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Reitor: Carlos Edilson de Almeida Maneschy
Vice-Reitor: Horácio Schneider
Pró-Reitor de Pesquisa e Pós-Graduação: Emmanuel Zagury Tourinho
Núcleo de Altos Estudos Amazônicos

Diretor: Fábio Carlos da Silva
Diretor Adjunto: Durbens Martins Nascimento
Conselho Editorial do NAEA
Armin Mathis; Durbens Martins Nascimento; Edna Maria Ramos de Castro;
Fábio Carlos da Silva; Luis Eduardo Aragon; Francisco de Assis Costa; Silvio Lima
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NASCIMENTO, Durbens. Projeto Calha Norte: Política de Defesa Nacional e Segurança
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Graduação em Desenvolvimento Sustentável do Trópico Úmido), Belém, NAEA,UFPA.
Disponível em: http://www.obed.ufpa.br/pdfs/tese_projeto_calha_norte.pdf. Acesso
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DGROHVFrQFLDSUHVRVQDIDPtOLD
¬®
3DUD GHÀQLomR GD HTXDomR SULPiULD GDV FDWHJRULDV GH

FULPHVXWLOL]RXVHDVHJXLQWHHTXDomRJHUDO
< ;ǃW
onde YUHSUHVHQWDDFDWHJRULDGHFULPHDVVXPLQGRSDUD
FULPHVFRQWUDDYLGDHSDUDDVRXWUDVFDWHJRULDV;pDPDWUL]
GDVYDULiYHLVH[SOLFDWLYDVGRPRGHORǃpRYHWRUGHSDUkPHWURV
e t RWHUPRDOHDWyULRDVVXPLGRFRPGLVWULEXLomRSDGUmRQRUPDO
)RUDP IHLWRV WHVWHV GH FRQVLVWrQFLD GH YDOLGDomR GRV
PRGHORVSUHVHQoDGHDXWRFRUUHODomRHKHWHURFHGDVWLFLGDGHHRV
UHVXOWDGRVREWLGRVPRVWUDPDXVrQFLDGHVVHVSUREOHPDV
3.1 Modelo de variável qualitativa para a categoria de crimes

contra a vida:
D (TXDomRSULPiULD
&DWHJRULDGHFULPHFRQWUDDYLGD I[SULVmRDQWHULRUXVRGH
droga s UHJLVWURGHYLROrQFLDEDLUURRQGHDFRQWHFHXRFULPHpFHQWUDO
ORFDOGRFULPH EDUORFDOYLDS~EOLFD @
1D 7DEHOD HQFRQWUDPVH DV HVWLPDWLYDV H VLQDLV GH
SDUkPHWURV GDV YDULiYHLV GD HTXDomR SULPiULD H RV UHVXOWDGRV
TXHH[SUHVVDPDFRQVLVWrQFLDGRPRGHOR
ÃÄÅ
Tabela 1: (TXDomR SULPiULD (VWLPDWLYDV GH SDUkPHWURV GDV

YDULiYHLVSDUDDFDWHJRULDGHFULPHVFRQWUDYLGDFRPVHOHomRGH
DPRVWUD²0RGHORSURELW
1~PHURGHREVHUYDo}HV
/5FKL
/RJOLNHOLKRRG
3URE!FKL
3VHXGR5
Desvio
&RHÀFLHQWH P
Padrão
Equação primária (crimes contra a vida)
(VFRODULGDGHDWpDQRVGHHVWXGRV
(VFRODULGDGHGHDWpDQRVGHHVWXGRV
3ULVmRDQWHULRU
8VRGHGURJD V
&ULPHFRPHWLGRHPEDLUURFHQWUDO
/RFDOGRFULPHEDU
/RFDOGRFULPHYLDS~EOLFD
5HJLVWURGHYLROrQFLD
(VVHVUHVXOWDGRVFRUURERUDPRHQFRQWUDGRSRU0HQGRQoD
HWDO D TXDQGRGHVWDFDPTXHLQGLYtGXRVSURYHQLHQWHVGH
IDPtOLDVUHODWLYDPHQWHHVWiYHLVWHQGHPDSUDWLFDUPHQRVFULPHV
YLROHQWRV
2 VLQDO GR SDUkPHWUR GD YDULiYHO TXH UHSUHVHQWD D
´HVFRODULGDGH GR LQGLYtGXR PDLV GH DWp DQRV GH HVWXGRV µ
VLQDOL]D SDUD R IDWR GH TXH WHU XPD ERD HGXFDomR UHGX] D
SUREDELOLGDGH GH R SUHVR FRPHWHU WDLV FULPHV 3DUD FDGD
LQGLYtGXR SUHVR TXH SDVVD D WHU XP QtYHO GH ´HVFRODULGDGH DWp
DQRVGHHVWXGRµDSUREDELOLGDGHGHFRPHWHUFULPHVFRQWUDD
YLGDpSRVLWLYDSRUpPDRSRVVXLUXPPDLRUQtYHOGHHVFRODULGDGH
PDLV GH DWp DQRV GH HVWXGRV D SUREDELOLGDGH GH FRPHWHU
HVVHWLSRGHGHOLWRpPHQRU(VVHVUHVXOWDGRVHVWmRGHDFRUGRFRP
DSUHVHQWDGRVSRU)DMQ]\OEHUH$UD~MR-U H$QGUDGH
ÆÇÈ
RV TXDLV REVHUYDUDP TXH D HGXFDomR LQÁXHQFLD GH PDQHLUD

