Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
- Charu Khemani
Sr. Manager (Corporate Planning)
13 October 2008
th
Economic Scenario
GDP Growth
44 4 % .
4% 4 .
4% 4 .
4% 4 . 4% 4 .
9% 9 .
4% 4 .
4% 4 . 4% 4 . 4% 4 .
4% 4 .
4% 4 .
4% 4 . F 4 Y 4 F 4 Y 4 F 9 Y 9 F 4 Y 4 F 9 Y 9 F 4 Y 4 F 9 Y 9
Economic Scenario
Power intensity (GW / GDP) is related to the dominating sector growth
India - 55% contribution to GDP by Service Sector China 49% contribution to GDP by
Manufacturing 57% contribution to GDP by Japan Sector Service
778 GW
44 44
99 99
44 44
99 99
Source: Integrated Energy Policy GOI
Under the VIIth Schedule of the Indian Constitution, the power sector is on the concurrent list
Centre
Legislative function
Executive Function
Execution
Regulatory Function
States
State Assemblies
State Govts.
SERCs
Central, State and Private utilities have a complementary role for optimal development of power sector in India.
Central
Under MOP: NTPC, NHPC, NEEPCO,DVC,BBMB Other Ministries: NLC, NPC SEBs/State Gencos NJPC, THDC, NHDC IPPs, Licensees (CESC, BSES, AEC) CTU-Power Grid
Generation
Transmission Transmission
Distribution Distribution
Private
1947 - Total installed capacity of only 1362 MW. 1948 - Electricity Supply Act leads to formation of SEBs Priority in development through SEBs Development through Five Year Plans Emphasis on hydel power in the first two Plans 1966-67 REBs formed to take care of interstate imbalances Early Seventies - Country faces unprecedented power crisis Capacity: 16,664 MW in 1974 1975 - NTPC and NHPC set up in Central Sector 1991 - Liberalisation; Private participation permitted 1992 - Power Grid Corp. formed to facilitate formation of National Grid 1998 - Regulation through formation of CERC/SERC 2003 - Electricity Act2003
Legislative/administrative Initiatives taken by the Government to improve the health of Power Sector.
One time settlement scheme for outstanding dues of CPSUs National Electricity Policy -2005 Tariff Policy 2006 Integrated Energy Policy 2006 New Hydro Policy 2008 Accelerated Power Development and Reforms Programme - APDRP Rural Electrification RGGVY National Mission for Enhanced Energy Efficiency under National Action Plan for Climate Change
Role of Government
Central Government to prepare (Section 3) National Tariff
Policy
Policy Rural
Generation
Generation free from licensing. (Section 7) Requirement of TEC for non-hydro generation done away with. (Section 7) Captive Generation is free from controls. Open access to Captive generating plants subject to availability of transmission facility. (Section 9) Clearance of CEA for hydro projects required. Necessary due to concern of dam safety and inter-State issues. (Section 8) Generation from Non-Conventional Sources / Cogeneration to be promoted. Minimum percentage of purchase of power from renewables may be prescribed by Regulatory Commissions. (Section 61(h), 86 (1) (e))
Transmission
There would be Transmission Utility at the Centre and in the States to undertake planning & development of transmission system. (Sections 38 & 39) Load despatch to be in the hands of a govt company/organisation. Flexibility regarding keeping Transmission Utility and load despatch together or separating them. Load Despatch function critical for grid stability and neutrality vis a vis generators and distributors. Instructions to be binding on both. (Sections 26, 27,31, 38, 39) Private transmission companies to be licensed by the Appropriate Commission after giving due consideration to the views of the Transmission Utility. (Sections 15 (5) (b)) The Load Despatch Centre/Transmission Utility / Transmission Licensee not to trade in power. Facilitating genuine competition between generators. (Sections 27, 31, 38, 39,41)
Distribution
Distribution to be licensed by SERCs. Distribution licensee free to take up generation & Generating co. free to take up distribution license . This would facilitate private sector participation without Government guarantee/ Escrow. (Sections 4 , 4) 4 Retai l tariff to be determined by the Regulatory Commission. (Section 44 ) Metering made mandatory. (Section 44 ) Provision for suspension/revocation of licence by Regulatory Commission as it is an essential service which can not be allowed to collapse. (Section s 99 , 9) 9
Open Access
Open access to the transmission lines to be provided to distribution licensees, generating companies. (Sections 38-40) This would generate competitive pressures and lead to gradual cost reduction. Open access in distribution to be allowed by SERC in phases. (Sections 42) In addition to the wheeling charges provision for surcharge if open access is allowed before elimination of cross subsidies, to take care of a)Current level of cross subsidy b)Licensees obligation to supply. (Section 42) This would give choice to customer.
permitted
with
Regulatory Commission may fix ceiling on trading margin to avoid artificial price volatility. (Sections 44 ) (b) & 44 ) (b)) (4 (4 The Regulatory development of (Section 44 ) Commission to promote market including trading.
