TABELA 01: SIMULAO DA PRO

Falhas
99
90
80
70
60
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

Munies deflagradas
100
100
100
100
100
2
3
4
5
10
25
50
100
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
100000
500000
1000000

Percentagem de
Falha (p)
99.0000%
90.0000%
80.0000%
70.0000%
60.0000%
50.0000%
33.3333%
25.0000%
20.0000%
10.0000%
4.0000%
2.0000%
1.0000%
0.1000%
0.0500%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

Percentagem
de Acerto
(q=1-p)
1.00000%
10.00000%
20.00000%
30.00000%
40.00000%
50.00000%
66.66667%
75.00000%
80.00000%
90.00000%
96.00000%
98.00000%
99.00000%
99.90000%
99.95000%
99.96667%
99.97500%
99.98000%
99.99000%
99.99500%
99.99667%
99.99750%
99.99800%
99.99900%
99.99980%
99.99990%

99.0000%
90.0000%
80.0000%
70.0000%
60.0000%
50.0000%
33.3333%
25.0000%
20.0000%
10.0000%
4.0000%
2.0000%
1.0000%
0.1000%
0.0500%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.9900%
9.0000%
16.0000%
21.0000%
24.0000%
25.0000%
22.2222%
18.7500%
16.0000%
9.0000%
3.8400%
1.9600%
0.9900%
0.0999%
0.0500%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

LAO DA PROBABILIDADE (GEOMTRICA) DE SE ATIRAR AT QUE NO PRXIMO TIRO FALHE A PRIMEIRA VEZ
3
0.0099%
0.9000%
3.2000%
6.3000%
9.6000%
12.5000%
14.8148%
14.0625%
12.8000%
8.1000%
3.6864%
1.9208%
0.9801%
0.0998%
0.0500%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

4
0.0001%
0.0900%
0.6400%
1.8900%
3.8400%
6.2500%
9.8765%
10.5469%
10.2400%
7.2900%
3.5389%
1.8824%
0.9703%
0.0997%
0.0499%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

10

0.0000%
0.0090%
0.1280%
0.5670%
1.5360%
3.1250%
6.5844%
7.9102%
8.1920%
6.5610%
3.3974%
1.8447%
0.9606%
0.0996%
0.0499%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0009%
0.0256%
0.1701%
0.6144%
1.5625%
4.3896%
5.9326%
6.5536%
5.9049%
3.2615%
1.8078%
0.9510%
0.0995%
0.0499%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0001%
0.0051%
0.0510%
0.2458%
0.7813%
2.9264%
4.4495%
5.2429%
5.3144%
3.1310%
1.7717%
0.9415%
0.0994%
0.0499%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0010%
0.0153%
0.0983%
0.3906%
1.9509%
3.3371%
4.1943%
4.7830%
3.0058%
1.7363%
0.9321%
0.0993%
0.0498%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0002%
0.0046%
0.0393%
0.1953%
1.3006%
2.5028%
3.3554%
4.3047%
2.8856%
1.7015%
0.9227%
0.0992%
0.0498%
0.0332%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0014%
0.0157%
0.0977%
0.8671%
1.8771%
2.6844%
3.8742%
2.7701%
1.6675%
0.9135%
0.0991%
0.0498%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

FALHE A PRIMEIRA VEZ

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0004%
0.0063%
0.0488%
0.5781%
1.4078%
2.1475%
3.4868%
2.6593%
1.6341%
0.9044%
0.0990%
0.0498%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0001%
0.0025%
0.0244%
0.3854%
1.0559%
1.7180%
3.1381%
2.5530%
1.6015%
0.8953%
0.0989%
0.0497%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0010%
0.0122%
0.2569%
0.7919%
1.3744%
2.8243%
2.4508%
1.5694%
0.8864%
0.0988%
0.0497%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0004%
0.0061%
0.1713%
0.5939%
1.0995%
2.5419%
2.3528%
1.5380%
0.8775%
0.0987%
0.0497%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0199%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0002%
0.0031%
0.1142%
0.4454%
0.8796%
2.2877%
2.2587%
1.5073%
0.8687%
0.0986%
0.0497%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0199%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0001%
0.0015%
0.0761%
0.3341%
0.7037%
2.0589%
2.1683%
1.4771%
0.8601%
0.0985%
0.0496%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0199%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0008%
0.0507%
0.2506%
0.5629%
1.8530%
2.0816%
1.4476%
0.8515%
0.0984%
0.0496%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0199%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

18 ou mais
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0008%
0.1015%
0.7517%
2.2518%
16.6772%
49.9587%
70.9322%
84.2943%
98.3135%
99.1534%
99.4348%
99.5758%
99.6605%
99.8301%
99.9150%
99.9433%
99.9575%
99.9660%
99.9830%
99.9966%
99.9983%

Curvas da probabilidade de nega conforme a mdia de falhas

Disparos
100.0000%
0

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

10.0000%

1.0000%

50
100
1000
2000

Probabilidade
0.1000%

10000
100000

0.0100%

0.0010%

0.0001%

TABELA
Munies
deflagradas

Falhas
99
90
80
70
60
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1

100
100
100
100
100
2
3
4
5
10
25
50
100
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
100000
500000
1000000

