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Migração e seleção: evidências para pernambuco com dados em painel

MIGRAÇÃO E SELEÇÃO: EVIDÊNCIAS PARA PERNAMBUCO COM DADOS EM PAINEL1

Migration and selection: evidence for Pernambuco with panel data


Cláudia César Batista Julião
Doutoranda em Economia Aplicada da Universidade Federal de Viçosa - Departamento
de Economia Rural. (UFV-DER). claudiacesarbj@gmail.com

Roberta de Moraes Rocha


Professora Associada da Universidade Federal de Pernambuco – Campus Acadêmico
do Agreste (UFPE-CAA). roberta_rocha_pe@yahoo.com.br

Everlândia de Souza Silva


Professora Assistente da Universidade Federal Rural de Pernambuco – Unidade Acadêmica
de Serra Talhada (UFRPE-UAST). everlandia255@gmail.com

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Recebido em 11 de setembro de 2017 Rev. Econ. NE, Fortaleza, v. 49, n. 2, p. 113-131, abr./jun., 2018
Aceito em 5 de março de 2018
113
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Rev. Econ. NE, Fortaleza, v. 49, n. 2, p. 113-131, abr./jun., 2018


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Rev. Econ. NE, Fortaleza, v. 49, n. 2, p. 113-131, abr./jun., 2018

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Rev. Econ. NE, Fortaleza, v. 49, n. 2, p. 113-131, abr./jun., 2018


118
Migração e seleção: evidências para pernambuco com dados em painel

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Rev. Econ. NE, Fortaleza, v. 49, n. 2, p. 113-131, abr./jun., 2018

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120
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7HPSRQRHPSUHJR &DSWDRQ~PHURGHPHVHVGRWUDEDOKDGRUQRPHVPRYtQFXORHPSUHJDWtFLR
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Rev. Econ. NE, Fortaleza, v. 49, n. 2, p. 113-131, abr./jun., 2018

121
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Rev. Econ. NE, Fortaleza, v. 49, n. 2, p. 113-131, abr./jun., 2018


122
Migração e seleção: evidências para pernambuco com dados em painel

7DEHOD±7RWDOGHWUDEDOKDGRUHVSRUDQR JRGRVDQRV1RDQRGHSRUH[HPSORGRV
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EDOKRSRVVXHPDRPHQRVRHQVLQRPpGLRFRPSOH-
GRRSHU¿OGRVWUDEDOKDGRUHVTXHPXGDUDPGHORFDO
WRWHPVHGRVWUDEDOKDGRUHVQmRPLJUDQWHV
GHWUDEDOKR±PLJUDQWHV±HGRVTXHQmRPXGDUDP
FRPHVWHJUDXGHLQVWUXomR2VPLJUDQWHVHVWmRHP
RPXQLFtSLRQRTXDOGHVHPSHQKDYDPVXDVDWLYLGD-
PDLRUSURSRUomRQDVIDL[DVGHPHQRUHVFRODULGDGH
GHVODERUDWLYDV±QmRPLJUDQWHV2SHUFHQWXDOGH
GRVPLJUDQWHVVmRDQDOIDEHWRVRXSRVVXHP
PLJUDQWHVHQmRPLJUDQWHVQRSHUtRGRDQDOLVDGRp
IXQGDPHQWDOLQFRPSOHWRGHQWUHRVQmRPLJUDQWHV
DSUHVHQWDGRQD7DEHOD
HVVHSHUFHQWXDOpGH

7DEHOD±7RWDOGHPLJUDQWHVHQmRPLJUDQWHVSRU
7DEHOD±&DUDFWHUtVWLFDV SHVVRDLV GRV WUDEDOKD-
ano
GRUHVPLJUDQWHVHQmRPLJUDQWHV
Ano Migrantes Não Migrantes
Não Amostra
Características Migrantes
 
