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Agenda
Project Background Market Overview (Key Indicators 2010, Kenya IT Market Value (US$M) Forecast 20102015, Kenya IT spend by Vertical segments) ICT Ecosystem Overview - Vendor Survey (market Structure, challenges, opportunities, Vendors performance, outlook) International Benchmarking ICT Skills Survey Highlights
Project Background
Background
Survey Objectives
Understanding the Kenyan ICT Ecosystem and trends in the market. Sizing the ICT Market and its sub segments (hardware, software, services, etc) in Kenya. Compiling a baseline of key ICT KPIs
Survey Highlights
Aims to provide ground-breaking primary research that encompasses numerous market sub -segments and different stakeholders It will leverage on existing secondary market research in order to consolidate existing discrete market information It will have a repeat cycle to gauge the progress and impact of KICTB and other stakeholders initiatives. The survey is consultative as well where multiple stakeholders are both respondents (i.e. What are your issues?) and also beneficiaries (i.e. What to do?) Timely to augment development of existing KICTB projects Pasha centres (rural access) , Tandaa (digital content), Wezesha (asset financing) as well as other government ICT initiatives
10,199,836 25.9%
11.5% 380,748 24,968,891 18,000.00 90.0% 52.14%
6
$0
Services total Packaged software total Hardware total
Utilities 4%
Wholesale 2%
Business Services 3%
Consumer 15%
10
12
13
Among the countries Kenya based vendors have reach into from their Kenyan hub include: Uganda, Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Ethiopia and Southern Sudan.
14
Taxation on consumable products and unclear taxation framework to define various ICT imports.
Product/Service quality perception vis a vis other competing products/services in the market (e.g. pro-West stance or pro-more established brands)
Lengthy customs procedures - demurrage costs passed on to users therefore higher prices.
Sourcing highly qualified talent. Doing business with the government procurement laws.
15
Market Opportunities
Skills development. Further infrastructure investment mainly last mile access and quality of existing networks is crucial for more pervasive adoption. Reform tax environment to attract ICT investors.
Addressing the problem of counterfeit products (consumables, devices) , with support of relevant government departments (in terms of scrutiny, enforcement and standards). The success experienced by counterfeiters illustrates there is good demand for products.
Skills gaps are opportunities where channel partners can intervene themselves rather than leave it up to vendors to acquire and maintain the skills. Channel partners can develop their own existing staff to meet some of these positions and leave the vendor to have a basic presence - a sort of shift down the tier and in line with the earlier stated objective to deepen intimacy with customers and strengthen the channel. Overall growth in the IT market will continue to stimulate growth in other areas. Enhance the platform for increasing regional reach.
Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 16
Enhance vertical sector and product specializations skills, products, GTM approach.
Focus on infrastructure issues and how to address how lack of adequate infrastructure (power) affects uptake.
Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. 17
Benchmarking Kenya
18
Benchmarking
Internet Users vs Connections as a % of population
Internet Users vs Connections as a % of population
In more developed countries the total number of connections vis a vis the number of users are evenly spread In countries like Kenya, Nigeria and Morocco, there are lower numbers of connections but higher number of users indicating most connections are shared connections and largely comprise business connections (including publicly accessible connections like cyber cafes, education institutions).
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
0.0%
Kenya RSA Nigeria Rwanda Ukraine Philipines Egypt Morocco
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Benchmarking
Total Internet vs Household penetration
Total Internet vs Household penetration
Kenya has a higher internet penetration vis a vis South Africa but mainly bolstered by mobile internet connections though with a lower proportion of households connected owing to a declining fixed network and poor development of DSL based services. Kenya compares much better than both Nigeria and Rwanda on both counts Egypt has a much higher overall and household internet penetration with a huge gap between Kenya of almost 25 percentage points at household level.
