 99,4 8,9 1,01 139,0 8,8 74,3
50 - Mato Grosso Sul 1,3 0,97 139,1 1,2 0,87 119,4 1,5 1,09 76,4 1,3 76,8
51 - Mato Grosso 1,2 0,71 103,4 1,5 0,93 129,0 1,8 1,11 127,0 1,7 93,4
52 - Goiás 2,7 0,86 65,5 2,9 0,92 98,6 3,3 1,06 122,0 3,1 81,5
53 - Distrito Federal 3,1 1,19 86,7 1,1 0,42 57,8 2,2 0,85 292,1 2,6 56,0
Northeast 20,6 1,11 104,6 15,0 0,81 77,1 15,3 0,82 110,1 18,5 74,7
21 - Maranhão 2,0 1,35 227,3 1,1 0,70 122,7 0,9 0,60 106,0 1,5 107,3
22 - Piauí 1,8 1,84 210,3 0,6 0,60 68,8 0,7 0,71 177,5 1,0 86,5
23 - Ceará 3,3 1,02 110,1 3,2 0,99 70,3 2,9 0,91 81,7 3,2 87,0
24 - Rio Grande Norte 1,2 0,94 98,7 1,0 0,83 63,2 1,2 0,96 117,8 1,3 56,9
25 - Paraíba 1,8 1,30 98,6 1,0 0,74 78,6 1,1 0,78 93,1 1,4 73,8
26 - Pernambuco 3,4 0,99 96,8 2,8 0,82 84,9 2,8 0,82 99,8 3,5 73,6
27 - Alagoas 1,0 0,96 108,3 0,7 0,65 76,1 0,8 0,71 131,9 1,1 61,3
28 - Sergipe 1,0 1,17 25,8 0,7 0,83 92,4 0,7 0,78 88,9 0,8 65,2
29 - Bahia 5,1 1,06 82,3 3,9 0,82 70,4 4,2 0,88 139,1 4,8 67,6
Nortth 6,3 1,12 129,3 4,6 0,80 87,0 4,3 0,76 90,4 5,7 97,5
11 - Rondônia 0,5 0,73 179,6 0,5 0,73 - 9,2 0,7 0,88 91,3 0,7 95,5
12 - Acre 0,3 1,10 40,3 0,1 0,48 83,0 0,2 0,71 165,7 0,3 98,6
13 - Amazonas 1,6 1,27 93,6 1,4 1,07 124,0 1,0 0,75 79,1 1,3 92,0
14 - Roraima 0,3 1,52 916,6 0,1 0,44 151,5 0,2 0,83 329,9 0,2 248,3
15 - Pará 2,3 0,99 148,9 2,0 0,85 125,6 1,7 0,72 71,2 2,3 96,6
16 - Amapá 0,2 0,73 146,9 0,1 0,46 79,9 0,2 0,77 254,0 0,3 93,7
17 - Tocantins 1,1 1,87 122,0 0,3 0,57 84,6 0,4 0,76 93,0 0,6 87,9
Southeast 49,2 0,99 66,3 51,4 1,03 60,0 51,7 1,04 94,5 49,7 55,2
31 - Minas Gerais 9,5 0,94 32,1 10,6 1,05 62,6 9,9 0,99 87,6 10,0 53,6
32 - Espírito Santo 1,9 1,01 116,0 2,0 1,06 64,4 1,9 0,96 113,8 1,9 63,6
33 - Rio de Janeiro 11,6 1,25 90,6 8,1 0,88 56,9 10,2 1,11 163,6 9,3 51,1
35 - São Paulo 26,2 0,92 69,7 30,7 1,08 59,6 29,7 1,04 79,5 28,5 56,6
South 15,6 0,90 64,0 22,3 1,29 63,3 19,8 1,14 46,6 17,3 58,5
41 - Paraná 6,5 1,01 83,8 7,8 1,20 76,9 7,1 1,10 55,1 6,5 65,2
42 - Santa Catarina 3,5 0,76 55,2 6,9 1,50 82,3 5,8 1,25 47,6 4,6 71,3
43 - Rio Grande do Sul 5,5 0,88 50,3 7,6 1,22 39,1 6,9 1,11 37,9 6,3 44,5
Total geral (1.000) 4.096,0 1,00 77,5 9.140,0 1,00 66,4 3.477,0 1,00 87,4 48.061,0 62,7
Main findings - Territorial distribution of knowledge
bases
Territorial concentration measured by an HHI index:
• At the more aggregated level of the five great geo-economic
regions, we can observe a reduction of the HHI index for the
Analytical and Synthetic bases between 2003 and 2015, reflecting a
movement similar to that observed to the Total Employment, while
the index remained relatively stable for the Symbolic base.
• In terms of the territorial level of the federative states, the index
was reduced further to the Analytical base, followed by a less
pronounced reduction for the Symbolic and Synthetic bases, both
with an evolution very similar to the Total Employment.
