Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
T. S. CHEONG
National Institute for Disaster Prevention
Contents
Introduction
TC Committee and WGDPP
WGDPP Annual Workshop Expert Mission for Four Countries TCDIS Manual TC Integrated Workshop
Conclusions
Introduction
Introduce of TC Activities
WGDPP Annual Workshop Expert Mission for TC Members TC Integrated Workshop TC Session
Expert Mission
Four Recipient Members 94 Pages Lao PDR; Philippines; Thailand; Viet Nam Authors:
Objectives Waonho Yi
PromoteCheong TCDIS Tae Sung using the Provide input data for WEB-GIS based TCDIS Kyeonghyeok Jin Find for public out-reach projects in related EWS and Rasquinho Olavo disaster Jitae Kim risk reduction Eun-mi Chang
41th TC Session
2009. 1. 19-24, Chiang Mai, Thailand 100 TC members, UNESCAP, UNISDR, ADRC Report of results and Discuss for future works Report of TC members annual report Presentation of new technology to reduce typhoon related damages Confirm of TC report and future works
Horizontal Integration: Research-Technology DevelopmentTechnology Transfer Vertical Integration: WGM WGH WGDPP
Instrumentation and Data Collection Database Development and Access Simulation Models and Systems Expert Judgement and Knowledge
Report on DMS
Collect 12 members report
China; Hong Kong, China; Japan; Lao PDR; Malaysia; Philippines; Republic of Korea; Macao, China; Singapore; Thailand; Viet Nam; and USA
PHILIPPINES
REP. OF KOREA SINGAPORE
THAILAND
USA VIET NAM
Administrative Division
Country
Administrative divisions
23 provinces (sheng, singular and plural), 5 autonomous regions (zizhiqu, singular and plural), and 4 municipalities (shi, singular, plural). 2 Special Administrative Regions (tebiexingzhengqu, singular and plural), Autonomous regions: Guangxi, Nei Mongol, Ningxia, Xinjiang, Xizang Municipalities: Beijing, Chongqing, Shanghai, Tianjin. Special Administrative Regions: Hong Kong, Macao. 18 administrative districts 16 provinces (khoueng, singular and plural), 1 municipality (kampheng nakhon, singular and plural), and 1 special zone 13 states (negeri-negeri, singular - negeri) with three components, city of Kuala Lumpur, Labuan, and Putrajaya 79 provinces, 117 cities, 1,498 municipalities, almost 42,000 barangays The Philippines has 17 administrative regions. 9 provinces (do, singular and plural) and 7 metropolitan cities (gwangyoksi, singular and plural) 76 provinces (changwat, singular and plural) 50 states, 30,000 incorporated cities 59 provinces (tinh, singular and plural) and 5 municipalities (thu do, singular and plural)
China Hong Kong, China Japan Lao PDR Macao Malaysia Philippines Republic of Korea Singapore Thailand USA Vietnam
Legal System
Country
Legal System
Law on Water and Soil Conservation Law on Earthquake Prevention and Disaster Reduction Law on Fire-Fighting Meteorological Law Law on Production Safety Regulation on Forest Fire-Fighting, the Regulation on Preventing Forest Pests Regulation on Safety Management of Dangerous Chemicals . . . Laws related with natural disasters include the Natural Countermeasures Act Act on Countermeasures against Agricultural and Fishery Disasters Disaster Relief Act Disaster and Safety Management Basic Law . . . Decree No. 168-HDBT (May 19, 19) Statutes on Dike Management, and Flood and Typhoon Mitigation Ordinance on Flood and Strom Control Ordinance on Water Resources Structures Protection Water Law Environment Protection Law Disaster
China
. . .
Republic of Korea
. . .
Vietnam
Organizations
Country China Organization
China National Committee for Disaster Reduction (NCDR)
Function
It is composed of 34 ministries and departments Studying and formulating principles, policies and plans for disaster reduction coordinating major disaster activities giving guidance to local governments in their disaster reduction work promoting international exchanges and cooperation Monitoring actively the development of incidents, and collating information to develop a clear picture of the overall situation Monitoring and supporting actively the work of the emergency services and supporting agencies; and resolving problems as necessary Liaising closely with ISD to ensure that all incidents with media implications are being properly addressed and that information is being transmitted to the public quickly and effectively In consultation with relevant bureaux, departments, public utilities and others, co-ordinating the acquisition and mobilization of resources and services as required by the emergency services and supporting agencies Liaising with HAD to ensure that emergency relief and evacuation coordination matters are being fully addressed as necessary Briefing senior government officers on the development of, and prognosis for, emergency situation providing a permanent communication channel with the Secretary for Security through which advice on policy matters, difficult problems and emergency powers may be obtained by concerned parties Formulating basic policies, strategies and guidelines for disaster reduction and for securing coordination of government disaster reduction activities A post of Minister of State for Disaster Management was newly established in the Cabinet in 2001 who takes lead in the responsibilities for disaster reduction in the Natural Government The council that deal with crucial policies of the Cabinet Promotes comprehensive disaster countermeasures including deliberating important issues on disaster reduction according to requests from the Prime Minister or Minister of State for Disaster Management.
