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Tracker 2H 2015
Daniel Povis
Senior Enterprise Analyst
IDC Latin America
IDC# PEXXXXX
Methodology
Foundation Markets
Engagement Types
IT Macromarket
IT Consulting (ITC)
Project Consulting
Network Consulting and Integration (NCI)
IS Outsourcing (ISO)
Outsourcing Network and Desktop Outsourcing (NDO)
Outsourcing Hosting Infrastructure Services (HIS)
Application Management (AM)
Hosted Application Management (HAM)
Processing Services
Business Services Business process outsourcing
Business Consulting
5
Taxonomía de Servicios de IDC
Peru, IT Services, IDC Services Taxonomy, Market Segments, 2015
Foundation Markets
Secondary Markets
IT Macromarket
IS Outsourcing (ISO)
Outsourcing Network and Desktop Outsourcing (NDO)
IT Outsourcing Hosting Infrastructure Services (HIS)
Application Management (AM)
Hosted Application Management (HAM)
Processing Services
Business Services Business process outsourcing
Business Consulting
6
Agenda
Principales Hallazgos
del Estudio
Entorno: Economía y TI
Escenario Competitivo
Demanda/Tendencias
Guía Esencial
Entorno: Economía y TI
Escenario Competitivo
Demanda/Tendencias
Guía Esencial
11
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La devaluación de la moneda tuvo un efecto
notorio en los resultados en dólares
Peru, IT Services Market Peru, IT Services Market
(US$ M) 2013-2019 (Forecast 1H15 Study) (US$ M) 2013-2019 (Forecast 2H15 Study)
CAGR (2014-2019): 15.6% CAGR (2014-2019): 12.7%
$ 1,800 $1,721M $ 1,800
30% 3
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
12
Source: IDC Peru IT Services Tracker 2015H1 and 2015H2 data
Outsourcing fue el mercado que menos se
desaceleró en 2015
Peru – IT Services by Macromarket
(Current US$ M) 2015-2020
Project Oriented
CAGR 17.4% (2015-2020)
• ∆ 2014: 12.6% ∆ 2015: -1.5%
• ∆ 2016*: 5.9%
$579M • CAGR 15-20: 14.4%
$495M
Outsourcing
$424M
• ∆ 2014: 23.6% ∆ 2015: 7.3%
$363M
• ∆ 2016*: 13.8%
$313M
$295M $1,001M • CAGR 15-20: 19.4%
$823M
$677M
$561M Support & Training
$412M $469M
• ∆ 2014: 8.5% ∆ 2015: -0.9%
$149M $155M $168M $182M $197M $214M • ∆ 2016*: 3.7%
• CAGR 15-20: 7.5%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
13
Source: IDC Peru IT Services Tracker 2H15 data
…y en los servicios orientados a proyectos,
Systems Integration fue el más complicado
Systems Integration
Peru – Project Oriented IT Services
• ∆ 2014: 7.6% ∆ 2015: -3.3%
Market (Current US$ M) 2015-2020
• ∆ 2016*: 3.2%
CAGR 14.4% (2015-2020) • CAGR 15-20: 13.8%
Custom Application Development
• ∆ 2014: 13.2% ∆ 2015: 0.1%
$258M • ∆ 2016*: 7.0%
• CAGR 15-20 : 14.4%
$221M
Network Consulting and Integration
$189M
$162M • ∆ 2014: 23.5% ∆ 2015: -0.8%
$129M • ∆ 2016*: 9.5%
$135M $140M $111M
$95M • CAGR 15-20 : 14.3%
$81M $81M
$66M $70M $70M IT Consulting
$52M $60M
$42M $46M • ∆ 2014: 18.2% ∆ 2015: 0.7%
$67M $79M $94M $112M
$53M $57M • ∆ 2016*: 8.9%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 • CAGR 15-20 : 16.2%
14
Source: IDC Peru IT Services Tracker 2H15 data
En IT Outsourcing todos los mercados se
desaceleraron significativamente, salvo HIS
Hosted Application Management
Peru – IT Outsourcing Services
• ∆ 2014: 63.4% ∆ 2015: 4.1%
Market (US$ M) 2015-2020
• ∆ 2016*: 7.7% CAGR 15-20: 10.9%