State Electricity Regulatory Commission to be constituted within six months. (Section 82) Provision for Joint Commission by more than one State/UT. (Section 83) Provision for constitution of Appellate Tribunal consisting of Chairman and three Members. (Section 110, 112) Appellate Tribunal to hear appeals against the orders of CERC/SERC, and also to exercise general supervision and control over the Central/State Commissions. (Section 111) Appeal against the orders of Appellate Tribunal to lie before the Supreme Court. (Section 125) Appellate Tribunal considered necessary to
Reduce litigation and delay in decisions through High Court. Provide technical expertise in decision on appeals.
Tariff Principles
Regulatory Commission to determine tariff for supply of electricity by generating co. on long/medium term contracts. (Section 62) No tariff fixation by regulatory commission if tariff is determined through competitive bidding or where consumers, on being allowed open access enter into agreement with generators/traders.
Consumer tariff should progressively reduce cross subsidies and move towards actual cost of supply. (Section 61 (g)) State Government may provide subsidy in advance through the budget for specified target groups if it requires the tariff to be lower than that determined by the Regulatory Commission. (Section 65) Regulatory Commission to look at the costs of generation, transmission and distribution separately. (Section 62 (2))
By year 2012 :
Per capita availability 1000 units. Installed capacity over 200,000 MW. Spinning reserves 5% . Minimum lifeline consumption of one unit per household per day. Inter-regional transmission capacity 37,000 MW. Quality and reliable power supply.
Tariff Policy
Tariff of all Generation and Transmission Projects in Private Sector through Competitive route - Public sector to complete transition in five years. Reduction of cross subsidy to (+)(-) 20% in next five years. Emphasis on facilitating Open Access in Distribution; clear formulation on cross subsidy surcharge. Transmission Tariff framework sensitive to distance and direction. Strict Implementation of Performance Standards. Agriculture Tariff to leverage sustainable use of Ground Water Resources.
Distribution is the key segment of the electricity chain. APDRP was launched to assist State utilities to reduce the sub transmits & Distribution losses. The restructured APDRP scheme has been approved by GOI to further improve the distribution sector.
Rural Electrification
GOI launched Rajiv Gandhi Gramin Viduytikaran Yojana (RGGVY) in 2005 to provide electricity access to all rural households. RGGVY subsidizes the capital cost by 90% through GOI grants.
(Figures in MW)
99 9 999
44 4 444
999 99 44 44 99 99 44 44 44 99 9 44 4 99
44 44
99 99
99 99
44 44
44 44
99 99
44 44
44 44
44 44
J ul-44
44 44 4
99 99 9 4 4 4 4 9 9 9 9 44 4 4 99 9 9 9 44 4 4 4
4 4 4 4
9 9 9 9
9 9 9 9
4 4 4 4
4 4 4 4
9 9 9 9
4 4 4 4
44 4 4
44 4 4
Ju l -
4 4
4. 4 4
4 4
4 9 9 4 9 9 4 4 9 9 4 9 9 4 4 9 9 4 9 9 4 4 9 9 4 9 9 4 -4 -9 -9 -4 -9 -9 -4 4 9 9 4 9 9 4
TOTAL
145588
100.0%
BU
Million Units
9.8%
44 4
9.6%
8.3%
44 4
44 4
7.3%
44 4
7.8%
44 4 44 44
7.5%
99 9 44 44
8.8%
44 4 99 99
7.1%
44 4
44 44
44 44
44 44
44 44
99 99
DEMAND - SUPPLY
Region Requirement (MU) Northern Western Southern Eastern NorthEastern All India
71289 84108 67959 27418 3150 253924
Kwh
4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
4 -4 4 4 4 4 9 -9 9 9 9 9 9 -9 9 9 9 9 9 -9 9 9 9 9 9 -9 9 9 9 9 9 -9 9 9 9 9
44 4 . 4
9 9 9
99 9 . 9
99 9 . 9
44 4 . 4
99 9 . 9
SEB
Generation
Transmission
Distribution
Generation
Transmission
Distribution
A vertically integrated entity responsible for all the activities thereby leading to hidden inefficiencies across the chain
Present : 16950 MW
Dec.'44
March '44
March '44
16
*Coal
* Lignite
LIGNITE
BJ H
MUMBAI
e lin
CBM COAL
KOLKATA
NAT.GAS
CHENNAI
LIGNITE
Coal is the only proven source of domestic Coal is the only proven source of domestic fuel for long term power generation fuel for long term power generation
COAL Proven reserves LIGNITE Proven reserves Natural Gas Proven Reserves
: 1100 BCM
78% domestic Production is used for Power Generation Coal is going to be the main stay of power generation in the country for at least next 25-30 years
155,000
HYDRO POTENTIAL
150,000 MW
107,000 MW
50,000 MW
The largest potential estimated is 37.91% in the North Eastern Region followed by 35.88% in the Northern Region.
