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Leonardo Eustáquio Guimarães, Francis Lee

LEVANTAMENTO DO PERFIL E AVALIAÇÃO DA FROTA DE VEICULOS DE PASSEIO

BRASILEIRA VISANDO RACIONALIZAR AS EMISSÕES DE DIÓXIDO DE CARBONO

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Leonardo Eustáquio Guimarães

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Francis Lee
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RESUMO: O objetivo deste trabalho foi levantar e avaliar a frota de veículos de passeio brasileira, com vinte anos
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tenção foi avaliar o investimento necessário para retirar esses veículos de circulação, confrontando-o
com as emissões evitadas e com o valor de mercado dessas emissões. Pelos resultados encontrados as
emissões fósseis de CO2 evitadas, com a retirada de circulação destes veículos são de aproximadamente
sete milhões e duzentos mil créditos de carbono.

Palavras-Chave:'S_+$"#B$3*!'O1!0&1='[G$#*!'$I*+G&='M#KL#%!'%$'"&,0!3!='[B#IIJ$I'$A#*&%&I='Q,`%#*!I'
%$'"&,0!3!=

ABSTRACT: :;(" /<(02%*(" ="2;%&"&2!'>"?$&"2 "0 --(02"$.'"(*$-!$2("2;("@((2" ="A$&&(.,(4"0$4&"%."B4$C%-)"?%2;"2?(.2>"

or more years of use, gasoline-powered, as well as quantifying their emissions of carbon dioxide. The
intention was to evaluate the investment required to remove these vehicles from circulation, comparing
it with the avoided emissions and the market value of these emissions.The results found the fossil CO2
emissions avoided, with the removal of such vehicles are approximately seven million two hundred
thousand carbon credits.

Keywords:'P1!0&1'a&,B#3O='P,$$3b!+I$'$GG$"*='Q&,0!3'%#!L#%$='SA!#%$%'$B#II#!3I='Q&,0!3'",$%#*I=

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Leonardo Eustáquio Guimarães, Francis Lee
EMISSOES DE CO2 DEVIDO AO TRANSPORTE
DE PASSAGEIROS EM VEÍCULOS LEVES
Uma grande parcela da emissão de gases de
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trando preocupação com o aumento da temperatura
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PARTICIPAÇÃO SUB-TOTAL POR
ITEM VEÍCULO PREÇO VENDIDOS
NAS VENDAS (%) MODELO DE VEÍCULO
? PW@ 4q=:c4.>> 4c9=<l< ??.46 :=q9c=4cq=??c.>>
4 NS@^W 4q=:>>.>> ?<:=44l :.:9 9=4q9=cc>=c>>.>>
6 /)W 46=4>l.>> ?l?=c:6 9.9: 6=4<4=>4?=><4.>>
l QWf S' [MS) 4:=?6<.>> ?6?=:6> 9.?: 6=9:9=>4>=l:>.>>
9 Q[@hS 4l=<>>.>> ?6>=6c: 9.?4 6=4lq=q6q=6>>.>>
q TW‚VQfW TW‚ 64=>l4.>> ??9=>:? l.94 6=qc:=?>l=<c4.>>
: ^[)S 6>=6<>.>> <9=6>: 6.:l 4=c<q=6:<=:6>.>>
c Q^\^Q q6=c4?.>> q:=:>6 4.qq l=64>=c:6=?q6.>>
< S 4c=>4<.>> ql=cc: 4.99 ?=c?c=:?:=:46.>>
?> T^[ hS'kShQk 64=c?9.>> 9c=c4c 4.6? ?=<6>=ll>=c4>.>>
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?4 QWf S 6l=l:>.>> l:=6>< ?.cq ?=q6>=:l?=46>.>>
?6 QWfW@@S 9<=c6l.>> l9=ql> ?.:< 4=:6>=c46=:q>.>>
?9 kW)MS'T^h 9?=<:6.>> l>=9?4 ?.9< 4=?>9=96>=?:q.>>
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?: N/)hW 6c=4<<.>> 6c=9:q ?.94 ?=l::=l44=44l.>>
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4> Q6 6<=cc4.>> 69=cll ?.l? ?=l4<=96>=l>c.>>
4? N[/P[Wh'4>q 64=>64.>> 66=?6: ?.6> ?=>q?=lll=6cl.>>
44 NS@^W'g[[[)M l?=cq9.>> 6>=6<4 ?.?< ?=4:4=6q?=>c>.>>
46 T^Sh'^M[S l?=<>?.>> 4:=>?? ?.>q ?=?6?=:c:=<??.>>
4l Pj'\[QhfS 94=6:6.>> 4q=q?< ?.>9 ?=6<l=??q=cc:.>>
49 Pj'S hfS'kShQk l6=499.>> 49=699 ?.>> ?=><q=:6>=949.>>
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4c \g' NSQ[TW‚ l:=6?4.>> 44=44> >.c: ?=>9?=4:4=ql>.>>
64 \g'NW@W'kShQk ll=?4<.>> ?c=6l? >.:4 c><=6q<=<c<.>>
69 Q^hfWƒ)'Ql'NS@@S q4=lc?.>> ?:=<lc >.:? ?=?4?=l>c=<cc.>>
6q \g'NSfSh^ 6<=4l9.>> ?:=:qq >.:> q<:=44q=q:>.>>
6: \g'PW@T 94=664.>> ?:=4q9 >.qc <>6=9??=<c>.>>
6c T^Sh' h^@W 99=??<.>> ?q=64q >.ql c<<=c:4=:<l.>>
l> TWfM'TWQ/ 'kShQk q4=<6q.>> ?6=?c? >.94 c4<=99<=l?q.>>
l? N[/P[Wh'4>:'kShQk 6q=?49.>> ?4=<<> >.9? lq<=4q6=:9>.>>
l4 Pj'\[QhfS'Ph 99=ll:.>> ?4=<lc >.9? :?:=<4:=:9q.>>
l6 N[/P[Wh'6>:'kShQk 94=lc?.>> ?4=<6c >.9? q:c=<<<=?:c.>>
l9 f[)S/@h'Q@^W'kShQk 4c=9>6.>> ??=6<: >.l9 64l=clc=q<?.>>
TOTAIS 2.026.083 79,59 68.802.789.946,00

