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of the
placebo/ controlled long-term
Results:
Cardiac endpoints - no difference
MI: 25.8% lower with (A) (S)
Heart failure: 12.7% greater with (A) (NS)
Stroke: 17.1% lower with (A) (NS)
7
14
12
10
8
(%)
6
4
2
0
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48 54 60 66
9
a difference in outcome
10
ASCOT Trial*
Baseline:
19,339 patients - 77% men; 95% white -
age 63 yrs - 27% diabetics
BP: 164/94 mm Hg + 3 other risk factors
80% on 1 or 2 medications prior to study
*Anglo-Scandinavian Cardiac Outcomes Trial, Lancet 2005;366:895
11
, Lancet 2005;366:895
12
ASCOT Trial
BP Targets <140/90 m Hg or <130/80 mm Hg in Patients with Diabetes
Unblinded - Probe Design
add add
Other medications
More than 50% in each group were on 2 or more medications; 26% crossed
over to other study drugs; 40% used Rx not prescribed by investigators
*Lancet 2005;366:895
13
ASCOT Trial*
ASCOT INVESTIGSTORS
CONCLUSIONS
• “Contemporary therapy is
superior to older therapy in the
management of hypertension”---
• “RESULTS ARE
GENERALIZABLE-”-
15
ASCOT Trial*
Lancet 2005;366:895
18
the hypertension
secondary outcomes?
Conflicting Data
1. ALLHAT (favors a diuretic) Blinded
2. ASNBP-2 (favors an ACE-I) not blinded.
3. STOP-2
(equal outcomes B-BL/D vs CCB or ACE-I)
4. ASCOT
(different outcomes CCB/ACE-I vs B-BL/D)
5.VALUE
(CCB reduces MI events more than an ARB)
CRITICS
ALLHAT
• Wrong add-on drugs
• Demographics favored diuretics
• Should have adhered to primary outcome results
• BP differences accounted for difference in outcome
VALUE – ASCOT
Statistical manipulations to explain results
ASCOT
• Wrong comparator medication
• Secondary analyses for conclusions?
• Are the results “generalizable”?
26
diuretics?
PREHYPERTENSION---
JNC 7
Blood Pressure Classification
“Prehypertension”
45 million Americans
OR
50 50
37.3
Incidence %
40 40
30 30 25.5
20 17.6 20 16
10 5.3 10
0 0
Optimal = <120/80 mm Hg
Normal = 120-130/80-85 mm Hg
High Normal = 130-139/85-89 mmHg
Adjusted for sex, age, BMI, and baseline BP
Im pact of High
Impact -Norm al BP on CV Risk
Normal
16
14 Men
High-normal BP
Cumulative 1 2
10 Normal BP
incidence of 8
CV events 6 Optimal BP
(%) 4
2
0
12
W omen
Cumulative 1 0 High-normal BP
incidence of 8
CV events 6
(%) 4 Normal BP
2 Optimal BP
0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Years
Prehypertension Hypertension
• Lifestyle Intervention
• Pharmacologic Intervention
37
250 Controls
250 Controls
Systolic BP mm Hg
Systolic BP mm Hg
200
Treatment
200
150
Treatment
150
100
4 8 12 16 20 24 16 20 24 28 32 36
Age (weeks)
Age (weeks)
Early Late
“TOHP” Study
Weight Combined Sodium Usual Care
Incidence of Hypertension,
50
40
30
%
20 8% difference
10 in hypertension incidence
0
0 6 12 18 24 30 36 42 48
Time, mo
• N= 809
• Average age: 49 years old
• Average Blood Pressure: 134/85 mm Hg
• Average BMI: 29.9 kg/m2
S Nesbitt 2004
41
TROPHY Study
Primary Hypothesis: Early short term ARB treatment will
reduce the incidence of hypertension.
Candesartan
Entry BP: 16 mg Placebo
130-139/85-89
mm Hg
Nonpharmacologic
n=809 therapy
Ages 30-65
Placebo Placebo
Two years Two years
SD Nesbitt
42
Trends in Systolic BP
140 30
130 20
120 10
110 0
100 -10
- 10.4 mmHg
- 2.0 mmHg
90 -20
80 -30
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48
Months
Placebo Group
Candesartan Group
Difference between groups (C-P)
43
0.8
Placebo
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0
0 1 2 3 4
Years in study
TROPHY: Conclusions
Cautions Regarding
Antihypertensive Drug Therapy
ACEI/ARB/CCB or BB)