LQYHUVDQDWD[DGHFULPHVFRQWUDDSHVVRD
2VLQDOSRVLWLYRGRSDUkPHWURGDYDULiYHO´SULVmRDQWHULRUµ
VLQDOL]D SDUD R IDWR GH TXH XPD LQWHUDomR IDPLOLDU IUDJLOL]DGD
DXPHQWD D SUREDELOLGDGH GH R SUHVR FRPHWHU GHOLWRV FRQWUD D
YLGD
$FDGDSULVmRDQWHULRUGHXPPHVPRLQGLYtGXRDXPHQWDD
H[SHFWDWLYDGHFRPHWHUFULPHVGHVVDQDWXUH]D(VVHUHVXOWDGRp
FRUURERUDGRSHORVHQFRQWUDGRVSRU&HUTXHLUDH/REmR E H
$QGUDGH DRREVHUYDUHPDVH[SHULrQFLDVHPSHQLWHQFLiULDV
FRPRXPHVWtPXORDRVFULPHVGHKRPLFtGLRHURXER
2 VLQDO SRVLWLYR GRV SDUkPHWURV GDV YDULiYHLV ´XVR GH
GURJD V µÓRFDOEDUµHÝLDS~EOLFDµLQGLFDPTXHDSUREDELOLGDGH
GH R SUHVR FRPHWHU FULPHV FRQWUD D YLGD DXPHQWD HP IXQomR
GHVVDVYDULiYHLV-iRVVLQDLVGRVSDUkPHWURVGDVYDULiYHLV´FULPH
FRPHWLGRHPEDLUURFHQWUDOµHÚHJLVWURGHYLROrQFLDµVLQDOL]DP
SDUD D UHGXomR GD SUREDELOLGDGH GR LQIUDWRU FRPHWHU FULPHV
FRQWUDDYLGD
2EVHUYDVH TXH SHVVRDV GH ERD IRUPDomR WHQGHP D DJLU
GH PRGR PHQRV YLROHQWR &RQIRUPH 0HQGRQoD D WDO
FDUDFWHUtVWLFD UHVXOWD GR PHLR RQGH R LQGLYtGXR IRUPRXVH
H[LVWLQGR DVVLP LPSOtFLWD DOJXPD UHJUD GH FRPSRUWDPHQWR
ID]HQGR FRP TXH HOH XOWUDSDVVH RX QmR FHUWRV OLPLWHV TXH
OKH IRUDP LPSRVWRV 3DUD WHVWDU HVVD KLSyWHVH XWLOL]DVH D
PHWRGRORJLDSURSRVWDSRU+HFNPDQ DGDSWDGDjKLSyWHVH
GHTXHLQGLYtGXRVGHERDtQGROHDJHPGHPRGRPHQRVYLROHQWR
$VVLPSDUDHVFROKHUYDULiYHLVTXHSRVVDPVHUXWLOL]DGDV
como SUR[LHVGHERDIRUPDomRHDLQGDDVTXHVHUmRXWLOL]DGDV
FRPR H[SOLFDWLYDV GHVWD WHPVH FRPR UHIHUrQFLD R WUDEDOKR
GH 6KLNLGD HW DO TXH REWpP UHVXOWDGRV PDLV FRQÀiYHLV
ÉÊË
HVWDWLVWLFDPHQWH TXDQGR DV SUR[LHV GH ´WUDYDV PRUDLVµ FRPR

