The document discusses common stock valuation and issuing common stock for firms. It covers initial financing from founders, venture capital investors, and private equity investors. It then discusses firms going public by issuing shares on a public stock exchange. Methods for valuing common stock are discussed, including the zero growth model, constant growth model, and variable growth model based on expected future dividend payments.
The document discusses common stock valuation and issuing common stock for firms. It covers initial financing from founders, venture capital investors, and private equity investors. It then discusses firms going public by issuing shares on a public stock exchange. Methods for valuing common stock are discussed, including the zero growth model, constant growth model, and variable growth model based on expected future dividend payments.
The document discusses common stock valuation and issuing common stock for firms. It covers initial financing from founders, venture capital investors, and private equity investors. It then discusses firms going public by issuing shares on a public stock exchange. Methods for valuing common stock are discussed, including the zero growth model, constant growth model, and variable growth model based on expected future dividend payments.
• Initial financing for most firms typically comes
from a firm’s original founders in the form of a common stock investment. • Early stage debt or equity investors are unlikely to make an investment in a firm unless the founders also have a personal stake in the business. • Initial non-founder financing usually comes first from private equity investors. • After establishing itself, a firm will often “go public” by issuing shares of stock to a much broader group. Issuing Common Stock: Venture Capital • Venture capital – type of private equity that is used to finance early-stage firms with attractive growth prospects • Venture capitalists (VCs) -is an investor who either provides capital to startup ventures or supports small companies that wish to expand. • Angel capitalists (angels) - are wealthy individual investors who do not operate as a business but invest in promising early-stage companies in exchange for a portion of the firm’s equity. Venture Capital: Deal Structure and Pricing • Venture capital investments are made under legal contracts that clearly allocate responsibilities and ownership interests between existing owners (founders) and the VC fund or limited partnership • Terms depend on factors related to the (a) original founders, (b) business structure, (c) stage of development, and (d) other market and timing issues. • Specific financial terms depend upon (a) the value of the enterprise, (b) the amount of funding required, and (c) the perceived risk of the investment. Venture Capital: Deal Structure and Pricing (cont.)
• To control the VC’s risk, various covenants are
included in agreements and the actual funding provided may be staggered based on the achievement of measurable milestones. • The contract will also have a defined exit strategy. • The amount of equity to which the VC is entitled depends on (a) the value of the firm, (b) the terms of the contract, (c) the exit terms, and (d) minimum compound annual rate of return required by the VC on its investment. Going Public
When a firm wishes to sell its stock in the
primary market, it has three alternatives. 1. A public offering, in which it offers its shares for sale to the general public. 2. A rights offering, in which new shares are sold to existing shareholders. 3. A private placement, in which the firm sells new securities directly to an investor or a group of investors.
Here we focus on the initial public offering
(IPO), which is the first public sale of a firm’s stock. Going Public (cont.)
• IPOs are typically made by small, fast-
growing companies that either: require additional capital to continue expanding, or have met a milestone for going public that was established in a contract to obtain VC funding. • The firm must obtain approval of current shareholders, and hire an investment bank to underwrite the offering. • The investment banker is responsible for promoting the stock and selling its shares. Going Public: The Investment Banker’s Role Most public offerings are made with the assistance of investment bankers which are financial intermediaries that specialize in selling new securities and advising firms with regard to major financial transactions. The main activity of the investment banker is underwriting, which involves the purchase of the security issue from the issuing company at an agreed-on price and bearing the risk of selling it to the public at a profit. Going Public: The Investment Banker’s Role (cont.)
• An underwriting syndicate is a group of other
bankers formed by an investment banker to share the financial risk associated with underwriting new securities. • The syndicate shares the financial risk associated with buying the entire issue from the issuer and reselling the new securities to the public. • The selling group is a large number of brokerage firms that join the originating investment banker(s); each accepts responsibility for selling a certain portion of a new security issue on a commission basis. Figure 7.2 The Selling Process for a Large Security Issue Going Public: The Investment Banker’s Role (cont.)
