RESUMO DOS RESULTADOS

Estatística de regressão
R múltiplo 0.98538250422602
R-Quadrado 0.97097867963475
R-quadrado ajustado0.96735101458909
Erro padrão 0.20147575438739
Observações 10

ANOVA
gl SQ MQ F F de significação
Regressão 1 10.8649590728053 10.8649590728053 267.659408301047 1.9625987964E-07
Resíduo 8 0.32473983684773 0.04059247960597
Total 9 11.189698909653

Coeficientes Erro padrão Stat t valor-P 95% inferiores 95% superiores

Interseção -52.521198683854 3.17894736560333 -16.521569137049 1.8181654453E-07 -59.851864454532 -45.190532913176
Ln(TTF Cilindro) 4.25248004122851 0.25992678026091 16.3602997619557 1.9625987964E-07 3.65308781109654 4.85187227136048
beta 4.25248004122851
alfa 231126.849944392
Ln(TTF Cilindro) Plotagem de ajuste de linha
RESULTADOS DE RESÍDUOS 1.5
Ln(Ln(1/(1-Median Rank)))

1
Observação
Previsto(a) Ln(Ln(1/(1-Median Rank)))
Resíduos 0.5
1 -2.5067704738416 -0.1570726115466 0
2 -1.5346321577208 -0.1886309925561 -0.511.7 11.8 11.9 12 12.1 12.2 12.3 12.4 12.5 12.6 Ln(Ln(1/(1
3 -1.3222915378492 0.12026842260262 -1 Previsto(a
4 -1.2630713057131 0.44140479058443 Rank)))
-1.5
5 -0.5071274754534 -0.0014679182807
-2
6 -0.1669451883198 -0.0634202564135
-2.5
7 0.19575447304101 -0.1628295111267
8 0.36330675170712 -0.0642738198451
-3
9 0.64984165351389 -0.0558644368535 Ln(TTF Cilindro)
10 0.8608025960552 0.13188633343507
 Inferior 95,0% Superior 95,0%
-59.851864454532 -45.190532913176
3.65308781109654 4.85187227136048

e ajuste de linha

.5 12.6 Ln(Ln(1/(1-Median Rank)))

Previsto(a) Ln(Ln(1/(1-Median
Rank)))
 Cilindro
Amostragem TTF(min)
Parâmetros de Weibull
1 242015
2 205144
3
4
169359
269288
Apartir de 3 Amostras já é
ϐ O parâmetro de forma β indica se a taxa de falha está crescente, constante ou decrescente. Se β<1, é um indicativo de que o produto está com a taxa de falha
decrescente. Este cenário é típico da chamada “mortalidade infantil”, indicando que o produto falha logo no seu período de “nascimento”. Se β=1, é um indicativo de
falha constante. São componentes que após sobreviverem ao “nascimento” possuem uma taxa de falha constante. Se β>1, temos então a situação de uma taxa de falha
5 251741 possivel realizar um estudo de crescente. Este cenário é típico de produtos que falham por desgaste
confiabilidade.
6 282984
7 128186
8
9
10
222229
171734
161110
α A característica de vida, ou parâmetro α é uma medida de escala ou propagação com relação à distribuição dos dados.

Média 210379 4.86988425925926

4 meses 26 dias

TTF(Cilindro) Rank Median Rank 1/(1-Median Rank) Ln(Ln(1/(1-Median Rank))) Ln(TTF Cilindro)

128186 1 0.0673076923076923 1.07216494845361 -2.66384308538817 11.7612376131373

161110 2 0.163461538461538 1.19540229885057 -1.72326315027689 11.989842640485
169359 3 0.259615384615385 1.35064935064935 -1.20202311524655 12.0397760012094
171734 4 0.355769230769231 1.55223880597015 -0.821666515128687 12.0537020470842
205144 5 0.451923076923077 1.82456140350877 -0.508595393734149 12.2314674505501
222229 6 0.548076923076923 2.21276595744681 -0.23036544473332 12.3114636607229
242015 7 0.644230769230769 2.81081081081081 0.0329249619143393 12.396754986689
251741 8 0.740384615384615 3.85185185185185 0.299032931862048 12.43615606019
269288 9 0.836538461538462 6.11764705882353 0.593977216660386 12.5035367178366
282984 10 0.932692307692308 14.8571428571428 0.992688929490271 12.5531456379246

Custos de Manutenção Corretiva - CMC

CMC = Custo de mão de obra + Custo de Material + Custo de perda de lucro cessante.