Cabinet Office
Japan
National DMS
Example of Korea
Mitigation
Management Plans Improved System Strengthened Research Function
Preparedness
SOP Development Strengthened Education and Training Establishment of Supporting System
Phase I
Phase II
Recovery
Scientific Cause Analysis Continues Feedback Recovery Support System Establishment
Phase IV
Phase III
Response
Site Response Capacity Building Integrated Information & Communication System Mobilization System Establishment
Rusa 2002, P. 40
Report on EWS
Collect 12 members EWS report
China; Hong Kong, China; Japan; Lao PDR; Malaysia; Philippines; Republic of Korea; Macao, China; Singapore; Thailand; Viet Nam; and USA
New Contents
Introduction
- Outline of EWS
Warning Criteria
- Classes of warning and criteria
Damages Condition
: severe : general
Countries China Hong Kong,China Japan Lao P.D.R. Macau Malaysia Philippines Republic of Korea Singapore Thailand USA Vietnam Floods Droughts Earthquakes Typhoons Storm Surges Thunderstorm
Malaysia
Philippines Republic of Korea Singapore Thailand USA Vietnam
Notification Systems
Methods Countries China Hong Kong, China Japan Lao P.D.R. Macau Malaysia Philippines Republic of Korea Singapore
Sirens
telephone calls
Mass Media
Satellite
Facsimile
Thailand
USA Vietnam
Warning Criteria
Heavy Rain
Country HONG KONG, CHINA (Rainstorm Warning) Criteria
> 30 mm/hr
> 50 mm/hr
> 70 mm/hr
Advisory > 30 mm/ 1 hr > 70 mm/ 3 hrs > 130 mm/24 hrs
Warning > 50 mm/ 1 hr > 90 mm/ 3 hrs > 200 mm/24 hrs
Advisory 20 mm/hrs Heavy rainfall warning 250 mm/36 hrs 178 mm/24 hrs Continued 13 mm/hr
Warning > 20 mm/hrs Critical rainfall for mudslides 380 mm/36 hrs 250 mm/24 hrs Continued 19 mm/hr
USA (Guam)
REP. OF KOREA
Level 1 Exceeding wind speed 118km/h, exceeding 400 mm COR 2 Wind speed 63 km/h within 24 hours COR 1 Wind speed 63 km/h within 12 hours
Warning Dissemination
Methodology
Best early warning systems have strong inter-linkages and effective communication channels between all of the elements.
Early warning system requires the contribution and coordination of a various range of individuals and groups
Implementation of TCDIS
System interface Enhancement
Enhance 2008 results for better contents and format Need for sharing DI & Measurement
Work Scopes
Maintenance of TCDIS
Problem shooter Error checking Hardware maintenance
TC member
Database acquisition Standard Data conversion
Function enhancement
Interface improvement statistics
Successful TCDIS
Future plans
enhancement Contents More countries
Report on outline of disaster Define nationally/yearly Weak of statistical inform Weak of specific dis. Inform.