Nuclear power is favored in the context of energy security and the absence of Greenhouse Gas emissions. The present nuclear capacity is 4120 MW and accounts for only 2.8 per cent of the installed capacity. 3160 MW is under construction. The Vision 2020 of the Department of Atomic Energy envisages a cumulative installed capacity of 20,000 MW by the year 2020.
Renewable Energy
A viable option to achieve sustainable development. India has abundant renewable energy sources such
Wind Power
The gross potential of the wind power sector has been assessed as 45,000 MW. The technical potential at 20 per cent grid penetration is estimated at 13,000 MW.
Solar Power
India has one of the highest insolation in the world & has huge potential for solar power generation by way of Solar Photovoltaic and solar thermal.
Solar Energy
INDIAS SOLAR INSOLATION IS AMONGST THE HIGHIEST IN THE WOLRD
Specific annual solar energy yield Kwh / Kwp INDIA, US SPAIN, ITALY AUSTRALIA CHINA JAPAN GERMANY 1700-1900 1500 - 1600 1200 - 1400 1000 - 1200 900 - 1000
There has been over emphasis on the supply side management so far in India. However, in order to minimize the overall requirement and cost of power, Demand Side Management (DSM) needs to be pursued. The Planning Commission has estimated over 25,000 MW equivalent of capacity creation through end-use energy efficiency in different sectors of the economy. Energy efficiency combined with load management and shifting of load from peak to off-peak period, the overall benefit could be much more significant. Given huge potential of energy efficiency and DSM, the government have enacted Energy Conservation Act and set up Bureau of Energy Efficiency for Rapid penetration of energy efficiency and DSM in the economy and the power system respectively.
Abundant coal reserves (enough to last at least 200 years) Vast hydro-electric potential (150,000 MW out of which only 18 per cent has so far been tapped) A large pool of highly skilled technical personnel. Emergence of strong and globally comparable central utilities like NTPC. Political consensus on reforms. Potentially one of the largest power markets in the world
999 99
444 44
444 44 44 44 44 44 99 99 44 44 44 44 44 44
( st 4 ) 4 -4 4 4 4 4 nd 4
444 44
444 44
44 44
44 44
rd 4 ) 4 -4 4 4 4 (4
th 4 ) 4 -4 4 4 4 (4
th 4 ) 4 -4 4 4 4 (4
th 9 ) 9 -9 9 9 9 (9
th 4 ) 4 -4 4 4 4 (4
th 4 ) 4 -4 4 4 4 (4
th 4
) 4 -4 4 4 4 (4 th 4 4 ) 4 4 4 -4 4 4 4 (4
) 4 -4 4 4 4 (4
Hydro 4% 4
Therm al 4% 4
MW
THERMAL 59693
HYDRO 15627
NUCLEAR 3380
TOTAL 78700
Private 4% 4 Central 4% 4
State 4% 4
MW
CENTRAL 36874
STATE 26783
PRIVATE 15043
TOTAL 78700
The Challenges
Areas which could affect target achievement: 1. Power Plant Equipment 2. Timely and Adequate Supply of Key input materials including Fuel 3. Technology 4. Construction and Erection Agencies 5. Infrastructure development 6. Manpower training and development 7. Financial Resources
54
5. Plant wise plans for hiring various construction equipment like Crane etc. 6. New infrastructure leasing arm could be set up.