CAGR 19.4% (2015-2020) Network and Desktop Outsourcing
$10M
• ∆ 2014: 17.9% ∆ 2015: 0.3%
$119M
• ∆ 2016*: 8.7% CAGR 15-20: 13.8%
$9M
$103M IS Outsourcing
$8M $410M • ∆ 2014: 26.8% ∆ 2015: 9.2%
$90M
$7M • ∆ 2016*: 17.0% CAGR 15-20: 20.3%
$78M $338M
$6M Hosting Infrastructure Services
$6M $68M $278M
$62M $230M $226M • ∆ 2014: 29.9% ∆ 2015: 20.1%
$190M $172M • ∆ 2016*: 25.2% CAGR 15-20: 29.6%
$162M $130M
$100M
$62M $77M Application Management
$147M $171M $201M $236M
$120M $127M • ∆ 2014: 18.8% ∆ 2015: 3.0%
• ∆ 2016*: 6.4% CAGR 15-20: 14.6%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
15
Source: IDC Peru IT Services Tracker 2H15 data
Agenda
Principales Hallazgos
del Estudio
Entorno: Economía y TI
Escenario Competitivo
Demanda/Tendencias
Guía Esencial
0.0%
GDP Growth Y-Y
-5.0%
-10.0%
-15.0%
Mar 2015 Jun 2015 Oct 2015 Dec 2015 Mar 2016 Jun 2016
Argentina 2.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.4% -0.3% -0.8%
Brazil -2.5% -0.5% 0.5% -0.2% -3.1% -3.0%
Chile 1.0% 2.8% 3.9% 3.3% 2.1% 1.8%
Colombia 3.2% 2.8% 3.7% 3.4% 2.5% 2.2%
Mexico 2.3% 2.7% 3.0% 3.3% 2.6% 2.6%
Peru 3.3% 2.8% 4.7% 2.7% 3.6% 3.9%
Venezuela -11.0% -9.5% -5.5% -5.9% -12.7% -13.6%
LatAm -0.8% 0.4% 1.7% 1.0% -0.3% -0.6%
Source:: Latin America EIU March 2015, Jun 2015, Oct 2015, Dec. 2015; Mar 2016, June 2016
La devaluación de la moneda fue muy significativa
en la región en 2015
Currency Rates in Oanda.com (LC/US quarterly average)
Current Black Book
16.0
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
6.0
4.0
2.0
0.0
2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 2013 2013 2013 2013 2014 2014 2014 2014 2015 2015 2015 2015 2016
Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
Argentina 4.26 4.34 4.45 4.62 4.81 5.02 5.25 5.59 6.06 7.59 8.06 8.30 8.53 8.68 8.96 9.25 10.08 14.38
Brazil 1.80 1.77 1.96 2.03 2.06 2.00 2.07 2.29 2.28 2.37 2.23 2.28 2.55 2.86 3.08 3.53 3.85 3.89
Chile (100 factor) 5.12 4.92 4.97 4.83 4.79 4.73 4.85 5.08 5.16 5.52 5.55 5.77 5.99 6.24 6.18 6.76 6.98 6.97
Colombia (1000 factor) 1.94 1.82 1.81 1.81 1.81 1.79 1.86 1.91 1.91 2.01 1.92 1.92 2.20 2.49 2.52 2.96 3.09 3.21
Mexico (10 factor) 1.37 1.30 1.35 1.32 1.30 1.26 1.25 1.29 1.30 1.32 1.30 1.31 1.39 1.50 1.53 1.64 1.68 1.8
Peru 2.75 2.71 2.70 2.67 2.63 2.62 2.71 2.83 2.83 2.85 2.83 2.87 2.98 3.10 3.18 3.25 3.36 3.39
Source: OANDA.com
Note: Dollar used to calculate constant dollar rates in IDC’s Q4 Black Book is the 2015 Q4 average
ICT viene creciendo importantemente en Perú en
dólares constantes…
Total ICT Market Growth by Market in Constant USD, Y-Y
LA -3.2%
Venezuela
6.7%
2.3%
4.4% 2.6% 3.8% 3.0%
1.7% 1.2% 1.0%
25.4%
24.4%
17.0%
14.3% 14.8% 15.2%
8.8% 12.8%
6.9% 6.3% 7.3%
5.0% 4.5% 3.9%
3.9% 3.2% 3.1% 4.5%
5.0% 2.4%
0.9%
2.2%4.0%
0.1% 0.4% -1.1%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017*
-5.3%
Real GDP Growth (%)
GDP Growth (%) in Current US$
IT Spending Growth (%) in Current US$
21
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit June 2016, IDC Worldwide Black Book Q4 2015
TI empresarial también se desaceleró en 2015,
pero en menor medida…
Peru GDP and Enterprise IT Spending Growth
Evolution (%) 2009-2015* in US$
20.2%
18.2%
17.0%
14.8%
15.8%
11.8% 11.1% 11.5%
12.5%
12.8%
8.8%
6.9% 6.3% 5.0% 5.0% 7.3%
3.2% 3.9% 4.5%
0.9% 5.0% 2.4%
0.3% 2.2%
