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MINISTRIO DO DESENVOLVIMENTO

EXPORTAO

Secretaria de Comrcio Exterior

POR FATOR

US$
BSICOS

SEMIMANUF.

MANUF.

OPS.ESP.

ANO

VALOR

PART.%

VALOR

PART.%

VALOR

PART.%

VALOR

1992

674.802.436

25,17

367.821.289

13,72

1.615.062.307

60,23

23.688.771

1993

895.010.661

29,56

391.066.341

12,92

1.732.137.098

57,21

9.614.412

1994

945.291.541

26,01

533.215.579

14,67

2.136.114.783

58,77

20.219.860

1995

873.320.455

25,73

598.715.785

17,64

1.838.053.211

54,16

83.835.597

1996

1.195.306.679

27,98

720.418.685

16,87

2.290.376.783

53,62

65.220.230

1997

1.609.666.961

34,81

718.943.847

15,55

2.238.280.439

48,40

57.583.209

1998

1.332.289.904

29,11

697.563.859

15,24

2.483.035.124

54,26

63.691.238

1999

988.851.228

26,68

557.385.400

15,04

2.094.489.846

56,50

66.024.396

2000

1.084.762.840

25,93

602.912.066

14,41

2.420.484.376

57,85

75.581.955

2001

1.288.282.183

27,21

560.341.445

11,83

2.760.778.072

58,30

125.921.343

2002

1.305.342.440

28,09

588.329.694

12,66

2.662.070.348

57,28

92.071.035

2003

1.785.201.636

31,21

697.796.624

12,20

3.097.084.269

54,14

139.922.884

2004

1.898.813.260

28,74

790.874.715

11,97

3.823.521.892

57,88

93.082.547

2005

2.833.865.712

30,73

1.238.867.597

13,44

4.980.453.237

54,01

167.380.171

2006

2.827.679.058

28,76

1.258.787.908

12,80

5.463.124.376

55,57

281.102.306

2007

4.178.447.747

33,57

1.595.186.328

12,82

6.417.618.572

51,56

254.919.667

2008

4.610.412.160

32,79

1.818.583.321

12,94

7.287.256.635

51,84

342.178.039

2009

5.594.067.276

45,40

1.433.670.151

11,64

5.041.298.743

40,91

252.581.071

2010

7.017.385.143

46,29

1.918.917.236

12,66

5.946.500.831

39,22

278.408.163

EXPORTAO BRASILEIRA
POR FATOR AGREGADO
US$ FOB
OPS.ESP.

VARIAO RELATIVA SOBRE ANO ANTERIOR


SEMI

OPS.

PART.%

TOTAL

BSICOS

MAN.

MANUF.

0,88

2.681.374.803

0,32

3.027.828.512

32,63

6,32

7,25

-59,41

12,92

0,56

3.634.841.763

5,62

36,35

23,32

110,31

20,05

2,47

3.393.925.048

-7,61

12,28

-13,95

314,62

-6,63

1,53

4.271.322.377

36,87

20,33

24,61

-22,20

25,85

1,25

4.624.474.456

34,67

-0,20

-2,27

-11,71

8,27

1,39

4.576.580.125

-17,23

-2,97

10,93

10,61

-1,04

1,78

3.706.750.870

-25,78

-20,10

-15,65

3,66

-19,01

1,81

4.183.741.237

9,70

8,17

15,56

14,48

12,87

2,66

4.735.323.043

18,76

-7,06

14,06

66,60

13,18

1,98

4.647.813.517

1,32

4,99

-3,58

-26,88

-1,85

2,45

5.720.005.413

36,76

18,61

16,34

51,97

23,07

1,41

6.606.292.414

6,36

13,34

23,46

-33,48

15,49

1,82

9.220.566.717

49,24

56,65

30,26

79,82

39,57

2,86

9.830.693.648

-0,22

1,61

9,69

67,94

6,62

2,05

12.446.172.314

47,77

26,72

17,47

-9,31

26,61

2,43

14.058.430.155

10,34

14,00

13,55

34,23

12,95

2,05

12.321.617.241

21,34

-21,17

-30,82

-26,18

-12,35

1,84

15.161.211.373

25,44

33,85

17,96

10,23

23,05

ESP.