55
Technology
1. Need to set up efficient power plants in terms of conversion and environment. 2. Transfer and indigenization of super critical technology.
57
58
Infrastructure Development
1. Adequate rail network for coal movement. 2. Development of new rail links; the Railways connectivity with Ports. 3. Augmentation of Port capacity 4. Widening / strengthening of roads for timely / safe transportation of equipment sites.
59
2. Skilled manpower for HP Welding, Aluminum Welding, Cable jointing, Crane Operation etc. 3. Training facilities for Engineers, Projects Managers and other skilled manpower.
60
Funds Requirement
During 11th Plan estimated to be Rs. 10,31,600 crores with following break up:
Particulars Generation (including Nuclear) R&M Transmission Distribution including Rural Electrification Non-Conventional / Captive Merchant Plants Total
Source: CEA
Funds requirement (Rs. Crores) 4,10,896 15,875 1,40,000 2,87,000 1,15,500 40,000 10,09,271
61 Rs. 22,329 Crores required for Distributed Generation, HRD, R&D & Demand Side Management
Recent 500 MW 170 537 565 38.26 660 MW 247 537 565 38.84 CO2 Emission / MW
BASE 2.6 % 5.1 %
Higher Size Units of 800 MW with Super / Ultra Super Critical Technologies
UMPP Projects
Project Sasan (M.P) Status Awarded to Reliance Power Limited with Levellised tariff of Rs 1.196/kWh Awarded to Tata Power Limited with Levellised tariff of Rs 2.264/kWh Reliance has quoted the lowest price of Rs 2.333/ kWh. LOI awarded to Reliance by CAPL. RFQ completed RFP submission date 04.11.08
Mundra (Gujrat)
Krishnapatnam (A.P)
Tilaiya (Jharkhand)
Board Resolution from bidding company committing 100% equity requirement Bid Bond of Rs. 120 crore Bidder Undertaking along with scheduled CoD date and Contract Capacity of each unit Covering letter Original Power of Attorney Disclosure Statement
Financial Bid
The financial bid shall consist of quote for the capacity charges and energy charges in two parts, Non-Escalable Charges and Escalable Charges. The Bidder has the option to quote firm Quoted Energy Charges and/or firm Quoted Capacity Charges for the term of the PPA
Tariff Structure
The tariff shall be paid in two parts comprising of Capacity and Energy Charges. For the payment purpose, the tariff will be quoted tariff escalated as per the provisions of PPA. Capacity Charges shall be paid on actual availability and shall be linked to the Normative Availability computed on annual basis. Full Capacity Charges shall be payable based on Contracted Capacity at Normative Availability (80%). Energy Charges shall be paid as per the schedule. Incentive shall be paid for availability beyond normative by 85% at the rate of @ 40% of Quoted Non-Escalable Capacity Charges subject to a maximum of 25 paisa/kWh. In case the Availability is less than 75%, a penalty @20% of the simple average Capacity Charges applied on the energy (in kwh) corresponding to the difference between 75% and the Availability during the year.
Tariff Structure
Tariff in INR only. Multi part tariff to form basis of bidding: i) Capacity Charges Escalable & Non Escalable component (Rs/kWh) ii) Energy Charges Escalable & Non Escalable component a) Fuel Energy Charges (USD/kWh) b) Transportation Energy Charges (USD/kWh) c) Fuel Handling Energy Charges (Rs/kWh)
4 4 4 . 4
M nB r e illio a r ls
4 4 4 . 4
4 4 4 . 4
44 4 . 4
4 4 4 . 4 9 9 9 . 9 4 4 4 . 4 44 4 .
44 4 . 4
44 4 .
44 4 . 44 4 . 44 4 . 4 4 .
44 4 .