0.1% 0.4%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017*
-5.3%
22
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit June 2016, IDC Worldwide Black Book Q4 2015
…aunque hay mucho espacio por crecer en IT
empresarial en el país
Total IT Market 2015* by Country and Type of Spending in M US$ Current
Note.- Asumiendo que todo el gasto en SW es hecho sólo por empresas, y que el gasto en
ítems de consumer como notebooks, smartphones y tablets es hecho sólo por
consumidores finales
23
Source: IDC Worldwide Black Book Q3 2015
…sin embargo, la devaluación de la moneda afectó
más al mercado de Servicios de TI que a otros
Peru GDP and IT Services Spending Growth
Evolution (%) 2009-2015* in US$
23.7%
21.5%
16.6% 16.5%
17.0% 14.8% 15.7%
11.9%
12.8% 9.3%
8.8%
6.9% 6.3% 7.3%
5.0%
4.5% 3.2% 3.9%
0.9% 5.0% 2.4% 4.5%
2.2%
0.1% 0.4%
2.7%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016* 2017*
-5.3%
Real GDP Growth (%)
GDP Growth (%) in Current US$
IT Services Spending Growth (%) in Current US$
24
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit June 2016, IDC Worldwide Black Book Q4 2015
Las empresas peruanas están entre las más
optimistas de la región
Q. For 2016, do you expect your organization's overall IT expenditure to increase, decrease, or
stay the same in comparison to 2015?
IT Expenditure, Peru,
IT Expenditure Intention for 2016 2014-2016
100% 100%
16.8% 15.7% 14.2%
90% 90%
80% 80%
70% 70%
41.4% 42.2%
60% 60% 44.3%
10% 10%
0% 0%
2014 2015 2016
25
Source: IDC Latin America IT Spending Trends March 2016 . N=571
Agenda
Principales Hallazgos
del Estudio
Entorno: Economía y TI
Escenario Competitivo
Demanda/Tendencias
Guía Esencial
2014 2015
IBM
IBM 18.1% Telefonica
18.4% Telefonica
9.4%
8.4% Stefanini
SAP 0.9% Net Remainder Indra
Net Remainder GMD
0.9% 28.34% 7.3%
28.83% 7.5%
SAP
Stefanini 0.9% GMD
0.9% Indra 5.8%
7.4% Adexus
Adexus 1.0% HPE
1.0% HPE 5.7%
SS&S
CSC 5.9%
1.1%
1.1% CSC Cosapi
SS&S 1.1% 3.6%
1.2% Cosapi Tivit
Tivit 3.2% 1.2% Sonda Seidor Tata Accenture
1.2% Level3 Seidor TGestiona Tata 1.7% 2.0% 2.4% 2.5%
1.4% 1.9% Everis
Sonda Everis Deloitte 2.2% 2.3% Deloitte Level3 TGestiona
Accenture 1.6% 1.7% 2.1%
1.2% 1.4% 1.7%
1.5% 2.1%
27
Source: IDC Peru IT Services Tracker, 2H15 data
Cómo estuvo la participación de mercado de los
principales proveedores en IT Outsourcing?
Peru, Outsourcing Macro-Market, Including Peru, Outsourcing Macro-Market, Including
Subcontracting, (US$ M) Subcontracting, (US$ M)
2014 2015
TGestiona TGestiona
0.42% 0.4%
Unisys IBM Omnia IBM
0.61% 24.17% 0.6% 24.9%
Omnia Unisys
0.61% Adexus Net Remainder 0.6% Adexus Net Remainder
1.00% 13.2% 1.0% 13.4%
GMD Telefonica
SS&S 13.00% SS&S
HPE 13.9%
1.19% Stefanini 1.1%
1.38% 1.2%
MARKET SIZE 2014 US$ 384.3 M MARKET SIZE 2015 US$ 412.3 M
28
Source: IDC Peru IT Services Tracker, 2H15 data
Cómo estuvo la participación de mercado de los
principales proveedores en Desktop Outsourcing?
Peru, NDO Market, (US$ M) Peru, NDO Market, (US$ M)
2014 2015
MARKET SIZE 2014 US$ 42.4 M MARKET SIZE 2015 US$ 42.8 M
29
Source: IDC Peru IT Services Tracker, 2H15 data
Agenda
Principales Hallazgos
del Estudio
Entorno: Economía y TI
Escenario Competitivo
Demanda/Tendencias
Guía Esencial
Source: IDC
En qué se fundamenta la transformación
digital?
