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Estimation Cases
ESTIMATION CASES – STEPS
• There are three drivers of profitability: sales volume (quantity), price and costs.
• When doing a case that involves a change in profitability, you must determine
which of these elements have changed, and then determine the causes of
those changes.
The Profit Equation
- Cost
• Portions which are fixed and variable
• Time frames in which costs are fixed
• Short run vs long run costs
• Allocation of costs to product, overheads etc.
• Capacity utilization and its impact on total average cost per unit
• Benchmarking costs against industry competitors
• Relative percentage weighting of cost components
• Note: changing volumes can wreak havoc on profitability when looked at from the perspective
of fixed vs. variable costs. Be sure to understand what happens to fixed cost per unit when
volume declines (it increases) and how this can affect profitability in capital intensive
businesses.
• COGS: Raw Materials, Labour, Overheads
• Operating Costs: Sales & Distribution, marketing, general administration, R&D
• Identify the big “money buckets” in the industry you are examining – understand industry cost
structure – “smell the money”
• For Firm with multiple products how are fixed costs allocated – finding true contribution
Market Entry Cases
Market Entry Case – A possible approach
• You have
been asked to update the CEO of your client with the findings of the
team. What three points would you emphasize to the CEO?
• Customers:
- Who are they and what do they want?
- What can they afford?
- What are they willing to pay for your product?
- Are their needs or tastes changing?
- Is the overall market growing or shrinking?
- How do they perceive the brand name?
- What is the Economic Value to the Consumer (EVC Analysis)?
• Overall, does a strong enough market exist to justify the proposed action?
THE FOUR Cs
• Competition:
- Who are they and what are their current offerings?
- How much market share do they have?
- How are their brand names perceived in the marketplace?
- Are they producing to capacity or do they have excess capacity?
- How do their cost structures compare to the client’s?
- How will they react to the client’s product introduction or capacity increase?
Refer to Porter’s Five Forces!
• Company:
- What are the client’s key strengths, resources and overall strategy?
- Are they congruent with what is needed to make the proposed action a
success?
- What are their Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunity, and Threats
(S.W.O.T.)?
• Overall, how well suited is the company to carry out the proposed
action successfully and to benefit from it?
THE FOUR Cs - contd…
• Cost:
- Does the client have access to the funds required to take the proposed
action?
- What is the breakeven analysis?
• Useful when the case calls for the examination of product marketing, new
product development and/or introduction.
• Price: What will the price be? What are the competitors’ prices for competing
products? What discounts or other incentives will be offered? Will prices vary
across geographic lines? How much do the target customers value the product
(what are they willing to pay)?
• Will the product be priced at or below its perceived value?
THE FOUR Ps - contd…
• Place: [‘Place’ actually means ‘Distribution,’ but “Four Ps” has a better ring to it
than “Three Ps and a D”]. What distribution channels will be used (retail stores,
direct mail sales, an army of salespeople in plaid jackets selling door to door)?
What will the costs of this distribution be?
• Is the distribution strategy adequate the get the product sold at the anticipated
volumes?
PORTER’S FIVE FORCES
• Given how often you have heard (or will hear) about Porter’s Five Forces, you’d
think it would do your laundry for you. Well, it is powerful, but it’s best used for
determining the competitive strength of a particular industry or when evaluating
a strategic decision.
• How well a company will do (i.e., how good its profit margins and economic
returns will be) in a particular industry depends on the strength (power) of the
following five factors: (see next slide)
- Ask the interviewer additional questions to add information as you flesh out the
problem-- Do not assume the first question the interviewer asks is the topic of
discussion. Rarely does an interviewer state the entire problem at the start. Part of
what is being tested is your ability to ferret out information.
- Interviewers generally will lead you down a path towards the answer they want. Be
open to hints they might be providing.
- Be careful about assumptions. Don’t make any that you don’t have to. If you have
to make assumptions, communicate to the interviewer that you are making these
assumptions and then why you are making them.
Case Interview – Steps 2
- Stick to models that you know well. No one knows every model in existence. Learn
a few models very well that you can keep in your tool bag.
- Once you’ve chosen a framework, don’t announce your model to the interviewer. It
is expected that the interviewer will understand what you are doing, and telling the
person that you are using the value chain analysis will not help your case. This is
the exception to the ‘more communication is good’ rule.
Case Interview – Steps 3
- Be willing to change tack. Sometimes it turns out that you chose an unsuitable
framework for the analysis. Communicate to your interviewer what you’re doing and
that a different type of analysis is warranted. You might get dinged but you might
get points for being flexible.
Case Interview – Steps 4
• Arrive at a conclusion:
- Consultants don’t do much good if they can’t come up with an answer at the end of
an analysis. Be sure to arrive at some type of conclusion even if it is a framework to
further evaluate the problem.
