Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Experiments
5/21/19 4
CONTD…
•The second industrial era, late 1970s – 1990
• Quality improvement initiatives in many companies
• TQM were important ideas and became management goals
• Taguchi and robust parameter design, process robustness
•The modern era, beginning 1990
• Six sigma, Lean Six sigma
• Clinical Trails, Mathematical biology.
• Algorithm design and analysis,
• Networking, group testing, and cryptography
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Why we use
Experimental
Designs
"All experiments are designed
experiments, it is just that some are poorly
designed and some are well-designed."
Experimental designs are used so that
the treatments may be assigned in an
organized manner to allow valid
statistical analysis to be carried out on
the resulting data.
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What is Design of
Experiments
It is a logical planning (or construction) of
the experiment having a complete
sequence of steps taken ahead of time to
ensure that the appropriate data will be
obtained in a way which permits an
objective analysis of a particular problem
leading to valid and precise inference in
most economic and useful forms.
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Subject Matter of
Design of Experiments
It includes:
• Planning of the experiment
• Obtaining data from it
• Making statistical analysis of the data
obtained.
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HOW DESIGN OF
EXPERIMENT
CONTRIBUTES
TREATME
RANDOMN EXPERIMENT
NT
ESS AL ERROR
GROUP
REPLICATIO
FACTORS ANOVA
N
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TERMINOLOGY
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The Steps in Designing an
Experiment
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The Steps in Designing
an Experiment (Contd…)
• Step 3: Determine the number of
experimental units.
In general, more experimental units is
better. Unfortunately, time and money
will always be limiting factors, so we
have to decide an appropriate number
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The Steps in Designing
an Experiment (Contd…)
• Step 4: Determine the level(s) of each factor.
We split factors up into three categories:
o Control: If possible, we try to fix the level of factors that
we're not interested in.
o Manipulate: This is the treatment - we manipulate the
levels of the variable that we think will affect the response
variable.
o Randomize: Often, there are factors we just can't
control. To mitigate their effect on the data, we randomize
the groups. By randomly assigning experimental units,
these factors should be equally spread among all groups.
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The Steps in Designing
an Experiment (Contd…)
• Step 5: Conduct the experiment.
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BASIC PRINCIPLE OF
DESIGN OF
EXPERIMENTS
• Randomization
• Replication
• Local Control (Blocking)
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Complete and Incomplete
Block Designs
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SOME
EXPERIMENTAL
DESIGNS
• Completely Randomized Design (CRD)
• Randomized Block Design (RBD)
• Latin Square Design (LSD)
• Factorial Designs
• Balanced Incomplete Block Design (BIBD)
• Nested Balanced Incomplete Block designs
(NBIBD)
• Balanced Incomplete Block Design with Nested
Rows and Columns
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• COMPLETELY RANDOMIZED DESIGNS are
the simplest design in which the treatments are
assigned to the experimental units completely at
random. This allows every experimental unit to
have an equal probability of receiving a
treatment.
MA Ti 2 ∑X2
Xij Ti ni Ti /ni
2
KE ij
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Null Hypothesis :
H0: the 3 makes of computers do not differ in the durability
• CF = (Ti)2/ni
= (100)2/15
= 666.67
• SST = ∑∑X2ij – CF
= 800 -666.67
= 133.33
• SSM = ∑Ti2/ni – CF
= 730 - 666.67
= 63.33
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• If experimental units are not homogeneous
and you fail to minimize this variation
using blocking, there may be a loss of
precision.
• Usually the least efficient design unless
experimental units are homogeneous.
• Not suited for a large number of
treatments.
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• Any experimental design in which the
randomization of treatments is restricted to
groups of experimental units within a
predefined block of units assumed to be
internally homogeneous is called a randomized
block design.
• Divides the group of experimental units into n
homogeneous groups of equal or unequal sizes.
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Sum
Source
of Degree of Mean
of
Squar Freedom Squares F
Variation
es (df) (MS)
(SV)
(SS)
MSB=SSb /
dfb = nb-1 MSB /
Blocks SSb dfb
MSErr
MSTR=SSt /
Treatmen dft = nt-1
SSt dft
t MSTR /
MSErr
dfe = dfT- MSErr=SSe /
Error SSe dfb-dft dfe 5/21/19 37
df = n -1
Four Doctors each test 4 treatments for certain
disease and observe the number of each days each
patient takes to recover. The results are :
Treatments
Doctor 1 2 3 4
A 10 14 19 20
B 11 15 17 21
C 9 12 16 19
D 8 13 17 20
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TwoHypothesis
WAY ANALYSIS
H0A: There is no significant difference between the
doctors.
H1A: Atleast one of the doctor is significantly different.
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Table for
calculations
Doct
1 2 3 4 Ti K Ti2 / k ∑X2ij
or
A 10 14 19 20 63 4 992.25 1057
B 11 15 17 21 64 4 1024 1076
C 9 12 16 19 56 4 784 842
D 8 13 17 20 58 4 841 922
∑Ti2 / k =
Tj 38 54 69 80 241 16 3641.25 3897
∑Tj2 / h
=
36 72 1190.