Custos de Manutenção Preventiva - CMP

CMP = Quantidade de Colaboradores x tempo de reparo x custo da hora do colaborador
parametro Weibull TTF F(t) R=(t)
beta 4.252480041229 40000 0.000575938879 0.999424061121 Custo Total de Manutenção - Fórmulas
alfa 231126.8499444 80000 0.0109205199471 0.9890794800529
120000 0.0597236685745 0.9402763314255 𝐶𝑡𝑚(𝑡)= (𝐶𝑚𝑝.𝑅(𝑡)+𝐶𝑚𝑐.𝐹(𝑡))/(∫25_0^𝑡▒𝑅(𝑠)𝑑𝑠)
Custo prev. 404 160000 0.1888404684013 0.8111595315987
Custo Corret. 2324 200000 0.4175878379495 0.5824121620505 𝐶𝑡𝑚(𝑡)= (𝐶𝑚𝑝.𝑅(𝑡)+𝐶𝑚𝑐.[1−𝑅(𝑡)])/(∫1_0^𝑡▒𝑅(𝑠)𝑑𝑠)
240000 0.6907935404453 0.3092064595547
280000 0.8957339901954 0.1042660098046
320000 0.981483409575 0.018516590425
360000 0.9986157806684 0.0013842193316
400000 0.9999664818354 3.3518164571E-05

TTF F(t) R(t) regra trap Integral (R(t)) $ Preventiva $ Corretiva TOTAL R(t) - Confiabilidade
0 0 1
1.2
5000 8.32011496E-08 0.999999917 7499.9995839943
10000 1.58581693E-06 0.999998414183 7499.9918629125 14999.991446907 0.0269333059795 2.4569604266E-07 0.02693355167558 1
15000 8.89356794E-06 0.999991106432 7499.951567618 22499.943014525 0.0179554413421 9.1860907697E-07 0.01795635995121 0.8
20000 3.0225318E-05 0.999969774682 7499.8266394902 29999.769654015 0.0134663630298 2.3414726114E-06 0.01346870450242 0.6
25000 7.80671609E-05 0.999921932839 7499.5341009006 37499.303754916 0.0107726923014 4.8381720123E-06 0.01077753047337
0.4
30000 0.000169498242 0.999830501758 7498.9573408884 44998.261095804 0.008976602937 8.7539808102E-06 0.00898535691776
35000 0.000326453249 0.999673546751 7497.9439881506 52496.205083955 0.0076932820618 1.4452041807E-05 0.00770773410365 0.2
40000 0.000575938879 0.999424061121 7496.3041724826 59992.509256437 0.0067302955935 2.231081799E-05 0.00675260641151 0
45000 0.000950211219 0.999049788781 7493.8090967093 67486.318353146 0.0059807102316 3.2722052795E-05 0.0060134322844 40000 80000 120000 160000 200000 240000 280000 320000 360000 400000
50000 0.001486915561 0.998513084439 7490.1898941466 74976.508247293 0.0053803423972 4.6088993011E-05 0.00542643139016
55000 0.002229186693 0.997770813307 7485.1367776299 82461.645024923 0.004888326063 6.2824721406E-05 0.00495115078444
60000 0.003225705084 0.996774294916 7478.298507848 89939.943532771 0.0044773967976 8.3350492786E-05 0.00456074729034
65000 0.004530702293 0.995469297707 7469.2822258277 97409.225758599 0.0041286602285 0.0001080939926 0.00423675422105
70000 0.006203907086 0.993796092914 7457.6537088362 104866.87946743 0.003828602735 0.0001374874521 0.00396609018708 F(t) - Probalidade de Falha
75000 0.008310422154 0.991689577846 7442.9381215114 112309.81758895 0.0035672980159 0.0001719655637 0.00373926357955