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EMISSÕES DE CO2 DA FROTA BRASILEIRA A -&%&'I!B$3*$'C!,'$II&'G,!*&.'G!#'3$"$IIU,#!'!'+I!'%&'

PARTIR DE 20 ANOS DE CIRCULAÇÃO metodologia botton-up,'_+$'+*#1#-&'&'_+#1!B$*,&O$B'
B`%#&'$'!I'G&*!,$I'%$'$B#IIF!'C&,&'"b$O&,'&!I'O&I$I'
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I$'&'B$*!%!1!O#&'%$'"U1"+1!'%$'x1A&,$I'v,='$'@#3y$' j+1*#C1#"&3%!'!'3eB$,!'%$'A$H"+1!I'5h&0$1&'
54>>47=' ' WI' &+*!,$I' &C,$I$3*&B' %+&I' G!,B&I' %#; c7.'&'_+#1!B$*,&O$B'B`%#&'&3+&1'C$,"!,,#%&'%$'<9>>'
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metodologias top-down e botton-up= G!#'C!IIHA$1'"&1"+1&,'&I'$B#IIJ$I'%&'G,!*&'#3A$I*#O&%&'
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ANO IDADE FROTA A VALOR POR SUBTOTAL
(ANOS) GASOLINA (un.) IDADE (R$) (R$)
?<<> 4> 66>=?6l.<4 ?>=>49.9c 6=6><=:<l=6<q.l<
?<c< 4? ?9l=<?l.6c <=l64.6> ?=lq?=?<c=c64.c<
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?<c: 46 ?>=l6<.69 c=6lc.<c c:=?9:=<q6.c<
?<cq 4l ?<=<?4.:< :=c9l.<4 ?9q=l?6=6?9.l9
?<c9 49 l=c??.:? :=6<>.>< 69=99c=<:9.qq
?<cl 4q 6=c4?.qq q=<94.:: 4q=9:?=?4l.:>
?<c6 4: q=?q9.cl q=9l?.66 l>=664=:9?.cl
?<c4 4c 4>=l9q.4q q=?9l.46 ?49=c<4=9c?.?c
?<c? 4< ?:=4lq.<4 9=:<>.>l <<=cq>=l4<.9<
?<c> 6> ?c=4>:.4l 9=ll:.l? <<=?c4=4qc.?6
?<:< 6? ?q=l>?.:: 9=?49.>9 cl=>9<=cl?.4:
?<:c 64 ?>=lql.>: l=c4?.:q 9>=l99=4<l.:l
?<:: 66 q=949.cl l=96q.l6 4<=q>l=>?c.9c
?<:q 6l l=>?<.cl l=4q:.<c ?:=?9q=9<9.:9
?<:9 69 4=l::.4> l=>?9.l? <=<lq=<q4.l>
?<:l 6q ?=94<.cl 6=:::.:< 9=::<=l69.c:
?<:6 6: c<4.?l 6=99l.4l 6=?:>=ccl.c>
?<:4 6c l6?.4: 6=6l6.<? ?=ll4=?46.64
?<:? 6< 4?4.>6 6=?lq.>6 qq:=>ql.>q
?<:> l> ?4l.>4 4=<9<.c9 6q:=>c>.9c
?<q< l? cq.l? 4=:cl.:> 4l>=q6q.9>
?<qc l4 ?>l.>4 4=q?<.<? 4:4=9?l.4>
?<q: l6 4?.q> 4=lql.c: 96=4l<.:9
?<qq ll ?6.q> 4=6?<.>? 6?=9l6.9:
?<q9 l9 q.l> 4=?c?.:c ?6=<q9.q?
?<ql lq 6.4> 4=>94.q: q=9q<.9c
?<q6 l: 4.l> ?=<6?.4> l=q69.q?
?<q4 lc 6.4> ?=c?q.<? 9=c?9.>q
VALOR TOTAL 5.952.288.171,22
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Leonardo Eustáquio Guimarães, Francis Lee