TOTAL

1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010

0.0016
0.0322
0.6393
0.9176
1.0051
1.0780
1.1605
1.8147
1.8302
2.3504
2.9212
3.0783
2.9259
2.4352
2.1761
1.9479
1.8346
1.9976
1.7603

Taxa de cmbio comercial para venda: real (R$) / dlar americano (US$) - md
Frequncia: Anual de 1889 at 2010

Fonte: Banco Central do Brasil, Boletim, Seo Balano de Pagamentos (BCB B


Unidade: R$

Comentrio: Fontes: Quadro: Taxas de cmbio do real. Para 1928-1941: Malan, Pedro
Atualizado em: 23/02/2011

ar americano (US$) - mdia

o de Pagamentos (BCB Boletim/BP)

ra 1928-1941: Malan, Pedro Sampaio et al. Poltica econmica externa e industrializao no Brasil (1939/52). Rio de Janeiro: IPEA /Inpes, 1977. (Srie

o: IPEA /Inpes, 1977. (Srie Relatrios de pesquisa, 36). Para 1889-1927: Abreu, Marcelo de Paiva (org.). A Ordem do Progresso: Cem Anos de Poltica

gresso: Cem Anos de Poltica Econmica Republicana 1889-1989. Rio de Janeiro: Campus, 1990, 445 p. Obs.: Cotaes para contabilidade.

a contabilidade.

BSICOS

SEMIMANUF.

ANO

VALOR

VARIAO

VALOR

1992

674.802.436

#VALUE!

1993

895.010.661

#VALUE!

1994

945.291.541

1995

MANUF.

VARIAO

VALOR

367.821.289

1.615.062.307

391.066.341

#VALUE!

1.732.137.098

#VALUE!

533.215.579

#VALUE!

2.136.114.783

873.320.455

0.0761

598.715.785

0.12

1.838.053.211

1996

1.195.306.679

0.3687

720.418.685

0.2

2.290.376.783

1997

1.609.666.961

0.3467

718.943.847

2.238.280.439

1998

1.332.289.904

0.1723

697.563.859

-0.03

2.483.035.124

1999

988.851.228

0.2578

557.385.400

-0.2

2.094.489.846

2000

1.084.762.840

0.0970

602.912.066

0.08

2.420.484.376

2001

1.288.282.183

0.1876

560.341.445

-0.07

2.760.778.072

2002

1.305.342.440

0.0132

588.329.694

0.05

2.662.070.348

2003

1.785.201.636

0.3676

697.796.624

0.19

3.097.084.269

2004

1.898.813.260

0.0636

790.874.715

0.13

3.823.521.892

2005

2.833.865.712

0.4924

1.238.867.597

0.57

4.980.453.237

2006

2.827.679.058

0.0022

1.258.787.908

0.02

5.463.124.376

2007

4.178.447.747

0.4777

1.595.186.328

0.27

6.417.618.572

2008

4.610.412.160

0.1034

1.818.583.321

0.14

7.287.256.635

2009

5.594.067.276

0.2134

1.433.670.151

-0.21

5.041.298.743

2010

7.017.385.143

0.2544

1.918.917.236

0.34

5.946.500.831

MANUF.

OPS.ESP.

VARIAO

VALOR

DOLAR

VARIAO

CAMBIO

0.25

65.220.230

-0.22

-0.02

57.583.209

-0.12

0.11

63.691.238

0.11

-0.16

66.024.396

0.04

0.16

75.581.955

0.14

0.14

125.921.343

0.67

-0.04

92.071.035

-0.27

0.16

139.922.884

0.52

0.23

93.082.547

-0.33

0.3

167.380.171

0.8

0.1

281.102.306

0.68

0.17

254.919.667

-0.09

0.14

342.178.039

0.34

-0.31

252.581.071

-0.26

0.0016
0.0322
0.6393
0.9176
1.0051
1.0780
1.1605
1.8147
1.8302
2.3504
2.9212
3.0783
2.9259
2.4352
2.1761
1.9479
1.8346
1.9976

0.18

278.408.163

0.1

1.7603

23.688.771

#VALUE!

9.614.412

#VALUE!

#VALUE!

20.219.860

#VALUE!