45.0% 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Kenya RSA Nigeria Rwanda Ukraine Philipines Egypt Morocco Proportion of households with internet access Total Internet user penetration
20
Benchmarking
Computer Penetration
Computers per 100 inhabitants
9
Kenya has slightly higher PC penetration rates than Nigeria and Rwanda but still very far behind South Africa and Morocco, mostly owing to lower disposable income than these countries.
21
Benchmarking
Household Internet Access vs Household PC Access
Household Internet Access vs PC
In terms of PC Access at the household level, Kenya is only better than Rwanda. It should be noted that Nigeria as a manufacturer of PCs (Zinox brand) that are locally affordable, accounts for much higher PC penetration at household levels but negligible household internet penetration given infrastructure issues (submarine cables arrived way after they did in East Africa)
22
Benchmarking
Business Internet Usage
Business Internet Usage
Morocco Egypt Philipines Ukraine Rwanda Nigeria RSA Kenya 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
In terms of business usage of the internet, Kenya is nearly on par with more developed countries like Egypt and Morocco and slightly ahead of Nigeria
23
Benchmarking
Broadband Access Tariffs
Broadband Access Tariffs
Despite additional capacity, cost of broadband is still a factor for business vis a vis other countries. Nigeria has recently got a lot of international bandwidth but constrained somewhat by back bone, last mile access and electricity challenges. Landlocked Rwanda largely relies on bandwidth from operators in neighbouring countries.
$120.00
$100.00
$80.00
$60.00
$40.00
$20.00
24
IT Skills Survey
25
IT Manager / Director IT Administrator Software Developer Application Systems Analyst System Engineer (Computer Networking/IT)
9%
11%
11%
13% 13% 5% 5% 4% 5%
IT Consultant
IT Team Leader IT Project Manager Web Designer
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
Roughly 9600 IT professionals are expected to be added to the Kenyan IT workforce. The demand for individual IT
IT Administrator
3,002
733
Software Developer
2,270
1,600
3,396
1,078
3,415 675
983
1,276
growth) and Project Managers (at 57% growth) are the professions
IT Team Leader
1,370
482
604
666
7,017
2,304
0
2010 Employment Source: IDC IT Skills Model Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
5,000
2011-13 Demand
10,000
Application Software
Systems Developers
and IT
IT Administrator Software Developer Application Systems Analyst System Engineer IT Consultant IT Team Leader IT Project Manager Web Designer IT Support (help desk)
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
professions that are least available. Approximately 45% of respondents reported they are very difficult or difficult to find. On the contrary, IT Support people and IT Administrators are much easier to find only for less than 10% of respondents, they were reported as very difficult of difficult to find.
% of Companies
Difficult to find Neither Easy to find Source: IDC IT Skills Research N = 158 Source: Business Survey Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. Very Difficult to find Very easy to find
45%
Consider
Difficult
Focus
Software developer
System Engineer
Availability
IT Manager/ Director
IT Consultant
Team Leader
10% 5%
IT Administrator
Monitor
0% 0.00%
IT Support
20.00% 40.00% 60.00% 80.00%
Low
Demand
New jobs growth between 2011 and 2013
High
Security skills
7,961
1,566 1,861
SW development skills
5,363
4,920 4,920
1,788
(136%) and Software development skills (135%). IT Administration and HW skills are projected to grow at the lowest rate less than 12%.
1,308
Database skills
10,154
1,824 1,714
10,007
6,782
Internet-related skills
HW skills
17,783
1,695
IT Administration skills
10,836
1,290
0
Source: IDC IT Skills Model
Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2010 Employment
2011-13 Demand
Software
development/deployment
&
Enterprise/business application skills are least available for approximately 30% of interviewed organizations, these professions
Project management, security and mobile technology skills were also reported as difficult to find. Internet-related & Networking skills are available and easy to find.
