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BRUNEI RICE INDUSTRY

COMPILED BY
A.B. JAMALUDIN
MARDITECH CORPORATION

2007 DATA
PRODUCTION

982.9 MT (3.2% SSL)

PRODUCTION AREA

1,355 HA

NUMBER OF FARMERS

1,233

IMPORT VOLUME

29,252 MT

RESERVE/ STOCK

46,380 MT

CONSUMPTION

30,259 MT

TARGET (JULY 2008)

TO INCREASE FROM

3.12% SSL (2007)

TO

20% SSL; 5,800 MT (2010)


60% SSL; 18,000 MT (2015)

Market Year

MILLED RICE
PRODUCTION
According to US FDA Data, Brunei milled rice
production has reduce in production over the
years.
The year 2000 and before, production was up
to 8,000 MT per year, and then reduce to only
2,000 MT per year.

Rough Production
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

Unit of Measure
5
5
5
5
3
3
3
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
10
6
6
6
6
6
10
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2

(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)

Growth Rate
NA
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
-40.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
100.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
-16.67 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
100.00 %
-40.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
66.67 %
-40.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
-66.67 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
0.00 %

Domestic
Consumption

Market Year

CONSUMPTION
Milled rice consumption has increased from 9MT per
year in 1960 to 36MT in 2011, growing at an average
of 5% per annum.

1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

Unit of Measure
9
9
9
10
11
9
11
14
15
15
15
12
13
14
15
17
15
20
20
17
20
27
17
22
18
22
26
24
20
18
35
26
31
31
28
32
41
37
42
38
35
31
33
24
32
41
45
37
32
36
29
36

(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)
(1000 MT)

Growth Rate
NA
0.00 %
0.00 %
11.11 %
10.00 %
-18.18 %
22.22 %
27.27 %
7.14 %
0.00 %
0.00 %
-20.00 %
8.33 %
7.69 %
7.14 %
13.33 %
-11.76 %
33.33 %
0.00 %
-15.00 %
17.65 %
35.00 %
-37.04 %
29.41 %
-18.18 %
22.22 %
18.18 %
-7.69 %
-16.67 %
-10.00 %
94.44 %
-25.71 %
19.23 %
0.00 %
-9.68 %
14.29 %
28.13 %
-9.76 %
13.51 %
-9.52 %
-7.89 %
-11.43 %
6.45 %
-27.27 %
33.33 %
28.13 %
9.76 %
-17.78 %
-13.51 %
12.50 %
-19.44 %
24.14 %

Market Year

MILLED RICE IMPORT


Brunei importation of milled rice has increased from 6MT
per year in 1960 to 35MT in 2011, that is almost 97% of
its consumption.
That means the importation has grown at more than 6%
p.a. , year-on-year basis.

1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011

Imports
6
6
6
7
9
7
9
10
11
11
11
9
10
11
12
11
11
16
16
13
16
21
13
18
14
18
22
20
16
14
31
22
27
27
24
28
37
33
38
34
31
27
32
23
31
40
44
36
31
35
28
35

Unit of
Growth Rate
Measure
(1000 MT)
NA
(1000 MT)
0.00 %
(1000 MT)
0.00 %
(1000 MT)
16.67 %
(1000 MT)
28.57 %
(1000 MT)
-22.22 %
(1000 MT)
28.57 %
(1000 MT)
11.11 %
(1000 MT)
10.00 %
(1000 MT)
0.00 %
(1000 MT)
0.00 %
(1000 MT)
-18.18 %
(1000 MT)
11.11 %
(1000 MT)
10.00 %
(1000 MT)
9.09 %
(1000 MT)
-8.33 %
(1000 MT)
0.00 %
(1000 MT)
45.45 %
(1000 MT)
0.00 %
(1000 MT)
-18.75 %
(1000 MT)
23.08 %
(1000 MT)
31.25 %
(1000 MT)
-38.10 %
(1000 MT)
38.46 %
(1000 MT)
-22.22 %
(1000 MT)
28.57 %
(1000 MT)
22.22 %
(1000 MT)
-9.09 %
(1000 MT)
-20.00 %
(1000 MT)
-12.50 %
(1000 MT)
121.43 %
(1000 MT)
-29.03 %
(1000 MT)
22.73 %
(1000 MT)
0.00 %
(1000 MT)
-11.11 %
(1000 MT)
16.67 %
(1000 MT)
32.14 %
(1000 MT)
-10.81 %
(1000 MT)
15.15 %
(1000 MT)
-10.53 %
(1000 MT)
-8.82 %
(1000 MT)
-12.90 %
(1000 MT)
18.52 %
(1000 MT)
-28.13 %
(1000 MT)
34.78 %
(1000 MT)
29.03 %
(1000 MT)
10.00 %
(1000 MT)
-18.18 %
(1000 MT)
-13.89 %
(1000 MT)
12.90 %
(1000 MT)
-20.00 %
(1000 MT)
25.00 %

Although Brunei has


double its SSL% of
milled rice in 20032007 period, from
1.8% to 3.2%, it has a
long way to go in
achieving the target
set in 2008 (60% SSL
in 2015)

production
consumption
SSL%

PRODUCTION AREAS
From 4 areas of
production, Belait is
the largest,
contributing 35% of
the total production.

PLANNED AREAS OF EXPANSION


The government has planned 2,560 ha new land for rice production
With a yield of 0.7MT rice milled/ha, the new area is expected to produce
an additional 1,792 MT.

ANALYSIS AND FORECAST


GoB has set a target of SSL and local production for 2010 and 2015.
By extrapolation of the given target, total production area required
for 2010 and 2015 is 8,286 and 25,714 ha respectively.

2010
2015

PRODUCTION
SSL
(MT)
10%
5,800
60% 18,000

TOTAL
TOTAL NEW
IMPORT CONSUMPTION PRODUCTION PRODUCTION
(MT)
(MT)
AREA (HA)
AREA (HA)
52,200
58,000
8,286
6,786
12,000
30,000
25,714
24,214

60

ACTUAL AND FORCASTED MILLED-RICE CONSUMPTION (19602030)

50

40

30

20

10

ACTUAL

FORECAST

2029

2026

2023

2020

2017

2014

2011

2008

2005

2002

1999

1996

1993

1990

1987

1984

1981

1978

1975

1972

1969

1966

1963

0
1960

From trend analysis of


actual consumption of
1960-2011,
consumption for 20122030 has been
forecasted
2012 consumption is
40MT and will reach
50MT in 2030.

MILLED-RICE CONSUMPTION (MT)

STRATEGIES FOR PRODUCTION


EXPANSION
Expansion of production/ land area
Increase in yield

FAST TRACKING OF NEW RICE


PRODUCTION AREA
Development of pilot scale production area
The pilot scale is designed as a real life production area with the
purpose of experiencing the learning- curve (learning-by-doing)
Features of Pilot scale project:
200-500 ha
Complete with:

Seed farm
Irrigation system- infrastructure, maintenance & water management
Mechanisation
Integrated pest management
Optimal crop care management- proper land preparation, fertilizer application,
pest and disease management, water management
Post harvest, milling & storage facilities
Business/ management modality
Human capital development/ training
Maintenance scheduling

MARDITECH CONTRIBUTION

WHY MARDITECH

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