- - Migrantes Total
   6(;2
0DVFXOLQR   
  
)HPLQLQR   
  
5$d$
   %UDQFR   
)RQWHHODERUDGDSHORVDXWRUHVFRPEDVHQRVGDGRVGD5DLV0LJUD 1mREUDQFR   
  (6&2/$5,'$'(
$QDOIDEHWR   
&RPR SRGHVH REVHUYDU QD 7DEHOD  GH PRGR )XQGDPHQWDOLQFRPSOHWR   
JHUDODTXDQWLGDGHGHWUDEDOKDGRUHVTXHPXGDUDP )XQGDPHQWDOFRPSOHWR   
RPXQLFtSLRGHORFDOGHWUDEDOKRDXPHQWRXDRORQ- 0pGLRLQFRPSOHWR   
0pGLRFRPSOHWR   
6XSHULRULQFRPSOHWR   
 'LIHUHVH QR HQWDQWR GR FRQFHLWR GH PLJUDomR SHQGXODU
6XSHULRUFRPSOHWR   
FDUDFWHUL]DGDSHORGHVORFDPHQWRGLiULRGHSHVVRDVSDUDHVWXGDURX
WUDEDOKDUHPRXWUDFLGDGHPDVTXHUHWRUQDPSDUDDVFLGDGHVRQGH )RQWHHODERUDGDSHORVDXWRUHVFRPEDVHQRVGDGRVGD5DLV0LJUD
UHVLGHPDSyVUHDOL]DUHPVXDVDWLYLGDGHV  

Rev. Econ. NE, Fortaleza, v. 49, n. 2, p. 113-131, abr./jun., 2018

123
Cláudia César Batista Julião, Roberta de Moraes Rocha e Everlândia de Souza Silva

'HDFRUGRFRPD7DEHODTXHDSUHVHQWDDLGD- PDLVHVFRODUL]DGRGRVWUDEDOKDGRUHVQmRPLJUDQWHV
GHPpGLDHRWHPSRPpGLRQRHPSUHJRGRVWUDED- HPUHODomRDRVWUDEDOKDGRUHVPLJUDQWHV
OKDGRUHVRVPLJUDQWHVVmRHPPpGLDPDLVMRYHQV 3RU ¿P D RFXSDomR HP DWLYLGDGHV OHJLVODWLYD
TXHRVQmRPLJUDQWHV$LGDGHPpGLDGRVWUDEDOKD- H[HFXWLYDMXGLFLiULDGLUHWRUHVHJHUHQWHVUHJLVWURX
GRUHVTXHPXGDPRPXQLFtSLRGHORFDOGHWUDEDOKR SDUFHODVHPHOKDQWHXPDPDLRUSDUWLFLSDomRUHODWLYD
pDQRVHQTXDQWRTXHDLGDGHPpGLDGRVQmR GHWUDEDOKDGRUHVQmRPLJUDQWHVHPUHODomRDRVQmR
PLJUDQWHVpGHDQRV PLJUDQWHV(VVDVDWLYLGDGHVUHSUHVHQWDPGRV
2V WUDEDOKDGRUHV PLJUDQWHV SHUPDQHFHP HP YtQFXORVGRVWUDEDOKDGRUHVTXHGHFLGLUDPPXGDUGH
PpGLDPHQRVWHPSRHPSUHJDGRQRPHVPRYtQFX- PXQLFtSLR GH ORFDO GH WUDEDOKR H  GRV YtQFX-
ORGRTXHRVQmRPLJUDQWHVDSUR[LPDGDPHQWH ORVGRVWUDEDOKDGRUHVTXHSHUPDQHFHUDPQRPHVPR
HPHVHVUHVSHFWLYDPHQWH,VVRSRGHHVWDUUHOD- PXQLFtSLRGHORFDOGHWUDEDOKRHQWUHH
FLRQDGRDRIDWRGRVPLJUDQWHVVHUHPPDLVMRYHQV
SRLVVHJXQGR3RQWHHWDO  RVPDLVMRYHQV 7DEHOD±&DUDFWHUtVWLFDVRFXSDFLRQDLVGRVWUDED-
HVWmRPDLVSURSHQVRVjPXGDQoDGHWUDEDOKR OKDGRUHVPLJUDQWHVHQmRPLJUDQWHV
Não Amostra
7DEHOD±([SHULrQFLD GRV PLJUDQWHV H QmR PL- Ocupação Migrantes
Migrantes total
JUDQWHV /HJLVO([HFXW-XGLF
  
