Planilha1

casos
Brasil
Totais Acumulados
d.semana Data # dia Detectados mortes

4 02/26/20 1 1
5 02/27/20 2 1
6 02/28/20 3 1
7 02/29/20 4 2
1 03/01/20 5 2
2 03/02/20 6 2
3 03/03/20 7 2
4 03/04/20 8 3
5 03/05/20 9 8
6 03/06/20 10 13
7 03/07/20 11 19
1 03/08/20 12 25
2 03/09/20 13 30
3 03/10/20 14 34
4 03/11/20 15 69
5 03/12/20 16 78
6 03/13/20 17 98
7 03/14/20 18 121
1 03/15/20 19 200
2 03/16/20 20 234
3 03/17/20 21 291 1 0.34%
4 03/18/20 22 428 4 0.93%
5 03/19/20 23 621 6 0.97%
6 03/20/20 24 904 11 1.22%
7 03/21/20 25 1128 18 1.60%
1 03/22/20 26 1546 25 1.62%
2 03/23/20 27 1891 34 1.80%
3 03/24/20 28 2201 46 2.09%
4 03/25/20 29 2433 57 2.34%
5 03/26/20 30 2915 77 2.64%
6 03/27/20 31 3417 92 2.69%
7 03/28/20 32 3904 114 2.92%
1 03/29/20 33 4256 136 3.20%
2 03/30/20 34 4579 159 3.47%
3 03/31/20 35 5717 201 3.52%
4 04/01/20 36 6836 241 3.53%
5 04/02/20 37 7910 299 3.78%
6 04/03/20 38 9056 359 3.96%
7 04/04/20 39 10278 432 4.20%
1 04/05/20 40 11130 486 4.37%
2 04/06/20 41 12056 553 4.59%
3 04/07/20 42 13717 667 4.86%
4 04/08/20 43 15927 800 5.02%
5 04/09/20 44 17857 941 5.27%

Página 1
 Planilha1

6 04/10/20 45 19638 1056 5.38%

7 04/11/20 46 20727 1124 5.42%
1 04/12/20 47 22169 1223 5.52%
2 04/13/20 48 23430 1328 5.67%
3 04/14/20 49 25262 1532 6.06%
4 04/15/20 50 28320 1736 6.13%
5 04/16/20 51 30425 1924 6.32%
6 04/17/20 52 33682 2141 6.36%
7 04/18/20 53 36599 2347 6.41%
1 04/19/20 54 38654 2462 6.37%
2 04/20/20 55 40581 2575 6.35%
3 04/21/20 56 43079 2741 6.36%
4 04/22/20 57 45757 2906 6.35%
5 04/23/20 58 49492 3313 6.69%
6 04/24/20 59 52995 3670 6.93%
7 04/25/20 60 58509 4016 6.86%
1 04/26/20 61 61888 4205 6.79%
2 04/27/20 62 66501 4543 6.83%
3 04/28/20 63 71886 5017 6.98%

Página 2
 Planilha1

s Acumulados Variação de 24h

recuperados Detectados óbitos óbito esp. teste

1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
5
5
6
6
5
4
35
9
20
23
79
34
57 1
137 3
193 2
283 5
224 7
418 7
345 9
310 12
232 11
482 20
502 15
487 22
352 22
323 23
1138 42
1119 40
1074 58
1146 60
1222 73
852 54
926 67
1661 114
2210 133
1930 141

Página 3
 Planilha1

1781 115
1089 68
1442 99
1261 105
1832 204
3058 204
2105 188
3257 217
2917 206
2055 115
1927 113
2498 166
2678 165
3735 407
3503 357
5514 346
3379 189
4613 338
32544 45.27% 5385 474 1156

Página 4
 Planilha2

f(x) = 0,05975654595226 x³ + 0,061455281670327 x² + 0,466479842303006 x + 0,3175998703