80000 0.010920519947 0.989079480053 7424.6213448781 119734.43893382 0.0033372863605 0.000211963146 0.00354924950651 1.2
85000 0.014109345035 0.985890654965 7402.1519749582 127136.59090878 0.0031328496522 0.0002579125146 0.00339076216678 1
90000 0.017956509567 0.982043490433 7374.9440895764 134511.53499836 0.0029495282329 0.0003102405176 0.0032597687505 0.8
95000 0.022545567978 0.977454432022 7342.3808861894 141853.91588455 0.0027837905501 0.0003693651998 0.00315315574991
0.6
100000 0.027963357117 0.972036642883 7303.8192944702 149157.73517902 0.0026328021356 0.0004356920669 0.00306849420256
105000 0.034299188601 0.965700811399 7258.5956642049 156416.33084322 0.0024942608339 0.0005096099229 0.00300387075685 0.4
110000 0.041643881507 0.958356118493 7206.0326209629 163622.36346419 0.0023662772232 0.0005914862649 0.00295776348812 0.2
115000 0.050088625627 0.949911374373 7145.4471680997 170767.81063229 0.0022472864987 0.0006816622262 0.00292894872489 0
120000 0.059723668574 0.940276331426 7076.1600930613 177843.97072535 0.0021359826614 0.0007804470694 0.00291642973078 40000 80000 120000 160000 200000 240000 280000 320000 360000 400000
125000 0.07063682414 0.92936317586 6997.5067078652 184841.47743321 0.0020312687837 0.000888112244 0.00291938102769
130000 0.08291180446 0.91708819554 6908.8489173503 191750.32635056 0.0019322190374 0.0010048850358 0.00293710407321
135000 0.096626384997 0.903373615003 6809.5885638636 198559.91491443 0.0018380494402 0.0011309418562 0.0029689912964
140000 0.11185041883 0.88814958117 6699.1819433589 205259.09685779 0.0017480951455 0.0012664012331 0.0030144963786
145000 0.128643725435 0.871356274565 6577.1553257516 211836.25218354 0.001661792688 0.001411316594 0.00307310928193 Custos de Manutenção
150000 0.147053888747 0.852946111253 6443.1212426755 218279.37342621 0.0015786660166 0.0015656689502 0.0031443349668 0.03
155000 0.167114009605 0.832885990395 6296.7952301044 224576.16865632 0.0014983154363 0.0017293596228 0.00322767505911
160000 0.188840468401 0.811159531599 6138.01263398 230714.1812903 0.0014204087886 0.0019022031767 0.00332261196535 0.025
165000 0.212230764352 0.787769235648 5966.7450072383 236680.92629754 0.001344674352 0.0020839207623 0.00342859511431
170000 0.23726150771 0.76273849229 5783.1155505727 242464.04184811 0.0012708950512 0.0022741340931 0.00354502914433 0.02
175000 0.263886649771 0.736113350229 5587.4129818709 248051.45482998 0.0011989036456 0.0024723603193 0.00367126396491
0.015 $ Preventiva
180000 0.292036041862 0.707963958138 5380.103166261 253431.55799624 0.0011285786243 0.0026780080849 0.00380658670926
Custo