'LUHWRUHV*HUHQWHV
Não Amostra &LHQWt¿FD$UWtVWLFD   
Variáveis Migrantes
Migrantes Total 7pFQLFD   
,'$'( DQRV $GPLQLVWUDWLYD   
0pGLD    &RPpUFLR6HUYLoR   
$JURSHFXiULD)ORUHV-
'HVYLRSDGUmR      
WDLV3HVFD
7(03212 3URGXomR,QGXVWULDO   
(035(*2 PHVHV 2SHUDGRUHVGH0i-
  
0pGLD    TXLQDV
'HVYLRSDGUmR    0DQXWHQomR5HSDUDomR   

)RQWHHODERUDGDSHORVDXWRUHVFRPEDVHQRVGDGRVGD5DLV0LJUD )RQWHHODERUDGDSHORVDXWRUHVFRPEDVHQRVGDGRVGD5DLV0LJUD
   

1R TXH WDQJH j RFXSDomR D 7DEHOD  PRVWUD 1D7DEHOD  p DSUHVHQWDGD D GLVWULEXLomR GRV
FRPR RV WUDEDOKDGRUHV IRUPDLV SHUQDPEXFDQRV WUDEDOKDGRUHV IRUPDLV GH 3HUQDPEXFR SHORV VHXV
HVWmR GLVWULEXtGRV HQWUH RV JUXSRV GH RFXSDo}HV UHVSHFWLYRV PXQLFtSLRV GH ORFDO GH WUDEDOKR 'RV
GD&%2 &ODVVL¿FDomR%UDVLOHLUDGH2FXSDo}HV  GH] SULQFLSDLV PXQLFtSLRV SHUQDPEXFDQRV TXH
2EVHUYDVHTXHGHPDQHLUDJHUDORVWUDEDOKDGRUHV PDLV DSUHVHQWDUDP SRVWRV GH WUDEDOKDGRUHV IRU-
HVWmRHPSUHJDGRVQRFRPpUFLRHVHUYLoR   PDLVQRSHUtRGRGHDVHWHSHUWHQFLDPj
QDiUHDDGPLQLVWUDWLYD  RXQRVHWRULQGXV- 5HJLmR0HWURSROLWDQDGR5HFLIH 505 VmRHOHV
WULDO   5HFLIH-DERDWmRGRV*XDUDUDSHV2OLQGD&DERGH
6DQWR$JRVWLQKR3DXOLVWD,SRMXFDH,JDUDVVX(V-
$ SDUWLFLSDomR RFXSDFLRQDO GRV PLJUDQWHV HP
VHVPXQLFtSLRVMXQWRVUHSUHVHQWDPGDIRUoD
DWLYLGDGHV DJURSHFXiULDV ÀRUHVWDO H GH SHVFD p
GHWUDEDOKRIRUPDOSHUQDPEXFDQD
UHODWLYDPHQWHPDLRUGRTXHDGRVQmRPLJUDQWHV
FRQWUDUHVSHFWLYDPHQWH,VVRSRVVL- 1RV H[WUDWRV GRV PLJUDQWHV H QmR PLJUDQWHV
YHOPHQWH HVWi UHODFLRQDGR DR PHQRU QtYHO GH HV- RV PXQLFtSLRV GD 505 WDPEpP VH GHVWDFDP 2
FRODULGDGH GRV PLJUDQWHV FRPSDUDGR DR GRV QmR PXQLFtSLR GH 5HFLIH HP HVSHFLDO p R TXH PDLV
PLJUDQWHV$VDWLYLGDGHVDJURSHFXiULDVÀRUHVWDOH DEUDQJH SRVWRV GH WUDEDOKRV IRUPDLV 'RV LQGLYt-
GHSHVFDWrPDWHUFHLUDPDLRUSDUWLFLSDomRRFXSD- GXRVTXHPXGDUDPRPXQLFtSLRGHORFDOGHWUDED-
FLRQDOSDUDRVPLJUDQWHV OKRH[HUFLDPVXDVDWLYLGDGHVQDFDSLWDOSHU-
QDPEXFDQD(QTXDQWRTXHHQWUHRVWUDEDOKDGRUHV
&RPRSRGHVHUREVHUYDGRQD7DEHODHPWHU-
TXHSHUPDQHFHUDPGHVHQYROYHQGRVXDVDWLYLGDGHV
PRV RFXSDFLRQDLV RV QmR PLJUDQWHV WrP PDLRU
ODERUDWLYDVQRPHVPRPXQLFtSLRGXUDQWHRSHUtR-
SDUWLFLSDomRHPFDUUHLUDVWpFQLFDVFLHQWt¿FDVHDU-
GRGHDWUDEDOKDYDPQRPXQL-
WtVWLFDV (VVH UHVXOWDGR HVWi GH DFRUGR FRP SHU¿O
FtSLRGH5HFLIH'DGRTXHDFDSLWDOSHUQDPEXFDQD
FRQFHQWUDRVSRVWRVGHWUDEDOKRGHPDLRUQtYHOGH