R² = 0,998219425205329
Est
Data # Dia T Estimado Óbitos/dia Óbitos/dia ÓbitosT

03/17/20 1 1.5 1 1 1
03/18/20 2 4.2 3 3 4
03/19/20 3 8.9 2 4 6
03/20/20 4 15.8 5 7 11
03/21/20 5 25.5 7 10 18
03/22/20 6 38.1 7 13 25
03/23/20 7 54.2 9 16 34
03/24/20 8 74.0 12 19 46
03/25/20 9 97.9 11 24 57
03/26/20 10 126.2 20 29 77
03/27/20 11 159.3 15 33 92
03/28/20 12 197.7 22 38 114
03/29/20 13 241.5 22 44 136
03/30/20 14 291.3 23 50 159
03/31/20 15 347.3 42 56 201
04/01/20 16 409.9 40 62 241
04/02/20 17 479.4 58 70 299
04/03/20 18 556.3 60 77 359
04/04/20 19 640.9 73 84 432
04/05/20 20 733.5 54 93 486
04/06/20 21 834.5 67 101 553
04/07/20 22 944.3 114 110 667
04/08/20 23 1063.2 133 119 800
04/09/20 24 1191.6 141 128 941
04/10/20 25 1329.8 115 138 1056
04/11/20 26 1478.2 68 149 1124
04/12/20 27 1637.1 99 159 1223
04/13/20 28 1807.0 105 169 1328
04/14/20 29 1988.1 204 182 1532
04/15/20 30 2180.8 204 192 1736
04/16/20 31 2385.6 188 205 1924
04/17/20 32 2602.6 217 217 2141
04/18/20 33 2832.4 206 230 2347
04/19/20 34 3075.3 115 243 2462
04/20/20 35 3331.5 113 256 2575
04/21/20 36 3601.6 166 270 2741
04/22/20 37 3885.7 165 284 2906
04/23/20 38 4184.4 407 299 3313
04/24/20 39 4497.9 357 313 3670
04/25/20 40 4826.7 346 329 4016
04/26/20 41 5171.0 189 344 4205
04/27/20 42 5531.2 338 361 4543
04/28/20 43 5907.7 474 376 5017

Página 5
 Planilha2

04/29/20 44 6300.9 393

04/30/20 45 6711.1 411
05/01/20 46 7138.6 427
05/02/20 47 7583.9 445
05/03/20 48 8047.2 464
05/04/20 49 8529.0 482
05/05/20 50 9029.6 500
05/06/20 51 9549.3 520
05/07/20 52 10088.6 539
05/08/20 53 10647.7 559
05/09/20 54 11227.0 580
05/10/20 55 11827.0 599
05/11/20 56 12447.9 621
05/12/20 57 13090.1 643
05/13/20 58 13753.9 663
05/14/20 59 14439.8 686
05/15/20 60 15148.1 709
05/16/20 61 15879.1 731
05/17/20 62 16633.2 754
05/18/20 63 17410.8 777
05/19/20 64 18212.2 802
05/20/20 65 19037.8 825
05/21/20 66 19887.9 850
05/22/20 67 20762.9 875
05/23/20 68 21663.1 901
05/24/20 69 22589.0 925
05/25/20 70 23540.8 952
05/26/20 71 24518.9 978
05/27/20 72 25523.8 1005
05/28/20 73 26555.6 1032
05/29/20 74 27614.9 1059
05/30/20 75 28702.0 1087
05/31/20 76 29817.1 1116
06/01/20 77 30960.8 1143
06/02/20 78 32133.2 1173

https://noticias.uol.com.br/saude/ultimas-noticias/redacao/2020/04/11/mortes-covid-19-casos-confirmados-pandemia-coronav

f(x) = 0,000164446 x⁵ − 0,0171505 x⁴ + 0,6889406 x³ − 9,5408202 x² + 55,550735 x − 76,37167