Curva de sucateamento

100
90
80
70
Percentual sucateado

60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 10 20 30 40 50
Anos

T#O+,&'68'Q+,A&'%$'I+"&*$&B$3*!='T!3*$8'YWfYS.'4>>c=

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?<q4'd'?<<>
t Idade Emissões fós- Retorno devido Custo da frota Investimento
bricação (anos) seis (kgCO2) créditos carbono a ser sucateada recuperado
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CONCLUSÕES
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d'I&e%$'%&'C!C+1&EF!=
REFERÊNCIAS
x@\Sf[ 'v‡)^Wf.'W='j=.'@^)[.'f='f='S='Meto-
' - ,%$"&%#A-%30$'$"'("0D-0!- "'$&"(#%&&5(&"'(",$&(&"
do efeito estufa de frotas de veículos no Brasil.'4>>4='
M#IC!3HA$1'$B8'ˆb**C8VVb!B!1!O&=&B0#$3*$=IC=O!A=0,V
C,!"1#B&VNMTV'#3A$3*&,#!'‰'$G$#*!$I*+G&=C%GŠ='S"$II!'
$B8'>:'I$*='4>><=
S@\^j.' Q=' T=.' T[ff[^fS.' W=' Q=.' \SfPS .' v=' ^='
f$A#I#*&3%!'&'"!3"$3*,&EF!'%!'B$*&3!'3&'&*B!IG$,&='
Economia e Energia, 3='q9.'C='4<;69.'4>>c=
S)TS\[S' X' S WQ^Sz…W' )SQ^W)S@' MW '
TSYf^QS)h[ 'M['\[„Q/@W 'S/hWjWhWf[ ='
9.!D4% "EFFG8 M#IC!3HA$1'$B8'ˆb**C8VVaaa=&3G&A$&=
"!B=0,V'&3+&,#!4>>cV#3%#"$=C%GŠ='S"$II!'$B8'>4']+3='
4>><=
YS)QW'MW'YfS ^@='Euro.'M#IC!3HA$1'$B8'ˆb**C8VV
"!*&"!$I=&O,!3$O!"#!I;$="!B=0,V#3A$I*#B$3*!I'V"!3;
*$+%!#=&IC‹!C*#!3€%!1&,(*#*1$€i4>[+,!Š='S"$II!'
$B8'>c'I$*='4>><='
YWfYS.'Y=' ='j='Q='Metodologia de regionalização
do mercado de combustíveis automotivos no Brasil.
4>>c='?6qC='M#II$,*&EF!'5j$I*,&%!'$B'Q#R3"#&I'$B'
N1&3$]&B$3*!' [3$,O`*#"!7' X' N,!O,&B&' %$' NKI;P,&;
%+&EF!'$B'[3O$3b&,#&.'/Tfv.'f#!'%$'v&3$#,!.'4>>c='
Q)h' X' QW)T[M[fSz…W' )SQ^W)S@' MW'
hfS) NWfh[=' Boletim Ambiental:' [B#IIJ$I' %$'
QW4=' 4>>:=' M#IC!3HA$1' $B8' ˆb**C8VVaaa="3*=!,O=0,V
&,_+#A!I'V%!a31!&%IV%$IC!1+#,VYW@[h^j‰M[ NW;
@/^f=C%G'Š='S"$II!'$B8'4>'B&#='4>><=
