SAMPLING METHOD for ANNUAL OUTCOME SURVEY 3 PAD PROJECT in BAC KAN

PROVINCE

Sampling Method for Annual Outcome Survey 3PAD project in Bac Kan Province The project Pro- Poor Partnerships for Agro- Forestry Development include Pac Nam, Ba Be and Na Ri districts. All 48 communes in these three districts were covered by the project. Sample size: 200 households 20 villages 10 households/village. In-depth interviews and focus groups discussions will be implemented at each village 2 Sampling frame: list of all villages in 48

Sample selection
- The selection of the sample is done in two stages:

(1) selection of 20 villages; and (2) selection of 10 households in each village

- The sampling frame will be used every year, but

the sample selection will be re-done every year. This mean that different villages and different households will be surveyed each year

Step 2- Stage: Selection of 20 villages There are two options:

Option A: if all villages covered by the project have same

socio- economic conditions, random selection can be done

Option B: If there are different groups of villages with

different characteristics (for example some villages are located in lowlands, others in highland; or some villages are poorer than others), then the stratified sampling methodology needs to be used.

Socio-economic condition of 3 target districts

- The 48 target communes in Ba Be, Na Ri and Pac Nam, of which 37

are eligible for P135 assistance mostly have greater than 85% ethnic minority, with 41 target commune having greater than 90 % ethnic households

So socio-economic condition of target districts is the same

Random selection of 20 villages

Write down the list of all the villages

targeted by the project, from 1 to total number of villages The list of target villages were written as the following:

Sampling frame (cont.)

ID
1 2

Village Name
Ht Li
Xng Ca Hp Thnh Bn Diu Khui Lung Thanh Sn Thm Pc N Nm Pan Khe P Cht Khui Nn 1

ID
533 534

Village Name
.
. . Khui Lung Bn Kha Phja m Lng Mt Khui Mn Bn Mn Khau Bang Kha Lm

3
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 7

535
536 537 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545

.
. .

N C
N Li N Vi

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546

Sampling Interval (SI)

The number of sample size for survey is 200 households in 3 districts We will select randomly 20 villages Calculate the Sampling Interval (SI) according to the formula below: SI= Total number of villages/20 = 546/20 = 27.3 SI = 27
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Sampling Interval (SI)

- Select a Random Number R between 1

and SI (27). To find a random number, you can use the Excel function Rand (Type = rand ()* SI) in Excel worksheet) which gives a random number comprised between 0 and 1, and multiply this number by SI to get a number between 1 and SI = rand()*27 = 3.2 Random Number = 3
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Sampling
-

Select the Rth Village from the list. This is the frist village selected for your sample. Add the sampling interval (SI) and select the next village. This is the second village selected for your sample. Add again the sampling interval and go to the next village, which will be your third village. Continue like this until you reach 20 villages. If you get to the end of the list, just continue from the

beginning
-

Example - R = 3 The 3th village (Hop Thanh) is selected Formula for next villages: 3 + SI = 3 + 27 = 30 The 30th village (Khun Man) is selected 3 0 + SI = 30 + 27 = 57 the 57th village (Na Ngoa) is selected 57 + SI = 57 + 27 = 84 the 84th village (Pan Bai) is selected

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Similar to above, we can select 20 villages

Selected sampling list

ID Name village 1 Hp Thnh 2 Khun Mn ID Name village 11 Cc K 12 N T

3 N Nga
4 Pc Sn 5 N Khoa 6 Ca m 7 Pn Bi

13 Ko Pt
14 N Thu 15 N Hai 16 N c 1 17 Khu Phng

8 Bn k
9 N Qung 10 Pc Chi

18 Bn nh
19 Lng Phc 20 Khui

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Option B: Selection of 20 villages through stratified random sampling

Stratified village categories
Lowland villages
Highlands villages

Number of villages
90
122

Total

212

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Option B (cont.)
Calculate the percentage in each group - % Lowland villages= (90/212)*100 = 42% - % Highland villages= (122/212) *100 = 58% This tells us that, out of a sample of 20

villages: 42% should be villages in the lowlands (8 villages) 58% should be villages in highland (22 villages)
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Stage 2: Selection of 10 households in each selected village

Once having the list of 20 villages for collecting data, select

randomly 10 households in each village. Two options exist for selecting households in the villages, described below: (1) Option 1 is similar to the method for selection of the villages. It is preferred over option 2. However, it requires to have a reliable list of all households living in the selected villages. If this information is not available, option 2 will be applied. (2) Option 2 is cheaper and faster than option 1 Choosing the appropriate method for household selection depends on the information available and the logistics, time and resource constraints 14 More detailed information on sampling procedures is given

Option 1
In each village, each household is given a unique number

(no two households can have the same number) Ex.: in the village there are 35 households are numbered from 1 to 35 A sampling interval (SI) is calculated by dividing the total number of households by 10 Ex.: 35/10 = 3.4 SI = 4 As in the selection of the villages, a random number between 1 and SI is selected (for example, you can write numbers from 1 to 4 on small pieces of paper, fold them and ask someone to pick one paper) Ex.: The number 2 was picked. The household number 2 of the list is selected as the first household. Then add 4 (the sampling interval) and select the next household 15 (household number 6). Add again and so on until reach

Option 2
Once the data collecting team arrives in the village, an

approximate center of the village is identified. A pencil or bottle is spun to select a random walking direction (also called a transect line) The data collectin team counts the number of households encountered along the transect line between the centre and perimeter of the cluster (end of the village). This number is divided by 10 (total number of household needed) to determine the interval at which households will be selected in the transect line When the transect line contains less than the number of households required, all households in the line are included in the sample and the data collecting team returns to the center of the cluster to pick a second 16 random walking direction and the process is repeated.

Illustration image

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Sampling for a control group

- Select 01 district in Bac Kan province with

the same socio-economic and geographically condition with 3 target districts in the areas project. - These are the poor upland districts of Bac Kan province - In 2010, there were 62 communes in Bac Kan covered by 135-II program. Among which, 12 communes in Ba Be, 12 in Na Ri and 10 in Pac Nam.
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Sampling frame for control group

Similar to building the sampling frame of the target districts:
Sampling frame is a list of villages in

selected district Expected sample is about 80 households in each selected district.

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Exercise
Define a sampling frame of a control group Calculate sample interval Select 10 households in each village for

survey. Develop a selected list of villages

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