• At territorial level of the "mesoregions", the index reduced more
sharply to the Analytical base, followed by a less pronounced
reduction for the Symbolic base, reflecting the general trend
observed to the Total Employment, contrasting with a small
increase of the index observed for the Symbolic base.
HHI Territorial Concentration Index Calculated to Occupations Related to the
Knowledge Bases of the SAS Model - Brazilian Geo-economic regions,
Federative States and Geographical "Mesoregions" - 2003, 2009 and 2015
Analytical Base Synthetic Base Symbolic Base Mean of the contribution of the Knowledge Base
Norte de Roraima North Centro Amazonense North Norte Maranhense Northeast Centro Amazonense North
Sudeste Paraense North Sudeste Paraense North Centro-Norte Piauiense Northeast Norte de Roraima North
Nordeste Paraense North Norte Maranhense Northeast Metropolitana de Fortaleza Northeast Sudeste Paraense North
Oriental do Tocantins North Metropolitana de Fortaleza Northeast Leste Potiguar Northeast Norte Maranhense Northeast
Norte Maranhense Northeast Metropolitana de Recife Northeast Metropolitana de Recife Northeast Centro-Norte Piauiense Northeast
Leste Maranhense Northeast Centro Norte Baiano Northeast Leste Alagoano Northeast Metropolitana de Fortaleza Northeast
Centro-Norte Piauiense Northeast Triângulo Mineiro/ Southeast Metropolitana de Salvador Northeast Metropolitana de Recife Northeast
Norte Cearense Northeast Norte Fluminense Southeast Sul Baiano Northeast Sul Baiano Northeast
Metropolitana de Recife Northeast Macro Metropolitana Paulista Southeast Central Espírito-santense Southeast Central Espírito-santense Southeast
Centro Sul Baiano Northeast São José do Rio Preto Southeast Metropolitana do Rio de Janeiro Southeast Metropolitana do Rio de Janeiro Southeast
Sul Baiano Northeast Centro Oriental Paranaense South Baixadas Southeast Baixadas Southeast
Norte de Minas Southeast Sudoeste Paranaense South Norte Fluminense Southeast Norte Fluminense Southeast
Central Espírito-santense Southeast Oeste Catarinense South Vale do Paraíba Paulista Southeast Campinas Southeast
Metropolitana do Rio de Janeiro Southeast Norte Catarinense South Oeste Paranaense South Vale do Paraíba Paulista Southeast
Campinas Southeast Sudoeste de M.Grosso do Sul Midwest Sudoeste Paranaense South Oeste Paranaense South
Macro Metropolitana Paulista Southeast Leste de Mato Grosso do Sul Midwest Grande Florianópolis South Sudoeste Paranaense South
Metropolitana de Curitiba South Norte Mato-grossense Midwest Norte Mato-grossense Midwest Centro Norte de Mato Grosso do Sul Midwest
Norte Catarinense South Sudeste Mato-grossense Midwest Centro Goiano Midwest Norte Mato-grossense Midwest
Centro Norte de Mato Grosso do Sul Midwest Centro Goiano Midwest Sul Goiano Midwest Sul Goiano Midwest
Distrito Federal Midwest Sul Goiano Midwest Distrito Federal Midwest Distrito Federal Midwest
Educational Infrastructure and the Distribution of Employment
in Knowledge Bases
• Comparison of territorial concentration of the employment in "knowledge
bases" with the territorial concentration of the tertiary education in the
correspondent "knowledge areas" and with the secondary professional
education for the year 2015.
• Territorial concentration indexes were lower in the case of the Analytical
knowledge high education areas compared to the Analytical knowledge
base.
• The indexes seem to be similar when we compare the Synthetic
knowledge high education areas to the Synthetic knowledge base.
• The indexes were higher in the case of the Symbolic knowledge high
education areas compared to the Symbolic knowledge base.
• Indexes calculated for the secondary professional education were
expressively lower that those calculated for the different "knowledge
bases".
• Potential of mobilization of a decentralized educational infrastructure in
order to reducing interregional inequalities tend to be higher in the case
of the Analytical Base. This potential seems also to be more effective in
the case of the secondary professional education
HHI Territorial Concentration Index Calculated to Group of Occupations and
to Groups of Enrollment in Tertiary and Secondary Education - Brazilian Geo-
economic regions, Federative States and Geographical "Mesoregions" - 2015
Knowledge Bases (employment)
Occupations – Occupations - Occupations – Occupations -
Analytical Base Synthetic Base Symbolic base Total
Regions 32,0% 34,3% 34,0% 34,2%
Federative States 10,9% 13,5% 12,9% 12,7%
Mesoregions 4,4% 3,7% 4,4% 4,9%
Knowledge Areas (tertiary and professional education)
Higher Higher Higher Secondary
Education - Education - Education - Professional
Analytical Area Synthetic Area Symbolic Area Education
Regions 29,5% 37,2% 37,4% 29,6%
Federative States 9,6% 13,5% 14,9% 9,0%
Mesoregions 3,7% 4,0% 9,3% 2,8%
Relation between dimensions
Secondary
Professional
Analytical Area/ Synthetic Area/ Symbolic Area/ Education/
Analýtical base Synthetic base Symbolic Base Occupations
Regions 92,2% 108,5% 110,0% 86,5%
Federative States 88,1% 100,0% 115,5% 70,9%
Mesoregions 84,1% 108,1% 211,4% 57,1%
Educational Infrastructure and the Distribution of Employment
in Knowledge Bases
• Comparison of Location Quotient (QL) calculated both to "knowledge bases" and
to the "knowledge high education areas".