IRUPD GH LQLELU HVVHV WLSRV GH FULPHV VmR ´VHU FDWyOLFRµ HRX
´DFUHGLWDU HP 'HXVµ 0HQGRQoD D WDPEpP FRUURERUD
HVVD LGHLD ID]HQGR XVR GD YDULiYHO ´DFUHGLWDU HP 'HXVµ FRPR
DTXHUHSUHVHQWDDOJRUHODFLRQDGRjPHOKRUtQGROHRXIRUPDomR
GRLQGLYtGXR6KLNLGDHWDO HVWXGDQGRRFRPSRUWDPHQWR
GR FULPLQRVR QDV SHQLWHQFLiULDV GR 3DUDQi REVHUYDUDP TXH
LQGLYtGXRV TXH WrP DOJXPD UHOLJLmR WrP PHQRV WHQGrQFLD D VH
HQYROYHU HP FULPHV YLROHQWRV 'HVVD IRUPD WUDEDOKDVH FRPR
SUR[\ GH ERD IRUPDomR D YDULiYHO ÚHOLJLmRµ DWXDQGR FRPR
´WUDYDVPRUDLVµLQLELGRUDVGHFULPHVFRQWUDDYLGD
$V YDULiYHLV FRP PDLRU SUREDELOLGDGH GH H[SOLFDU XPD
FUHQoDHP'HXVSRUSDUWHGRSUHVRVHULDPDTXHODVUHODWLYDVjV
FRQGLo}HV H[LVWHQWHV GHQWUR GD SUySULD IDPtOLD GHULYDQGR GDt
D LQWHUDomR FRP D VRFLHGDGH GHVWDFDQGRVH D ERD UHODomR GRV
LQGLYtGXRV FRP RV VHXV SDLV DOLDGD DR UHODFLRQDPHQWR HVWiYHO
GHOHV H R WLSR GH UHODFLRQDPHQWR TXH R LQGLYtGXR WHP FRP D
VXDFRPSDQKHLUD$LQGDHPUHODomRjIDPtOLDpUHOHYDQWHRIDWR
GHDPmHHVWDUYLYDXPDYH]TXHQR%UDVLOSHVVRDVGRJrQHUR
IHPLQLQR WHQGHP D VHU PDLV UHOLJLRVDV $OpP GLVVR 0HQGRQoD
D REVHUYD TXH ÀOKRV GH FDVDLV FRP SUREOHPDV QD MXVWLoD
SRGHP SRVVXLU XPD WHQGrQFLD PHQRU GH DFUHGLWDU HP 'HXV
2XWUR IDWRU FRQVLGHUDGR SDUD H[SOLFDU D FUHQoD HP 'HXV p R
ORFDOGHUHVLGrQFLDGRLQGLYtGXRSRLVEDLUURVFRPLQIUDHVWUXWXUD
PHOKRU WHQGHP D SRVVXLU LJUHMDV H WHPSORV R TXH IDFLOLWD HVVD
SUHIHUrQFLD$VVLPHVFROKHUDPVHVHLVYDULiYHLVTXHSRGHPDWXDU
FRPRUHJUHVVRUHVGDHTXDomRFRPSRUWDPHQWDOÚHODFLRQDPHQWR
GRVSDLVpFDVDGRµÚHODFLRQDPHQWRGRVSDLVpXQLmRHVWiYHOµ
ÚHVLGHFRPSDLHPmHµ´H[LVWH P SUHVR V QDIDPtOLDµ´HVWDGR
FLYLOGRLQGLYtGXRpFDVDGRµHÚHVLGHHPEDLUURFHQWUDOµ
ÌÍÎ
'HVVD IRUPD D HTXDomR FRPSRUWDPHQWDO ÀFD DVVLP