-0.14

83.835.597

3.15

VARIAO

0.0000
18.6004
18.8771
0.4353
0.0953
0.0725
0.0766
0.5637
0.0085
0.2842
0.2428
0.0538
-0.0495
-0.1677
-0.1064
-0.1049
-0.0582
0.0889
-0.1188

RESUMO DOS RESULTADOS

Va

Estatstica de regresso
R mltiplo
0.05
R-Quadrado
0
R-quadrado ajustado
-0.06
Erro padro
0.22
Observaes
19

15

10
5
-

ANOVA
gl
Regresso
Resduo
Total

Interseo
Varivel X 1

SQ
1
17
18

0
0.81
0.81

MQ
0
0.05

Coeficientes
Erro padro Stat t
valor-P95% inferiores
95% superiores
Inferior 95,0%
0.15
0.05
2.76
0.01
0.03
0.26
0.03
0
0.01
0.2
0.84
-0.02
0.02
-0.02

RESULTADOS DE RESDUOS
Observao

F F de significao
0.04
0.84

Y previsto Resduos
Resduos padro
1
0.15
-0.15
-0.69
2
0.18
0.15
0.69
3
0.18
-0.12
-0.58
4
0.15
-0.22
-1.05
5
0.15
0.22
1.04
6
0.15
0.2
0.94
7
0.15
-0.32
-1.5
8
0.15
-0.41
-1.91
9
0.15
-0.05
-0.24
10
0.15
0.04
0.19
11
0.15
-0.13
-0.63
12
0.15
0.22
1.04
13
0.15
-0.08
-0.39
14
0.15
0.35
1.63
15
0.15
-0.15
-0.7
16
0.15
0.33
1.56
17
0.15
-0.04
-0.2
18
0.15
0.07
0.31
19
0.15
0.11
0.51

RESULTADOS DE PROBABILIDADE
Percentil
2.63
7.89
13.16
18.42
23.68
28.95
34.21
39.47
44.74
50
55.26
60.53
65.79
71.05
76.32
81.58
86.84
92.11
97.37

Y
-0.26
-0.17
-0.08
0
0
0.01
0.06
0.06
0.1
0.1
0.19
0.21
0.25
0.33
0.35
0.37
0.37
0.48
0.49

5.00

Varivel
Varivel X 1 Plotagem de ajuste de
linha X 1 Plotage
Resduos

15

5.0000
10.0000
Varivel X 1

15.0000

Superior 95,0%
0.26
0.02

10
5
-

5.0000
10.0000
Varivel X 1

15.0000

Plotagem de probabilidade norma


1

ABILIDADE

20

40
60
80
Percentil da amostra

100

120

X 1 Plotagem de resduos

000

15.0000

RESUMO DOS RESULTADOS


Estatstica de regresso
R mltiplo
0.18
R-Quadrado
0.03
R-quadrado ajustado
-0.02
Erro padro
0.19
Observaes
19
ANOVA
gl
Regresso
Resduo
Total

1
17
18

SQ
0.02
0.64
0.66

MQ
0.02
0.04

F F de significao
0.58
0.46

Coeficientes
Erro padro Stat t
valor-P95% inferiores
95% superiores
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
Interseo
0.09
0.05
2
0.06
-0.01
0.19
-0.01
0.19
Varivel X 1
0.01
0.01
0.76
0.46
-0.01
0.02
-0.01
0.02

RESULTADOS DE RESDUOS
ObservaoY previsto Resduos
Resduos padro
1
0.09
-0.09
-0.5
2
0.2
-0.14
-0.75
3
0.21
0.16
0.84
4
0.1
0.03
0.14
5
0.09
0.11
0.58
6
0.09
-0.1
-0.51
7
0.09
-0.12
-0.66
8
0.1
-0.3
-1.59
9
0.09
-0.01
-0.07
10
0.1
-0.17
-0.89
11
0.1
-0.05
-0.24
12
0.09
0.09
0.49
13
0.09
0.04
0.21
14
0.09
0.47
2.52
15
0.09
-0.08
-0.41
16
0.09
0.17
0.92
17
0.09
0.05
0.25
18
0.09
-0.31
-1.63
19
0.09
0.25
1.3

RESULTADOS DE PROBABILIDADE
Percentil
2.63
7.89
13.16
18.42
23.68
28.95
34.21
39.47
44.74
50
55.26
60.53
65.79
71.05
76.32
81.58
86.84
92.11
97.37

Y
-0.21
-0.2
-0.07
-0.03
0
0
0.02
0.05
0.06
0.08
0.12
0.13
0.14
0.19
0.2
0.27
0.34
0.36
0.57

ior 95,0%

Varivel X 1 Plotagem de resduos


1

Resduos

Plotagem de probabilidade norm


0.0000

1 10.0000

20.0000

30.0000

Varivel X 1

-10.0000

20

40
60
80
Percentil da amostra

100

120

RESUMO DOS RESULTADOS


Estatstica de regresso
R mltiplo
0.14
R-Quadrado
0.02
R-quadrado ajustado
-0.04
Erro padro
0.16
Observaes
19
ANOVA
gl
Regresso
Resduo
Total

