XANADU HOSPITAL

HUMAN RESOURCE MANAGEMENT

Group No. 5:
Anjali Chahal (ABM15040)
Himshikha (ABM15041)
Abha Herur (PGP34347)
Jatin Mahajan (PGP34368)
Rubal Mittal (PGP34377)
Sumit Goenka (PGP34390)
FORECAST OF NUMBER OF NURSES OVER NEXT TWO YEARS

No. of overnight No. of Nurses Patients per nurse

patients/month
Three years ago 1700 590 2.9
Two years ago 1800 600 3.0
Last year 1900 610 3.1
Next year’s forecast 2000 625 3.2 (Forecast)
Year after next 2100 636 3.3 (Forecast)

Calculation: No. of patients overnight/ patients per nurse ratio

 NURSES TO BE REPLACED & RECRUITED IN THE NEXT TWO YEARS

Nurses Total turnover Nurses Nurses quit* Nurses Attrition Nurses hired
required (Sum) retired* discharged* rate (Turonver
(Quit/ Rqrd) +(requirement
change)
590 45 20 20 5 3.39% 45
Three years
ago
600 50 20 25 5 4.17% 60
Two years ago

610 55 20 30 5 4.92% 65
Last year
618* 60 20 35* 5 5.67% 68
This year
625 (F) 65 20 40 5 6.40% 72
Next year
636 (F) 70 20 45 5 7.08% 81
Year after
next
ASSUMPTIONS FOR THE FORECAST

 The number of Nurses required this year has been assumed to be average of preceding and succeeding year, in line with
the trend
 Number of Nurses retiring are assumed to be constant – any major management change, union relationship or new
government benefits post-retirement, might change this trend
 Number of Nurses quitting are progressively and linearly increasing, any change in internal management, dissatisfaction
with present job due to internal relationships or a new hospital offering lucrative incentive; might change this trend
 Number of Nurses being discharged are assumed to be constant- but any major scam or malpractice might increase this
number; also if they are unable to match the required ratio of patient/nurse; the discharged nurses might be altered
accordingly
 We can observe a increase in attrition rate; an internal HR policy to reduce this will change the forecast majorly
 Recruitment happens at the start of the year and nurses retire, quit or get discharged at the end of the year
 Change in hospital structure: management, policies, ideology, expansion etc will affect the forecast
 Any major accident, calamity or increase in inflow of patients will change the forecast