Data storage skills Enterprise/business application skills Internet-related skills HW skills IT Administration skills
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
% of Companies
Very Difficult to find Difficult to find Neither Easy to find Very easy to find
Source: Business Survey Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
N = 158
Consider
Enterprise/Business Applications Software Development
Focus
Difficult
Security
Data Storage Databases HW IT Adm. Internet Networking Mobile Technologies IT Project Management
Availability
Monitor
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%
Low
Demand
New jobs growth between 2011 and 2013
High
LACKING
Skills in graduates
STRONG IN
Team skills
Software skills and Problem solving skills rated the highest while hardware and project management skills rated much lower.
Innovative
Problem
Project management/implementation as the top three skills that are lacking Some of these findings were seconded by the university interviewees which indicated lower ratings on project management/implementation skills and innovative thinking. Based on some interviews with ICT companies, Business/ Soft skills were cited as lacking in graduates as well as keeping up with
Project Management/Implementation
41%
Innovative thinking
41%
Structured Thinking
33%
SW Skills
27%
18%
HW Skills
technology trends; the view was expressed that the gap between theory and practice needs to be bridged via mediums such as internships
% of Companies
Source: Business Survey
plan to contact external providers to manage the skills shortages. Roughly half of the respondents
Lack of IT skills in the country has a significant effect on business operations and performance
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
% of Companies
Strongly Disagree Disagree Neither Agree Strongly Agree
Insufficient government initiatives in this area Low number of IT-skilled graduates Kenya is not an attractive location for foreign IT professionals The ICT field is not attractive for the younger generation Complicated visa & travel regulation Low level of English language proficiency 0% 22%
82%
17%
13%
8%
% of Companies
Source: Business Survey
38
Training/ Retraining
Training institutions
Unqualified supply or Skills mismatch Brain drain especially at higher Skill levels
Attrition
Qualified Supply
Move to management tracks
Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Gap
Demand
Higher-level gaps Shortage of experienced IT personnel Poaching and moving abroad i.e. brain drain reported; also technical staff moving to management tracks Experienced professionals from abroad not coming in
Gap in IT professionals
Graduate-level skill gaps Project management Problem solving Innovative thinking Gap between theoretical and practical skills; insistence of some experience from IT firms
Quality gaps Candidates who have certifications and educational qualifications but do not bring the expected quality Inconsistencies in course duration and curriculum within the courses
Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Improve connectivity
Provide last-mile connectivity through pricing incentives Help middle and lower tiers of educational institutions to get connected
Promote IT as a career
Attract more people (especially youth and females) via promotional campaigns Attractive industry compensation standards
Government organizations, IT companies and Educational institutions would need to collaborate extensively in the above areas to achieve the ICT skills-related objectives related to the Strategic Plan and Kenya 2030.
Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Implement
Improve connectivity
Impact
Establish specialized programs for graduates Promote IT as a career Integrate ICT in education Harmonize and monitor supply & demand
Low Low
Ease of implementation
High
44
77%
77%
86%
14%
74% Yes No
Mombasa Nairobi (253) Kisumu (120) Nyeri (100) Eldoret (98) (179)
79%
91%
96%
47% AB (238)
9% C2 (161) No
4% D (23)
26% of the surveyed HH use internet Internet usage increases by SCL levels. It is highest in Mombasa (37%)
45 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. Base = The figure in parenthesis represents
Highest in Nyeri (21%), in SCL AB (18%), among the 15-24 yrs (22%)
Highest in Nyeri (32%), in SCL AB (17%) Highest in SCL D (36%), among the 45+ yrs (26%) Highest in Kisumu (11%)
Unavailability of PC is the main reason for not using internet from homes (58%) The usage of internet within low SCLs (D and C2) is mainly hindered by their inability to buy PCs or pay for internet connection
46 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. Base = The figure in parenthesis represents
Base : Users of PC (519) Q31. Which of the following devices have you used to access the Internet in the past 12 months? Other mobile phone / internet enabled mobile phones Desktop Laptop Smartphone Digital TV 1% 15% 34% 80% 71%
Accessing internet is largely done from mobiles, either internet-enabled handsets (80%) or smartphones (15%) A significant portion of PC usage (desktop or laptop) is dedicated to accessing the internet
47 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. Base = The figure in parenthesis represents
Education
Work
20%
44%
43%
59%
40%
29%
Respondents use PC mainly to perform personal task (71%), especially old individuals 45+ years Entertainment and education purposes drive respondents 15-34 yrs old to use PC. These reasons decrease significantly among older users (35+yrs) Old males (45+ yrs) tend to use PC for work reasons much more than other demographics.
Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. Base = The figure in parenthesis represents 48
Q59. Which of the following services do you actively use on your mobile device?
Detailed by Age Detailed by Gender 45+ (70) Male (313) Female (206)
Overall
15 24 (219)
25-34 (163)
35-44 (67)
Access to Email
PIM Chatting Sending MMS
Calling and texting share respondents' main usage of the mobile (around 97%) The usage of internet enabled services and PIM mainly attracts the young category (15-24 yrs). Their usage decreases significantly by age
49 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. Base = The figure in parenthesis represents
17%
22%
57%
3%
Working with spreadsheets to create charts and tables such as Excel Connecting and installing new devices, e.g. a printer or a modem or a new software Writing a computer program using a specialized programming language
19%
24%
55%
3%
21%
22%
51%
4%
37%
18%
36%
8%
42%
16%
31%
11%
Don't Know
Highest confidence is recorded in the areas of text processing (68%) and working with spreadsheets(57%) PC users are least confident in maintaining the computer (checking and solving problems, 36%) and programming (31%)
50 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. Base = Users of PC
(n=519)
6%
12%
80%
2%
7%
14%
79%
1%
13%
15%
65%
7%
Finding downloading, and installing software Posting messages to chat rooms, newsgroups, or online discussion forums
26%
17%
49%
9%
39%
16%
29%
17%
Don't Know
Highest confidence is recorded in the areas of using search engines (80%) and email communication (79%) Internet users are least confident in creating web pages / blogs (29%)
51 Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. AllUsersreserved. Base = rights of Internet
(n=592)
45+ (84)
57% 64% 29% 19% 33% 34% 8% 19% 29% 11% 16% 8% 5% 2% 5% 4%
77% 68% 40% 29% 28% 27% 22% 22% 21% 12% 12% 9% 7% 5% 5% 3%
81% 68% 48% 37% 25% 19% 28% 21% 17% 13% 11% 6% 6% 4% 5% 2%
Base : Users of Internet (592) The main purposes for using the internet are communicating with colleagues (77%) and searching for information (68%), exceeding by far other reasons. Internet users 35+ yrs old perform business-oriented internet tasks (communicating with customers, scheduling appointments, etc.) more than younger users who look for more social, entertaining or educational activities online
Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. Base = The figure in parenthesis represents
53
Overall Internet service Customer support after sales Speed of your Internet service Cost of your Internet service Reliability of your Internet service Value for money spent on your Internet service
23% 68%
61%
Base : Users of Internet (592) 68% of internet services are satisfied with the overall internet service. This is mainly driven by the reliability, speed and cost of this service Internet users record lowest satisfaction with the support they are getting from providers (41%)
Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. Base = The figure in parenthesis represents
43%
61%
45%
47%
Nairobi (253) Mombasa (179) 41% 46% Eldoret (98) 45% Kisumu (120) Nyeri (100) 32%
39%
Nairobi (253) Mombasa (179) 13% Eldoret (98) 12% Eldoret (98) Nyeri (100) 23% Nyeri (100)
9%
14%
Nairobi (253) Mombasa (179)
Overall awareness of e-government services is significant (53%). But their actual usage is low (23%), concentrated especially in Nyeri (23%)
Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. Base = The figure in parenthesis represents
9%
6%
Copyright IDC. Reproduction isBase = Users of e-Government Services forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Q68. Are there any other government services you would like to see available on line?