- Include real recommendations for the company as applicable. Concrete actions are
much more impressive than vague strategies.
- Do a “sanity check”, i.e. address or consider any key variables where changes could
significantly impact your analysis and conclusion. Also ask yourself, “Does this
answer make sense?” Use common sense.
How do companies evaluate your case interview performance?–
• In general, the case interview will be used to evaluate you along three primary
dimensions:
- creativity and common sense,
- analytic ability and
- poise and enthusiasm
Judging creativity and common sense
- Conceptualize problems
• Last, the interviewer will be trying to get a sense for your degree of poise
and enthusiasm. It is important that you:
- Seem excited by the case, which is akin to the kinds of issues and problems
consultants face
- Be not intimidated nor daunted by the process or problem presented in the case
• Forgetting to do the "reality check" (test your conclusions using common sense)
Some Case Interview Tips
• If it helps you to structure your analysis or if the case is quantitative, take notes.
• Feel free to pause and collect your thoughts at any time (the pause won't seem
as long as you think to the interviewer and the time might help you
communicate your thoughts more clearly).
• Think out loud. The main purpose of the case interviews is to show the way in
which you analyze a problem, so let the interviewer hear your thought process
and any assumptions you make.
• Have fun. Nervous tension will come across in an interview. Try to relax and
think of it as an opportunity to explore the drivers of success for a company or
industry.
Some Case Interview Tips – contd…
• Think about the type of consulting projects the firm does. This might give you insight
into the type of case you are likely to get and the way in which you might structure
your analysis.
• Pay close attention to any hints (subtle or not) that the interviewer gives you,
particularly if they are trying to steer you back on course.
• Engage yourself and get excited about the case. The interviewer has probably spent
a few months working on the problem and consulting firms are looking for people
who enjoy solving problems.
• Do not ask for every piece of data; the more you prompt for data without assimilating
what you have and reaching conclusion, the more confused you could become. The
interviewer has tons of data or will make it up.
Industries / LOBs
INDUSTRIES
• Major Dimensions
- Key Terms e.g. ARPU, Passive Infrastructure in Telecom
- Major Trends ,
- Value Chain,
- Business Model
- Recent news or activity
- Global best practices
- Competitor Dynamics
- Regulatory Changes
• Demographic Data
• Human Development Indicators
• Macroeconomic figures
• Consumer Statistics – Marketing White book
• Figures about industry/sector/areas appearing on resume
Skills
Skills interviewers look for
The bottom line is that firms are screening for skills that match their needs. It is vitally
important that you make every effort to understand what these skills are before you step
into the interview room
Skills - continued
• Intellectual sharpness
- Tested through cases, and through the course of the interview
- Ability to handle not-so-well-defined problems; abstract concepts
- Comfort with data - variables, parameters, relationships
- Ability to pick up a thread / train of thought and take it forward
• Ability to relate work experience to other contexts
- Abstraction from particular experiences to generic principles
- Application of generic principles to specific instances
- Communication Skills; especially verbal
- Clarity in communication
- Language, choice of words
Presentation structure
• Accounting valuations
• Advice on fundraising
• Bid support and bid defense services
• Commercial and market due diligence
• Financial due diligence
• Independent opinions
• Post deal services
• Private equity advisory
• Privatization advice
• Structuring services
SERVICES OFFERED BY PURE PLAY – EG. MCKINSEY
• Change Management
• Corporate Renewal
• Corporate Strategy
• Cost & Supply Chain Management
• Customer Strategy & Marketing
• Growth Strategy
• IT
• Mergers & Acquisitions
• Organization
• Performance Improvement
• Private Equity
SERVICES OFFERRED BY IT CONSULTING – EG. INFOSYS CONSULTING
Four Broad Areas of Consulting
• Strategy
• Operations/Process Improvement
• Implementation/Information Technology
• This takes the strategy development one step further by executing the
approach.
Interviewing Tips
Interviewing Tips
• Know your resume. Be prepared to discuss any item on your resume (no matter how
innocuous you think it may be).
• Prior to the interview, make sure you have nailed down answers to the obvious
questions: why consulting; where do you see yourself in X years; what are two of your
strengths and weaknesses?
• Relax. Be calm. Do not get flustered during a case interview. Take time to frame your
answer and structure your response. Do not worry about making mistakes. Consulting
interviewers like to see you attempt to solve the problem.
• When you are given time to ask questions about the firm, use it well.
Intelligent and relevant questions demonstrate your interest in the firm. Think about how
many questions you would have if you were buying a new car or new home. You must be
able to generate and express this level of interest about the firm at which you are
interviewing. If you do enough research on the firm beforehand, you are better positioned
to ask key questions.
Interviewing Tips
• They are trying to determine whether you are capable of doing the job and whether
they like you.
• You need to demonstrate that the answer to both is yes. How you do it is up to you
–, but each person must develop their own unique pitch
.