Rev. Econ. NE, Fortaleza, v. 49, n. 2, p. 113-131, abr./jun., 2018


124
Migração e seleção: evidências para pernambuco com dados em painel

LQVWUXomR HVVH PDLRU SHUFHQWXDO UHODWLYR GH QmR $DQiOLVHPRVWUDTXHRVWUDEDOKDGRUHVIRUPDLV


PLJUDQWHVQDFDSLWDOSHUQDPEXFDQDMXVWL¿FDRVUH- SHUQDPEXFDQRVTXHPXGDUDPRPXQLFtSLRGHORFDO
VXOWDGRV HQFRQWUDGRV DQWHULRUPHQWH TXH DSRQWDP GHWUDEDOKRVmRHPVXDPDLRULDKRPHQVFRPLGD-
RVQmRPLJUDQWHVFRPRVHQGRPDLVHVFRODUL]DGRV GHPpGLDGHDQRV&RPSDUDWLYDPHQWHDRSHU¿O
HFRPPDLRUSDUWLFLSDomRHPDWLYLGDGHVWpFQLFDV GRV QmR PLJUDQWHV YHUL¿FDVH TXH RV PLJUDQWHV
FLHQWt¿FDVHDUWtVWLFDVGRTXHRVPLJUDQWHV VmRPHQRVHVFRODUL]DGRVHWrPUHODWLYDPHQWHPH-
$LQGDFRQIRUPHD7DEHODREVHUYDVHTXH&D- QRUSHUFHQWXDOGHWUDEDOKDGRUHVQDFDSLWDOSHUQDP-
UXDUXQDPHVRUUHJLmRGR$JUHVWHH3HWUROLQDQD EXFDQD5HFLIH
PHVRUUHJLmRGR6mR)UDQFLVFRVmRRVPXQLFtSLRV (PVtQWHVHDVHYLGrQFLDVLQLFLDLVLQGLFDPTXH
GRLQWHULRUGRHVWDGRGH3HUQDPEXFRTXHPDLVHP- R PLJUDQWH LQWHUQR SHUQDPEXFDQR WHP XP SHU¿O
SUHJDPWUDEDOKDGRUHVIRUPDLV(VVHTXDGURMXVWL¿- GLVWLQWR GDTXHOH GR QmR PLJUDQWH (P GHVWDTXH
FDVHSHORDTXHFLPHQWRGRVHWRUGHIUXWLFXOWXUDGH RVGDGRVUHODFLRQDGRVjHVFRODULGDGHVXJHUHPTXH
3HWUROLQDHGRSRORGHFRQIHFomRGH&DUXDUX R JUXSR GRV PLJUDQWHV IRUPDP XP JUXSR QHJD-
WLYDPHQWH VHOHFLRQDGR TXDQWR jV FDUDFWHUtVWLFDV
7DEHOD±'LVWULEXLomRGRVWUDEDOKDGRUHVSRUPX- REVHUYiYHLV XPD YH] TXH VmR HP PpGLD PHQRV
QLFtSLR HVFRODUL]DGRVTXHRVQmRPLJUDQWHVHTXHSRUWDQ-
Não Amostra
WRWDPEpPWrPPHOKRUHVVDOiULRV3Uy[LPDHWDSD
Migrantes
Migrantes total pUHDOL]DUXPDDQiOLVHPXOWLYDULDGDHFRQWURODURV
0XQLFtSLR    UHQGLPHQWRVSHODVFDUDFWHUtVWLFDVREVHUYiYHLVGRV
5HFLIH   
WUDEDOKDGRUHV WDLV FRPR D HVFRODULGDGH H SHODV
-DERDWmR   
2OLQGD    QmRREVHUYiYHLVSHORPpWRGRGRHIHLWR¿[RSDUD
&DER    REVHUYDURGLIHUHQFLDOGHVDOiULRVHQWUHRVGRLVJUX-