4 . 4
ud Sa iA a bi ra
a di In
n Ira
q Ira
K t ai uw
U A E
a el zu ne Ve
R a si us
a by Li
n ta hs ak az
4 4 4 4
71
T o s n B rre P r D y h u a d a ls e a
44 44 4 44 4 4
44 44 4
44 4 4
44 4 4
44 4 4
44 4 4
44 4 4
44 4 4
44 4 4
44 4 4
44 4 4 44 4 4 44 4 4 4 4 4
n a Ir
q a Ir
u a S d i b ra A
K u it a w
n e V
L ib
In
A E
u s s
z a
a y
ia
z e u e la
h k a
ia
s ta
4 4 4 4
Million Tonnes
444 444
999 999
44 4 444
444 444
44 4 444
444 44
# a di In ia al tr us A
ai kr U
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy (June 9999 ) #As Per 44 Plan Docum ent prepaerd by Planning Com m ission India's Proved Coal Reserves as on th 999 9 w as 9 9 9MT . . 99 99
SA U
a si us R
na hi C
u So th
nd la Po n ta hs ak az K
d In
Th nd la ai
ia es on
ne
a ic fr A
Mlo T n e i i n ons l
44 4 4
44 4 4
44 4 4
44 4 4
44 4 4
44 4 4
4 4 4
9 9 9
9 9 9
4 4 4 4 4 4 9 9 4 4
K a
4 4 4
4 4 4
9 9
T n e s ia
S A
s s ia
C h
in a
A u
s tr a li a
In
d ia
S o #
th
U k ra in e
P o a k h s
la n
In d
d o
h a
- 44 4 44 4
ta n
il a n d
T rillio C 4e4 n u M4 . 4 4 te r
T rillio C . M n u eter
44 44 .
44 44 .
44 44 .
44 44 .
44 44 .
44 44 .
44 44 .
44 44 .
44 44 .
99 . 9
99 . 9
44 . 4
99 . 9
44 . 4
44 . 4 44 . 4
44 . 4
44 . 4
n a Ir
R u ia s s
Q ta a r
u a S
n e V
In
A E
ig
A S
lg
a ri e
ia
a ri e
d i A b ra ia
z e u la e
4 4 4 4
NG Production -2007
W rldN tu l G sP d c nw s o a ra a ro u tio a B nC . M 4in illio u 4 4 eter 4 4 4 4 4
4 4 4 . 4
B nC . M te illio u e r
4 4 4. 4 4 4 4. 4
4 4 4 . 4
4 4 4 . 4
4 4 4 . 4
4 4 4 . 4
4 4 4 . 4
4 4 4. 4
44 4 . 4
44 4 .
44 4 .
99 9 .
44 4 . 44 4 . 44 4 . 44 4 .
4 . 4
n a Ir
A U
ig N
u R ia s s
Q ta a r
u a S d i b ra A
A S U
n e V
A lg
In d
E ia
a ri e
ia
a ri e
z e u la e
4 4 4 4
Coal 4% 4
Gas 4% 4
Oil 4% 4
Hydro 9% 9
Nuclear 4% 4
Gas 4% 4
Oil 4 %
N u c le ar 9% 9
H yd ro R E S % 4 % 4 Coal 4% 4
G as 9% 9
Source: EIA - 2005
O il 4 %
GasNuclear 4 % 4 %
Hydro 4% 4
Source: EIA - 2005
Hydro 4% 4
RES 4 %
Coal 4% 4
Hydro 9% 9
RES 4 %
Nuclear 9% 9
RES 4 %
Coal 4% 4
Oil 4 %
CO2 EMISSIONS
Million Tonnes
44 44 99 99 44 44 44 44 44 44
44 44
us s
EU ia
C 4
hi na
In d
ia
In d (4 4 4 ) 4
ia
(C
ur re nt )
4. 44 4. 44
Tonnes / Capita
44 . 44 . 44 . 44 .
In d 4 4 ) 4 ia
US
Ru ss
EU ia
Ch in a
In d
ia
(4
(C ur re nt )
Distribution Losses
4% 4 4% 4 4% 4 4% 4 4% 4 4% 4 4% 4 4 % 4 %
n pa Ja ce an Fr rm Ge A US a Br i Ch In s Ru ld or W a di
4% 4
4% 4 4% 4 4% 4 4 % 4 % 4 % 4 % 4 %
na
zil
sia
y an
In 2007
Commercial 9% 9
Industry 9% 9 Transport 4 %
Residential 4% 4
Source: EIA - 2005
Commercial 9% 9
Industry 4% 4
Residential 9% 9
Transport 4 %
Comme rcial 4% 4
Re side ntial 4% 4
T ransport 4 %
Commercial 4% 4
Commercial 4% 4
Industry 9% 9
Residential 4% 4
Source: EIA - 2005
Transport 4 %
Commercial 4% 4
Residential 9% 9 Transport 4% 4
Industry 4% 4
Commercial 9% 9
Residential 9% 9
Source: EIA - 2005
Transport 4 %
RECAPTULATE