Development of HDM-4

Neil Robertson PIARC ISOHDM Project Coordinator

The World Road Association

What is HDM-4?

The World Road Association

Purpose of HDM-4
The Highway Development and Management System is a decision tool to help you investigate your road investment choices.

Scope of HDM-4
providing, maintaining and upgrading urban and rural roads and highways investigating the effect of vehicles, traffic characteristics, road user costs investigating the social and environmental effects of investments investigating long term issues which arise over asset life cycles.

Supporting Road Investment Decisions

The World Road Association

Progress in HDM Technology

The World Road Association

The HDM Predecessors

Highway Cost Model RTIM HDM RTIM2 RTIM2 PC version HDM-III HDM-III PC version RTIM3 spreadsheet HDM-Q HDM Manager 1971 1977 1979 1982 1985 1987 1989 1995 1994 1994

HDM-III Applications 1986 - 1999

Analyse and justify road investments
new works maintaining existing roads life cycle economic focus - Benefits and Costs road assets, demand, work options and costs, user costs

Types of analysis

project level - high level design, justification network level strategies & programs

Primarily decision support to Loan Programs In use for more than 10 years

ISOHDM and HDM-4

ISOHDM The International Study of Highway Development and Management Tools
is developing

HDM-4
The Highway Development and Management System
- a road investment analysis system with global application.

The ISOHDM Study

Internationally sponsored Objectives
Update the knowledge and technology user friendly use in funding agencies & road authority PMS

In progress for 7 years

technical studies software development and testing software release, support and training

PIARC leading the implementation phase

Levels of HDM Technology

Knowledge Base

Software

Models
Models

RDWERUE SEE

HDM-4 Product Releases

Version 1.0 released February 2000
HDM Series Volumes 1 - 5 HDM-4 software Case studies database English, French & Russian editions

Version 1.1 update August 2000

major software maintenance release - error fixes

Version 1.2 update April 2001

major software maintenance and enhancement release Spanish edition released

Version 2.0 - target 2002

HDM Series Collection

HDM-4
HDM-4 is based on a well established economic analysis framework Models derived from large scale field experiments conducted world-wide Significant change in scope and software technology from HDM III International standard tool for road sector planning and management Provides a common framework for analysis of road management options

What has Changed from HDM-III ?

Types of Analysis & Outputs Road Deterioration Models Road User Effects Models Data Dimensions Road works Social and Environmental Effects Models Software HDM-4 is superceding HDM-III

HDM-4 System Architecture

Data Managers Analysis Tools
Road Vehicle Network Fleet Project Program Strategy

Road Works

HDM Config.

File Converter File Converter

transfer data transfer data to external to external systems systems

Vehicle Fleets Vehicle Fleets Road Networks Road Networks Road Works Road Works Projects Projects Programmes Programmes Strategies Strategies

Core Data Core Data

Models

Model libraries can be used in other systems

SEE

RDWE RUE

External Systems
Databases, PMS, etc.

RDWE : :Road Deterioration and Works Effects RDWE Road Deterioration and Works Effects RUE : :Road User Effects RUE Road User Effects SEE : :Safety, Energy and Environmental Effects SEE Safety, Energy and Environmental Effects PMS : :Pavement Management System PMS Pavement Management System

Implementation in 2001

The World Road Association

Distribution of Interest in HDM-4

Registrations (769)
Developing countries Developed countries

Countries (109)
Developing countries Developed countries HDM-4 Interest Registrations

No. per Country

240

529

6 5 4 3 0

to 62 (38) to 6 (7) 45 to 5 (5) to 4 (15) to 3 (40)

64

Regional Distribution of All Interests Distribution of Regional Interests

Latin America/ Caribbean 17%

Western Europe 22%

North America 12% Central / East Europe 10% Oceania 9% East / South East Asia 8% South Asia 6% Middle East 3% Africa 11% Central / North Asia 2%

Distribution of Industry Sector Interests

Other 2% Works contractor 2% Works agency 3% Owner/management 4%

Distribution of Industry Sector Interest

Gov't administration 19%

Gov't agency 3% Funding agency 4% Consultancy 32%

Education/training 15%

R&D 16%

Implementation
Growth of user information and services
HDM-4 Information Centre Training and dissemination activities User Group and SIG activities ISOHDM / user interactions publications

PIARC HDM-4 on the Web

http://hdm4.piarc.org
A source of: support information for HDM-4 users how to obtain the products training opportunities user feedback documents download facilities

Training Programs
promoting T&D Strategies (country / regional)
Asia, Latin America, Africa

promoting growth of local training and support services

65 training and dissemination events 31 countries Western & Eastern Europe, North Asia, Middle East, South and Central Africa, South Asia, South East Asia, Oceania, North and South America

user information resources

training materials local customisation data case studies distance learning activities

Training Achievements

HDM-4 Training & Dissemination Events

an be ib ar C a/ ic a ia er ic As Am er st tin Am Ea La rth nia th ia a No ou As ce / S sia O rth st A No h Ea ut l/ pe So ntra ro e st Eu a C st Ea ric e Af Ea pe dl l/ ro id M tra Eu en rn C te es W