,SRMXFD    SRV WUDEDOKDGRUHV TXH PXGDUDP R PXQLFtSLR GH
3DXOLVWD   
ORFDOGHWUDEDOKRHRVTXHQmRPXGDUDP
&DUXDUX   
,JDUDVVX  - 
3HWUROLQD   
(VFDGD  - - 6 EVIDÊNCIAS ECONOMÉTRICAS
9LWyULD -  
*DUDQKXQV 
- -
&RPLQWXLWRGHDYDQoDUQDLQYHVWLJDomRVREUH
2XWURV   
XPD SRVVtYHO VHOHomR SRVLWLYD GRV WUDEDOKDGRUHV
)RQWHHODERUDGDSHORVDXWRUHVFRPEDVHQRVGDGRVGD5DLV0LJUD
  IRUPDLV GR HVWDGR GH 3HUQDPEXFR TXH PXGDUDP
GHPXQLFtSLRGHWUDEDOKR PLJUDQWHV HVWDVXEVH-
3RU¿PDQDOLVDVHQD7DEHODDUHQGDPpGLD omRGHGLFDVHDDQDOLVDURVUHVXOWDGRVGDHVWLPDomR
REWLGDSHORVPLJUDQWHVHQmRPLJUDQWHVQRSHUtRGR GRPRGHORHFRQRPpWULFRGHVFULWRQDVHomRGRPR-
GHD2EVHUYDVHTXHDUHQGDPpGLDGRV GHORHPStULFR
WUDEDOKDGRUHVTXHQmRPXGDUDPRPXQLFtSLRGHOR- 3DUD WDQWR D SDUWLU GRV PLFURGDGRV GD 5$,6
FDOGHWUDEDOKRpPDLRUTXHDUHQGDPpGLDGRVWUD- 0LJUD SDUD R SHUtRGR GH  D  HVWLPRX
EDOKDGRUHVTXHPXGDUDP5H5 VHGRLVPRGHORVXPSRU042HRXWURLQFOXLQGR
UHVSHFWLYDPHQWH (VVH UHVXOWDGR p FRQVHTXrQFLD R (IHLWR )L[R GRV WUDEDOKDGRUHV FRQWUROH SDUD DV
GDV PHOKRUHV FDUDFWHUtVWLFDV REVHUYiYHLV TXH RV FDUDFWHUtVWLFDVQmRREVHUYiYHLVGRVWUDEDOKDGRUHV
QmR PLJUDQWHV DSUHVHQWDUDP QD DPRVWUD FRPR (VVH~OWLPRPRGHORFRQVWLWXLHPXPDIRUPDHIHWL-
SRUH[HPSORPDLRUQtYHOGHHVFRODULGDGHGRTXH YDGHWUDWDPHQWRSDUDRYLpVGHVHOHomRGRPLJUDQ-
RVPLJUDQWHV WHXPDYH]TXHFRQWURODDWUDYpVGRHIHLWR¿[RLQ-
GLYLGXDODVFDUDFWHUtVWLFDVGRWUDEDOKDGRUTXHQmR
7DEHOD±5HQGD PpGLD GRV PLJUDQWHV H QmR PL- YDULDP QR WHPSR H TXH SRGHP LQÀXHQFLDU D VXD
JUDQWHV SURGXWLYLGDGH
Salário
Migrantes
Não Amostra 2 REMHWLYR HQWmR p FRPSDUDU RV UHVXOWDGRV
real migrantes total
REWLGRVSRU042HFRPRFRQWUROHSDUDR(IHLWR
0pGLD 5 5 5
GHVYLRSDGUmR    )L[RLQGLYLGXDO1HVWHVHQWLGRVHKRXYHUXPDGL-
)RQWHHODERUDGDSHORVDXWRUHVFRPEDVHQRVGDGRVGD5$,60LJUD PLQXLomRQDPDJQLWXGHGRFRH¿FLHQWHDVVRFLDGRj
  YDULiYHOGHPLJUDomRHQWUHRVGRLVPRGHORVKDYH-