HVWDEHOHFLGD
E (TXDomRFRPSRUWDPHQWDO
5HOLJLmR I[FRPTXHPUHVLGLD UHVLGH FRPSDLH PmH HVWDGR
FLYLOGRVSDLV FDVDGRXQLmRHVWiYHO SUHVR s QDIDPtOLDHVWDGRFLYLOGR
LQGLYtGXR FDVDGR HEDLUURGHUHVLGrQFLD FHQWUR @
2VUHVXOWDGRVHVWLPDGRVSRGHPVHUYLVWRVQD7DEHOD
Tabela 2: (VWLPDWLYD GH SDUkPHWURV GDV YDULiYHLV H UHVXOWDGR
ÀQDOGRPRGHORHFRQRPpWULFRSDUDDFDWHJRULDGHFULPHVFRQWUD
YLGDFRPVHOHomRGHDPRVWUD²0RGHORSURELW
1~PHURGHREVHUYDo}HV
2EVHUYDo}HVFHQVXUDGDV
2EVHUYDo}HVQmRFHQVXUDGDV
:DOGFKL
/RJOLNHOLKRRG
3URE!FKL
&RHÀFLHQWH Z Prob. > Z
Equação primária (crimes contra a vida)
(VFRODULGDGHDWpDQRVGHHVWXGRV
(VFRODULGDGHGHDWpDQRVGHHVWXGRV
3ULVmRDQWHULRU
8VRGHGURJD V
&ULPHFRPHWLGRHPEDLUURFHQWUDO
/RFDOEDU
/RFDOYLDS~EOLFD
5HJLVWURGHYLROrQFLD
Equação de comportamento
Reside com pai e mãe
3UHVR V QDIDPtOLD
5HODFLRQDPHQWRGRVSDLVFDVDGR
5HODFLRQDPHQWRGRVSDLVXQLmRHVWiYHO
(VWDGRFLYLOFDVDGR
5HVLGHHPEDLUURFHQWUDO
ǒ -0,202
7HVWHGHUD]mRGH0i[LPDYHURVVLPLOKDQoD
+Rǒ
&KL
3URE!FKL
ÏÐÑ
&RPRVHSRGHSHUFHEHUDKLSyWHVHHVWDEHOHFLGDGHTXH
D FRUUHODomR HQWUH RV GLVW~UELRV GDV GXDV HTXDo}HV TXDQGR
QXOD p UHMHLWDGD LVWR p ǒ 3URE ! &KL 1RWD
VHWDPEpPTXHRFRHILFLHQWHGHFRUUHODomRHQWUHRVUHVtGXRV
GDV GXDV HTXDo}HV SULPiULD H FRPSRUWDPHQWDO DSUHVHQWD
VLQDO QHJDWLYR FRQVWDWDQGR TXH QRV FULPHV FRQWUD D YLGD
D PRWLYDomR EiVLFD GR SUHVR p GLIHUHQWH GRV GHPDLV GDV
RXWUDV FDWHJRULDV 7RGDV DV YDULiYHLV VmR HVWDWLVWLFDPHQWH
VLJQLILFDQWHV HP XP QtYHO GH 3URE ! = H R PRGHOR
FRQVLVWHQWHQRVHXWHVWH 3URE!&KL
$VVLPSRGHVHREVHUYDUTXHDPRWLYDomRGDFULPLQDOLGDGH
SDUDRLQGLYtGXRSUHVRSRUFULPHFRQWUDDYLGDpGLIHUHQWHGRV
GHPDLVLQFOXVRVHPRXWUDVFDWHJRULDVHTXHDTXHOHWLSRGHGHOLWR
HVWiUHODFLRQDGRDIDWRUHVGHLQWHUDomRVRFLDO
3.2 Modelo de variável qualitativa para a

categoria de crimes contra o patrimônio
a) Equação primária
&DWHJRULDGHFULPHFRQWUDRSDWULP{QLR I[ORFDOGRFULPH
YLD S~EOLFD ORFDO FDVD DOKHLD SULVmR DQWHULRU XVR GH GURJDV LGDGH
UHJLVWURGHYLROrQFLDHFKHIHGDIDPtOLD SUySULR @
ÒÓÔ

YDULiYHLV SDUD D FDWHJRULD GH FULPHV FRQWUD R SDWULP{QLR FRP
VHOHomRGHDPRVWUD²0RGHORSURELW
1~PHURGHREVHUYDo}HV
/5FKL
/RJOLNHOLKRRG
3URE!FKL
3VHXGR5
&RHÀFLHQWH Desvio P
Padrão
Equação primária (crimes contra
o patrimônio)
/RFDOYLDS~EOLFD
/RFDOFDVDDOKHLD
3ULVmRDQWHULRU
8VRGHGURJD V
Idade
5HJLVWURGHYLROrQFLD
&KHIHGDIDPtOLDpRSUySULR
2V IDWRUHV UHODFLRQDGRV D TXHVW}HV QmR HFRQ{PLFDV