$ Corretiva
185000 0.321614417794 0.678385582206 5161.8378063741 258593.39580261 0.0010598405824 0.0028903750795 0.0039502156619 0.01 TOTAL
190000 0.352500893645 0.647499106355 4933.4594872912 263526.85528991 0.0009926488846 0.0031086474125 0.00410129629714
195000 0.384549073373 0.615450926627 4696.0023990207 268222.85768893 0.0009269984538 0.0033319011445 0.00425889959834 0.005
200000 0.41758783795 0.58241216205 4450.6881268187 272673.54581574 0.0008629165428 0.0035591063023 0.00442202284514
0
205000 0.451422878936 0.548577121064 4198.9160104466 276872.46182619 0.000800459372 0.0037891336817 0.0045895930537 0 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00
210000 0.485839014592 0.514160985408 3942.2477296991 280814.70955589 0.0007397085375 0.0040207646946 0.00476047323209 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 360 380 400
215000 0.520603297775 0.479396702225 3682.3859746423 284497.09553053 0.0006807671176 0.0042527044495 0.00493347156712
220000 0.555468890909 0.444531109091 3421.147301015 287918.24283155 0.0006237554325 0.0044835981554 0.00510735358789 TEMPO
225000 0.590179645277 0.409820354723 3160.4295463402 291078.67237789 0.0005688064397 0.0047120508157 0.00528085725545
230000 0.624475281637 0.375524718363 2902.1744786198 293980.84685651 0.0005160607837 0.0049366500234 0.00545271080713
235000 0.658097028938 0.341902971062 2648.3266512142 296629.17350772 0.0004656615486 0.0051559914932 0.00562165304189
240000 0.690793540445 0.309206459555 2400.7897254274 299029.96323315 0.0004177488045 0.0053687067698 0.00578645557437
245000 0.722326874817 0.277673125183 2161.3817748008 301191.34500795 0.0003724540709 0.0055734923493 0.00594594642021
250000 0.75247830667 0.24752169333 1931.7912796073 303123.13628756 0.0003298948583 0.0057691392552 0.00609903411349
255000 0.781053719679 0.218946280321 1713.5356349297 304836.67192249 0.0002901694756 0.00595456194 0.00624473141561
260000 0.807888337656 0.192111662344 1507.9240125211 306344.59593501 0.0002533523118 0.0061288252564 0.00638217756815
265000 0.832850566709 0.167149433291 1316.0263223156 307660.62225732 0.0002194898085 0.0062911681802 0.00651065798861
270000 0.855844754958 0.144155245042 1138.6498084388 308799.27206576 0.0001885973325 0.0064410229895 0.00662962032204
275000 0.876812724415 0.123187275585 976.32449053139 309775.59655629 0.0001606571334 0.0065780287221 0.00673868585545
280000 0.895733990195 0.104266009805 829.29823798624 310604.89479428 0.0001356175278 0.0067020379527 0.00683765548055
285000 0.912624651644 0.087375348356 697.54176629099 311302.43656057 0.0001133933969 0.0068131162539 0.00692650965081
290000 0.927535013377 0.072464986623 580.76330400681 311883.19986458 9.3868007666E-05 0.0069115341 0.00700540210769
295000 0.940546066202 0.059453933798 478.43213554755 312361.63200013 7.6896093481E-05 0.0069977514327 0.0070746475262
300000 0.951765022582 0.048234977418 389.80972158521 312751.44172171 6.2308044911E-05 0.0070723955749 0.00713470361982
305000 0.96132015324 0.03867984676 313.98667734575 313065.42839906 4.991499116E-05 0.0071362336223 0.00718614861349
310000 0.969355206268 0.030644793732 249.92358555961 313315.35198462 3.9514491037E-05 0.0071901408121 0.00722965530315
315000 0.976023704466 0.023976295534 196.4934620016 313511.84544662 3.0896514874E-05 0.0072350666239 0.00726596313874
320000 0.981483409575 0.018516590425 152.52369096104 313664.36913758 2.3849385738E-05 0.0072720004829 0.00729584986869
325000 0.985891214379 0.014108785621 116.83540416646 313781.20454174 1.8165362706E-05 0.0073019388958 0.00732010425852
330000 0.989398678221 0.010601321779 88.278572945949 313869.48311469 1.3645589103E-05 0.0073258556562 0.00733950124531
335000 0.992148362999 0.007851637001 65.761489454389 313935.24460415 1.0104189966E-05 0.0073446764428 0.00735478063277
340000 0.994271060859 0.005728939141 48.273788209388 313983.51839235 7.371378679E-06 0.0073592587193 0.00736663009795
345000 0.99588393795 0.00411606205 34.902658104506 314018.42105046 5.295514393E-06 0.007370377394 0.00737567290835
350000 0.997089556691 0.002910443309 24.842371669252 314043.26342213 3.7441309325E-06 0.007378716246 0.0073824603769
355000 0.997975687237 0.002024312763 17.397672086676 314060.66109422 2.6040267297E-06 0.0073848647235 0.00738746875018
360000 0.998615780668 0.001384219332 11.981878565475 314072.64297278 1.7805581686E-06 0.0073893194017 0.0073910999599
365000 0.999069953873 0.000930046127 8.1107789647095 314080.75375175 1.1963121932E-06 0.007392489177 0.00739368548915
370000 0.999386328928 0.000613671072 5.3934706778147 314086.14722242 7.893474936E-07 0.0073947031697 0.00739549251721
375000 0.999602576507 0.000397423493 3.5212951448885 314089.66851757 5.1118870583E-07 0.0073962203175 0.00739673150619
380000 0.999747530395 0.000252469605 2.2559067566943 314091.92442432 3.2473843619E-07 0.007397239725 0.00739756446339
385000 0.999842765042 0.000157234958 1.4173488003824 314093.34177312 2.0224218232E-07 0.0073979109931 0.00739811323527
390000 0.999904056377 9.59436232E-05 0.8728055103144 314094.21457864 1.2340636022E-07 0.0073983439336 0.00739846734
395000 0.99994267442 5.73255798E-05 0.526486957152 314094.74106559 7.3734231161E-08 0.007398617269 0.00739869100324
400000 0.999966481835 3.35181646E-05 0.3109047723857 314095.05197036 4.311223116E-08 0.0073987860974 0.00739882920965