Based on national disaster Risk modeling for insurance Difficult to apply in developing countries have low insurance subscriber
Loss
Hazard
Fragility
Exposure Damage
Exposure Output
Base Map
Establishment of Database
RSMC(Japan)
JTWC(USA)
Characteristics of Typhoon
Viet Nam Typhoon Disasters
Duration Damage Area
Characteristics of Typhoon
Viet Nam Typhoon Disasters
Monthly Typhoon Disasters
Typhoon Trajectories
Concentrated on 9~10
Characteristics of Typhoon
Viet Nam Typhoon Disasters
Hanoi
1010 1000 990 980
970
mb
Central Pressure
UTC
Sarah (1977)
90 80 70 60
knot
50 40 30 20
10 0
Hanoi
Damrey (2005)
Constant
Atmospheric Density
990
980
970
mBar
960
950
940
930
920
910
UTC (hour)
Typhoon NARI
1st: GILDA(1974), old: 4th 2nd : THELMA(1987), old: 3rd 3rd : TINA(1997), old: 1st 4th : CAITLIN(1991)
HAGUPI (2008)
1st : HAGUPIT & SALLY(1996) 2nd : HAGUPIT & YUTU(2001) 3rd : HAGUPIT & KENT(1995)
Characteristics of Typhoon
Disaster From 1991 (http://www.emdat.be)
TC Members Laos Viet Nam Thailand Philippines Total Flood/Storm 13 99 72 271 Typhoon Related Damages 2 24 5 86
NCDC
Laos
Viet Nam
Thailand
Philippines
Estimation of Damages
Damages Information
Damages Victim Human Houses Schools Hospital Agriculture Transportation Amount of Damage Unit Person Person House Room Room Ha Km Mil. VND
14 local areas were estimated which areas had more than 11 damages from typhoon
Estimation of Damages
Step 1st 2nd 3rd 4th Contents Collect Damages Information Define Localized NCDC Meteorological Observation Stations Define Localized Disasters Information Collect Data Such As Rainfall and Wind Speed for Disasters Remarks -
5th
Estimation of Damages
Multi Variable Interpolation Analysis
Province : Quang ngai 30
25
20
1000
Wind(m/s)
200 30 0
30 0
0 20
15
30 0
10
20 0 50
60 0
0 30
5
10 0
40 0
200
20
50
100
150 Rain(mm)
10 0
100
500
200 40 0
10 0
0 50
200
250
300
300
1000
Rain(mm)
500
0 30
20
10 300 400
Wind(m/s) 0 0 100
200 Rain(mm)
Estimation of Damages
KDF Analysis
Province : Quang ngai
Province : Quang ngai
5
x 10 8
1000
Agriculture (Ha)
20 10 200 300 100 0 0 Rain(mm)
500
0 30
Wind(m/s)
Estimation of Damages
Quang nagi
Province : Quang ngai x 10 8
5
150
Agricultural Area
Suffers
100
Agriculture (Ha)
Human
20 10 400
50
0 30
0 30 20
Wind(m/s)
100
200 Rain(mm)
300
Rainfall/Wind
400
300
School
School (Rooms)
200
Death
Victim
100 80 60
100
40 20
Estimation of Damages
Binh Dinh
Province : Binh Dinh 500 Province : Binh Dinh 2500 2000
Transportation (km)
Total Damages
Transportation Utilities
Rainfall/Wind
0
Agricultural Area
Death
Victim
250 200
Agriculture (Ha)
1.5 150 1 0.5 50 0 30 20 10 400 10 Wind(m/s) 0 100 200 Rain(mm) 300 400 0 30 20 300 100
Rainfall
0 0 100 200 Rain(mm)
Wind
Wind(m/s)
Estimation of Damages
Bghe An
Province : Nghe an Province : Nghe an 4000 15000 3000 10000
2000
Houses
Total Damages
House
5000
0 30
Rainfall/Wind
0
Transportation (km)
100
Transportation Utilities
Death
Victim
40
30
50
20
10 0 30 20 10 Wind(m/s) 0 100 200 Rain(mm) 300 400 10 Wind(m/s) 0 100 200 Rain(mm) 300 400
Rainfall
0
0 30 20
Estimation of Damages
Khanh Hoa
Province : Khanh Hoa 200 Province : Khanh Hoa
1500
150
1000
Victim
500 0 30 20 10 Wind(m/s) 0 100 200 Rain(mm) 300 400
100
50
Total Damages
Death
Wind
victim
human flooded area house ship farmland river
transportation
other public private damage
Development of GIS DB
Transform of Global Map from UN Geographic Information Working Group (UNGIWG) Vector Map Scale: 1:1,000,000
Improvement of TCDIS
Main Features of TCDIS was developed following as WMO Meteorological Organization) Web Style Guide (World
TCDIS Main
WMO Main
Improvement of TCDIS
TC WG DPP Meeting
Improvement of TCDIS
Trajectory of Typhoon (Viet Nam) Typhoon Related Damages
Typhoon Trajectory
TCDIS Manual
22 Pages Authors:
Waonho Yi Tae Sung Cheong Eun-mi Chang
Conclusions
Report Annual Activities of TC Suggest Future Work Plan Collect DMS and EWS from 12 TC Members
China; Hong Kong, China; Japan; Lao PDR; Malaysia; Philippines; Republic of Korea; Macao, China; Singapore; Thailand; USA; and Viet Nam
Development of New Estimation Method to Estimate the Typhoon Trajectory and Damage
Thank You