Digital Transformation
Enterprise IT Transformation
IT Strategy and Customer Enterprise / Enterprise Vendor Sourcing
Governance Experience NextGenSecurity Infrastructure & Management
Leadership Device/Mobility Enterprise AppDev & App IT Talent & Skills
in 3D Strategies Applications Provisioning Management
Strategic Devices: PCs, Data DevOps Outsourcing/
Mobility, Services
Architecture Wearables Management Provisioning
& AR/VR
Services Social Big Data & Cloud IT Organizational
Transformation Business Analytics Strategies Development
Innovation eCommerce Cognitive Transformative Technology
Tech: IoT,
Strategies Computing Robotics & 3D Training
32
Printing
Falta mucho por hacer en las empresas
peruanas en cuanto a transformación digital
Q: How do you think your organization compares to your peer organizations in its ability to leverage
digital technology to drive changes in business models and business ecosystems?
6.75%
Best in class
3.47%
24.61%
Exceeds our peers
15.91%
49.35%
At par with our peers
63.01%
16.53%
Lags behind our peers
17.01%
2.76%
Far behind our peers
0.61%
Source: IDC Latin America IT Investment Trends March 2016 Peru n=71 Latinoamérica n=571
35
Source: IDC, Digital Transformation Maturity Model, 2015
Si bien las principales preocupaciones son las
relacionadas a la eficiencia, en Perú comienza a notarse
la necesidad de diferenciación en ciertas industrias
Principales iniciativas de negocio que impulsan Principales iniciativas de TI que impulsan las
las inversiones en IT en 2016 inversiones en IT en 2016
Reducir los costos de la 44% IT Security 35%
35%
organización 48%
Cloud Computing 30%
Aumentar la productividad 43% 2da 26%
de la organización 45% Plataforma
24%
Infrastructure… 25%
Mejorar los procesos de 37%
negocio de la organización 45% Mobility (Mobile First,… 24%
27%
Introducir productos y 29% 17%
servicios nuevos y/o… 22% ERP consolidation /… 29%
Mejorar la adquisición y 19% Big Data Analytics /… 13%
17%
retención de clientes 23%
Data Center Outsourcing 10%
Mejorar la capacidad de 17% 8%
atraer y retener empleados 13% 3ra
8%
Plataforma Customer… 13%
Mejorar la estrategia de 15%
distribución multicanal 16% Other 6%
5%
Expandirse para nuevas 13% 4%
regiones geográficas/países 11% Internet of Things 8%
Otros
11% Enterprise Social… 1%
15% 7%
36
Fuente: IDC Latin America IT Investment Trends March 2016 Peru n=71 Latinoamérica n=571
Nuevos modos de consumo se dan mediante
dispositivos móviles… Mobility: el disparador de la
tercera plataforma
10.4 Millones de
dispositivos
494 Mil Monitors • 2016: 6.6%
• 2016: 8.2% de Crecimiento vs. 2015
Decrecimiento vs. • Explosiva adopción de
2015 4G durante 2015.
• 6 de cada 10 son de • 4G 19% del mercado
Consumo. total.
100%
4.8% 6.8%
95% 8.8% CAGR (2015 – 2020) Public Cloud:
90% 23.4%
85%
CAGR (2015 – 2020) Total SW Market:
80%
95.2% 3.5%
93.2% 91.2%
75%
70%
65%
60%
2014 2015 2016
On-Premise Public Cloud Services
Servicios de TI Tradicionales vs
2015 Servicios Cloud
100%
17% 23%
80%
47% 60%
53%
40% 83% 77%
20%
0%
2015 2017
Servicios de TI relacionados con Cloud
Servicios de TI no relacionados con Cloud Servicios Tradicionales Servicios Cloud
Fuente: IDC Peru IT Services Tracker 2H15 data, IDC Latin America Cloud Tracker 1H15
Agenda
Principales Hallazgos
del Estudio
Entorno: Economía y TI
Escenario Competitivo
Demanda/Tendencias
Guía Esencial
41
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Guía Esencial
Principales Retos
Las empresas están favoreciendo los proyectos
de eficiencia operacional a los de innovación.
El sector público continua postergando proyectos
importantes, y con el cambio de funcionarios esto
se agravaría.
42
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Guía Esencial
Puntos a poner atención
El mercado se está orientado por soluciones de
retorno más rápido de inversión.
Ante complejos procesos de negocios, las
empresas buscan soluciones híbridas (on-
premise + Hosted + Public Cloud + Private Cloud).
43
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Recomendaciones para GMD
44
Recomendaciones para GMD
45
Recomendaciones para GMD
46
Contact Us
Waldemar Schuster
wschuster@idc.com
34
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