Rev. Econ. NE, Fortaleza, v. 49, n. 2, p. 113-131, abr./jun., 2018

125
Cláudia César Batista Julião, Roberta de Moraes Rocha e Everlândia de Souza Silva

UiLQGtFLRVGHTXHH[LVWHXPDVHOHomRSRVLWLYDDID- DGDSWiYHLV jV PXGDQoDV QR VHX WUDEDOKR IDWRUHV


YRUGRVPLJUDQWHVLQGLFDQGRTXHRVWUDEDOKDGRUHV HVWHV TXH LQÀXHQFLDP D VXD SURGXWLYLGDGH PDV
TXHPXGDUDPGHPXQLFtSLRQRTXDOWUDEDOKDPWrP TXHQmRVmRPHQVXUiYHLVGLUHWDPHQWH
DWULEXWRVQmRREVHUYiYHLVTXHRVWRUQDPPDLVSUR- $LQGD GH DFRUGR FRP HVWH PRGHOR VH R PL-
GXWLYRV$VVLPRHIHLWR¿[RVHULDRFRQWUROHSDUD JUDQWHSDVVRXDWUDEDOKDUQDFLGDGHGR5HFLIHHVWH
FDUDFWHUtVWLFDVGRWUDEDOKDGRUTXHHVWmRDVVRFLDGDV JDQKRVDODULDOSDVVDDVHURGREURHPUHODomRDRV
jVXDSURGXWLYLGDGHPDVTXHQmRVmRPHQVXUiYHLV QmRPLJUDQWHVHPWRUQRGH  
RXREVHUYiYHLVTXHSRGHPVHUIDWRUHVFRPRDVXD PDLRU (VWH ~OWLPR UHVXOWDGR p FRQGL]HQWH FRP R
LQWHOLJrQFLDHPRFLRQDOFULDWLYLGDGHVRFLDOL]DomR IDWRGHJUDQGHVFLGDGHVDSUHVHQWDUHPPHUFDGRGH
DVVXDVKDELOLGDGHVQmRFRJQLWLYDVHQWUHRXWURV WUDEDOKR PDLV GLQkPLFRV HQWUH RXWUDV YDQWDJHQV
2V UHVXOWDGRV HQFRQWUDPVH QD 7DEHOD  QD ORFDFLRQDLV H SRU LVVR GHYHP SDJDU HP PpGLD
SULPHLUDFROXQDHVWmRRVUHVXOWDGRVGRPRGHOR PDLRUHVVDOiULRV'HIDWR5RFKDHWDO  DSUH-
HVWLPDGRSRU042HQDVHJXQGDFROXQDHVWmRRV VHQWDPHYLGrQFLDVGHTXHRVJUDQGHVFHQWURVXUED-
UHVXOWDGRV REWLGRV FRP D LQFOXVmR GR HIHLWR ¿[R QRVGRSDtVSDJDPPDLRUHVVDOiULRVSUrPLRVDOD-
GRWUDEDOKDGRU1RJHUDORVPRGHORVDSUHVHQWDP ULDOHVWHTXHSHUVLVWHPHVPRDSyVFRQWUROHVSHODV
XPERPDMXVWHRVFRH¿FLHQWHVGDVYDULiYHLVH[SOL- FDUDFWHUtVWLFDVREVHUYiYHLVHQmRREVHUYiYHLVGRV
FDWLYDVPRVWUDUDPVHHPVXDPDLRULDLQGLYLGXDO- WUDEDOKDGRUHV*ODHVHUH0DUp  WDPEpPRE-
