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Topic 1
An Understanding of
Money & Interest Rates
TEXTBOOK
1-2
What is interest rate?
1-3
i) Household Savings
Current household savings equal to the difference
Current
S1 S2 Saving
The Classical Theory - Supply of Savings
1-11
Expected
Internal A – acceptable
Rates of 15%
Return on B – acceptable
Alternative Cost of
Investment 12% C – indifferent Capital
Projects Funds
10% D = 10%
unprofitable 8% E
unprofitable 7%
Investment
I2 I1 Spending
The Classical Theory - Demand for
Investment Funds
1-16
Interest
Rate Investment Savings
rE
Savings &
QE Investment
Limitations of The Classical Theory
1-17
Equilibrium
interest rate Total
Demand
Quantity of
Money / Cash
QE Balances
Limitations of The Liquidity Preference
(Cash Balances) Theory
1-23
Loanable funds?
The sum total of all the money people and entities
in an economy have decided to save and lend out
to borrowers as an investment rather than use for
personal consumption
The Loanable Funds Theory
1-26
Amount of
Loanable Funds
The Loanable Funds Theory
1-28
Amount of
Loanable Funds
The Loanable Funds Theory
1-31
rE
Demand
Amount of
QE Loanable Funds
The Loanable Funds Theory
1-32
At equilibrium:
Planned savings = planned investment across the
whole economic system
Money supply = money demand
Supply of loanable funds = demand for loanable
funds
Net foreign demand for loanable funds = net exports
Interest rates will be stable only when the economy, money
market, loanable funds market, and foreign currency
markets are simultaneously in equilibrium.
The Loanable Funds Theory
1-33
Interest
Rate D0 S1
S2
I1
I2
Amount of
C1 C2 Loanable Funds
The Loanable Funds Theory
1-34
Interest
Rate D2 S0
D1
I2
I1
Amount of
C1 C2 Loanable Funds
The Rational Expectations Theory
1-35
Expected Demand
Amount of
QE Loanable Funds
The Rational Expectations Theory
1-37
$1
PV of future $1 =
1+ i n
Present Value Concept : Simple Loan
1-42
$100 $110 1 i
$110 $100 $10
i .10 10%
$100 $100
**i = yield to maturity (YTM)
Present Value Concept : Fixed Payment Loans
1-44
FP FP FP FP
LV 2 3 ...
1 i 1 i 1 i 1 i n
Present Value Concept : Coupon Bonds
1-46
C C C C F
P 2 3 ... n
1 i 1 i 1 i 1 i 1 i n
C C
P i
i P
Present Value Concept : Discount Bonds
1-47
$900
$1000
i F P
1 i P
$1000 $900
i .111 11.1%
$900
Relationship Between Price and Yield to Maturity
1-48
Note:
1. When bond is at par, yield equals coupon rate
2. Price and yield are negatively related
3. Yield greater than coupon rate when bond price is
below par value
Distinction Between Real & Nominal Interest Rates
1-49
ir i e
If i = 5% and πe = 0% then
ir 5% 0% 5%
n n
CPt CPt
DUR t
t 1 1 i t 1 1 i
t t
i
%P DUR
1 i
From Table 3, if i 10% to 11%:
0.01
%P 6.76
1 0.10
0.01
%P 5.72
1 0.10