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dlyig=diff(lyig)
dlmt=diff(mt)
dltcer=diff(ltcer)
$criteria
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
AIC(n) -1.017328e+01 -1.051292e+01 -1.047687e+01 -1.047602e+01
-1.040822e+01 -1.037981e+01 -1.032299e+01 -1.036187e+01
HQ(n) -1.008003e+01 -1.034972e+01 -1.024374e+01 -1.017294e+01
-1.003519e+01 -9.936849e+00 -9.810084e+00 -9.779028e+00
SC(n) -9.943613e+00 -1.011100e+01 -9.902700e+00 -9.729592e+00
-9.489536e+00 -9.288880e+00 -9.059804e+00 -8.926437e+00
FPE(n) 3.817797e-05 2.718750e-05 2.819420e-05 2.823462e-05 3.024316e-05
3.115620e-05 3.303881e-05 3.185630e-05
9
10
11
12
AIC(n) -1.037909e+01 -1.035855e+01 -1.041437e+01 -1.032496e+01
HQ(n) -9.726304e+00 -9.635826e+00 -9.621699e+00 -9.462353e+00
SC(n) -8.771402e+00 -8.578613e+00 -8.462175e+00 -8.200518e+00
FPE(n) 3.141027e-05 3.218689e-05 3.058464e-05 3.363678e-05
p
AIC
BIC
HQ M(p) p-value
[1,] 0 -9.9519 -9.9519 -9.9519 0.0000 0.0000
[2,] 1 -10.2183 -10.0543 -10.1518 57.9778 0.0000
[3,] 2 -10.5657 -10.2376 -10.4326 69.2955 0.0000
[9,] 8 -10.4612 -9.1488 -9.9288 20.4180 0.0155
[12,] 11 -10.5369 -8.7325 -9.8049 21.2034 0.0118
type="BG")
type="BG")
type="BG")
type="BG"
Resultado
> serial.test(var1,lags.bg=1, type="BG")
Breusch-Godfrey LM test
data: Residuals of VAR object var1
Chi-squared = 13.425, df = 9, p-value = 0.1443
> serial.test(var1,lags.bg=2, type="BG")
Breusch-Godfrey LM test
Portmanteau
> serial.test(var1,lags.pt = 12, type="PT.asymptotic")
Portmanteau Test (asymptotic)
data: Residuals of VAR object var1
Chi-squared = 105.87, df = 90, p-value = 0.1213
> serial.test(var1,lags.pt = 6, type="PT.asymptotic")
Portmanteau Test (asymptotic)
data: Residuals of VAR object var1
Chi-squared = 44.75, df = 36, p-value = 0.1503
serial.test(var1,lags.pt = 6, type="PT.adjusted")
Portmanteau Test (adjusted)
data: Residuals of VAR object var1
Chi-squared = 45.949, df = 36, p-value = 0.1238
> serial.test(var1,lags.pt = 12, type="PT.adjusted")
Portmanteau Test (adjusted)
data: Residuals of VAR object var1
Chi-squared = 110.72, df = 90, p-value = 0.06834
Questes Bruna
V45- Baseado nas estruturas de AC e ACP o modelo seria um
Arma(MA 3, AR 1)