GR LQGLYtGXR DSUHVHQWDP UHVXOWDGRV GH PDLRU LQÁXrQFLD QD
FULPLQDOLGDGH GHVWDFDQGRVH ÚHODFLRQDPHQWR GRV SDLV XQLmR
HVWiYHOµ ÓRFDO GR FULPH FDVD DOKHLDµ ÓRFDO GR FULPH YLD
S~EOLFDµHÚHJLVWURGHYLROrQFLDµ2VVLQDLVGRVSDUkPHWURVGDV
YDULiYHLV ´XVR GH GURJD V µ ´LGDGHµ H ÚHJLVWUR GH YLROrQFLDµ
VLQDOL]DPSDUDDUHGXomRGDSUREDELOLGDGHGHRSUHVRFRPHWHU
FULPHVFRQWUDRSDWULP{QLR-iRGDVYDULiYHLV´SULVmRDQWHULRUµ
ÓRFDO YLD S~EOLFDµ ÓRFDO FDVD DOKHLDµ H ´FKHIH GD IDPtOLD R
SUySULRµ DSRQWDP SDUD XP DXPHQWR GD SUREDELOLGDGH GH R
LQIUDWRU FRPHWHU FULPHV GHVVD QDWXUH]D (VVH UHVXOWDGR HVWi
GH DFRUGR FRP RV HQFRQWUDGRV SRU &HUTXHLUD H /REmR D
ÕÖ×
&HUTXHLUD H /REmR E $QGUDGH TXDQGR REVHUYDP