Tj2 / h 1600 3880.2
1 9 25 5/21/19 40
5
• CF = (Ti)2 / N
= (241)2 / 16 =3630.06
• SSTotal = ∑∑X2ij - CF
= 3897 – 3630.06 = 266.94
• SSD = ∑Ti2 / h – CF
= 3641.25 – 3630.06 = 11.19
• SSt = ∑Tj2 / k – CF
= 3880.25 -3630.06 = 250.19
= 6.02
Treatment 250.19 3 83.40 83.40 /
s 0.62
= 134.52
Error 5.56 9 0.62 -
From F – Tables,
Total F5%(v1= 3, v15
266.94 2= 9) = 3.86
F0 > F5%
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• Not suitable for large numbers of treatments because
blocks become too large, and there is possibility of
hetertrogenity among the experimental units of the blocks
• Interactions between block and treatment effects increase
error.
• Serious problem with the analysis if a block factor by
treatment interaction effect actually exists and no
replication within blocks has been included. (solution:
use replication within blocks when possible).
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• A Latin square is a square array of objects (letters A, B, C, …) such that
each object appears once and only once in each row and each column.
• Example - 4 x 4 Latin Square.
ABCD
BCDA
CDAB
DABC
• The Latin Square Design is for a situation in which there are two
extraneous sources of variation. If the rows and columns of a square are
thought of as levels of the the two extraneous variables, then in a Latin
square each treatment appears exactly once in each row and column.
• With the Latin Square design we are able to control variation in two
directions. 5/21/19 46
CHARACTERI
STICS OF LSD
• In LSD we have three factors:
Treatments, Rows and Columns
• The number of treatments = the number of rows =
the number of colums = t (say).
• The row-column treatments are represented by cells
in a t x t array.
• The treatments are assigned to row-column
combinations using a Latin-square arrangement,
that is each row contains every treatment.
and each column contains every treatment.
• Every treatment occurs once in each5/21/19
row 47and
column.
Sum
Source Of Degree Of Mean
Of
Variation Freedom Squares F
Squar
(SV) (df) (MS)
es (SS)
MSTR = SSt /
dft = nt-1 MSTR /
Treatment SSt dft
MSErr
dfT = nT-1
• The Following Data resulted from an experiment
to compare three burners B1, B2 and B3. LSD
was used as the tests were made on 3 engines
and were spread over
Engine 1 3 Engine
days. 2 Engine 3
Day 1 B1 – 16 B2 – 17 B3 - 20
Day 2 B2 – 16 B3 – 21 B1 - 15
Day 3 B3 – 15 B1 - 12 B2 - 13
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HYPOTHESIS
H0A: There is no significant difference between
burners.
H1A: Atleast one of the burner is significantly different.
H0B: There is no significant difference between the
days.
H1B: Atleast one of the day is significantly different
H0C: There is no significant difference between
Engines.
H1C: Atleast one of the engine is significantly different
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E1 E2 E3 Ti Ti 2 / n ∑X2ij
Day 1 16(B1) 17(B2) 20(B3) 53 936.33 945
Day 2 16(B2) 21(B3) 15(B1) 52 901.33 922
Day 3 15(B3) 12(B1) 13(B2) 40 533.33 538
Tj 47 50 48 145 ∑= 2405
2370.9
9
T2j / n 736.33 833.33 768 ∑=
2337.6
6
∑X2ij 737 874 794 2405
Rearranging data values according to the Burners :
Burner Xk Tk T k2 / n
B1 16 15 12 43 616.33
B2 17 16 13 46 705.33
B3 20 21 15 56 1045.33
2366.99
5/21/1951
• CF = (Ti)2 / n
= (145)2 / 9 = 2336.11
• SSTotal =∑∑X2ij – CF
= 2405 – 2336.11 = 68.89
• SSD1=∑∑Ti2 / n – CF
= 2370.99 – 2336.11 = 34.88
• SSD2=∑∑Tj2 / n – CF
= 2337.66 – 2336.11 = 1.55
• SSD3=∑∑Tk2 / n – CF
= 2366.99 – 2336.11 = 30.88
= 22.51
Engines 1.55 2 0.775 0.775 /
0.775
=1
Burners 30.88 2 15.44 15.44 /
0.775 =
19.93
Error 1.55 2 0.775
Total 68.89 8
5/21/19 53
• From F – Tables, F5%(v1= 2, v2= 2) = 19.00
• F0(19.93) > F5% There is a significant Difference Between
the Burners
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BALANCED
INCOMPLETE
BLOCK DESIGNS
(BIBD)
• Situation where the number of treatments exceeds
number of units per block (or logistics do not allow for
assignment of all treatments to all blocks)
• # of Treatments v
• # of Blocks b
• Replicates per Treatment r < b
• Block Size k < v
• Total Number of Units N = kb = rv
• All pairs of Treatments appear together in l = r(k-1)/
(v-1) Blocks for some integer l
5/21/19 58
NESTED
DESIGNS
• In certain multifactor experiments, the
levels of one factor are similar but not
identical for different levels of another
factor, (is unique to that particular
factor) this is called hierarchical or
nested design.
http://jrss.in/data/5I12.pdf
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