 @$A&3*&B$3*!'%!'C$,D1'$'&A&1#&EF!'%&'G,!*&'%$'A$H"+1!I'%$'C&II$#!'0,&I#1$#,&'A#I&3%!',&"#!3&1#-&,'&I'$B#IIJ$I'%$'%#KL#%!'%$'"&,0!3!
QWjNS)k^S'SjY^[)hS@'MW'[ hSMW'M['SÃO
H9IJK"L"MN:NOB8 Proconve: "!3*#3+&EF!= M#IC!3H;
A$1' $B8' ˆb**C8VVaaa="$*$I0=IC=O!A=0,VS,V$B#II!$I' V
C,!"!3A$4=&ICŠ='S"$II!'$B8'><'I$*='4>><=
[jNf[ S'M['N[ ~/^ S'[)[fPwh^QS='Balanço
N.(4,P2%0 "Q$0% .$-"EFFRS &3!'0&I$'4>>c8'f$I+1*&%!I'
N,$1#B#3&,$I='f#!'%$'v&3$#,!8'[N[.'4>><='
[/fW)[g ='Berlim aumenta bônus à troca de car-
ros.'>c'&0,='4>><='M#IC!3HA$1'$B8'ˆb**C8VVC*=$+,!3$aI=
3$*V4>><V>lV>cV0$,1#B;&+B$3*&;0!3+I;&;*,!"&;%$;
carrosŠ='S"$II!'$B8'6>'B&#='4>><='
T^[ Q' X' ^ h[jS' T[M[fSz…W' MS ' ^)M‡ ;
hf^S ' M[' S)hS' QShSf^)S=' Cotação CO 2.
M#IC!3HA$1' $B8' ˆb**C8VVaaa4=D$I"3$*="!B=0,Va$0V
C*V' I#*$‰*!C!VB%1V#3G!V"!*&;&!;"!4Š='S"$II!' $B8' >c'
I$*='4>><=
T^N[' X' T/)MSz…W' ^) h^h/hW' M[' N[ ~/^;
S '[QW)Œj^QS =':$/(-$"TUHN8 M#IC!3HA$1'$B8'
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4?'&O!='4>><=
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$B8' ˆb**C8VVaaa=#3I*#*+*!$%C="!B=0,V#3I*#*+*!$%CV
",$%#*!‰"&,0!3!V",$%#*!‰"&,0!3!=&ICŠ='S"$II!' $B8'
>:'I$*='4>><=
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jSh['QkS)P[='M-%#$2("M;$.,("EFFVS'hb$'NbrI#;
"&1' "#$3"$'Y&I#I='Q!3*,#0+*#!3'!G'g!,y#3O'P,!+C'^'
*!'*b$'T!+,*b'SII$IIB$3*'f$C!,*'!G'*b$'^3*$,O!A$,3;
B$3*&1'N&3$1'!3'Q1#B&*$'Qb&3O$='/3#*$%'#3O%!B'
&3%')$a'!,y8'Q&B0,#%O$'/3#A$,I#*r'N,$II.'4>>:='
jS)[Qk^)^.'P=.'QSjSfWhhW.'j='U.&A(WX "*$%"
exigir reciclagem de veículos no Brasil. 4>>c='M#IC!;
3HA$1'$B8'ˆb**C8VVaaa=&$&=!,O=0,V&$&4>><V"!B+3#"V
3!*#"#&I'&$&V#3IC$"&!=CbCŠ='S"$II!'$B8'49'B&#='4>><=
j[^fS.'f='Poluição atmosférica: $G$#*!'$I*+G&='4>>4='
M#IC!3HA$1'$B8'ˆb**C8VVaaa=,+%-$,b!I*="!BV&B0#$3;
*$V$I*+G&=b*BŠ='S"$II!'$B8'6>'&0,='4>><=