• Analytical knowledge high education areas: QL index is greater for the Northeast,
where this index tend also to be superior to the index calculated for the Analytical
knowledge base.
• Synthetic knowledge high education areas: QL index is greater for the Southeast,
where this index tend also to be superior to the index calculated for the Synthetic
knowledge base.
• Symbolic knowledge high education areas: the QL index is greater for the South,
where this index tend also to be superior to the index calculated for the Symbolic
knowledge base.
• Professional Education: QL index is greater for the South and the Northeast,
where this index tend also to be superior to the index calculated for the Mean of
the different knowledge areas.
Madeira-Guaporé North Sertão Sergipano Northeast Sudeste Paraense North Sudoeste Piauiense Northeast
Vale do Acre North Borborema Northeast Agreste Pernambucano Northeast Sudeste Piauiense Northeast
Agreste Potiguar Northeast Litoral Norte Espírito-santense Southeast Metropolitana de Fortaleza Northeast Leste Potiguar Northeast
Centro-Sul Cearense Northeast Vale do Rio Doce Southeast Metropolitana de Salvador Northeast Metropolitana de Recife Northeast
Jaguaribe Northeast Sul Fluminense Southeast Jequitinhonha Southeast Centro-Norte Piauiense Northeast
Sertão Paraibano Northeast Vale do Paraíba Paulista Southeast Metropolitana de São Paulo Southeast Norte Piauiense Northeast
Leste Potiguar Northeast Norte Fluminense Southeast Metropolitana do Rio de Janeiro Southeast Norte Fluminense Southeast
Central Potiguar Northeast Araraquara Southeast Zona da Mata Southeast Litoral Norte ES Southeast
Sul Cearense Northeast Macro Metropolitana Paulista Southeast Central Espírito-santense Southeast Sul Fluminense Southeast
Mata Paraibana Northeast Oeste de Minas Southeast Metropode Belo Horizonte Southeast Central Espírito-santense Southeast
Agreste Sergipano Northeast Metrop Belo Horizonte Southeast Metropolitana de Curitiba South Noroeste Fluminense Southeast
Agreste Paraibano Northeast Campinas Southeast Grande Florianópolis South Sul Espírito-santense Southeast
Leste Alagoano Northeast Piracicaba Southeast Vale do Itajaí South Baixadas Southeast
Centro-Norte Piauiense Northeast Sul/Sudoeste de Minas Southeast Metropolitana de Porto Alegre South Sudeste Rio-grandense South
Noroeste Cearense Northeast Araçatuba Southeast Nordeste Rio-grandense South Metropde Porto Alegre South
Leste Sergipano Northeast Noroeste Fluminense Southeast Sudeste Rio-grandense South Centro Ocidental RS South
Oeste Potiguar Northeast Norte de Minas Southeast Norte Catarinense South Centro Oriental Paranaense South
Jequitinhonha Southeast Central Mineira Southeast Norte Central Paranaense South Norte Catarinense South
Noroeste Fluminense Southeast Norte Catarinense South Noroeste Paranaense South Pantanais MS Midwest
Vale do Mucuri Southeast Sul Catarinense South Centro Ocidental Rio-grandense South Centro Norte de MS Midwest
Educational Infrastructure and the Distribution of Employment
in Knowledge Bases
• Comparison of the Location Quotient (QL) calculated to
different high education areas with the Location Quotient
calculated to different knowledge bases at the level of the
different "mesoregions".
• In the case of Analytical Base the potential to generate
qualified people tends to be higher (comprising 42,3% of
the mesoregions), particularly in the cases of mesoregions
located in the Midwest (60,0% of mesoregions) an in the
Southeast (51,4% of the mesoregions).
• In the case of Synthetic Base, this potential is less intense
(comprising 35,0% of the mesoregions), being higher to the
Southeast (59,5% of the mesoregions).
• In the case of the Symbolic Base, this potential is even less
intense (comprising 18,2% of the mesoregions), being
higher to the South (39,1% of the mesoregions).
Comparison Between the Location Quotient (QL) calculated to different high
education areas and the Location Quotient calculated to different knowledge bases
to different "mesoregions" distributed by Brazilian Geo-economic regions - 2015
Distribution of Mesoregions