1
17
18

SQ
0.01
0.44
0.45

MQ
0.01
0.03

F F de significao
0.33
0.58

Coeficientes
Erro padro Stat t
valor-P95% inferiores
95% superiores
Inferior 95,0%
Superior 95,0%
Interseo
0.08
0.04
1.93
0.07
-0.01
0.16
-0.01
0.16
Varivel X 1
0
0.01
0.57
0.58
-0.01
0.02
-0.01
0.02

RESULTADOS DE RESDUOS
ObservaoY previsto Resduos
Resduos padro
1
0.08
-0.08
-0.48
2
0.14
-0.07
-0.46
3
0.15
0.09
0.56
4
0.08
-0.22
-1.39
5
0.08
0.17
1.09
6
0.08
-0.1
-0.63
7
0.08
0.03
0.21
8
0.08
-0.23
-1.5
9
0.08
0.08
0.51
10
0.08
0.06
0.41
11
0.08
-0.11
-0.72
12
0.08
0.09
0.56
13
0.08
0.16
1.02
14
0.08
0.23
1.45
15
0.08
0.02
0.14
16
0.08
0.1
0.64
17
0.08
0.06
0.38
18
0.08
-0.38
-2.46
19
0.08
0.1
0.67

RESULTADOS DE PROBABILIDADE
Percentil
2.63
7.89
13.16
18.42
23.68
28.95
34.21
39.47
44.74
50
55.26
60.53
65.79
71.05
76.32
81.58
86.84
92.11
97.37

Y
-0.31
-0.16
-0.14
-0.04
-0.02
0
0.07
0.1
0.11
0.14
0.14
0.16
0.16
0.17
0.18
0.23
0.23
0.25
0.3

ior 95,0%

Varivel X 1 Plotagem de resduos


Resduos

Plotagem de probabilidade norm


0.0000

10.0000
20.0000
Varivel X 1

30.0000

-10.0000

20

40
60
80
Percentil da amostra

100

120

RESUMO DOS RESULTADOS


Estatstica de regresso
R mltiplo
R-Quadrado
R-quadrado ajustado
Erro padro
Observaes

0.01
0.000063002
-0.06
0.84
19

ANOVA
gl
Regresso
Resduo
Total

SQ
1
17
18

Coeficientes
Interseo
Varivel X 1

0
12.02
12.02
Erro padro

0.31
0

0.2
0.03

RESULTADOS DE RESDUOS
Observao

Y previsto
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19

Resduos
0.31
0.28
0.28
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.31
0.3
0.3
0.3
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.3
0.31

-0.31
-0.88
0.82
2.84
-0.53
-0.42
-0.2
-0.27
-0.16
0.36
-0.57
0.21
-0.64
0.49
0.37
-0.4
0.04
-0.57
-0.2

MQ

F
0
0.71

Stat t

F de significao
0.97

0.15
0.97

95% inferiores
-0.13
-0.07

valor-P
1.49
-0.03

95% superiores
0.74
0.07

RESULTADOS DE PROBABILIDADE
Resduos padro
-0.37
-1.08
1
3.48
-0.64
-0.52
-0.24
-0.33
-0.2
0.44
-0.7
0.26
-0.78
0.6
0.46
-0.49
0.05
-0.69
-0.25

Percentil

Y
2.63
7.89
13.16
18.42
23.68
28.95
34.21
39.47
44.74
50
55.26
60.53
65.79
71.05
76.32
81.58
86.84
92.11
97.37

-0.59
-0.33
-0.27
-0.26
-0.22
-0.12
-0.09
0
0.04
0.1
0.11
0.14
0.34
0.52
0.67
0.68
0.8
1.1
3.15

Varivel X 1 Plotag
Resduos

Inferior 95,0%
-0.13
-0.07

Superior 95,0%
0.74
0.07

2
-2
-5.0000

0.0000

5.0000

X 1 Plotagem de resduos
Plotagem de probabilidade normal
10.0000
Varivel X 1

15.0000

20.0000

25.0000

5.0000 4
2
-2

20

40

60
Percentil da amostra

80

80

100

120

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