Compensation for underwriting and selling
services typically comes in the form of a discount on the sale price of the securities. For example, an investment banker may pay the issuing firm $24 per share for stock that will be sold for $26 per share. The investment banker may then sell the shares to members of the selling group for $25.25 per share. In this case, the original investment banker earns $1.25 per share ($25.25 sale price – $24 purchase price). The members of the selling group earn 75 cents for each share they sell ($26 sale price – $25.25 purchase price). Common Stock Valuation
Stockholders expect to be compensated for
their investment in a firm’s shares through periodic dividends and capital gains. Investors purchase shares when they feel they are undervalued and sell them when they believe they are overvalued. This section describes specific stock valuation techniques after first discussing the concept of market efficiency. Common Stock Valuation: Market Efficiency • Economically rational buyers and sellers use their assessment of an asset’s risk and return to determine its value. • In competitive markets with many active participants, the interactions of many buyers and sellers result in an equilibrium price—the market value—for each security. • Because the flow of new information is almost constant, stock prices fluctuate, continuously moving toward a new equilibrium that reflects the most recent information available. This general concept is known as market efficiency. Common Stock Valuation: Market Efficiency • The efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) is a theory describing the behavior of an assumed “perfect” market in which: securities are in equilibrium, security prices fully reflect all available information and react swiftly to new information, and because stocks are fully and fairly priced, investors need not waste time looking for mispriced securities. Common Stock Valuation: Market Efficiency • Although considerable evidence supports the concept of market efficiency, a growing body of academic evidence has begun to cast doubt on the validity of this notion. • Behavioral finance is a growing body of research that focuses on investor behavior and its impact on investment decisions and stock prices. Advocates are commonly referred to as “behaviorists.” Focus on Practice
Understanding Human Behavior Helps Us
Understand Investor Behavior Regret theory deals with the emotional reaction people experience after realizing they have made an error in judgment. Some investors rationalize their decision to buy certain stocks with “everyone else is doing it.” (Herding) People have a tendency to place particular events into mental compartments, and the difference between these compartments sometimes impacts behavior more than the events themselves. Prospect theory suggests that people express a different degree of emotion toward gains than losses. Anchoring is the tendency of investors to place more value on recent information. Common Stock Valuation: Basic Common Stock Valuation Equation
The value of a share of common stock is
equal to the present value of all future cash flows (dividends) that it is expected to provide.
P0 = value of common stock
where Dt = per-share dividend expected at the end of year t Rs = required return on common stock P0 = value of common stock Common Stock Valuation: The Zero Growth Model The zero dividend growth model assumes that the stock will pay the same dividend each year, year after year.
The equation shows that with zero growth,
the value of a share of stock would equal the present value of a perpetuity of D1 dollars discounted at a rate rs. Personal Finance Example
• Chuck Swimmer estimates that the
dividend of Denham Company, an established textile producer, is expected to remain constant at $3 per share indefinitely.
• If his required return on its stock is 15%,
the stock’s value is: $20 ($3 ÷ 0.15) per share Common Stock Valuation: Constant-Growth Model The constant-growth model is a widely cited dividend valuation approach that assumes that dividends will grow at a constant rate, but a rate that is less than the required return.
The Gordon model is a common name for the
constant-growth model that is widely cited in dividend valuation. Common Stock Valuation: Constant-Growth Model (cont.)
Lamar Company, a small cosmetics
company, paid the following per share dividends: Common Stock Valuation: Constant-Growth Model (cont.) Using a financial calculator or a spreadsheet, we find that the historical annual growth rate of Lamar Company dividends equals 7%. Suppose the required return is 15%. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model • The zero- and constant-growth common stock models do not allow for any shift in expected growth rates. • The variable-growth model is a dividend valuation approach that allows for a change in the dividend growth rate. • To determine the value of a share of stock in the case of variable growth, we use a four-step procedure. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
Step 1. Find the value of the cash
dividends at the end of each year, Dt, during the initial growth period, years 1 though N.
Dt = D0 × (1 + g1)t Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
Step 2. Find the present value of the
dividends expected during the initial growth period. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
Step 3. Find the value of the stock at the
end of the initial growth period, PN = (DN+1)/(rs – g2), which is the present value of all dividends expected from year N + 1 to infinity, assuming a constant dividend growth rate, g2. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
Step 4. Add the present value
components found in Steps 2 and 3 to find the value of the stock, P0. Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
The most recent annual (2012) dividend payment of
Warren Industries, a rapidly growing boat manufacturer, was $1.50 per share. The firm’s financial manager expects that these dividends will increase at a 10% annual rate, g1, over the next three years. At the end of three years (the end of 2015), the firm’s mature product line is expected to result in a slowing of the dividend growth rate to 5% per year, g2, for the foreseeable future. The firm’s required return, rs, is 15%. Steps 1 and 2 are detailed in Table 7.3 on the following slide. Table 7.3 Calculation of Present Value of Warren Industries Dividends (2013–2015) Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
Step 3. The value of the stock at the end of the initial
growth period (N = 2015) can be found by first calculating DN+1 = D2016. D2016 = D2015 (1 + 0.05) = $2.00 (1.05) = $2.10
By using D2016 = $2.10, a 15% required return, and a
5% dividend growth rate, we can calculate the value of the stock at the end of 2015 as follows: P2015 = D2016 / (rs – g2) = $2.10 / (.15 – .05) = $21.00 Common Stock Valuation: Variable-Growth Model (cont.)
Step 3 (cont.) Finally, the share value of $21 at the
end of 2015 must be converted into a present (end of 2012) value. P2015 / (1 + rs)3 = $21 / (1 + 0.15)3 = $13.81
Step 4. Adding the PV of the initial dividend stream
(found in Step 2) to the PV of the stock at the end of the initial growth period (found in Step 3), we get: P2012 = $4.12 + $13.81 = $17.93 per share