DV H[SHULrQFLDV HP SHQLWHQFLiULDV H .XPH TXH UHODWD
R SUHFRQFHLWR GD VRFLHGDGH FRP UHODomR DR LQGLYtGXR SUHVR
LPSHGLQGRR GH UHWRUQDU DR PHUFDGR GH WUDEDOKR OHJDO FRPR
IDWRUHVGHHVWtPXORVjSUiWLFDGHFULPHVFRQWUDRSDWULP{QLR
&RQIRUPH0HQGRQoD D H[LVWHXPDGLIHUHQoDHQWUHD
UHJUDyWLPDGHGHFLVmRGRSUHVRFRQGHQDGRSRUFULPHYLROHQWR
KRPLFtGLRHHVWXSUR HDUHJUDyWLPDGRVGHPDLVSUHVRV)HUQDQGH]
H0DOGRQDGR QRVHQWLGRHFRQ{PLFRFODVVLÀFDPRFULPH
HPGRLVJUDQGHVJUXSRVOXFUDWLYRHQmROXFUDWLYR&RPRFULPHV
GR JUXSR OXFUDWLYR FLWDP IXUWR URXER H[WRUVmR HVWHOLRQDWR
HQWUHRXWURV3DUDRFDVRGRVFULPHVQmROXFUDWLYRVKRPLFtGLR
HVWXSURWRUWXUDHQWUHRXWURV$VVLPGHYHH[LVWLUXPDGLIHUHQoD
QDPRWLYDomREiVLFDHQWUHRSUHVRGDFDWHJRULDGHFULPHVFRQWUD
RSDWULP{QLRHRGDVGHPDLVFDWHJRULDV3DUDWHVWDUHVVDKLSyWHVH
VHUiXWLOL]DGDDPHWRGRORJLDSURSRVWDSRU+HFNPDQ
$ HTXDomR GH FRPSRUWDPHQWR DVVRFLDUi XPD YDULiYHO
TXH UHSUHVHQWH D VLWXDomR HFRQ{PLFD GR SUHVR FRP RV VHXV
GHWHUPLQDQWHV&RQIRUPH3H]]LQ H0LHWKH DSREUH]D
FRQWULEXL SDUD D RFRUUrQFLD GH FULPHV FRQWUD R SDWULP{QLR
0HQGRQoD FRUURERUD HVWD LGHLD DR REVHUYDUHP TXH D
GHVLJXDOGDGHVRFLDOWHPHIHLWRSRVLWLYRVREUHDFULPLQDOLGDGH2
PHVPRVHDSOLFDD%HDWR)LOKRHWDO DRUHODWDUTXHDVFDXVDV
GDFULPLQDOLGDGHVmRRULXQGDVGHIDWRUHVGHQDWXUH]DHFRQ{PLFD
:DUQHUH3LHUFH WDPEpPHQFRQWUDUDPUHODomRHQWUHHVVHV
WLSRVGHFULPHVHDPRELOLGDGHVRFLDO
$VVLPSDUDHVFROKHUYDULiYHLVTXHSRVVDPVHUXWLOL]DGDV
como SUR[LHV GD VLWXDomR HFRQ{PLFD GR LQGLYtGXR H DLQGD
ØÙÙ
DTXHODVTXHVHUmRXWLOL]DGDVFRPRH[SOLFDWLYDVGHODDUHIHUrQFLD
pRWUDEDOKRGH%HFNHU VHJXQGRRTXDOXPDGDVIRUPDVGH
VHFRPEDWHURFULPHpGDUXPDPHOKRUGLVWULEXLomRGHUHFXUVRV
$VVLP FRPR SUR[\ GH ERD FRQGLomR HFRQ{PLFD GR
LQGLYtGXRWUDEDOKDVHFRPYDULiYHOTXHSRVVDUHSUHVHQWDUHVWD
VLWXDomR(VFROKHXVHDYDULiYHO´SRVVXLUHVLGrQFLDSUySULDµ
&RPRUHJUHVVRUHVGDHTXDomRGHFRPSRUWDPHQWREXVFRX
se SUR[\V FRQGL]HQWHV FRP D VLWXDomR HFRQ{PLFD GR LQGLYtGXR
HVWDEHOHFLGD'HVVDIRUPDDVYDULiYHLVÚHQGDµ´HVWDGRFLYLOµ
´QtYHO GH HVFRODULGDGHµ FRUURERUDP FRP HVVD SHUVSHFWLYD 2
XVR GD YDULiYHO ´PDLV GH DWp DQRV GH HVWXGRVµ EDVHLDVH
QDV FRQVLGHUDo}HV GH )DMQ]\OEHU H $UD~MR -U 7UDEDOKD
VH DLQGD FRPR UHJUHVVRUD D YDULiYHO ÉDLUUR GH UHVLGrQFLD
SHULIpULFRµSRLVVHDFUHGLWDTXHpPDLVIiFLODGTXLULUFDVDVQHVVHV
EDLUURV
'HVVD IRUPD D HTXDomR FRPSRUWDPHQWDO ÀFD DVVLP
HVWDEHOHFLGD
b) Equação comportamental
5HVLGrQFLD SUySULD I [UHQGD IDPLOLDU UHVLGH FRP PXOKHU
EDLUURGHUHVLGrQFLD SHULIpULFR HVFRODULGDGH mais de DWp anos de
estudos @
2VUHVXOWDGRVSRGHPVHUYLVWRVQD7DEHOD
ÚÛÚ
Tabela 4 (VWLPDWLYD GH SDUkPHWURV GDV YDULiYHLV H UHVXOWDGR

RSDWULP{QLRFRPVHOHomRGHDPRVWUD0RGHORSURELW
1~PHURGHREVHUYDo}HV
:DOGFKL
/RJOLNHOLKRRG
3URE!FKL
&RHÀFLHQWH Z Prob. > Z
o patrimônio)
/RFDOYLDS~EOLFD
/RFDOFDVDDOKHLD
3ULVmRDQWHULRU
8VRGHGURJD V
Idade
5HJLVWURGHYLROrQFLD
&KHIHGDIDPtOLDpRSUySULR
5HVLGHFRPPXOKHU
5HQGDIDPLOLDU
%DLUURUHVLGSHULIpULFR
0DLVGHDWpDQRVGHHVWXGR
ǒ -0,844
7HVWH GH UD]mR GH 0i[LPD
YHURVVLPLOKDQoD
+Rǒ
&KL
3URE!FKL
ÜÝÞ
2EVHUYDVH TXH WRGDV DV YDULiYHLV GR PRGHOR VmR