Percentagem de
Percentagem de Acerto (q=1-p)
Falha (p)
99.0000%
90.0000%
80.0000%
70.0000%
60.0000%
50.0000%
33.3333%
25.0000%
20.0000%
10.0000%
4.0000%
2.0000%
1.0000%
0.1000%
0.0500%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

1.00000%
10.00000%
20.00000%
30.00000%
40.00000%
50.00000%
66.66667%
75.00000%
80.00000%
90.00000%
96.00000%
98.00000%
99.00000%
99.90000%
99.95000%
99.96667%
99.97500%
99.98000%
99.99000%
99.99500%
99.99667%
99.99750%
99.99800%
99.99900%
99.99980%
99.99990%

TABELA 02: SIMULAO DA PROBABILIDADE (GEOMTRICA) DE FALHA NO ENSIMO DISPARO

0

99.0000%
90.0000%
80.0000%
70.0000%
60.0000%
50.0000%
33.3333%
25.0000%
20.0000%
10.0000%
4.0000%
2.0000%
1.0000%
0.1000%
0.0500%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.9900%
9.0000%
16.0000%
21.0000%
24.0000%
25.0000%
22.2222%
18.7500%
16.0000%
9.0000%
3.8400%
1.9600%
0.9900%
0.0999%
0.0500%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0099% 0.0001%
0.9000% 0.0900%
3.2000% 0.6400%
6.3000% 1.8900%
9.6000% 3.8400%
12.5000% 6.2500%
14.8148% 9.8765%
14.0625% 10.5469%
12.8000% 10.2400%
8.1000% 7.2900%
3.6864% 3.5389%
1.9208% 1.8824%
0.9801% 0.9703%
0.0998% 0.0997%
0.0500% 0.0499%
0.0333% 0.0333%
0.0250% 0.0250%
0.0200% 0.0200%
0.0100% 0.0100%
0.0050% 0.0050%
0.0033% 0.0033%
0.0025% 0.0025%
0.0020% 0.0020%
0.0010% 0.0010%
0.0002% 0.0002%
0.0001% 0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0090%
0.1280%
0.5670%
1.5360%
3.1250%
6.5844%
7.9102%
8.1920%
6.5610%
3.3974%
1.8447%
0.9606%
0.0996%
0.0499%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0009%
0.0256%
0.1701%
0.6144%
1.5625%
4.3896%
5.9326%
6.5536%
5.9049%
3.2615%
1.8078%
0.9510%
0.0995%
0.0499%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0001%
0.0051%
0.0510%
0.2458%
0.7813%
2.9264%
4.4495%
5.2429%
5.3144%
3.1310%
1.7717%
0.9415%
0.0994%
0.0499%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0010%
0.0153%
0.0983%
0.3906%
1.9509%
3.3371%
4.1943%
4.7830%
3.0058%
1.7363%
0.9321%
0.0993%
0.0498%
0.0333%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

2.5000%
2.0000%
1.5000%
1.0000%
0.5000%
0.0000%
0

10

NO ENSIMO DISPARO
8
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0002%
0.0046%
0.0393%
0.1953%
1.3006%
2.5028%
3.3554%
4.3047%
2.8856%
1.7015%
0.9227%
0.0992%
0.0498%
0.0332%
0.0250%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

10

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0014%
0.0157%
0.0977%
0.8671%
1.8771%
2.6844%
3.8742%
2.7701%
1.6675%
0.9135%
0.0991%
0.0498%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

10

12

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0004%
0.0063%
0.0488%
0.5781%
1.4078%
2.1475%
3.4868%
2.6593%
1.6341%
0.9044%
0.0990%
0.0498%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

14

11

12

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0001%
0.0025%
0.0244%
0.3854%
1.0559%
1.7180%
3.1381%
2.5530%
1.6015%
0.8953%
0.0989%
0.0497%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

16

18

0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0010%
0.0122%
0.2569%
0.7919%
1.3744%
2.8243%
2.4508%
1.5694%
0.8864%
0.0988%
0.0497%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0200%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

13
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0004%
0.0061%
0.1713%
0.5939%
1.0995%
2.5419%
2.3528%
1.5380%
0.8775%
0.0987%
0.0497%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0199%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

14
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0002%
0.0031%
0.1142%
0.4454%
0.8796%
2.2877%
2.2587%
1.5073%
0.8687%
0.0986%
0.0497%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0199%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

15
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0001%
0.0015%
0.0761%
0.3341%
0.7037%
2.0589%
2.1683%
1.4771%
0.8601%
0.0985%
0.0496%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0199%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

16
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0008%
0.0507%
0.2506%
0.5629%
1.8530%
2.0816%
1.4476%
0.8515%
0.0984%
0.0496%
0.0332%
0.0249%
0.0199%
0.0100%
0.0050%
0.0033%
0.0025%
0.0020%
0.0010%
0.0002%
0.0001%

11 ou
mais
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0000%
0.0006%
0.0105%
0.0977%
1.7342%
5.6314%
10.7374%
34.8678%
66.4833%
81.7073%
90.4382%
99.0045%
99.5011%
99.6672%
99.7503%
99.8002%
99.9000%
99.9500%
99.9667%
99.9750%
99.9800%
99.9900%
99.9980%
99.9990%

A probbailidade de ser necsrio 18 ou mais disparos at que ocorra uma falha esta relacionado ao uso d
com 16 munies, mais uma na cmera, dando seguimento com a primeira munio

sta relacionado ao uso de um carregador