Leonardo Eustáquio Guimarães, Francis Lee
j[)M[ .'T='[='Avaliação de programas de controle
de poluição atmosférica por veículos leves no Brasil.
4>>l='?:<G='h$I$'5M!+*!,&%!'$B'Q#R3"#&I'$B'N1&3$]&;
B$3*!'[3$,O`*#"!7'X'N,!O,&B&'%$'NKI;P,&%+&EF!'$B'
[3O$3b&,#&.'/Tfv.'f#!'%$'v&3$#,!.'4>>l='
j[[f.'Q='f='U#A-%0$W5(&"(.(4,P2%0 Y$#/%(.2$%&"'("
esquemas de sucateamento de automóveis no Brasil.
4>>?='?>cC='M#II$,*&EF!'5j$I*,&%!'$B'Q#R3"#&I'$B'
N1&3$]&B$3*!' [3$,O`*#"!7' X' N,!O,&B&' %$' NKI;P,&;
%+&EF!'$B'[3O$3b&,#&.'/Tfv.'f#!'%$'v&3$#,!.'4>>?='
~/ShfW' fWMS =' Autoserviço: B&#I' A$3%#%!I=
Disponível em: <b**C8VV_+&*,!,!%&I=&0,#1="!B=0,V
~f4V&+*!I$,A#"!V*!C9>V4>>c=Ib*B1>. Acesso em: 12
$, 8"EFFR8
OUJZ9)" M8" [(. *$WX " '(" =4 2$" '(" 0$44 &" P" -(.2$8"
EFFG8" \%&A .]*(-" (#S" ^b**C8VVaaa="!BA$3="!B=
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f$3!A&"&!;%$;G,!*&;%$;"&,,!I;$;1$3*&=b*B1>. Acesso
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M‡ hf^S'M['QWjNW)[)h[ 'NSfS'\[„Q/@W '
S/hWjWhWf[ ='Desempenho do Setor de Autope-
W$&"EFFR8" F!'N&+1!8' ^)M^N[zS .'4>><=
‰‰‰‰‰‰=' Estudo da frota circulante brasileira. São
N&+1!8' ^)M^N[zS .'4>>c=
WSf[ .'@='k='%$'Y='$*'&1='W'$*&3!1'0,&I#1$#,!'$'&'B#;
*#O&EF!'3&'$B#IIF!'%!I'O&I$I'%$'$G$#*!'$I*+G&='Revista
Brasileira de Bioenergia. f#!'%$'v&3$#,!.'&3!'6.'3='q.'
C='l4;l:.'B&#='4>><=
pgSfQT^h[f.'@='Opções para o aprimoramento
do controle de emissões veiculares de poluentes at-
mosféricos no Brasil: +B&'&A&1#&EF!'%!'C!*$3"#&1'%$'
C,!O,&B&I'%$'#3IC$EF!'$'B&3+*$3EF!'$'%$',$3!A&EF!'
&"$1$,&%&'%&'G,!*&= 4>>l='4q?C='h$I$'5M!+*!,&%!'$B'
Q#R3"#&I' $B' N1&3$]&B$3*!' [3$,O`*#"!7' X' N,!O,&B&'
%$' NKI;P,&%+&EF!' $B' [3O$3b&,#&.' /Tfv.' f#!' %$'
v&3$#,!.'4>>l='
g^@@ .' g=' O aumento da eficiência energética
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