VLJQLÀFDQWHV HP XP QtYHO GH 3URE ! = EHP FRPR R
PRGHOR3URE!&KL $VVLPQXPQtYHOGHVLJQLÀFkQFLD
GH D KLSyWHVH HVWDEHOHFLGD GH TXH D FRUUHODomR HQWUH RV
GLVW~UELRV GDV GXDV HTXDo}HV VHMD QXOD p UHMHLWDGD RX VHMD ǒ
RXVHMD3URE!&KL 1RWDVHWDPEpPTXHRVLQDO
GRFRHÀFLHQWHGHFRUUHODomRHQWUHRVUHVtGXRVGDVGXDVHTXDo}HV
SULPiULD H FRPSRUWDPHQWDO p QHJDWLYR 'HVVD IRUPD SRGHVH
FRQVWDWDU TXH D PRWLYDomR GD FULPLQDOLGDGH SDUD R LQGLYtGXR
SUHVR SRU FULPH FRQWUD R SDWULP{QLR p GLIHUHQWH GRV GHPDLV
LQFOXVRV HP RXWUDV FDWHJRULDV H TXH DTXHOH WLSR GH GHOLWR HVWi
UHODFLRQDGRjFRQGLomRHFRQ{PLFDGRLQGLYtGXR

contra os costumes
&DWHJRULD GH FULPH FRQWUD RV FRVWXPHV I [LGDGH SULVmR
DQWHULRU UHJLVWUR GH YLROrQFLD QD LQIkQFLDDGROHVFrQFLD HVFRODULGDGH
DWp anos de estudo ORFDO FDVDDOKHLD UHVLGrQFLDSUySULD@
ßàá

YDULiYHLV SDUD D FDWHJRULD GH FULPHV FRQWUD RV FRVWXPHV FRP
VHOHomRGHDPRVWUD²0RGHORSURELW
1~PHURGHREVHUYDo}HV
/5FKL
/RJOLNHOLKRRG
3URE!FKL
3VHXGR5
Padrão
os costumes)
Idade
3ULVmRDQWHULRU
5HJLVWURGHYLROrQFLDQDLQIkQFLD
DGROHVFrQFLD
$WpDQRVGHHVWXGR
/RFDOFDVDDOKHLD
5HVLGrQFLDSUySULD
&RQIRUPH RV UHVXOWDGRV GD 7DEHOD QD SUiWLFD GHVVHV

FULPHVRVIDWRUHVUHODFLRQDGRVjTXHVW}HVGHLQWHUDomRVRFLDOH
KHUDQoDIDPLOLDUDSUHVHQWDPUHVXOWDGRVGHPDLRULQÁXrQFLDQD
GHOLQTXrQFLDFRPR´LGDGHµÚHJLVWURGHYLROrQFLDQDLQIkQFLD
DGROHVFrQFLDµ´SULVmRDQWHULRUµHÓRFDOFDVDDOKHLDµ2VVLQDLV
GRV SDUkPHWURV GDV YDULiYHLV ´SULVmR DQWHULRUµ H ´DWp DQRV
GH HVWXGRVµ LQGLFDP XPD UHGXomR GD SUREDELOLGDGH GR SUHVR
FRPHWHU FULPHV GHVVD QDWXUH]D -i RV GDV YDULiYHLV ´LGDGHµ
ÓRFDOFDVDDOKHLDµÚHVLGrQFLDSUySULDµHÚHJLVWURGHYLROrQFLD
QD LQIkQFLDDGROHVFrQFLDµ DXPHQWDP D SUREDELOLGDGH GH R
GHOLWXRVRFRPHWHUFULPHVGHVVDFDWHJRULD
2 VLQDO GR FRHÀFLHQWH SDUD R QtYHO GH HVFRODULGDGH GR
GHWHQWRUHSUHVHQWDGRSRU´DWpDQRVGHHVWXGRµLQGLFDUHGXomR
âãä
QDH[SHFWDWLYDGHRSUHVRFRPHWHUHVVHVGHOLWRV(VVHUHVXOWDGR
p UHIHUHQGDGR SRU )DMQ]\OEHU H $UD~MR -U VHJXQGR RV
TXDLV RV QtYHLV GH HGXFDomR UHGX]HP D WD[D GH FULPHV FRQWUD
D SHVVRD 1HVVH FDVR PHVPR FRP EDL[R QtYHO D HVFRODULGDGH
DWXDFRPRFRQWHQWRUDGDFULPLQDOLGDGH3DUDRGHOLWXRVRSUHVR
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5 Referências
$*1(: 5 $ ORQJLWXGLQDO WHVW RI VRFLDO FRQWURO WKHRU\ DQG

GHOLQTXHQF\ Journal of Research in Crime and Delinquency
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WKHRU\Criminology,>6O@Y
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