R² = 0,998724639836511

Est
# Dia T Estimado Óbitos/dia Óbitos/dia ÓbitosT

1 -29.7 1 -30 1
2 1.8 3 31 4

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 Planilha2

3 21.7 2 20 6
4 33.0 5 12 11
5 38.8 7 5 18
6 41.3 7 3 25
7 42.9 9 1 34
8 45.3 12 3 46
9 50.2 11 5 57
10 58.9 20 8 77
11 72.6 15 14 92
12 92.1 22 20 114
13 118.2 22 26 136
14 151.4 23 33 159
15 192.0 42 41 201
16 240.3 40 48 241
17 296.5 58 56 299
18 360.6 60 64 359
19 432.4 73 72 432
20 512.0 54 79 486
21 599.1 67 88 553
22 693.7 114 94 667
23 795.6 133 102 800
24 904.5 141 109 941
25 1020.6 115 116 1056
26 1143.7 68 123 1124
27 1273.8 99 130 1223
28 1411.2 105 138 1328
29 1556.1 204 145 1532
30 1708.9 204 152 1736
31 1870.3 188 162 1924
32 2040.9 217 170 2141
33 2221.8 206 181 2347
34 2414.1 115 193 2462
35 2619.3 113 205 2575
36 2838.9 166 219 2741
37 3075.1 165 237 2906
38 3329.9 407 254 3313
39 3606.1 357 277 3670
40 3906.5 346 300 4016
41 4234.4 189 328 4205
42 4593.5 338 359 4543
43 4987.7 474 394 5017
44 5421.6 434
45 5900.1 479
46 6428.5 528
47 7012.6 584
48 7658.8 646
49 8374.0 715
50 9165.4 792
51 10041.1 876

Página 7
 Planilha2

52 11009.6 968
53 12079.9 1070
54 13261.9 1182
55 14565.7 1304
56 16002.6 1437
57 17584.0 1582
58 19322.5 1738
59 21231.1 1909
60 23323.6 2092
61 25614.6 2291
62 28119.5 2505
63 30854.4 2735
64 33836.2 2982
65 37082.8 3246
66 40612.7 3530
67 44445.5 3833
68 48601.6 4156
69 53102.2 4501
70 57969.7 4867
71 63227.1 5258
72 68898.8 5671
73 75009.7 6111
74 81586.1 6577
75 88655.2 7069
76 96245.1 7590
77 104385.2 8140
78 113105.9 8720

Página 8
 Planilha2

0,466479842303006 x + 0,317599870350528

Est
ÓbitosT

1
4 Óbitos Acumulados
8
15 6000
25
38
5000
54 f(x) = 0.000164446 x⁵ − 0.0171505 x⁴ + 0.6889406 x³ − 9.5408202 x² + 55.550735 x − 76.37167
73 R² = 0.998724639836511
97 4000
126
159
3000
197
241
291 2000
347
409 1000
479
556
640 0
733 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
834
944
1063
1191
1329
1478
1637
1806
1988
2180
2385 Óbitos Acumulados
2602
2832 6000
3075
3331 5000
3601 f(x) = 0.05975654595226 x³ + 0.061455281670327 x² + 0.466479842303006 x + 0.317599870350528
3885 R² = 0.998219425205329
4184 4000
4497
4826 3000
5170
5531
5907 2000

1000 Página 9

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
 4000

3000

2000 Planilha2

6300
6711 1000
7138
7583
0 f(x) = 4,00538731451948 x² − 69,7474616516023 x + 272,448910136942
8047 R²
0 5 = 0,994339207678543
10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
8529
9029
9549
10088
10647
11227
11826
12447
13090
13753 Óbitos / dia
14439 500
15148
15879 450
16633 400
17410
18212 350
f(x) = 0.232833152855841 x² − 1.97585775918164 x + 11.5957377846204
19037 300 R² = 0.820160845846255
19887
20762 250
21663 200
22588
23540 150
24518 100
25523
26555 50
27614 0
28701 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
29817
30960
32133

casos-confirmados-pandemia-coronavirus-ministerio-da-saude.htm

408202 x² + 55,550735 x − 76,37167

Est
ÓbitosT

-30
1

Página 10
 Planilha2

21
33
38
41
42
45
50
58
72
92
118
151
192
240
296
360
432
511
599
693
795
904
1020
1143
1273
1411
1556
1708
1870
2040
2221
2414
2619
2838
3075
3329
3606
3906
4234
4593
4987
5421
5900
6428
7012
7658
8373
9165
10041

Página 11
 Planilha2

11009
12079
13261
14565
16002
17584
19322
21231
23323
25614
28119
30854
33836
37082
40612
44445
48601
53102
57969
63227
68898
75009
81586
88655
96245
104385
113105

Página 12
 Planilha2

202 x² + 55.550735 x − 76.37167

35 40 45 50

03006 x + 0.317599870350528

Página 13

35 40 45 50
 Planilha2

72,448910136942
35 40 45 50

5957377846204

35 40 45 50

Página 14