PHQWHVLJQL¿FDQWHVDPHQRVGHHFRPVLQDLV WrPHYLGrQFLDVVHPHOKDQWHVSDUDRV(VWDGRV8QL-
HVSHUDGRVFRQIRUPHDOLWHUDWXUDDTXLFLWDGD GRV GH TXH Ki XPD UHODomR SRVLWLYD HQWUH JDQKR
2V UHVXOWDGRV GR SULPHLUR PRGHOR HVWLPDGR VDODULDOHSRUWHSRSXODFLRQDOGDVFLGDGHV
SRU 042 LQGLFDP TXH RV PLJUDQWHV UHFHEHP 3RUpP GDGR TXH DV FDUDFWHUtVWLFDV QmR REVHU-
HPPpGLDXPVDOiULRPDLRUGRTXHRVQmR YiYHLVGRVWUDEDOKDGRUHVFRUUHODFLRQDGRVFRPVXD
PLJUDQWHV &RQVLGHUDQGR TXH DSHQDV IRUDP LQ- SURGXWLYLGDGHSRGHPH[SOLFDUDRPHQRVHPSDU-
FRUSRUDGRVQHVWHPRGHORDOJXQVFRQWUROHVSDUDDV WHRGLIHUHQFLDOVDODULDOHQWUHPLJUDQWHVHQmRPL-
FDUDFWHUtVWLFDVREVHUYiYHLVGRVWUDEDOKDGRUHVHVWH JUDQWHVXPVHJXQGRPRGHORIRLHVWLPDGRLQFOXtGR
DXPHQWR VDODULDO SRGH HVWDU FRUUHODFLRQDGR WDQWR RHIHLWR¿[RGRVWUDEDOKDGRUHV 0RGHOR &RPR
FRPIDWRUHVUHODFLRQDGRVDRPHUFDGRGHWUDEDOKR SRGHVHUREVHUYDGRQD7DEHODPHVPRDSyVDDGL-
GDFLGDGHGHGHVWLQRTXDQWRSHORIDWRGRVWUDED- omRGHVWHFRQWUROHRFRH¿FLHQWHDVVRFLDGRjYDULi-
OKDGRUHV PLJUDQWHV VHUHP SRVLWLYDPHQWH VHOHFLR- YHOdummyGHPLJUDomRDLQGDpSRVLWLYRHHVWDWLVWL-
QDGRV FDPHQWHVLJQL¿FDQWHDPHQRVGHLQGLFDQGRTXH
1R SULPHLUR FDVR p SRVVtYHO TXH R LQGLYtGXR WUDEDOKDGRUHVPLJUDQWHVUHFHEHPHPPpGLDD
SDUDPXGDUGHFLGDGHTXHWUDEDOKDVHMDFRPSHQVD- PDLVGRTXHRVQmRPLJUDQWHV3HUFHEHVHSRUWDQ-
GR¿QDQFHLUDPHQWHFRPXPPDLRUVDOiULRGHYLGR WRTXHDPDJQLWXGHGRFRH¿FLHQWHFDLXHP
DHVWDPXGDQoD2XQRFDVRGHDFLGDGHGHGHVWL- FRPSDUDomRDRPRGHORHVWLPDGRSRU042(VWH
QRDSUHVHQWDUXPPHOKRUPDWFKLQJQRPHUFDGRGH UHVXOWDGR VXJHUH TXH SDUWH GR GLIHUHQFLDO VDODULDO
WUDEDOKRHQWUHRXWUDVYDQWDJHQVORFDFLRQDLVRWUD- HQWUH PLJUDQWHV H QmR PLJUDQWHV HVWi DWUHODGR jV
EDOKDGRUDRPLJUDUSRGHWHUXPPDLRUVDOiULRSRU FDUDFWHUtVWLFDV QmR REVHUYiYHLV GRV WUDEDOKDGRUHV