0 8
No. of Events

10

rs es ks ho De Se ps m m in on ar st Pr s ra C es on tio en fe ns re ta Us nc tio e ns er Pa C on pe fe rs re nc es W or C ou

Training Achievements
T & D Events by Event Type Conference Papers 8% Presentations 9% Demonstration 2% Seminars 17% Workshops 12% User Conferences 2%

Courses 50%

Regional User Groups

Must be regionally managed, responding to local needs PIARC ISOHDM will provide support purpose - according to local needs
sharing information
Regional meetings local practice guides web site data sharing

local self-help support circles coordinating calibration efforts assisting integration and transition efforts identifying R&D requirements coordinating interaction with ISOHDM Secretariat

User Support
First contact user support Technical user support User community support
user group interactions user discussion list (email) user meetings

General information dissemination

HDM-4 web site PIARC dissemination publications

HDM-4 Applications
Management Function Planning Programming Preparation Operations Research HDM-4 Application Strategy Analysis Programme Analysis Project Analysis -all

Example Applications
Policy & strategy studies
Budget effects of minimum network standards Allocation for competing needs (eg road classes) Road use charging for establishing Road Funds Impact of transport policy on energy consumption

Works programming options

applying fixed work standards economic optimum constrained by budget program optimised to a network performance standard

Example Applications
Project preparation analysis
Selection from design alternatives on life cycle cost
maintenance and rehabilitation options widening and geometric improvement options pavement upgrading and new construction

economic justification of project proposal

Research Studies
Network implications of new vehicles Network impact of axle load limits Effectiveness of alternative road maintenance practices Impact of maintenance and rehabilitation standards

Policy Formulation
Road pricing
fuel levies congestion charges weight-distance charges

Vehicle regulations
axle load limits energy consumption, vehicle emissions & noise

Engineering Standards
sustainable road network size pavement design and maintenance standards

HDM-4 Applications
Road sector policy studies Strategic planning of road network development, maintenance and funding requirements Optimal allocation of funds to competing needs Formulation of national road sector funding programmes Economic appraisal of individual road projects Research studies

Analytical Framework
Predicts road network performance as a function of:
Traffic volumes and loading Road pavement strength Maintenance standards

Quantifies benefits to road users from:

Savings in vehicle operating costs (VOC) Reduced road user travel times Decrease in number of accidents Environmental effects

Project Level Outputs

Road condition indicators Road user cost details Energy & emissions Economic indicators Sensitivity analysis results Scenario analysis

Multi-year programme
Rank 1 2 3 4 5 : 1 2 3 : 1 2 3 : Road Section N1-2 N4-7 N2-5 R312-1 R458-3 : N4-16 R13-23 N521-5 : N1-6 N7-9 F2140-8 : km District Work Type 20.5 2 Resealing 23.5 7 Overlay 40mm 12.5 5 Reconstruct 30.0 4 Widen 4 lane 36.2 3 Overlay 60mm : : : 32.1 6 Reconstruct 22.4 4 Overlay 40mm 45.2 2 Widen 4 lane : : : 30.2 4 Resealing 17.8 3 Overlay 60mm 56.1 1 Reconstruct : : : Year 2000 2000 2000 2000 2000 : 2001 2001 2001 : 2002 2002 2002 : $m 5.4 10.9 8.6 31.4 16.3 : 22.8 9.7 41.3 : 8.2 9.2 34.9 : $m 5.4 16.3 24.9 56.3 72.6 : 22.8 32.5 73.8 : 8.2 17.4 52.3 :

Network Condition Forecasts

Effect of funding levels on network performance
7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Feeder Roads $30m/yr Secondary Roads $35m/yr Trunk Roads $20m/yr

Roughness

2004

Effect of budget levels

7.0 6.0 Roughness
80% Annual Budget 50%

5.0 4.0 3.0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
100% Target

Optimal budget requirements

250 200 150 100 50 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 Development Improvement Periodic Routine
US $ m/year

What is HDM-4 capable of?

The World Road Association

Features of HDM-4
Road Deterioration & Works Effects Models for current practice:
bituminous concrete cement concrete granular stabilised unpaved

Road User Effects Models

motorised & nonmotorised traffic effects wide range of vehicle types vehicle operating costs time costs congestion effects

Features of HDM-4
Safety, Environment & Energy Models
accident costs emission effects total energy balance

Customise to local requirements

calibrate models to local experience establish local default data settings define aggregate data classes localise reports

Features of HDM-4
Assess the worth of road investments
life cycle analysis economic return total energy balance

Spectrum of applications
broad policy studies works programming detailed project studies research studies

Spectrum of extent
road networks single section

Features of HDM-4
User interface
Familiar and intuitive (Win95/98/NT) Data management functions User-definable reports and standard templates

User documents
overview applications software technical calibration

The HDM-4 Products

HDM-4 software on CD ROM Case study data sets HDM Series documents