Advertisement of Government positions Application of birth certificates Electronic elections Processing of licenses by KRA - Any other government services you would like available online Title deeds acquisition Downloadable ID cards/ passports How the budget is prepared/processed People with disabilities should be put online Show/upload government services City council stickers Efficiency/accountability of government related work and projects Payment of council levies Appointments for government positions ID registration 20% 13% 13% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7%
Copyright IDC. Reproduction isBase = Users of e-Government Services forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved.
Computers/Internet not available at home High costs of buying/renting computers High costs to connect to the Internet High costs of maintenance and repairs for computers Technology is too complicated Lack of required skills to use computers/ internet Risk of viruses is too high when using the Internet Computers/Internet not available at work Lack of trust for ICT (e.g. security/ privacy issues on the Internet) Internet cafs are hard to reach or find Not secure to do business/ make transactions over the Internet Not enough websites / content in local language Computers/Internet not available at school/ university Others There are no barriers at all
40% 36% 31% 25% 19% 19% 15% 10% 10% 7% 7% 5% 3% 3% 16%
58% 43% 38% 33% 15% 24% 3% 14% 18% 23% 16% 7% 7% 8% 3%
Base : Total Sample (750) Unavailability of computers accompanied with theirs high cost as well as the costs of internet connections are the main barriers to the use of ICT Residents of Kisumu are mostly affected by these barriers compared to respondents from other cities.
Copyright IDC. Reproduction is forbidden unless authorized. All rights reserved. Base = The figure in parenthesis represents
59
60
Website
e-Newsletter
Online advertising/banners
Blog
Others
Nothing
Large (500+ employees) Less than 30 30-49 employees 50 - 99 employees Medium (100-499 employees) 100-499 employees 500-999 employees 1000-4999 employees More than 5000 employees Small (30-99 employees)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90% 100%
Submit Tax Returns online - E-government services used for work purposes
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90% 100%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Security
Overall
Very Dissatisfied
Dissatisfied
Neutral
Satisfied
Very Satisfied
IT Skills
Action
Focus
Broad Recommendations Awareness programmes on services currently offered and follow up on suggested online government services
Residential Usage
Leverage mobile operators to update citizens on government Focus services vis SMS (subsidized cost for government for bulk SMS). Deploy relevant USSD driven services for citizens Solicit feedback on content of interest, esp. from non-users Create awareness on other content and services Content - review feedback on content most used and share with beneficiaries of digital content funds to take ICT Adoption Consider action/innovate/respond Close collaboration with media to pursue the internet as a channel for delivery. Address costs - See macro item COST below Access - see macro item INFRASTRUCTURE and COST below Prioritized subsidies of public access centers after evaluation Provide infrastructure support and services subsidies Cost of Focus Re-animate local assembly initiatives through vendor PPP and with services/Devices political will
Action
Broad Recommendations
Awareness creation on existing content and services Leverage on high internet adoption to interact with businesses more via a various databases (e.g. customs, taxes, registry, immigration etc)
Business Usage
Focus
Focus
Skilled Staff Monitor See SKILLS macro ICT Adoption Internet Services PC Costs Mobile Device Costs Cost of services and Quality of Services - need to sensitize business Monitor users of their rights in collaboration with the sector regulator. Collaborative campaigns. Consider Further subsidize public access areas, secondary schools Consider Revive local assembly initiatives (e.g. Nigeria with Zinox) Consider
Cost
Partnerships with vendors of low cost devices, tap into local application community
Channel Infrastructure
Develop a PPP framework & depart from ad hoc, covertly commercially oriented PPPs that lack synergies and leveraging value. Consider wireless/satellite technology elements in national infrastructure plans for remote areas to mix with other technologies for last mile access Offer subsidies (and reward schemes) to operators with renewable energy focus or innovation that address power issues
Infrastructure Skills
Infrastructure Business Skills Business Skills Business Skills
Residential
Residential Residential Residential Channel
Cost
Thank You
71