FRQVHJXLUXPDPHOKRURFXSDomRQRWUDEDOKRGDGD TXHVmR¿[DVQRWHPSRTXHRVPLJUDQWHVVmRPDLV
DVVXDVTXDOL¿FDo}HV1DVHJXQGDVLWXDomRDWULEX- KDELOLGRVRVRXFULDWLYRVGRTXHRVQmRPLJUDQWHV
WRVQmRREVHUYiYHLVGRVWUDEDOKDGRUHVFRUUHODFLR- (VVHV UHVXOWDGRV FRUURERUDP RV HVWXGRV UHDOL-
QDGRV FRP D VXD SURGXWLYLGDGH WDPEpP SRGHP ]DGRVSRU7RUUHVH5RFKD  HSRU6LOYD7RU-
H[SOLFDUDRPHQRVHPSDUWHRGLIHUHQFLDOVDODULDO UHVH5RFKD  SDUDRVHPLJUDQWHVGR$JUHVWH
HQWUHPLJUDQWHVHQmRPLJUDQWHV1HVWHFDVRpSRV- GH3HUQDPEXFRLPSRUWDQWHUHJLmRHFRQ{PLFDGR
VtYHOTXHWUDEDOKDGRUHVTXHVHSURS}HPDPXGDUGH HVWDGRRVTXDLVHYLGHQFLDUDPTXHRVWUDEDOKDGR-
FLGDGHRQGHWUDEDOKDPVHMDPPDLVSURDWLYRVPDLV UHVTXHHPLJUDUDPGRDJUHVWHGRHVWDGRVmRSRVLWL-
YDPHQWHVHOHFLRQDGRV
  .DXW] HO DO   ID]HP XPD UHYLVmR GD OLWHUDWXUD TXH 4XDQWRDRFRH¿FLHQWHDVVRFLDGRjYDULiYHOGH
UHODFLRQDPKDELOLGDGHVQmRFRJQLWLYDVFRPVXFHVVRSUR¿VVLRQDO
  +DOYRUVHQ H 3DOPTXLVW   LQGLFDP TXH HP HTXDo}HV VHPL
LQWHUDomR Migrante*Recife FRPSDUDQGR RV UH-
ORJDUtWPLFDV R HIHLWR UHODWLYR GD YDULiYHO dummy QD YDULiYHO
GHSHQGHQWH p GDGR SHOR H[SRQHQFLDO GR FRH¿FLHQWH GD dummy  /HPEUDQGRTXHUHSUHVHQWDRH[SRHQWHGH  
PHQRVXP PHQRV

Rev. Econ. NE, Fortaleza, v. 49, n. 2, p. 113-131, abr./jun., 2018


126
Migração e seleção: evidências para pernambuco com dados em painel

VXOWDGRV HQWUH R PRGHOR  042  H R PRGHOR  WHUFHLURFRPRPHVPRDSyVDLQFOXVmRGRVFRQWUROHV


()(,72 ),;2  WDPEpP VH REVHUYD XPD TXHGD SDUD DV FDUDFWHUtVWLFDV REVHUYiYHLV H QmR REVHUYi-
VLJQL¿FDWLYDQDPDJQLWXGHGRFRH¿FLHQWHHPWRUQR YHLVGRVWUDEDOKDGRUHVRGLIHUHQFLDOVDODULDOHPID-
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