Richard Mahendra Putra, S.

Tr
Putu Pradiatma Wahyudi, S.Tr

University of Indonesia
Agency for Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics
 Try to make Modeling
of Upper Air Conclusion

Upper Air Observation

In Indonesia

Introduction Data and Methods Result and Discussion

Benefit of Upper Air Data for Aviation Sector
• Understanding Altitude for Freezing Level  ICING in Plane
• Understanding Wind Speed and Direction  Vertically
• Understanding Weather Prediction  Safety Flight
• Determine the safest route for flights
Modeling of Weather Prediction will very difficult
• A lot of factor in Global, regional, and
local scale
• El Nino La Nina
• MJO
• Monsoon
• Dipole Mode
• A lot of island
• Maritime Continent
• Etc
• Different configuration for Modeling in
each place
About Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)
Weather research and forecasting (WRF) is a mesoscale model
developed by
• National Centre for Atmospheric Research (NCAR),
• National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)
• the Forecast Systems Laboratory (FSL),
• the Air Force Weather Agency (AFWA),
• the Naval Research Laboratory,
• the University of Oklahoma,
• the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).

• CAPE (Convective
• CAPE (Convective Available Potential
Available Potential Energy) is Moderate
Energy) is HIGH
• Affected by
• Updraft is STRONG Humidity
Conditions
KF BMJ
 WRF Modeling Stage

WPS Running WRF

(WRF Processing System) Processing Display
Preparation of Post - Processing
Domain Area
Vertical Temperature & Dew Point
Correlation RMSE

KF BMJ KF BMJ

0.99 0.99 5.4 5.4

Correlation RMSE

KF BMJ KF BMJ

0.99 0.99 1.09 1.19

Correlation RMSE

KF BMJ KF BMJ

0.99 0.99 3.7 3.0

Correlation RMSE

KF BMJ KF BMJ

0.99 0.99 4.85 5.02

Vertical Humidity & Wind Speed
Correlation RMSE

KF BMJ KF BMJ

0.65 0.77 15.2 13.1

Correlation RMSE
KF BMJ KF BMJ

0.64 0.58 21.66 22.01

Correlation RMSE
KF BMJ KF BMJ
0.81 0.69 7.5 9.1

Correlation RMSE
KF BMJ KF BMJ
0.73 0.84 19.42 17.74
 Resume of Resul
Table 2. Result of comparison using statistical method
Location of Case Study Correlation RMSE
Surabaya’s Region KF BMJ KF BMJ
T 0.99 0.99 5.4 5.4
Td 0.99 0.99 3.7 3.0
RH 0.65 0.77 15.2 13.1
ff 0.81 0.69 7.5 9.1

Kupang’s Region
T 0.99 0.99 1.09 1.19
Td 0.99 0.99 4.85 5.02
RH 0.64 0.58 21.66 22.01
ff 0.73 0.84 19.42 17.74
 Conclusion
In general, WRF-ARW model could simulate the upper air condition in
Surabaya and Kupang Regions very well. The best simulation of this
model was for vertical temperature and dew point for all cases

The effect of different configuration for parameterization scheme

depended on what kind of data that we wanted to simulate and the place

KF scheme was generally better than BMJ Scheme. However, wind

speed simulation in Kupang Region and Humidity in Surabaya Region
were better when we used BMJ scheme.
Agency for Meteorology Climatology and Geophysics
Richard Mahendra Putra

THANK YOU

Richard Mahendra @rmahendrap @rmahendrap Richardmp.rmp@gmail.com

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